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Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks (11/03/17): NBA DFS Advice for FanDuel, DraftKings

Kevin Luchansky's top daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for 11/03/17. Expert NBA DFS advice, sleepers & player recommendations for FanDuel and DraftKings.

We made it, you guys. The weekend is here and we have twelve games to kick it off in style. That's right, twenty-four teams in action and, unlike Wednesday's gross slate, this has plenty of attractive games to target.

How do I know we have attractive games? Our eyes can recognize the obvious but Vegas is the real reason - it gives us confirmation of what we've thought and insight into the less obvious and unkown. As of this writing, we have a handful of games with no line listed yet, but four of them have over/under totals of 215 or higher and at least six have marks of 205. A number in the high 190's is right around the league average, so anything above 200 is something to at least be aware of, anything above 210 is attractive and anything over 230 is a freaking gift from the basketball gods. The games that look most attractive right now for GPP studs and game stacks are Suns at Knicks (223), Miami at Denver (215), and Nets at Lakers (215).

These are bound to move a little, but we also have a ton of tight spreads, which is refreshing and, most importantly, valuable from a DFS perspective. Blowouts are terrible for the minutes of the guys you've rostered, so targeting games with a tight spread makes sense (especially in cash games).  In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for FanDuel and DraftKings on 11/03/17. The DFS lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays on DraftKings and FanDuel.

 

DFS Guards to Consider

As there are tons of stars in good or prime situations tonight, it will be crucial to find value plays with safe floors. One of the best spots to grab said value with a safe (safe is a relative term here, of course) floor is the point guard spot - particularly in games with fast pace and a high projected number of possessions and a high over/under. At the moment, I'm torn between a few options in the low to mid-tier range that have similar projections for me, starting with Jarret Jack and Mike James (who happen to face off in the game with the highest projected point total) and should each play 28+ minutes with Usage rates around 18-20 percent. That's great value for the price and it's an outstanding game to target overall.

With the news that Elfrid Payton and DJ Augustine are unavailable Friday night, this moves Shelvin Mack into the conversation for valuable point guard punts (and it also boosts my love for Jonathan Simmons). The matchup isn't outstanding as the Bulls are bottom five in pace, but it's a very modest price to pay for someone who should see 30+ minutes tonight.

If you wanted to get cute and fade that game and/or need to dive a little lower, I'd consider Jerian Grant or Dejounte Murray, who have intriguing matchups and are worth a hard look in large field tournament formats.

Dennis Schroder - PG, HOU vs ATL (DK - $7,100, FD - $8,000)

Schroder is one of those guys I think that makes sense in cash if your roster construction allows it, but isn't a must due to the price being a little higher than I'd like on FanDuel. Use one of the guys I mentioned above if cash is strapped. That said, I think he has a very safe floor, he's yet to put up any duds (even on poor shooting and foul trouble nights) and gets a great matchup here in a pace up game where his team is projected for more points and possessions than their year average. Schroder has an unbelievably high Usage rate at 31 and has the ability to grab a few steals while consistently getting his teammates involved to the tune of 6+ assists a night. He's got a 50+ point ceiling tonight and is absolutely worth a few shares in tournaments.

Russell Westbrook - PG, BOS vs OKC (DK - $11,100, FD - $10,600)

Westbrook, the 1.45 point-per-minute point guard monster, is a guy I'll be overweight to the field with tonight in my tournament entries. There is a lot of things I like about him today when looking at this through the large field tournament perspective. For starters, the enormous slate will do some leg work of depressing his ownership, as will the price tag, the recent dud (blowout game was the culprit here), and the fact the Celtics have pretty good defensive efficiency numbers. The easiest way to attack the Celtics, though, is through the porous defense of Kyrie Irving, and I think Westbrook will attack the basket early and often here. He's sacrificed some Usage this season, but he does such a good job of facilitating for others in racking up assists and boards that he's got a safe floor and a ceiling I'd like to chase. This game also makes for an intriguing stack (or just a core of players) from as the over/under (205) is pretty high for teams that a arent scrubs on defense and the spread is under five points as well. Kyrie Irving and Russ is a backcourt idea I'll be deploying in tournaments, that's for sure.

Also Consider: John Wall - PG, CLE vs WAS (DK - $9,700, FD - $9,900)

D'Angelo Russell - PG/SG, BKN @ LAL (DK - $7,900, FD - $7,500)

In his last game, both his performance and the way he ran down the court without any sign of pain eased my concerns he was playing at roughly 75% health. The funny thing about this spot as that I had gotten so caught up in the numbers related to why I like Russell tonight, that I had forgotten about the revenge game factor up until the time I put the pen to paper. Look at it this way - it's a great play even without that narrative. Russell is displaying a grossly attractive Usage rate at 32, his minutes are safe in the 30-35 range and he's playing a team on the second leg of a back-to-back. The game should be played at an above average pace and the opportunities for fast break points and steals will be ample. Due to the whole narrative factor, we lose a little leverage in tournaments due to the popularity, but he's a guy who's worth eating the chalk for due to the Usage rate and game context. If you're not willing to eat said chalk, then pivoting to Devin Booker is the best way to spend in the same price range.

Also Consider: Bradley Beal - SG, CLE vs WAS (DK - $7,400, FD - $8,000)

 

DFS Forwards to Consider

Jonathan Simmons - SG/SF, CHI vs ORL (DK - $5,000, FD - $5,200)

Outside of point guard, small forward is the best spot to grab some value plays tonight - be it cash guys with high minutes and high floors or tournament slashers - there's something for everyone. At the top of the position you have your household name elites like Giannis Antetokoumpo, LeBron James and Paul George, but after that it's a huge dropoff. The Greek Freak and LeBron are worth your consideration, but overall this is a position where you should find value plays. My favorite at the moment is Simmons, who carries the offense of this second unit on a good Orlando team that just might blowout the Bulls - which would only work in the favor for those of us who throw him on our rosters. Simmons has been consistenly playing 27+ minutes and has failed to put up double digit shot attempts just twice this season (7, 8). Outside of the offensive responsibility of the second unit, Simmons does a good job of filling up peripheral stats, which help to create a pretty solid floor. He's a good cash game play and he's worth a spot in tournaments if you think this game gets out of hand.

Also Consider: Taurean Prince - SG/SF, HOU vs ATL (DK - $5,700, FD - $5,900) - Cash 

Kristaps Porzingis - PF/C, PHX vs NYK (DK - $8,800, FD - $9,400)

The price is really starting to creep up there, but this isn't the time to get off the train. This game context screams extra possessions, absent defense and easy looks for the unicorn from Latvia. He's been on fire of late and we'll we might see slight regression with his shooting efficiency, we have to keep in mind he is an elite shooter and there aren't a lot of people that can slow him down in the halfcourt offense. Kristaps should play 32+ minutes tonight with a Usage rating close, if not above, his season mark of 32.

Also Consider: Jayson Tatum - PF, BOS @ OKC (DK - $6,000, FD - $5,500)

 

DFS Centers to Consider

Clint Capela - C, HOU @ ATL (DK - $6,900, FD - $7,700)

Like Porzingis, Capela is a guy who's price is climbing for obvious reasons - the production has been great. Also similarly, I want to go back to the Capela well before it gets out of hand because I have a feeling it will be a while before the price starts heading in the other direction. This team matchup has good game context, but the individual matchup for Capela is outstanding. The Hawks are extremely soft on the interior and happen to be dead last in rebound rate at just 45%. Capela should have an easy route to double digit boards (12 in three straight) while also having ample opportunities for easy baskets in pick and roll situations, oops and putbacks. If you need to spend down in cash that's understandable, but be sure to have shares in tournaments, especially if you're getting exposure to this pretty attractive game. And if you fade this game's backcourt, he's a fine one-off due to the rebounding opportunity.

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Starting on Saturday
Corbin Carroll

Activated from 10-Day Injured List
Cincinnati Bengals

Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Houston Rockets

Jock Landale Waived by Rockets
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Jabari Walker

Signs Two-Way Deal With Sixers
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Byron Young

Still Improving?
Cody Simon

Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
SirVocea Dennis

has Impressive Offseason
Trevor Penning

Could Still Have a Role in New Orleans
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors Decline Recent Offer for Jonathan Kuminga
Orlando Magic

Moritz Wagner, Magic Agree to One-Year Deal
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
José Soriano

Jose Soriano Throws Gem Against Braves
Robbie Ray

Earns Ninth Win in Complete Game
T.J. Watt

Likely to Reset the Edge-Rush Market
George Springer

Blasts Two Homers, Drives in Four
James Wood

Goes Yard in Five-Hit Night
Bradley Beal

Suns Discussing Potential Buyout
Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Max Muncy

Out at Least Six Weeks
Clarke Schmidt

Leaves Start with Forearm Tightness
Colson Montgomery

Promoted to the Major Leagues
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
Max Muncy

Goes on Injured List With Knee Bruise
Max Muncy

Out of Thursday's Lineup
James Wood

Joining Home Run Derby
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
Max Scherzer

Cleared to Start on Saturday
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Kodai Senga

Could be "in Play" to Return Before All-Star Break
Ha-Seong Kim

Rays Reinstate Ha-Seong Kim From Injured List
Christian Moore

Placed on Injured List With Thumb Sprain
Luis L. Ortiz

the Subject of Gambling Investigation
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
Divine Deablo

Could be the Quarterback of the Defense
Isaiah Rodgers

a Likely Starter for the Vikings
Jacob Monk

Sees Plenty of Work With Starters
Avonte Maddox

has Impressed Dan Campbell
Boston Celtics

Josh Minott Inks Deal With Celtics
Chicago Bears

Ruben Hyppolite Shows Notable Improvement
Sandro Mamukelashvili

Heading to Toronto
Daron Payne

Commanders Coaches Impressed With Daron Payne
Danny Gray

Makes Impression During Offseason Workouts
Jared McCain

Not on 76ers Summer League Roster
Dane Belton

Should Have a Role in 2025
Dylan Harper

Unavailable for California Classic
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Cleveland Cavaliers

Larry Nance Jr. Headed Back to Cavaliers
Eric Gordon

Remaining with 76ers
Los Angeles Lakers

Deandre Ayton Joining Lakers
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
NJ

Evgenii Dadonov Joins Devils on One-Year Deal
BUF

Sabres Snap Up Alex Lyon on Two-Year Contract
Dallas Mavericks

Dante Exum Returning to Dallas
Ryan McLeod

Inks Four-Year Extension with Sabres
NAS

Predators Bring in Nick Perbix on Two-Year Deal
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Has Surgery to Repair a Turf Toe Injury
LA

Cody Ceci Moves to Los Angeles
Charlotte Hornets

Spencer Dinwiddie Lands With Charlotte
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
Jackson Suber

Staying Below 70 is Key to Success for Jackson Suber
Kevin Roy

Playing Better Heading into John Deere Classic
Justin Lower

Hoping for Something Positive in Illinois
Ben Kohles

a Long Shot at John Deere Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
Harry Higgs

Has Potential at John Deere Classic
Nick Dunlap

Keeps Plugging Through Tough 2025 Season
Milwaukee Bucks

Taurean Prince Staying in Milwaukee
Kevin Yu

a Near Must-Play at TPC Deere Run
PGA

J.T. Poston Returns to John Deere Classic Looking for Another High Finish
Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Daniel Suarez

and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
RANKINGS
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RANKINGS

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