EPL Bets - Matchday 30

Jamie Steed previews EPL Matchday 30 of the 2024-25 season, starting on 4/1/2025. He previews each game from the English Premier League, picking bets and providing predictions for each game.

The EPL season rolls on, and we're bringing you our weekly article, which looks at betting picks and predictions for all games. Matchday 30 kicks off on Tuesday, April 1, with two games starting at 2:45 p.m. EDT. It culminates on Thursday, April 3, when Chelsea hosts Tottenham Hotspur.

Every week, we'll offer a preview of all the games. We'll predict the outcome, give a score prediction, and pick our favorite play for all fixtures. Before you read on, remember these essential things: betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. And never bet what you can't afford to lose.

We're bringing you more soccer content than ever before at RotoBaller. There are FPL, UCL, and DFS articles every week, along with our weekly betting picks and game previews article, all of which can be found here. Follow the team on X (@EuanFPL, @TheFPLManual, @df_solutions, @BellRoto, and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo), and reach out to any of us if you ever have any soccer questions.

Matchday 29 Recap

We went into the international break following our most heartbreaking weekend of the season. Our 'moneyline' parlay missed out because Everton could only draw with West Ham United at home. And it was a similar story with our other two big plays.

We needed just one more goal in Fulham's game with Tottenham to hit the 'over/under' parlay. And if Tottenham managed to find the net in that game, we'd have hit our 'both teams to score' parlay as well. Instead, we ended Matchday 29 empty-handed.

The good news is that we hit our first season-long play when Newcastle United ended their 70-year wait for a trophy. Their EFL Cup triumph was our pick for the Geordies at the start of the season that paid out at odds of +1400.

NEWCASTLE BEAT LIVERPOOL TO WIN THEIR FIRST-EVER CARABAO CUP 🏆

WHAT A MOMENT FOR THEM AND WHAT A PERFORMANCE AGAINST THE PREMIER LEAGUE LEADERS 👏 pic.twitter.com/8pI40O1Xv3

— ESPN FC (@ESPNFC) March 16, 2025

The EPL action gets back underway following the FA Cup quarter-finals at the weekend. We now have a clearer picture of where the double gameweeks and the blanks will be over the final two months of the season. So make sure you plan your FPL transfers and chips accordingly.

Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Arsenal (-225) vs. Fulham (+650) - 2:45 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Arsenal 1 – 0 Fulham

Arsenal has only scored five goals in their last five league games. The attacking woes might be easing with the return of Bukayo Saka. But after so long out, it's difficult to believe he can get the Gunners fully firing again. They will want to keep him available for their Champions League ties too.

BREAKING: Bukayo Saka returns to training for Arsenal after a three-month absence due to a hamstring injury 🔴pic.twitter.com/UDSsSLiPMb

— Sky Sports Premier League (@SkySportsPL) March 27, 2025

Arsenal's kept things tight defensively with three clean sheets in those five matches. The 24 goals Arsenal have conceded this season is the fewest in the league. They have been able to grind out wins while their attack has been depleted.

Fulham were dumped out of the FA Cup on Saturday by Crystal Palace. Since blanking on the opening weekend of the season, Fulham's scored in 14 straight away league games. However, Arsenal's last five league games have seen a total of six goals and it's difficult to see that trend changing here.

Wolves (+140) vs. West Ham United (+205) - 2:45 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Wolves 1 – 1 West Ham United

These two sides are next to each other in the standings, and it's difficult to see anything but a tight encounter between them. Neither side had FA Cup commitments over the weekend, so they should be relatively fresh. That just adds to the difficulty of picking a winner. Instead, we're backing both teams scoring.

Both teams have scored in each of Wolves' last three games. Wolves have found the net in 12 of their 14 home games this season. The only two blanks cam against sides currently occupying second and third in the league table. It's a similar story for West Ham on their travels.

Despite scoring only 15 goals in their 14 away games, they have blanked just once on the road. That came against third-placed Nottingham Forest. Both teams have scored in nine of their 15 games away from the London Stadium and that seems like the most sensible play here.

Nottingham Forest (+125) vs. Manchester United (+210) - 3:00 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Nottingham Forest 2 – 0 Manchester United

For the third time this season, Forest needed a penalty shootout to progress in the FA Cup. Saturday's shootout win against Brighton means they've reached the semi-final for the first time since 1991. I expect them to build on that momentum on Tuesday.

For the first time in 34 years. pic.twitter.com/G5x8iKIuNy

— Nottingham Forest (@NFFC) March 29, 2025

When Forest needed extra time and penalties to beat Ipswich Town in the fifth round, they had a home EPL game against Manchester City five days later. They won that game 1-0 and extended their unbeaten home run to eight games. It was their third straight clean sheet at home, too.

United's unbeaten in their last four league games. Three of those games were against sides currently in the bottom six places in the table. Forest has been adept at winning games with little possession. I expect this game to play out in a similar pattern with the hosts taking all three points.

Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Bournemouth (-275) vs. Ipswich Town (+650) - 2:45 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Bournemouth 3 – 1 Ipswich Town

Bournemouth suffered a heartbreaking FA Cup exit on Sunday and will be looking to get their league campaign back on track. The Cherries have taken just one point from their last four league games. They've also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six EPL matches.

Ipswich have played 10 league games in 2025. They've lost eight of them and drawn two. The Tractor Boys have also shipped in 29 goals during this run, conceding at least three in half of those games. We'll play over 2.5 total goals as well as a home win.

Brighton (+100) vs. Aston Villa (+235) - 2:45 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Brighton 2 – 2 Aston Villa

Brighton enters the midweek fixtures only a point adrift of a Champions League qualification spot. Their goalless draw against Forest in the FA Cup on Saturday ended a streak in which they scored at least two goals in seven consecutive games. A streak that started after losing 7-0 to Forest.

Villa reached the FA Cup semi-finals by beating Preston on Sunday. While Villa's away form hasn't been great (losing seven of 14 in the league), they have been scoring goals lately. Villa's found the net 20 times in their last 10 games in all competitions and we'll back both teams to score in this fixture.

Manchester City (-600) vs. Leicester City (+1200) - 2:45 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Manchester City 4 – 0 Leicester City

Manchester City advanced to the FA Cup semi-finals for a seventh successive season when coming back to beat Bournemouth. However, it may have come at a cost, as top scorer Erling Haaland limped off after equalizing for the visitors. His replacement, Omar Marmoush, scored the winning goal.

Erling Haaland limps off the pitch in Man City's FA Cup quarter-final against Bournemouth 😬 pic.twitter.com/e66uKIs4Q2

— Fantasy Premier League (@OfficialFPL) March 30, 2025

That is why I'm confident that City will still run out comfortable winners. Marmoush has now scored five goals in 11 games (nine starts) since joining Manchester City in January. Leicester City's form has been dreadful, with the club losing 13 of its last 14 league games.

The Foxes have also failed to score in their last six games and blanked in 11 of their last 14 EPL matches. They've conceded 35 goals in that run. The odds of a home win are too short to play, so we'll take over 2.5 total goals. Leicester's goalless streak has to end some time, so we'll just take the over.

Newcastle United (-140) vs. Brentford (+320) - 2:45 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Newcastle United 1 – 3 Brentford

Newcastle wasn't in action on the field at the weekend. Instead, they celebrated their EFL Cup victory with an open-top bus parade through the city. Even if they didn't over-party at the weekend, I have an inclining we see an upset. Whatever the result, we should get plenty of goals.

HISTORIC 🖤🤍#wedontdoquiet pic.twitter.com/XX3WRYot6c

— Newcastle United (@NUFC) March 29, 2025

Newcastle's scored 19 goals in their last seven home league games. They've also conceded nine in the last three games at St. James' Park. Brentford's won five on the bounce away from home, scoring 12 goals in the process.

The two sides have met seven times in the Premier League. Both teams have scored in five of those meetings with a total of 30 goals being scored in their seven EPL head-to-heads. I do like the odds of an away win but we'll back there to be at least three goals in the game and both sides scoring.

Southampton (+400) vs. Crystal Palace (-150) - 2:45 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Southampton 1 – 2 Crystal Palace

The Saints are in danger of getting relegated with the lowest points total in Premier League history. They've lost 24 of their 29 games this season, including 11 of their last 12. Only two of their nine points have come against sides placed 14th or higher in the table.

Palace's away form is the best in the league. The Eagles have won four straight on the road and six of their last seven away games. Palace have also kept five consecutive clean sheets on their travels and scored two goals in four straight. We'll just take an away win here.

Liverpool (-270) vs. Everton (+700) - 3:00 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Liverpool 2 – 1 Everton

With a 12-point gap atop the table, Liverpool will be seeking to secure the Premier League title in April. They can focus solely on the league with no other trophy to play for this season. They will hope not to suffer any distraction from the Trent Alexander-Arnold saga that may impact their title push.

◉ Jeremie Frimpong?
◉ Conor Bradley?
◉ Martim Fernandes?

With a free transfer to Real Madrid reportedly agreed, @BenMcAleer1 looks at the potential Trent Alexander-Arnold replacements for #LFC this summer. 👇

— WhoScored.com (@WhoScored) March 28, 2025

Everton heads to Anfield with an intact nine-game unbeaten run. However, they've drawn their last four. Seven weeks ago, Everton needed a last-minute equalizer to avoid defeat in the reverse fixture. Liverpool likely won't let something similar happen again.

A home win is the preferred play here and we'll also take both teams to score. Despite struggles to score earlier in the season, David Moyes has got Everton firing somewhat. They've scored in each of the nine games since they last lost. Liverpool's kept one clean sheet in their last seven home games.

Thursday, April 3, 2025

Chelsea (-160) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (+360) - 3:00 p.m. EDT

Score prediction: Chelsea 1 – 1 Tottenham Hotspur

The midweek action ends with two teams experiencing disappointing seasons. Both seem to be stuttering again after false dawns. In their last 13 games, Chelsea has four wins, three draws, and six defeats. Their four wins all came against sides in the bottom five of the table.

After back-to-back wins against 19th and 20th in the standings, Chelsea fell to an insipid 1-0 defeat at Arsenal. Since winning three straight league games for the first time this season, Tottenham has taken one point in their last three games.

The unpredictable nature of these two sides doesn't make this a fixture that's easy to predict. Chelsea won a seven-goal thriller when these two met earlier in the season and we'll just play both teams scoring again in this encounter.

Betting Picks

The table below gives the odds for each game's three main plays (moneyline, total goals, and both teams to score). My favorite pick from each game is highlighted if you want to build a parlay (which I will be playing and tracking).

Good luck with those FPL teams and EPL bets. Remember to bet responsibly!

More Betting and DFS Picks

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