
Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 2025 Truist Championship. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.
Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Truist Championship. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'
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Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The Truist Championship
Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)
We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:
PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The Truist Championship
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
- Units: +340.903 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2025
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Click here to see an example
First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles
- Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
- Click here to see an example
One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
- Click here to see an example
Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
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You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!
Let's Look at the Stats
Stat | Philadelphia Cricket | PGA Average |
Driving Distance | 283 | |
Driving Accuracy | 61% | |
GIR Percentage | 65% | |
Scrambling Percentage | 57% | |
Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.54 |
Field
Field Size: 72
Cut: No Cut
Top 20 Entrants: 17
Last Five Winners of The Truist Championship
2024 | ||
2023 | ||
2022 | ||
2021 | ||
2019 |
Expected Cut-Line at The Truist Championship
2024 | |
2023 | |
2022 | |
2021 | |
2019 |
Philadelphia Cricket Club
7,119 Yards - Par 70 - Greens Bentgrass
You can find my premium course breakdown in my Vegas Report this week
First Look Into Outright Bets
Player | Price |
Wyndham Clark | 66 |
Denny McCarthy | 70 |
Cameron Davis | 250 |
Tony Finau | 80 |
Nick Dunlap | 800 |
Xander Schauffele | 18 |
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!
Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite Targets Early On Monday
Wyndham Clark ($7,900)
When you think of 'Pitch and Putt' courses, there usually isn't a player in my model who grades higher than Wyndham Clark on similar setups. That is presented again this week when you dive into the top 11 players for me on corollary courses.
We will see if that narrative comes to fruition at a venue like the Philadelphia Cricket Club since there are still more unknown variables than answers. However, my model projected nearly 50% of his second shots to occur from 0 to 125 yards, with an additional handful of opportunities landing between that 125 to 150 range.
Clark's putting ability adds to the equation when you consider his second-place grade on similar grass types and speed, making the American my favorite target on the board in any section and one of the best win equity targets I had on the slate.
Cameron Davis ($6,000)
Here were the top four increases in my model when adding an emphasized weight for short iron play over their projected baseline statistics from all proximity buckets.
While Davis's iron play has continued to struggle overall, the fact that he topped that list does add optimism since the rest of the game has been respectable over the last handful of events.
If we can get that potential to show with his approach metrics, we could also see an increase from him on similar green complexes, which might add to this 'Horse for the Course' outlook. That will be an area where our next target also possesses a heightened ceiling to go along with that weakened floor.
Tony Finau ($7,400)
The words "Tony Finau" and "quality putting" rarely go in the same sentence, but there may be a little light at the end of the tunnel after we saw him post +1.2 shots during his last start at the RBC Heritage.
As I noted in the section for Cameron Davis, Finau landed inside the top three for a potential increase on similar Bentgrass green complexes that deliver firm and speedy conditions, and his dominance at shorter courses off-the-tee versus longer tests is somewhat surprising, given his naturally longer predisposition for distance with his driver.
That factor has somewhat made me a believer that club-down or short, wide-open venues could be better suited for his game.
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If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
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