Spencer Aguiar's First-Round Leader Picks for the Shriners Children's Open

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Make sure to follow me on Twitter @Teeoffsports to get my updated picks as the tournament progresses, and if you don't have that as one of your social media platforms, here is a link for my betting card weekly. My free DFS column, which includes my top plays for the week and a list of options I will be fading, can be found here. And if you ever have any questions about a particular bet, player in the field or anything golf-related, be sure to contact me on Twitter.

 

First-Round Leader Options To Consider:

Mito Pereira 70/1 (Bet365) 

There are a couple of players on this first-round leader card I considered in the outright market because of how they graded from a statistical perspective, but I ultimately left them off since their "choke equity" wasn't something I could correctly incorporate into my model. That doesn't mean I wouldn't still consider an option like Mito Pereira, Chris Kirk or Brian Harman in all sectors, although I prefer attacking them in this market, supplying us the upside we are looking for but giving it over a single day of golf versus a four-round affair.

We haven't seen many high-end performances from Pereira since his implosion on 18 at the PGA Championship, but I am also not sure the results tell the complete story of the statistical data. Sure, it hasn't always been pretty from round to round, but the 27-year-old ranks eighth in my model from a two-year running sample size and jumps to fourth when we condense the numbers down to only the past 24 rounds. It feels like things might be starting to come around again for the supremely talented ball-striker, and I will look to jump ahead of that potential in the first-round leader market.

 

Keith Mitchell 70/1 (Bet365) 

What screams first-round leader more than zero made cuts at TPC Summerlin in four attempts? The course history advocates will have a field day with this one since we need Keith Mitchell to do something at the track he hasn't discovered in his career, but I am a believer in the long-term metrics telling a better story, especially when we can take a chance for a single day on Thursday.

Mitchell ranks first in this field off the tee over his past 24 rounds, and the sixth-place grade he encounters when condensing the venue down to look at the five most critical scoring chances only emphasizes the upside. I don't have a good answer for why the American has failed to uncover his form when playing out in Vegas, but I will ignore the results and focus on the current stature of his game, which gives us a pro with a stratospheric upside.

 

Brendon Todd 100/1 (FanDuel) 

I am trying to find outlier choices for readers to consider in every market. Whether that be a long-shot that you can take advantage of as an outright, or a player like Brendon Todd, who might go off as under one percent owned on DraftKings, the goal is always to provide contrarian outlooks to deploy.

When I ran this course to include an equal dispersion of TPC statistics and Bentgrass putting, Todd graded as the 11th most likely performer to find success at the venue. The critical scoring holes didn't generate quite the same optimism from a modeling perspective, but we always want to find high-end factors to someone's game, especially when we can try to take advantage of it over a single round. The other 13 holes looked magnificent for the American, so if we can get an aberrational scoring day elsewhere, I wouldn't discount Todd's ability to get hot with the putter.

 

J.T. Poston 65/1 (DraftKings) 

If at first you don't succeed, try, try again. That is my motto after being burned by J.T. Poston at the Sanderson Farms last week.

I realize I start to sound like a broken record defending Poston's two-day meltdown at the Country Club of Jackson, but everything that could have gone wrong for him did. Not only did the American post a large score early, but he couldn't make a putt on Thursday, eventually derailing his Friday round that did get off to a hot start but couldn't be maintained because of the chances he had to take to get himself back into contention. The data still looks stout inside my model, and the critical scoring holes have him ranked seventh.

 

Chris Kirk 80/1 (FanDuel) 

The current metrics for Chris Kirk over the past few months have gone south, but the 27-spot improvement from his baseline to his expectation on Bentgrass greens has me encouraged that he might be able to find something with the flat stick to move himself up the leaderboard.

Kirk ranks 11th in the field for my weighted tee-to-green category, which was a way to recreate the scoring dispersion outlooks for the entire contest, and he also placed 22 spots better when highlighting weighted proximity - a complete look at all approach shots hit at the venue over the past five years.

 

Brian Harman 60/1 (FanDuel) 

I could look if I genuinely wanted an answer, but I feel like I have bet Brian Harman as an outright or first-round leader more than any golfer on tour. My model tends to love his potential fit for most facilities that aren't dominated by distance-heavy totals, and the same sentiment can be said about the Georgia Bulldog this week.

Harman ranks second in my model at TPC courses over the past year, is inside the top 20 at the critical scoring chances to mimic TPC Summerlin and also plays the 420-492-yard par-fours as one of the top 30 golfers. Add that to his short game and putting prowess, and you have a player with a large ceiling during any given round of golf.

 

Aaron Wise 40/1 (FanDuel) 

It is Aaron Wise week at the Shriners Open. I plan to have the most exposure to Wise of any golfer on the board in DFS, and I am attempting to find as many paths as I can to acquire shares of him in various markets.

I've alluded to how Wise's home venue is TPC Summerlin numerous times this week, but I don't want that notion to get lost in translation for why I am making this bet. Sure, it won't hurt the situation that he knows the track and is one of the only golfers that should have experience on these new fairways and greens, but it has more to do with the overall profile of a golfer that ideally suits what we want out of wagers this weekend in my backyard.

 

Official Card

	Odds	Risk	Win
Mito Pereira	70	0.045	3.15
Keith Mitchell	70	0.045	3.15
Brendon Todd	100	0.03	3
J.T. Poston	65	0.04	2.6
Chris Kirk	80	0.03	2.4
Brian Harman	60	0.05	3
Aaron Wise	40	0.07	2.8

 

2022 Top Head-to-Head Record (11-5-0)

+6.96 Units Year-To-Date From Premium H2H Bets

Tournament	H2H Bet	Risk Units	W	L	T	TP	Percentage	Profit/Loss
		21.73	11	5	0	16	68.75%	6.96
BMW Championship	Taylor Pendrith -110 over J.T. Poston	1.44	1			1		1.31
Rocket Mortgage	Cameron Davis -120 over Kevin Kisner	1.44	1			1		1.2
Open Championship	Tommy Fleetwood -118 over Tyrrell Hatton	1.30	1			1		1.1
Travelers	Brendan Steele -115 over Denny McCarthy	1.45	1			1		1.26
U.S. Open	Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley	1.40	1			1		1.33
RBC Canadian Open	Aaron Rai -112 over Hank Lebioda	1.40	1			1		1.25
Memorial	Sungjae Im -136 over Davis Riley	1.36	1			1		1
PGA Championship	Chris Kirk -120 over Kevin Kisner	1.44	1			1		1.36
Byron Nelson	Patton Kizzire -110 over Kevin Kisner	1.40	1			1		1.27
RBC Heritage	Ian Poulter -110 over Cameron Young	1.30		1		1		-1.3
Valero	Keegan Bradley -110 over Jason Day	1.30	1			1		1.18
Valero	Sahith Theegala +102 over Ryan Palmer	1.30		1		1		-1.3
API	Sergio Garcia -110 over Tommy Fleetwood	1.30		1		1		-1.3
Honda Classic	Jhonattan Vegas -115 over Mito Periera	1.30		1		1		-1.3
Genesis	Cameron Smith -115 over Viktor Hovland	1.35		1		1		-1.35
Waste Management	Keegan Bradley +100 over Pat Perez	1.25	1			1		1.25

Year-To-Date Pre-Tournament Head-To-Head Results (44-25-3)

+15.64 Units Year-To-Date From Pre-Tournament H2H Bets

Tournament	H2H Bet	Risk Units	W	L	T	TP	Percentage	Profit/Loss
		81.30	44	25	3	69	63.77%	15.64
Sanderson Farms	Dean Burmester -120 over Aaron Rai	1.20	1			1		1
Fortinet Championship	Rickie Fowler -110 over Joel Dahmen	1.10	1			1		1
Fortinet Championship	Tom Hoge -120 over Chez Reavie	1.20	1			1		1
Fortinet Championship	Patrick Rodgers -120 over Brendon Todd	1.20		1		1		-1.2
Fortinet Championship	Gary Woodland -120 over Matt Kuchar	1.20		1		1		-1.2
Fortinet Championship	Brendan Steele -127 over Denny McCarthy	1.27		1		1		-1.27
Tour Championship	Billy Horschel -115 over Brian Harman	1.15			1			0
BMW Championship	Shane Lowry +100 over Max Homa	1.00	1			1		1
BMW Championship	Sungjae Im -120 over Collin Morikawa	1.20	1			1		1
BMW Championship	Emiliano Grillo -110 over Denny McCarthy	1.10	1			1		1
BMW Championship	Rory McIlroy -120 over Patrick Cantlay	1.20		1		1		-1.2
St. Jude	Will Zalatoris -115 over Cameron Young	1.15	1			1		1
St. Jude	Shane Lowry -120 over Tyrrell Hatton	1.20		1		1		-1.2
St. Jude	Scottie Scheffler -120 over Justin Thomas	1.20		1		1		-1.2
Wyndham Championship	Brian Harman -110 over Denny McCarthy	1.10	1			1		1
Rocket Mortgage	Adam Hadwin +100 over Denny McCarthy	1.00	1			1		1
Open Championship	Tony Finau -125 over Louis Oosthuizen	1.25	1			1		1
Open Championship	Tiger Woods +145 over Bryson DeChambeau	1.00		1		1		-1
Travelers	Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley	1.05		1		1		-1.05
U.S. Open	Aaron Wise -105 over Cameron Young	1.05	1			1		1
U.S. Open	Xander Schauffele -110 over Cameron Smith	1.10	1			1		1
U.S. Open	Daniel Berger -110 over Billy Horschel	1.10		1		1		-1.1
U.S. Open	Luke List -110 over K.H. Lee	1.10		1		1		-1.1
Memorial	Rickie Fowler -110 over Stewart Cink	1.10	1			1		1
Charles Schwab	Viktor Hovland -120 over Will Zalatoris	1.20	1			1		1
PGA Championship	Tommy Fleetwood -120 over Maverick McNealy	1.20	1			1		1
PGA Championship	Webb Simpson -110 over Marc Leishman	1.10	1			1		1
PGA Championship	Rory McIlroy -135 over Viktor Hovland	1.35	1			1		1
PGA Championship	Aaron Wise -110 over Jhonatthan Vegas	1.10	1			1		1
Byron Nelson	Charles Howell III -120 over Nick Taylor	1.20	1			1		1
Byron Nelson	Si Woo Kim -120 over Christian Bezuidenhout	1.20		1		1		-1.2
Wells Fargo	Cameron Davis -120 over Dylan Frittelli	1.20		1		1		-1.2
Mexico Open	Charles Howell +100 over Brendon Todd	1.00	1			1		1
Mexico Open	Anirban Lahiri -115 over Andrew Putnam	1.15	1			1		1
Mexico Open	Alex Smalley -115 over Greyson Sigg	1.15	1			1		1
Mexico Open	Patrick Rodgers -110 over David Lipsky	1.10		1		1		-1.1
RBC Heritage	Tommy Fleetwood +100 over Jason Kokrak	1.00	1			1		1
RBC Heritage	Tom Hoge -120 over Mito Pereira	1.20		1		1		-1.2
RBC Heritage	Charles Howell III -110 over Mackenzie Hughes	1.10	1			1		1
RBC Heritage	Erik Van Rooyen -110 over Dylan Frittelli	1.10	1			1		1
Masters	Rory Group Winner +330	0.35	1			1		1.16
Masters	Rory McIlroy -120 over Collin Morikawa	1.20	1			1		1
Masters	Cam Young -110 over Luke List	1.10		1		1		-1.1
Masters	Tommy Fleetwood -110 over Bubba Watson	1.10	1			1		1
Valero	Jordan Spieth -102 over Hideki Matsuyama	1.02	1			1		1
Valspar	Joel Dahmen -112 over CT Pan	1.12	1			1		1
Valspar	Jason Kokrak -118 over Gary Woodland	1.18		1		1		-1.18
Valspar	Alex Noren -120 over Jason Day	1.20	1			1		1
Valspar	Mito Periera -120 over Francesco Molianri	1.20	1			1		1
Valspar	Pat Perez -120 over Carlos Ortiz	1.20	1			1		1
Players	Daniel Berger -120 over Cameron Smith	1.20		1		1		-1.2
Players	Brendon Todd -115 over Troy Merritt	1.15		1		1		-1.15
Players	Paul Casey -110 over Gary Woodland	1.10	1			1		1
Players	Russell Henley -110 over Max Homa	1.10			1			0
API	Cam Young -120 over Tom Hoge	1.20	1			1		1
API	Sahith Theegala -110 over Andrew Putnam	1.10		1		1		-1.1
Honda Classic	Sepp Straka -127 over Dylan Frittelli	1.27	1			1		1
Genesis	Jordan Spieth -105 over Brooks Koepka	1.05	1			1		1
Genesis	Dustin Johnson -125 over Collin Morikawa	1.25		1		1		-1.25
Genesis	Rory McIlroy -115 over Collin Morikawa	1.15		1		1		-1.15
Genesis	Sahith Theegala -120 over Francesco Molinari	1.20	1			1		1
Waste Management	Luke List -115 over Tony Finau	1.15	1			1		1
Farmers Insurance	Talor Gooch -110 over Corey Conners	1.10	1			1		1
American Express	K.H. Lee -105 over Michael Thompson	1.05	1			1		1
American Express	Gary Woodland -115 over Cameron Champ	1.15			1			0
Sony	Billy Horschel +110 over Seamus Power	1.00		1		1		-1
Sony	Si Woo Kim +100 over Seamus Power	1.00		1		1		-1
Sentry	Patrick Cantlay -108 over Viktor Hovland	1.08	1			1		1
Sentry	Jon Rahm -127 over Viktor Hovland	1.27	1			1		1
Sentry	Justin Thomas -132 over Viktor Hovland	1.32	1			1		1
Sentry	Bryson DeChambeau -112 over Collin Morikawa	1.12		1		1		-1.12
Sentry	Jordan Spieth -105 over Hideki Matsuyama	1.05		1		1		-1.05

2022 In-Tournament Head-to-Head Record (69-38-10)

+27.03 Units Year-To-Date From Premium In-Tournament H2H Bets

Tournament	H2H Bet	Risk Units	W	L	T	TP	Percentage	Profit/Loss
		132.71	69	38	10	105	65.71%	27.03
Sanderson Farms	Sam Burns -125 over Denny McCarthy	1.25	1			1		1
Sanderson Farms	Nick Hardy -118 over S.H. Kim	1.18	1			1		1
Sanderson Farms	Kevin Streelman -110 over Nick Taylor (R3)	1.1		1		1		-1.1
Sanderson Farms	Stephan Jaeger -105 over Stewart Cink (R2)	1.05	1					1
Sanderson Farms	Chesson Hadley -120 over Henrik Norlander (R1)	1.2	1					1
Presidents Cup	Christiaan Bezuidenhout +100 over Kevin Kisner (R5)	1	1			1		1
Presidents Cup	Finau/Kisner -115 over Im/Munoz (R4)	1.15		1		1		-1.15
Presidents Cup	Davis/Scott +165 over Spieth/Thomas (R2)	0.8		1		1		-0.8
Presidents Cup	Day 1 Winner Team USA -195 (R1)	1.25	1			1		0.64
Fortinet Championship	Rickie Fowler -110 over Mackenzie Hughes (R4)	1.1	1			1		1
Fortinet Championship	Rickie Fowler -114 over Matthias Schwab (R3)	1.14	1			1		1
Fortinet Championship	Adam Svensson -105 over Zac Blair (R3)	1.05	1			1		1
Tour Championship	Sungjae Im -115 over Joaquin Niemann (R3)	1.15	1			1		1
Tour Championship	Tom Hoge -115 over Sepp Straka (R2)	1.15	1			1		1
Tour Championship	Aaron Wise -110 over Sahith Theegala (R1)	1.44	1			1		1.31
BMW Championship	Will Zalatoris -110 over Sam Burns (R3)	1.1		1		1		-1.1
BMW Championship	Russell Henley -110 over Tyrrell Hatton (R3)	1.1		1		1		-1.1
BMW Championship	Sungjae Im -110 over Sam Burns (R2)	1.1			1			0
BMW Championship	Taylor Pendrith -118 over Marc Leishman (R2)	1.18	1			1		1
BMW Championship	Brendan Steele -110 over Matt Kuchar (R1)	1.1		1		1		-1.1
St. Jude	Hayden Buckley -110 over Dylan Frittelli (R3)	1.1	1			1		1
St. Jude	Max Homa -120 over J.T. Poston (R2)	1.2	1			1		1
St. Jude	Scottier Scheffler -115 over Cameron Smith (R1)	1.15		1		1		-1.15
Wyndham	Sungjae Im -125 over Will Zalatoris (R2)	1.25		1		1		-1.25
Wyndham	Sungjae Im -115 over Will Zalatoris (R1)	1.15	1			1		1
Rocket Mortgage	Sam Ryder -110 over Zach Johnson (R3)	1.1		1		1		-1.1
Rocket Mortgage	Cameron Tringale -120 over Kevin Kisner (R2)	1.2	1			1		1
Rocket Mortgage	Cameron Tringale -105 over Kevin Kisner (R1)	1.05	1			1		1
3M Open	James Hahn -110 over Danny Willett (R4)	1.1	1			1		1
3M Open	Doug Ghim -115 over Brice Garnett (R3)	1.15	1			1		1
3M Open	Tom Hoge -120 over Dylan Frittelli (R2)	1.2	1			1		1
3M Open	Emiliano Grillo -110 over Cameron Champ (R1)	1.1	1			1		1
3M Open	Tom Hoge +105 over Dylan Frittelli (R1)	1	1			1		1.05
Scottish	Sungjae Im -110 over Ryan Fox (R2)	1.1		1		1		-1.1
Scottish	Sungjae Im -110 over Ryan Fox (R1)	1.1		1		1		-1.1
Travelers	Aaron Rai -110 over Maverick McNealy (R2)	1.1	1			1		1
Travelers	Aaron Rai -129 over Wyndham Clark (R1)	1.29		1		1		-1.29
U.S. Open	Scottie Scheffler -115 over Jon Rahm (R4)	1.15	1			1		1
U.S. Open	Hideki Matsuyama -115 over Billy Horschel (R2)	1.15	1			1		1
U.S. Open	Talor Gooch -120 over Kevin Na (R2)	1.2		1		1		-1.2
U.S. Open	Hideki Matsuyama -115 over Billy Horschel (R1)	1.15	1			1		1
RBC Canadian Open	Emiliano Grillo +115 over Brendon Todd (R4)	1		1		1		-1
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Armour -120 over Matt Wallace (R3)	1.2	1			1		1
RBC Canadian Open	Tyler Duncan +100 over Robert Streb (R3)	1	1			1		1
RBC Canadian Open	Stephan Jaeger -115 over Rasmus Hojgaard (R2)	1.15		1		1		-1.15
RBC Canadian Open	Brice Garnett +100 over Matt Wallace (R2)	1		1		1		-1
Memorial	Charles Howell III -120 over Beau Hossler (R4)	1.2	1			1		1
Memorial	Corey Conners -+150 over Jon Rahm (R3)	1		1		1		-1
Memorial	Marc Leishman -105 over K.H. Lee (R1)	1.05		1		1		-1.05
Charles Schwab	Lucas Glover +100 over Denny McCarthy (R4)	1		1		1		-1
Charles Schwab	Lucas Glover -110 over Nick Taylor (R3)	1.1	1			1		1
Charles Schwab	Sam Burns -105 over Talor Gooch (R2)	1.05	1			1		1
Charles Schwab	Joel Dahmen -125 over Talor Moore (R2)	1.25	1			1		1
Charles Schwab	Davis Riley -120 over Denny McCarthy (R2)	1.2	1			1		1
PGA Championship	Kramer Hickok +145 over Francesco Molinari (R4)	1		1		1		-1
PGA Championship	Louis Oosthuizen +100 over Billy Horschel (R3)	1	1			1		1
Byron Nelson	Adam Scott -115 over Dylan Frittelli (R4)	1.15	1			1		1
Byron Nelson	Lanto Griffin -110 over Matthias Schwab (R3)	1.1	1			1		1
Byron Nelson	Adam Scott -115 over Davis Riley (R3)	1.15		1		1		-1.15
Byron Nelson	Alex Noren -110 over Christian Bezuidenhout (R3)	1.1		1		1		-1.1
Byron Nelson	Aaron Wise -125 over Ian Poulter (R2)	1.25			1			0
Byron Nelson	Sahith Theegala -110 over Taylor Moore (R1)	1.1			1			0
Wells Fargo	Kurt Kitayama -120 over Adam Schenk (R4)	1.2		1		1		-1.20
Wells Fargo	Austin Smotherman -120 over Kevin Chappell (R3)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Wells Fargo	Max Homa -115 over Jason Day (R2)	1.15	1			1		1.00
Wells Fargo	Brian Harman -105 over Troy Merritt (R2)	1.05	1			1		1.00
Wells Fargo	Lucas Glover -120 over Zach Johnson (R1)	1.2		1		1		-1.20
RBC Heritage	Tom Hoge -120 over Mackenzie Hughes (R2)	1.2	1			1		1.00
RBC Heritage	Alex Noren -115 over Ian Poulter (R2)	1.15		1		1		-1.15
RBC Heritage	J.J. Spaun -110 over Luke List (R1)	1.1	1			1		1.00
Masters	Tony Finau -110 over Sergio Garcia (R4)	1.1		1		1		-1.10
Masters	Robert McIntyre -125 over Lee Westwood (R3)	1.25		1		1		-1.25
Masters	Harry Higgs -105 over Hudson Swafford (R3)	1.05			1			0.00
Masters	Tyrrell Hatton +140 over Jon Rahm (R3)	1.0		1		1		-1.00
Masters	Rory McIlroy -120 over Brooks Koepka (R2)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Masters	Tyrrell Hatton -120 over Billy Horschel (R2)	1.2		1		1		-1.20
Masters	Patrick Reed -120 over Lee Westwood (R2)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Masters	Dustin Johnson -120 over Collin Morikawa (R1)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Valspar	Adam Svensson -115 over Grayson Sigg (R4)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Valspar	Sahith Theegala -115 over Brice Garnett (R3)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Valspar	Stewart Cink -110 over Brice Garnett (R2)	1.1	1			1		1.00
Valspar	Aaron Wise -105 over Mackenzie Hughes (R2)	1.1		1		1		-1.05
Valspar	Aaron Wise -105 over Mackenzie Hughes (R1)	1.1	1			1		1.00
Valspar	Brian Harman -110 over Bernd Wiesberger (R1)	1.1	1			1		1.00
API	Adam Schenk -125 over Stephan Jaeger (R3)	1.3		1		1		-1.25
API	Maverick McNealy -110 over Tommy Fleetwood (R2)	1.1		1		1		-1.10
API	Cam Young -120 over Taylor Pendrith (R1)	1.2	1			1		1.00
API	Gary Woodland -110 over K.H. Lee (R1)	1.1			1			0.00
API	Ian Poulter -120 over Andrew Putnam (R1)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Honda Classic	Nick Taylor -120 over Kevin Tway (R2)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Honda Classic	Sepp Straka -115 over Vincent Whaley (R1)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Genesis	Rickie Fowler -115 over Harry Higgs (R4)	1.2			1			0.00
Genesis	Carlos Ortiz -115 over Francesco Molinari (R3)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Genesis	Adam Hadwin -120 over Scott Stallings (R2)	1.2		1		1		-1.20
Genesis	Paul Casey -110 over Abraham Ancer (R1)	1.1	1			1		1.00
Genesis	Russell Henley -110 over Corey Conners (R1)	1.1			1			0.00
Waste Management	Luke List -120 over Francesco Molinari (R4)	1.2		1		1		-1.20
Waste Management	Max Homa -115 over Kevin Kisner (R3)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Waste Management	Brooks Koepka -120 over Gary Woodland (R2)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Waste Management	Matthew Fitzpatrick -120 over Aaron Wise (R1)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Pebble Beach	Russell Knox -115 over Brendon Todd (R2)	1.2			1			0.00
Pebble Beach	Jason Day -110 over Matthew Fitzpatrick (R1)	1.1	1			1		1.00
Farmers Insurance	Joaquin Niemann -110 over Billy Horschel (R3)	1.1		1		1		-1.10
Farmers Insurance	Matt Jones -110 over Hudson Swafford (R1)	1.1		1		1		-1.10
Sony	Keegan Bradley -120 over Hayden Buckley (R4)	1.2			1			0.00
Sony	Adam Svensson +165 over Seamus Power (R4)	0.8		1		1		-0.80
Sony	Hayden Buckley -118 over Vincent Whaley (R3)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Sony	Corey Conners -125 over Seamus Power (R2)	1.3	1			1		1.00
Sony	Keegan Bradley -110 over Harry Higgs (R2)	1.1	1			1		1.00
Sony	Michael Thompson +112 over Erik Van Rooyen (R1)	1.0	1			1		1.12
Sony	Keegan Bradley -115 over Harry Higgs (R1)	1.0			1			0.00
Sentry	Abraham Ancer -145 over Branden Grace (R4)	1.5		1		1		-1.45
Sentry	Sungjae Im -115 over Hideki Matsuyama (R3)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Sentry	Marc Leishman -130 over Lucas Herbert (R2)	1.3	1			1		1.00
Sentry	Lucas Herbert -115 over Matt Jones (R1)	1.2	1			1		1.00
Sentry	Patrick Cantlay -135 over Harris English (R1)	1.4	1			1		1.00
Sentry	Brooks Koepka +125 over Viktor Hovland (R1)	1.0	1			1		1.25

2022 Outright Bets That Have Finished Inside The Top-10

Player	Event	Odds	Finish Position
Sam Burns	Charles Schwab	90	1
Joaquin Niemann	Genesis Invitational	75	1
Scottie Scheffler	Waste Management	30	1
Will Zalatoris	St. Jude	28	1
Viktor Hovland	Arnold Palmer	18	2
Rory McIlroy	Masters	22	2
Tony Finau	Mexico Open	25	2
Jordan Spieth	Pebble Beach	22	2
Matt Jones	Valero	130	2
Tony Finau	RBC Canadian Open	30	2
Sungjae Im	3M Open	25	2
Sungjae Im	Tour Championship	22	2
Jason Day	Farmers Insurance	110	3
Corey Conners	Match Play	Rollover	3
Cam Davis	RBC Heritage	180	3
Xander Schauffele	Waste Management	16	3
Joaquin Niemann	Memorial	75	3
Scottie Scheffler	BMW Championship	18	3
Daniel Berger	Honda Classic	16	4
Troy Merritt	Valero	100	4
Tom Hoge	3M Open	80	4
Dean Burmester	Sanderson Farms	65	4
Justin Thomas	Byron Nelson	14	5
Ryan Palmer	Byron Nelson	120	5
Brooks Koepka	Match Play	Rollover	5
Matthew Fitzpatrick	PGA Championship	50	5
Tommy Fleetwood	PGA Championship	110	5
Daniel Berger	Memorial	60	5
Russell Henley	Wyndham	22	5
Corey Conners	BMW Championship	50	5
Mark Hubbard	Sanderson Farms	110	5
Justin Thomas	Genesis Invitational	16	6
Alex Smalley	Mexico Open	90	6
Billy Horschel	Waste Management	66	6
Dustin Johnson	Open	40	6
Aaron Wise	Tour Championship	45	6
Kevin Na	Charles Schwab	60	7
Chris Kirk	Honda Classic	70	7
Callum Tarren	3M Open	130	7
Rory McIlroy	PGA Championship	18	8
Patrick Cantlay	Open	33	8
Tyrrell Hatton	Wyndham	60	8
Jon Rahm	BMW Championship	14	8
Tyrrell Hatton	Match Play	Rollover	9
Brian Harman	Wells Fargo	75	9
J.T. Poston	Tour Championship	90	9
Erik Van Rooyen	RBC Heritage	110	10
Tommy Fleetwood	RBC Heritage	55	10
Keith Mitchell	Waste Management	110	10
Sungjae Im	Memorial	40	10

Yearly Record

2017 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (10-2-2) +8.03 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Dustin Johnson Genesis Open (10/1)
Sergio Garcia Masters (50/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open (45/1)
Justin Thomas PGA Championship (35/1)
Dustin Johnson Northern Trust (14/1)
Overall Units Won (+54.26) 194.24% ROI

2018 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (37-18-2) +26.64 Units
Outright Winners (6)
Phil Mickelson WGC-Mexico (22/1)
Bubba Watson WGC- Match Play (45/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open In-Play Wager (14/1)
Dustin Johnson RBC Canadian Open (7/1)
Justin Thomas WGC-Bridgestone (30/1)
Matt Kuchar Mayakoba Golf Classic (66/1)
Overall Units Won (+55.88) 51.70% ROI

2019 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (16-8-2) +8.48 Units
Outright Winners (4)
Corey Conners Valero Texas Open (200/1)
Rory McIlroy RBC Canadian Open  (10/1)
Brooks Koepka WGC- St. Jude Classic (12/1)
Rory McIlroy Tour Championship (8/1)
Overall Units Won (+27.743) 40.70% ROI

2020 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (13-14-2) -1.46 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Bryson DeChambeau U.S. Open (33/1)
Dustin Johnson Travelers Championship (30/1)
Sungjae Im Honda Classic (35/1)
Patrick Reed WGC-Mexico (50/1)
Cameron Smith Sony Open (55/1)
Overall Units Won (+37.015) 20.21% ROI

2021 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (17-13-1) +1.97 Units
Outright Winners (10)
Daniel Berger Pebble Beach (18/1)
Max Homa Genesis Invitational (66/1)
Justin Thomas Players Championship (22/1)
Billy Horschel Match Play (150/1)
Cameron Davis Rocket Mortgage (150/1)
Seamus Power Barbasol Championship (20/1)
Kevin Kisner Wyndham Championship (40/1)
Tony Finau Northern Trust (60/1)
Patrick Cantlay BMW Championship (25/1)
Rory McIlroy CJ Cup (20/1)
Overall Units Won (+68.846) 14.22% ROI

 

Career Record (Excluding 2022 Season Results)

Top Head-to-Head Bets (93-55-9) +43.66 Units 
Other Head-to-Head Bets (81-88-9) -4.82 Units
In-Tournament Head-to-Head Bets (125-82-22) +26.27 Units 
Outright Winners (30)
Top 5s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 16
2019 - 26
2020 - 19
2021 - 32
Top 10s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 31
2019 - 41
2020 - 41
2021 - 60 

 

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