Super Bowl LX Betting Picks and Players Props for Novig

February 7, 2026

Thunder Dan Palyo offers his top NFL sports predictions for Novig markets in Super Bowl LX. Use his recommended picks to win real money on Novig.

The Super Bowl has long been the event that draws the most betting interest of all other sporting spectacles. Even if your team didn't make it to the final game, every NFL fan (and plenty of non-fans) will be tuning into the big game tomorrow for one reason or another. If you're going to watch the game, then why not have some action on the game while you're at it?

I want to take this opportunity to introduce NFL bettors to one of the most unique and fastest-growing sports prediction sites -- Novig. If you're not familiar with the site, I'll explain how it works and provide some of my favorite wagers to place on Novig. As always, make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your fantasy football and betting needs.

All odds listed are at Novig and can change fairly quickly as users make their predictions, so don't hesitate to grab the best odds when you see them! Now, here are some of my favorite NFL bets and player props for the Super Bowl on Sunday, February 8.

What is Novig?

Novig is one of the fastest-growing peer-to-peer sports prediction markets. On Novig, users trade directly with each other without the "vig" that is associated with a typical sportsbook. The vig represents the money that sportsbooks charge you to use their service. It's a hidden cost that can be found in the odds that are being offered on each side of a specific bet. When a book offers -110 odds on both sides of a bet, they're keeping close to 10% of every bettor's wager, regardless of whether you win or lose.

On Novig, users trade with each other on the outcomes of sporting events, similarly to the way that investors trade on the stock market. But instead of having to beat the books, you just have to win against other users -- there's no commission kept by the site.

Users can bet on most traditional sports markets, including moneyline bets, spreads, totals, player props, parlays, and futures!

Novig operates with two virtual currencies. Novig coins can be wagered for fun and to test out strategies, while Novig cash can be wagered on all markets and then redeemed for real cash prizes.

Access to Novig is widespread; it's now accessible in 36 U.S. states.

How Does Novig Work?

Since users are not playing against the books, there is an opportunity to make more money per wager that you win, and users can usually find better values on bets (in terms of the prices being offered) than on traditional sportsbooks.

There are no oddsmakers; users dictate their own odds. You can either accept the odds that the market is offering or set your own odds.

If you set your own odds, another user has to accept them on the other side for the bet to be activated. Users drive the market, not the sportsbook or oddsmakers!

NFL Picks Against the Spread

Seattle Seahawks -4.5 (-103)

Compare to DraftKings (-115) and FanDuel (-112)

The absolute best values on Novig are consistently the spreads and totals. Since Novig is not charging a "vig" to bettors on both sides, you can get a lot more bang for your buck. Let's just say you want to bet $100 on the Seahawks to cover. You'll make $97 profit if they do on Novig, compared to just $89 on FanDuel and $87 on DraftKings. That's a pretty big difference if you ask me.

Now, why you should side with the Seahawks, you ask? I love the underdog as much as the next guy, but I think New England is overmatched here on both sides of the ball, and in the special teams game, too.

Seattle is a battle-tested club that won the toughest division in football and then had to beat two of their toughest divisional foes AGAIN in the postseason to get here. The Rams may have been the best team in the NFL this year, and Seattle beat them twice. Meanwhile, the Patriots played the easiest regular schedule of any Super Bowl team, perhaps in history, and then had the good fortune to avoid the Buffalo Bills and Jacksonville Jaguars (who I think were both better teams in the AFC) in the playoffs.

The Patriots needed a snowstorm and a missed field goal in the AFC Championship to get by the Broncos, who were starting a backup QB who had not started a game in two years. I am really not here to hate on New England and the great season they had, but they are in over their head here against Seattle, which boasts the number one defense in the NFL and has the offensive player of the year (JSN) on the other side of the ball.

Both teams are very well-coached, but Seattle has a veteran quarterback, Sam Darnold, at the helm, and New England has second-year signal-caller Drake Maye. Maye is the better athlete and could end up having the better career, but Darnold played some of his best football in big games for Seattle this season and won't be easily shaken.

I am a bit surprised we never saw this line move to 5 or 5.5 points, since it opened at 3.5 and that lasted all of a few hours. However, I am still just as confident now in the Seattle side as I was when the NFC Championship game ended. I'll toss out a final score just for fun; I have the Seahawks winning 23 to 13.

NFL Passing Prop Bets

Drake Maye OVER 30.5 Pass Attempts (+106)

I love the odds we are getting here on Maye's attempts. He has not exceeded 31 pass attempts in five straight games, so we are looking to buck the trend here.

There's a very good explanation for his lack of passing attempts in those games. If we go back to Week 17, he was so good against the worst passing defense in the league (and a historically bad Jets defense) that he was yanked from that game after one drive in the third quarter. In Week 18, the Pats ran all over Miami and got up big early again, allowing Maye to simply hand it off and nurse a big lead.

We saw him throw it 29 times against the Chargers, but didn't need to throw much in the fourth quarter as the Pats went two scores ahead and sat on the ball. Similar game scripts played out against Houston and Denver, where the Patriots were content to run the football with the lead, especially in that weird, fluky snowstorm in the AFC championship.

But in close games this season, Maye has had to air it out. He threw it 46 times in their week 1 loss to the Raiders, 37 times in Week 3 in a comeback win over the Steelers, 31 times in Week 9 in what was a shootout with the Bucs, 35 times against the Bengals in a tight one, and then 44 times against the Ravens in another high-scoring affair.

Seattle boasts the top run defense in the league, so the Pats will have to pass. And the likelihood of them having a favorable game script where they can afford not to throw it seems low. My prediction is that they end up playing from behind for once and are forced to throw it more than Mike Vrabel wants to. But Drake Maye is their best player, and their best chance at winning this game is if he finds success in the passing game.

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You can claim your welcome offer to Novig right now by clicking on the image below.

Rushing Prop Bets

Rhamondre Stevenson UNDER 49.5 Rushing Yards (-116)

Let it be known on this day, Saturday, February 7, that Dan Palyo recommended an under! Ha! Yes, as much as I love overs (who doesn't), sometimes the best play is the under!

Again, I am looking to buck a trend here as Rhambo has gone over this number in four straight games. But I anticipate a very different game script for the Pats in this game compared to their last six games.

I do think that Stevenson handles most of the carries for New England, but I think he will find yards hard to come by against this elite Seattle run defense. The Seahawks limited Kyren Williams to just 35 yards in the NFC Championship and held Christian McCaffrey to 35 and 23 yards rushing in the Divisional Round and Week 18 of the regular season.

NFL Receiving Prop Bets

Hunter Henry OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards (-116)

This is a Hunter Henry game; I am pretty confident he will have a big role in the New England offense. He wasn't used much the last two weeks simply because they didn't need him, but as I have mentioned a few times, I think Drake Maye will have to sling it quite a bit - and I think he'll lean on his big target over the middle quite often.

Hunter Henry vs. the Mike Macdonald Seahawks in 2024 with Jacoby Brissett at QB:

8 catches for 109 yards

The Seahawks have given up the 6th-most yards to TEs this season. pic.twitter.com/D6qvqNGAnz

— Yahoo Fantasy Sports (@YahooFantasy) February 4, 2026

Henry has gone over his receiving total in 11 of 20 games (55% hit rate), while Seattle has allowed opposing tight ends to go over this number in 11/19 games (58% hit rate) this season. Seattle has allowed quite a bit of production to opposing tight ends, which makes sense considering they run a ton of two-high safeties and play mainly zone coverage.

If Maye is willing to check it down and be patient, Henry should be able to pile up yards and catches against Seattle, a defense that dares teams to try to dink and dunk their way down the field.

George Holani OVER 10.5 Receiving Yards (-109)

Full disclosure, I am on Kenneth Walker's receiving yards, too (over 21.5 yards, -120), just like a lot of other analysts. But I think the odds on Holani's receiving yards are quite appealing, especially on such a low number.

Holani played some meaningful snaps for the Seahawks in the AFC Championship, handling three carries and then catching three of his four targets for 27 yards. He'll surely work in on some third downs and passing situations to spell Walker, and he can likely beat this number with a catch or two.

Anytime Touchdown Bets

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime Touchdown (-108)

Betting on a receiver for a TD with negative odds is a faux pas, but I think JSN is a bit of an exception to that rule.

THANK YOU, JSN!

📺 FOX pic.twitter.com/oCb4bg8YMb

— xz* - Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) October 29, 2023

He leads the team with a 30% red zone target share and is easily the team's most dangerous player. We have seen Klint Kubiak get incredibly creative with ways to scheme him the ball, whether it's lining him up in the backfield, throwing him quick screens, or letting Darnold air it out deep on play-action passes.

JSN is a big-time player, and I feel pretty good about him finding the end zone in this game, one way or another.

Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown (+295)

Seattle has allowed the fewest rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs, but ranks 13th in rushing touchdowns allowed to quarterbacks.

Now consider that Maye ran for four TDs in the regular season and another one in the AFC Championship. He has a 23% red zone rushing share, so he's had his fair share of carries this year inside the 20. Look for the Patriots to get creative with Maye's rushing ability down inside the 10-yard line as one way to counter this elite Seahawks run defense.

Good luck, everyone, and enjoy the Super Bowl!