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Week 8 Rankings Analysis: Nick Mariano vs. Industry Consensus

Week 7 makes for another solid week in the books. While Matt Ryan wasn’t really part of Atlanta’s festivities, the process was sound as Atlanta still scored 30+ points. Andy Dalton held his own even with Jeremy Hill stealing the spotlight, and we were right to be bearish on Russell Wilson, Jordan Howard and Brandon Marshall.

Now it’s time to review my rankings for Week 8 and look at how they stack up against the Expert Consensus, commenting on any standouts or points of contention. Assume standard rankings when I say that a player is x spots ahead or below consensus.

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Week 8 Quarterbacks - Rankings Analysis

I know that Dak Prescott has played well enough to fend off the looming Tony Romo fever, but this is not a good spot for him. While he does have a home matchup going for him, the defense opposing him will be the best pass defense according to FootballOutsiders’ DVOA metric – the Philadelphia Eagles. I see this being a rather gritty game, and even with Dez Bryant back I doubt Prescott is called on to do all that much. As a result, I’ve got him at #19 versus a #14 consensus.

I realize I just said I see this as a gritty game, but Carson Wentz is getting bumped up several slots to #18 (#22 consensus) right above Prescott. He’s still definitely not a QB1, but I see him as a fair mid-range QB2 instead of a guy that those in two-QB leagues should consider benching. While Dallas’ defense ranks 8th in run DVOA, they check in at 22nd against the pass thanks to exceptional vulnerabilities against the tight end and pass-catching running backs. Hopefully Philly recognizes this, and springs Zach Ertz and Darren Sproles loose.

 

Week 8 Running Backs - Rankings Analysis

Jordan Howard and Matt Jones are both trending downwards, yet they need to be pushed even further (down five spots each). Howard has nothing going for him in Week 8. Not only is Ka’Deem Carey looking better out of the backfield, but Howard has turned his 12 red-zone rushing attempts this season into only 15 yards and one TD, and now he gets to face a Minnesota defense that has resembled an angry brick wall. Oh, and Jeremy Langford returnd to practice on Tuesday. Chicago's backfield is about to be disgusting, Minnesota matchup aside. Pass.

Meanwhile Matt Jones has been all Jekyll and Hyde lately, with TDs in Weeks 2, 4 and 6 alongside very poor Weeks 1,3,5 and 7. Gambler’s fallacy would have us hammer Jones hard in Week 8 due to this, but the reality is that he’s pretty spotty. He’s fumbled the ball eight times in his first 20 NFL games, including three already this season. This led to Chris Thompson (#25 against #30 consensus) getting the majority of Washington’s RB looks. Relying on either Howard or Jones looks unwise, though I suppose they make for a major DFS tournament pivot.

 

Week 8 Wide Receivers - Rankings Analysis

Kelvin Benjamin is set to get the Patrick Peterson treatment in Week 8 (and will have free safety Tony Jefferson – 86.7 PFF grade – over the top). As a result I’ve slipped him to #22 against a #18 consensus. I do see Carolina needing to keep with Arizona, who should be able to exploit the Panthers terrible secondary, but the probability that it goes through Benjamin is low.

I also have Mohamed Sanu at #39 against a #46 consensus, who should be in line for a bounceback against a Green Bay secondary that is woefully beaten up. While Julio Jones is the consensus #1 WR this week as a result, Sanu should get a few key looks with Tevin Coleman likely sidelined. A couple of other risers are Marquise Goodwin (+9) and Tyreek Hill (+12), as both of them are absolute burners with Goodwin being Buffalo’s healthy #1 WR right now and Tyreek Hill squaring off against a poor Indianapolis secondary.

 

Week 8 Tight Ends - Rankings Analysis

It’s no secret that Oakland’s defense makes for a good TE target, so Cameron Brate gets the bump to #11 from #16 despite a disappointing three targets last week against San Francisco. While he did catch all three of them, we’d like to see a return to Weeks 3 and 4 when he saw 18 combined targets. The Bucs don’t want Winston throwing as much as he had been, but Brate should see more than three targets against an exploitable Raiders defense.

Earlier we alluded to how Philadelphia could take advantage of a Dallas defense that ranks 31st against the TE according to DVOA data, so Zach Ertz checks in at #15 against a #20 consensus. This is a longshot as he’s only caught five balls over the past three weeks, but again we’re banking on HC Doug Pederson and company realizing this is how you can attack Dallas. Vernon Davis also notably gets a modest three-spot lift to #12 for me thanks to a matchup against a Cincinnati defense that checks in at 28th against TEs per DVOA. If Jordan Reed somehow plays, then Davis becomes a non-factor of course.

I’d rather talk more about the skill positions than include kicker or defense, as they are far less interesting to me. Feel free to send me a vitriolic message should you want them back, I’ll listen I swear.

 


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

George Kittle

Suffered Torn Achilles on Sunday
Aaron Holiday

is Moving into Starting Five
Aaron Gordon

is Available on Sunday
Christian Braun

is Downgraded to Out
Jamal Murray

is Unavailable on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
Kristaps Porzingis

Won't Play on Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

is Available to Play on Sunday
Christian Braun

Downgraded to Questionable on Sunday
Tyler Herro

to Suit Up on Sunday
Norman Powell

Ruled Out for Sunday's Game
Victor Wembanyama

Cleared for Sunday
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Cole Perfetti

Contributes Two Assists in Sunday's Win
Carl Grundstrom

Misses Sunday's Practice
Jrue Holiday

Cleared to Suit Up Versus New York
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Josh Hart

Returning on Sunday Night
Travis Konecny

Hurt at Sunday's Practice
Thatcher Demko

Lands on Injured Reserve
Colin Miller

Injured Versus Devils
Bryan Rust

Remains Out Sunday
Morgan Geekie

Won't Play Sunday
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Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
Mark Stone

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Nikita Kucherov

Has Four-Point Outing Saturday
David Pastrnak

Records Six Assists in Big Win
Stefan Noesen

to Have Knee Surgery
Carter Hart

Out Week-to-Week
Thatcher Demko

Exits With Injury Saturday
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Philip Broberg

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Chet Holmgren

Available Sunday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Suspended for Three Games for Attempting to Strike Another Player
Kristaps Porzingis

May Return Sunday
Zaccharie Risacher

to Miss Second Consecutive Game Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

Considered Probable for Sunday
Aaron Gordon

Likely to Play Sunday
Christian Braun

Considered Probable for Sunday
Spencer Jones

May Miss Another Game Sunday
Jamal Murray

Iffy for Sunday's Action
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Chandler Stephenson

Jaden Schwartz Replaces Chandler Stephenson in Kraken Lineup
Brandon Saad

Won't Play This Weekend
Shea Theodore

Returns to Golden Knights Lineup Saturday
Jaccob Slavin

Returns Against Kraken
Travis Konecny

Ruled Out Saturday
Brad Marchand

Misses Saturday's Game
Corey Perry

Available Saturday
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
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Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
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NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
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DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
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Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Rome Odunze

Plans to Play on Saturday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
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Giants "All-In" on Hiring John Harbaugh
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Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
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Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
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Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri

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