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Best Sunday Night Football Bets, Props and Expert Picks - Week 1 SNF Analysis (2025)

Keon Coleman - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Expert Sunday Night Football betting predictions, best SNF prop bets, and odds analysis for Week 1. Free Sunday Night Football picks and player props for tonight's game.

The FULL week one slate is finally upon us, and I hope everyone takes thorough enjoyment in planting an 11-hour-long butt-print on their couch to take in all the action. Once the main slate is out of the way, we have the game of the week on Sunday night, pitting two Super Bowl favorites in the Ravens and Bills against one another.

It will be intriguing to see the chess match between the two coaches and how each will put their superstars to the test in this first week of action. It could also go a long way in determining which of these teams may look better come playoff time.

Be sure to check out all our analysts' top bets, which are up on the site and will continue to be posted in the RotoBaller Discord channel for our premium subscribers. Read on to find out my best Sunday Night Football bets between the Ravens and Bills, and good luck with your wagers!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Week 1 Sunday Night Football Betting Odds

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

Moneyline: Ravens -125 / Bills +105
Spread: Ravens -1.5 (-110) / Bills +1.5 (-110)
Total: Over 50.5 (-112) / Under 50.5 (-108)

Last season, the Ravens ran over the Bills in Week 4 with a 35-10 win at home. However, it was Buffalo who had the last laugh in the AFC Playoffs, squeaking by the Ravens 27-25 in the Divisional Round. The Bills have now won three of the last four matchups going back to 2021.

 

Sunday Night Football Betting Picks

Below, you will find one game pick and three props for the Ravens at the Bills. Odds are all from DraftKings Sportsbook as of September 6th at 7:00 pm ET.

Under 50.5 Points (-108)

This game has the highest O/U on the slate, and is the only one to eclipse 50 points. It's easy to gravitate to such a total and think the strength of these teams will surpass it, but I have my doubts. The engines that make these two teams go are their respective QBs, and the opposing coaches have the secret sauce for stopping each one.

Lamar Jackson eviscerated the Bills in their regular-season meeting, but Sean McDermott was able to neutralize him in the playoffs with a much more aggressive defensive scheme. The fact that McDermott has been able to hold Jackson to 46.5 rushing yards per game in six career meetings also bodes well for a bit less scoring here.

On the flip side, Josh Allen was completely smothered by the Ravens' defense in both contests a year ago. Allen only averaged a paltry 5.9 YPA in the two games and was also held to a combined 41 rushing yards. Were it not for the two rushing TDs Allen had in the playoffs, his box score would have been absolutely horrid.

There are other ways these teams can beat their opponents and put up points (hello, Derrick Henry), but opposing RB James Cook has barely practiced; each team also featured an above-average passing defense last year. Add it all together, and I can easily see this game going under the 50-point mark.

 

Sunday Night Football Player Props

James Cook UNDER 55.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

I don't have any doubt that James Cook will get back to his previous role in the Bills' offense and be a major contributor to them as they push (again) to win a Super Bowl in this shrinking window of theirs. That said, I'm fully out on him in this opening night game against the Ravens.

Cook will be running into an absolute buzzsaw of a front seven, as he'll be facing a squad that held opposing RBs to 3.5 YPC (first in the league) and 80.9 rushing yards per game (first in the league by a mile). In addition, they stifled Cook himself in 2024, holding him to 26/106/0 in two meetings.

Another factor working against Cook is his long hold-in. While there's no tangible data to support this, we've seen some major players struggle out of the gate when they don't report until mid-August, like Cook. I can see him being heavily limited in this game, especially with the way Ty Johnson succeeded against Baltimore in the playoffs last year (6.2 YPC).

Mark Andrews OVER 46.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

At first glance, Mark Andrews' receiving line looks high based on the fact that he experienced career lows in both target share (14.5%) and air yards share (17.8%), prompting some fantasy owners to DROP him after the first few weeks. While those concerns have to exist again this year, Week 1 is the prime time to play him.

Fellow TE Isaiah Likely is out, which is HIGHLY relevant to Andrews' success. In games without Likely, Andrews' target share has ballooned all the way up to 21.4%, and he's on the field over 90% of the time in that scenario. Patrick Ricard is also out, which could enhance Andrews' snap count even more.

The Bills allowed the 10th-most receptions a year ago, and unashamedly ran zone coverage against the Ravens in their first meeting in the regular season. Andrews is set up to succeed in this one, and I'm taking the over on his receiving yards. I like his prop of over 3.5 receptions as well, but it's not the best odds on DK at -177.

Keon Coleman ANYTIME TD SCORER (+205)

Let's close out this article with a fun one. First off, I also LOVE taking the over on Keon Coleman's receiving yards prop at 37.5 (-109), but banking on him to score as well adds a little spice to the meal. The Bills' second-year man was one of everyone's favorite sleepers in drafts, and I think he delivers right away in this one.

Last season, Coleman missed four games and was often used as a rotational player. Despite that, he STILL led the Bills in both red-zone and end-zone targets. He also led the team in both air yards share (27.9%) and aDOT (15.3), so anything higher than his 68% route share last year should really push his odds to succeed.

The Ravens are a good defense, but can be susceptible on the perimeter. This is a solid spot to go all-in on the sophomore leap. Maybe I'll even put a buck or two on Coleman to be the first scorer (+1300).

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