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Spencer Aguiar's First-Round Leader Picks for the Shriners Children's Open

Enjoy this article for free until the start of 2023!

We have a lot of exciting new concepts in store for everyone at RotoBaller over the upcoming months, so please stay tuned for updates as we get closer to the new year. Thanks again for all the support, and we look forward to continuing to provide our readers with top-notch statistical information for you to consider. 

Make sure to follow me on Twitter @Teeoffsports to get my updated picks as the tournament progresses, and if you don't have that as one of your social media platforms, here is a link for my betting card weekly. My free DFS column, which includes my top plays for the week and a list of options I will be fading, can be found here. And if you ever have any questions about a particular bet, player in the field or anything golf-related, be sure to contact me on Twitter.

 

First-Round Leader Options To Consider:

Mito Pereira 70/1 (Bet365) 

There are a couple of players on this first-round leader card I considered in the outright market because of how they graded from a statistical perspective, but I ultimately left them off since their "choke equity" wasn't something I could correctly incorporate into my model. That doesn't mean I wouldn't still consider an option like Mito Pereira, Chris Kirk or Brian Harman in all sectors, although I prefer attacking them in this market, supplying us the upside we are looking for but giving it over a single day of golf versus a four-round affair.

We haven't seen many high-end performances from Pereira since his implosion on 18 at the PGA Championship, but I am also not sure the results tell the complete story of the statistical data. Sure, it hasn't always been pretty from round to round, but the 27-year-old ranks eighth in my model from a two-year running sample size and jumps to fourth when we condense the numbers down to only the past 24 rounds. It feels like things might be starting to come around again for the supremely talented ball-striker, and I will look to jump ahead of that potential in the first-round leader market.

 

Keith Mitchell 70/1 (Bet365) 

What screams first-round leader more than zero made cuts at TPC Summerlin in four attempts? The course history advocates will have a field day with this one since we need Keith Mitchell to do something at the track he hasn't discovered in his career, but I am a believer in the long-term metrics telling a better story, especially when we can take a chance for a single day on Thursday.

Mitchell ranks first in this field off the tee over his past 24 rounds, and the sixth-place grade he encounters when condensing the venue down to look at the five most critical scoring chances only emphasizes the upside. I don't have a good answer for why the American has failed to uncover his form when playing out in Vegas, but I will ignore the results and focus on the current stature of his game, which gives us a pro with a stratospheric upside.

 

Brendon Todd 100/1 (FanDuel) 

I am trying to find outlier choices for readers to consider in every market. Whether that be a long-shot that you can take advantage of as an outright, or a player like Brendon Todd, who might go off as under one percent owned on DraftKings, the goal is always to provide contrarian outlooks to deploy.

When I ran this course to include an equal dispersion of TPC statistics and Bentgrass putting, Todd graded as the 11th most likely performer to find success at the venue. The critical scoring holes didn't generate quite the same optimism from a modeling perspective, but we always want to find high-end factors to someone's game, especially when we can try to take advantage of it over a single round. The other 13 holes looked magnificent for the American, so if we can get an aberrational scoring day elsewhere, I wouldn't discount Todd's ability to get hot with the putter.

 

J.T. Poston 65/1 (DraftKings) 

If at first you don't succeed, try, try again. That is my motto after being burned by J.T. Poston at the Sanderson Farms last week.

I realize I start to sound like a broken record defending Poston's two-day meltdown at the Country Club of Jackson, but everything that could have gone wrong for him did. Not only did the American post a large score early, but he couldn't make a putt on Thursday, eventually derailing his Friday round that did get off to a hot start but couldn't be maintained because of the chances he had to take to get himself back into contention. The data still looks stout inside my model, and the critical scoring holes have him ranked seventh.

 

Chris Kirk 80/1 (FanDuel) 

The current metrics for Chris Kirk over the past few months have gone south, but the 27-spot improvement from his baseline to his expectation on Bentgrass greens has me encouraged that he might be able to find something with the flat stick to move himself up the leaderboard.

Kirk ranks 11th in the field for my weighted tee-to-green category, which was a way to recreate the scoring dispersion outlooks for the entire contest, and he also placed 22 spots better when highlighting weighted proximity - a complete look at all approach shots hit at the venue over the past five years.

 

Brian Harman 60/1 (FanDuel) 

I could look if I genuinely wanted an answer, but I feel like I have bet Brian Harman as an outright or first-round leader more than any golfer on tour. My model tends to love his potential fit for most facilities that aren't dominated by distance-heavy totals, and the same sentiment can be said about the Georgia Bulldog this week.

Harman ranks second in my model at TPC courses over the past year, is inside the top 20 at the critical scoring chances to mimic TPC Summerlin and also plays the 420-492-yard par-fours as one of the top 30 golfers. Add that to his short game and putting prowess, and you have a player with a large ceiling during any given round of golf.

 

Aaron Wise 40/1 (FanDuel) 

It is Aaron Wise week at the Shriners Open. I plan to have the most exposure to Wise of any golfer on the board in DFS, and I am attempting to find as many paths as I can to acquire shares of him in various markets.

I've alluded to how Wise's home venue is TPC Summerlin numerous times this week, but I don't want that notion to get lost in translation for why I am making this bet. Sure, it won't hurt the situation that he knows the track and is one of the only golfers that should have experience on these new fairways and greens, but it has more to do with the overall profile of a golfer that ideally suits what we want out of wagers this weekend in my backyard.

 

Official Card

Odds Risk Win
Mito Pereira 70 0.045 3.15
Keith Mitchell 70 0.045 3.15
Brendon Todd 100 0.03 3
J.T. Poston 65 0.04 2.6
Chris Kirk 80 0.03 2.4
Brian Harman 60 0.05 3
Aaron Wise 40 0.07 2.8

 

2022 Top Head-to-Head Record (11-5-0)

+6.96 Units Year-To-Date From Premium H2H Bets

Tournament
H2H Bet
Risk Units W L T TP Percentage Profit/Loss
21.73 11 5 0 16 68.75% 6.96
BMW Championship Taylor Pendrith -110 over J.T. Poston 1.44 1 1 1.31
Rocket Mortgage Cameron Davis -120 over Kevin Kisner 1.44 1 1 1.2
Open Championship Tommy Fleetwood -118 over Tyrrell Hatton 1.30 1 1 1.1
Travelers Brendan Steele -115 over Denny McCarthy 1.45 1 1 1.26
U.S. Open Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley 1.40 1 1 1.33
RBC Canadian Open Aaron Rai -112 over Hank Lebioda 1.40 1 1 1.25
Memorial Sungjae Im -136 over Davis Riley 1.36 1 1 1
PGA Championship Chris Kirk -120 over Kevin Kisner 1.44 1 1 1.36
Byron Nelson Patton Kizzire -110 over Kevin Kisner 1.40 1 1 1.27
RBC Heritage Ian Poulter -110 over Cameron Young 1.30 1 1 -1.3
Valero Keegan Bradley -110 over Jason Day 1.30 1 1 1.18
Valero Sahith Theegala +102 over Ryan Palmer 1.30 1 1 -1.3
API Sergio Garcia -110 over Tommy Fleetwood 1.30 1 1 -1.3
Honda Classic Jhonattan Vegas -115 over Mito Periera 1.30 1 1 -1.3
Genesis Cameron Smith -115 over Viktor Hovland 1.35 1 1 -1.35
Waste Management Keegan Bradley +100 over Pat Perez 1.25 1 1 1.25

Year-To-Date Pre-Tournament Head-To-Head Results (44-25-3)

+15.64 Units Year-To-Date From Pre-Tournament H2H Bets

Tournament
H2H Bet
Risk Units W L T TP Percentage Profit/Loss
81.30 44 25 3 69 63.77% 15.64
Sanderson Farms Dean Burmester -120 over Aaron Rai 1.20 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Rickie Fowler -110 over Joel Dahmen 1.10 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Tom Hoge -120 over Chez Reavie 1.20 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Patrick Rodgers -120 over Brendon Todd 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Fortinet Championship Gary Woodland -120 over Matt Kuchar 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Fortinet Championship Brendan Steele -127 over Denny McCarthy 1.27 1 1 -1.27
Tour Championship Billy Horschel -115 over Brian Harman 1.15 1 0
BMW Championship Shane Lowry +100 over Max Homa 1.00 1 1 1
BMW Championship Sungjae Im -120 over Collin Morikawa 1.20 1 1 1
BMW Championship Emiliano Grillo -110 over Denny McCarthy 1.10 1 1 1
BMW Championship Rory McIlroy -120 over Patrick Cantlay 1.20 1 1 -1.2
St. Jude Will Zalatoris -115 over Cameron Young 1.15 1 1 1
St. Jude Shane Lowry -120 over Tyrrell Hatton 1.20 1 1 -1.2
St. Jude Scottie Scheffler -120 over Justin Thomas 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Wyndham Championship
Brian Harman -110 over Denny McCarthy 1.10 1 1 1
Rocket Mortgage Adam Hadwin +100 over Denny McCarthy 1.00 1 1 1
Open Championship Tony Finau -125 over Louis Oosthuizen 1.25 1 1 1
Open Championship Tiger Woods +145 over Bryson DeChambeau 1.00 1 1 -1
Travelers Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley 1.05 1 1 -1.05
U.S. Open Aaron Wise -105 over Cameron Young 1.05 1 1 1
U.S. Open Xander Schauffele -110 over Cameron Smith 1.10 1 1 1
U.S. Open Daniel Berger -110 over Billy Horschel 1.10 1 1 -1.1
U.S. Open Luke List -110 over K.H. Lee 1.10 1 1 -1.1
Memorial Rickie Fowler -110 over Stewart Cink 1.10 1 1 1
Charles Schwab Viktor Hovland -120 over Will Zalatoris 1.20 1 1 1
PGA Championship Tommy Fleetwood -120 over Maverick McNealy 1.20 1 1 1
PGA Championship Webb Simpson -110 over Marc Leishman 1.10 1 1 1
PGA Championship Rory McIlroy -135 over Viktor Hovland 1.35 1 1 1
PGA Championship Aaron Wise -110 over Jhonatthan Vegas 1.10 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Charles Howell III -120 over Nick Taylor 1.20 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Si Woo Kim -120 over Christian Bezuidenhout 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Wells Fargo Cameron Davis -120 over Dylan Frittelli 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Mexico Open Charles Howell +100 over Brendon Todd 1.00 1 1 1
Mexico Open Anirban Lahiri -115 over Andrew Putnam 1.15 1 1 1
Mexico Open Alex Smalley -115 over Greyson Sigg 1.15 1 1 1
Mexico Open Patrick Rodgers -110 over David Lipsky 1.10 1 1 -1.1
RBC Heritage Tommy Fleetwood +100 over Jason Kokrak 1.00 1 1 1
RBC Heritage Tom Hoge -120 over Mito Pereira 1.20 1 1 -1.2
RBC Heritage Charles Howell III -110 over Mackenzie Hughes 1.10 1 1 1
RBC Heritage Erik Van Rooyen -110 over Dylan Frittelli 1.10 1 1 1
Masters Rory Group Winner +330 0.35 1 1 1.16
Masters Rory McIlroy -120 over Collin Morikawa 1.20 1 1 1
Masters Cam Young -110 over Luke List 1.10 1 1 -1.1
Masters Tommy Fleetwood -110 over Bubba Watson 1.10 1 1 1
Valero Jordan Spieth -102 over Hideki Matsuyama 1.02 1 1 1
Valspar Joel Dahmen -112 over CT Pan 1.12 1 1 1
Valspar Jason Kokrak -118 over Gary Woodland 1.18 1 1 -1.18
Valspar Alex Noren -120 over Jason Day 1.20 1 1 1
Valspar Mito Periera -120 over Francesco Molianri 1.20 1 1 1
Valspar Pat Perez -120 over Carlos Ortiz 1.20 1 1 1
Players Daniel Berger -120 over Cameron Smith 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Players Brendon Todd -115 over Troy Merritt 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Players Paul Casey -110 over Gary Woodland 1.10 1 1 1
Players Russell Henley -110 over Max Homa 1.10 1 0
API Cam Young -120 over Tom Hoge 1.20 1 1 1
API Sahith Theegala -110 over Andrew Putnam 1.10 1 1 -1.1
Honda Classic Sepp Straka -127 over Dylan Frittelli 1.27 1 1 1
Genesis Jordan Spieth -105 over Brooks Koepka 1.05 1 1 1
Genesis Dustin Johnson -125 over Collin Morikawa 1.25 1 1 -1.25
Genesis Rory McIlroy -115 over Collin Morikawa 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Genesis Sahith Theegala -120 over Francesco Molinari 1.20 1 1 1
Waste Management Luke List -115 over Tony Finau 1.15 1 1 1
Farmers Insurance Talor Gooch -110 over Corey Conners 1.10 1 1 1
American Express K.H. Lee -105 over Michael Thompson 1.05 1 1 1
American Express Gary Woodland -115 over Cameron Champ 1.15 1 0
Sony Billy Horschel +110 over Seamus Power 1.00 1 1 -1
Sony Si Woo Kim +100 over Seamus Power 1.00 1 1 -1
Sentry Patrick Cantlay -108 over Viktor Hovland 1.08 1 1 1
Sentry Jon Rahm -127 over Viktor Hovland 1.27 1 1 1
Sentry Justin Thomas -132 over Viktor Hovland 1.32 1 1 1
Sentry Bryson DeChambeau -112 over Collin Morikawa 1.12 1 1 -1.12
Sentry Jordan Spieth -105 over Hideki Matsuyama 1.05 1 1 -1.05

2022 In-Tournament Head-to-Head Record (69-38-10)

+27.03 Units Year-To-Date From Premium In-Tournament H2H Bets

Tournament
H2H Bet
Risk Units W L T TP Percentage Profit/Loss
132.71 69 38 10 105 65.71% 27.03
Sanderson Farms Sam Burns -125 over Denny McCarthy 1.25 1 1 1
Sanderson Farms Nick Hardy -118 over S.H. Kim 1.18 1 1 1
Sanderson Farms Kevin Streelman -110 over Nick Taylor (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Sanderson Farms Stephan Jaeger -105 over Stewart Cink (R2) 1.05 1 1
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley -120 over Henrik Norlander (R1) 1.2 1 1
Presidents Cup Christiaan Bezuidenhout +100 over Kevin Kisner (R5) 1 1 1 1
Presidents Cup Finau/Kisner -115 over Im/Munoz (R4) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Presidents Cup Davis/Scott +165 over Spieth/Thomas (R2) 0.8 1 1 -0.8
Presidents Cup Day 1 Winner Team USA -195 (R1) 1.25 1 1 0.64
Fortinet Championship Rickie Fowler -110 over Mackenzie Hughes (R4) 1.1 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Rickie Fowler -114 over Matthias Schwab (R3) 1.14 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Adam Svensson -105 over Zac Blair (R3) 1.05 1 1 1
Tour Championship Sungjae Im -115 over Joaquin Niemann (R3) 1.15 1 1 1
Tour Championship Tom Hoge -115 over Sepp Straka (R2) 1.15 1 1 1
Tour Championship Aaron Wise -110 over Sahith Theegala (R1) 1.44 1 1 1.31
BMW Championship Will Zalatoris -110 over Sam Burns (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
BMW Championship Russell Henley -110 over Tyrrell Hatton (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
BMW Championship Sungjae Im -110 over Sam Burns (R2) 1.1 1 0
BMW Championship Taylor Pendrith -118 over Marc Leishman (R2) 1.18 1 1 1
BMW Championship Brendan Steele -110 over Matt Kuchar (R1) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
St. Jude Hayden Buckley -110 over Dylan Frittelli (R3) 1.1 1 1 1
St. Jude Max Homa -120 over J.T. Poston (R2) 1.2 1 1 1
St. Jude Scottier Scheffler -115 over Cameron Smith (R1) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Wyndham Sungjae Im -125 over Will Zalatoris (R2) 1.25 1 1 -1.25
Wyndham Sungjae Im -115 over Will Zalatoris (R1) 1.15 1 1 1
Rocket Mortgage Sam Ryder -110 over Zach Johnson (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Rocket Mortgage Cameron Tringale -120 over Kevin Kisner (R2) 1.2 1 1 1
Rocket Mortgage Cameron Tringale -105 over Kevin Kisner (R1) 1.05 1 1 1
3M Open James Hahn -110 over Danny Willett (R4) 1.1 1 1 1
3M Open Doug Ghim -115 over Brice Garnett (R3) 1.15 1 1 1
3M Open Tom Hoge -120 over Dylan Frittelli (R2) 1.2 1 1 1
3M Open Emiliano Grillo -110 over Cameron Champ (R1) 1.1 1 1 1
3M Open Tom Hoge +105 over Dylan Frittelli (R1) 1 1 1 1.05
Scottish Sungjae Im -110 over Ryan Fox (R2) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Scottish Sungjae Im -110 over Ryan Fox (R1) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Travelers Aaron Rai -110 over Maverick McNealy (R2) 1.1 1 1 1
Travelers Aaron Rai -129 over Wyndham Clark (R1) 1.29 1 1 -1.29
U.S. Open Scottie Scheffler -115 over Jon Rahm (R4) 1.15 1 1 1
U.S. Open Hideki Matsuyama -115 over Billy Horschel (R2) 1.15 1 1 1
U.S. Open Talor Gooch -120 over Kevin Na (R2) 1.2 1 1 -1.2
U.S. Open Hideki Matsuyama -115 over Billy Horschel (R1) 1.15 1 1 1
RBC Canadian Open Emiliano Grillo +115 over Brendon Todd (R4) 1 1 1 -1
RBC Canadian Open Ryan Armour -120 over Matt Wallace (R3) 1.2 1 1 1
RBC Canadian Open Tyler Duncan +100 over Robert Streb (R3) 1 1 1 1
RBC Canadian Open Stephan Jaeger -115 over Rasmus Hojgaard (R2) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
RBC Canadian Open Brice Garnett +100 over Matt Wallace (R2) 1 1 1 -1
Memorial Charles Howell III -120 over Beau Hossler (R4) 1.2 1 1 1
Memorial Corey Conners -+150 over Jon Rahm (R3) 1 1 1 -1
Memorial Marc Leishman -105 over K.H. Lee (R1) 1.05 1 1 -1.05
Charles Schwab Lucas Glover +100 over Denny McCarthy (R4) 1 1 1 -1
Charles Schwab Lucas Glover -110 over Nick Taylor (R3) 1.1 1 1 1
Charles Schwab Sam Burns -105 over Talor Gooch (R2) 1.05 1 1 1
Charles Schwab Joel Dahmen -125 over Talor Moore (R2) 1.25 1 1 1
Charles Schwab Davis Riley -120 over Denny McCarthy (R2) 1.2 1 1 1
PGA Championship Kramer Hickok +145 over Francesco Molinari (R4) 1 1 1 -1
PGA Championship Louis Oosthuizen +100 over Billy Horschel (R3) 1 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Adam Scott -115 over Dylan Frittelli (R4) 1.15 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Lanto Griffin -110 over Matthias Schwab (R3) 1.1 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Adam Scott -115 over Davis Riley (R3) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Byron Nelson Alex Noren -110 over Christian Bezuidenhout (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Byron Nelson Aaron Wise -125 over Ian Poulter (R2) 1.25 1 0
Byron Nelson Sahith Theegala -110 over Taylor Moore (R1) 1.1 1 0
Wells Fargo Kurt Kitayama -120 over Adam Schenk (R4) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
Wells Fargo Austin Smotherman -120 over Kevin Chappell (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Wells Fargo Max Homa -115 over Jason Day (R2) 1.15 1 1 1.00
Wells Fargo Brian Harman -105 over Troy Merritt (R2) 1.05 1 1 1.00
Wells Fargo Lucas Glover -120 over Zach Johnson (R1) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
RBC Heritage Tom Hoge -120 over Mackenzie Hughes (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
RBC Heritage Alex Noren -115 over Ian Poulter (R2) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
RBC Heritage J.J. Spaun -110 over Luke List (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Masters Tony Finau -110 over Sergio Garcia (R4) 1.1 1 1 -1.10
Masters Robert McIntyre -125 over Lee Westwood (R3) 1.25 1 1 -1.25
Masters Harry Higgs -105 over Hudson Swafford (R3) 1.05 1 0.00
Masters Tyrrell Hatton +140 over Jon Rahm (R3) 1.0 1 1 -1.00
Masters Rory McIlroy -120 over Brooks Koepka (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Masters Tyrrell Hatton -120 over Billy Horschel (R2) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
Masters Patrick Reed -120 over Lee Westwood (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Masters Dustin Johnson -120 over Collin Morikawa (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Valspar Adam Svensson -115 over Grayson Sigg (R4) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Valspar Sahith Theegala -115 over Brice Garnett (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Valspar Stewart Cink -110 over Brice Garnett (R2) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Valspar Aaron Wise -105 over Mackenzie Hughes (R2) 1.1 1 1 -1.05
Valspar Aaron Wise -105 over Mackenzie Hughes (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Valspar Brian Harman -110 over Bernd Wiesberger (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
API Adam Schenk -125 over Stephan Jaeger (R3) 1.3 1 1 -1.25
API Maverick McNealy -110 over Tommy Fleetwood (R2) 1.1 1 1 -1.10
API Cam Young -120 over Taylor Pendrith (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
API Gary Woodland -110 over K.H. Lee (R1) 1.1 1 0.00
API Ian Poulter -120 over Andrew Putnam (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Honda Classic Nick Taylor -120 over Kevin Tway (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Honda Classic Sepp Straka -115 over Vincent Whaley (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Genesis Rickie Fowler -115 over Harry Higgs (R4) 1.2 1 0.00
Genesis Carlos Ortiz -115 over Francesco Molinari (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Genesis Adam Hadwin -120 over Scott Stallings (R2) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
Genesis Paul Casey -110 over Abraham Ancer (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Genesis Russell Henley -110 over Corey Conners (R1) 1.1 1 0.00
Waste Management Luke List -120 over Francesco Molinari (R4) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
Waste Management Max Homa -115 over Kevin Kisner (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Waste Management Brooks Koepka -120 over Gary Woodland (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Waste Management Matthew Fitzpatrick -120 over Aaron Wise (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Pebble Beach Russell Knox -115 over Brendon Todd (R2) 1.2 1 0.00
Pebble Beach Jason Day -110 over Matthew Fitzpatrick (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Farmers Insurance Joaquin Niemann -110 over Billy Horschel (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.10
Farmers Insurance Matt Jones -110 over Hudson Swafford (R1) 1.1 1 1 -1.10
Sony Keegan Bradley -120 over Hayden Buckley (R4) 1.2 1 0.00
Sony Adam Svensson +165 over Seamus Power (R4) 0.8 1 1 -0.80
Sony Hayden Buckley -118 over Vincent Whaley (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Sony Corey Conners -125 over Seamus Power (R2) 1.3 1 1 1.00
Sony Keegan Bradley -110 over Harry Higgs (R2) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Sony Michael Thompson +112 over Erik Van Rooyen (R1) 1.0 1 1 1.12
Sony Keegan Bradley -115 over Harry Higgs (R1) 1.0 1 0.00
Sentry Abraham Ancer -145 over Branden Grace (R4) 1.5 1 1 -1.45
Sentry Sungjae Im -115 over Hideki Matsuyama (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Sentry Marc Leishman -130 over Lucas Herbert (R2) 1.3 1 1 1.00
Sentry Lucas Herbert -115 over Matt Jones (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Sentry Patrick Cantlay -135 over Harris English (R1) 1.4 1 1 1.00
Sentry Brooks Koepka +125 over Viktor Hovland (R1) 1.0 1 1 1.25

2022 Outright Bets That Have Finished Inside The Top-10

Player Event Odds Finish Position
Sam Burns Charles Schwab 90 1
Joaquin Niemann Genesis Invitational 75 1
Scottie Scheffler Waste Management 30 1
Will Zalatoris St. Jude 28 1
Viktor Hovland Arnold Palmer 18 2
Rory McIlroy Masters 22 2
Tony Finau Mexico Open 25 2
Jordan Spieth Pebble Beach 22 2
Matt Jones Valero 130 2
Tony Finau RBC Canadian Open 30 2
Sungjae Im 3M Open 25 2
Sungjae Im Tour Championship 22 2
Jason Day Farmers Insurance 110 3
Corey Conners Match Play Rollover 3
Cam Davis RBC Heritage 180 3
Xander Schauffele Waste Management 16 3
Joaquin Niemann Memorial 75 3
Scottie Scheffler BMW Championship 18 3
Daniel Berger Honda Classic 16 4
Troy Merritt Valero 100 4
Tom Hoge 3M Open 80 4
Dean Burmester Sanderson Farms 65 4
Justin Thomas Byron Nelson 14 5
Ryan Palmer Byron Nelson 120 5
Brooks Koepka Match Play Rollover 5
Matthew Fitzpatrick PGA Championship 50 5
Tommy Fleetwood PGA Championship 110 5
Daniel Berger Memorial 60 5
Russell Henley Wyndham 22 5
Corey Conners BMW Championship 50 5
Mark Hubbard Sanderson Farms 110 5
Justin Thomas Genesis Invitational 16 6
Alex Smalley Mexico Open 90 6
Billy Horschel Waste Management 66 6
Dustin Johnson Open 40 6
Aaron Wise Tour Championship 45 6
Kevin Na Charles Schwab 60 7
Chris Kirk Honda Classic 70 7
Callum Tarren 3M Open 130 7
Rory McIlroy PGA Championship 18 8
Patrick Cantlay Open 33 8
Tyrrell Hatton Wyndham 60 8
Jon Rahm BMW Championship 14 8
Tyrrell Hatton Match Play Rollover 9
Brian Harman Wells Fargo 75 9
J.T. Poston Tour Championship 90 9
Erik Van Rooyen RBC Heritage 110 10
Tommy Fleetwood RBC Heritage 55 10
Keith Mitchell Waste Management 110 10
Sungjae Im Memorial 40 10

Yearly Record

2017 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (10-2-2) +8.03 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Dustin Johnson Genesis Open (10/1)
Sergio Garcia Masters (50/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open (45/1)
Justin Thomas PGA Championship (35/1)
Dustin Johnson Northern Trust (14/1)
Overall Units Won (+54.26) 194.24% ROI

2018 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets
(37-18-2) +26.64 Units
Outright Winners (6)
Phil Mickelson WGC-Mexico (22/1)
Bubba Watson WGC- Match Play (45/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open In-Play Wager (14/1)
Dustin Johnson RBC Canadian Open (7/1)
Justin Thomas WGC-Bridgestone (30/1)
Matt Kuchar Mayakoba Golf Classic (66/1)
Overall Units Won (+55.88) 51.70% ROI

2019 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets
(16-8-2) +8.48 Units
Outright Winners (4)
Corey Conners Valero Texas Open (200/1)
Rory McIlroy RBC Canadian Open  (10/1)
Brooks Koepka WGC- St. Jude Classic (12/1)
Rory McIlroy Tour Championship (8/1)
Overall Units Won (+27.743) 40.70% ROI

2020 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets
(13-14-2) -1.46 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Bryson DeChambeau U.S. Open (33/1)
Dustin Johnson Travelers Championship (30/1)
Sungjae Im Honda Classic (35/1)
Patrick Reed WGC-Mexico (50/1)
Cameron Smith Sony Open (55/1)
Overall Units Won (+37.015) 20.21% ROI

2021 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets
(17-13-1) +1.97 Units
Outright Winners (10)
Daniel Berger Pebble Beach (18/1)
Max Homa Genesis Invitational (66/1)
Justin Thomas Players Championship (22/1)
Billy Horschel Match Play (150/1)
Cameron Davis Rocket Mortgage (150/1)
Seamus Power Barbasol Championship (20/1)
Kevin Kisner Wyndham Championship (40/1)
Tony Finau Northern Trust (60/1)
Patrick Cantlay BMW Championship (25/1)
Rory McIlroy CJ Cup (20/1)
Overall Units Won (+68.846) 14.22% ROI

 

Career Record (Excluding 2022 Season Results)

Top Head-to-Head Bets (93-55-9) +43.66 Units 
Other Head-to-Head Bets (81-88-9) -4.82 Units
In-Tournament Head-to-Head Bets (125-82-22) +26.27 Units 
Outright Winners (30)
Top 5s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 16
2019 - 26
2020 - 19
2021 - 32
Top 10s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 31
2019 - 41
2020 - 41
2021 - 60 

 

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