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Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top 101 Baller Ranks

shane bieber fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Howdy, RotoBallers, and allow me to welcome you to the thick of June! We've got burgers on the grill, cornhole in the yard, and yet another updated edition of my top-101 starting pitcher rankings that look at rest-of-season values. As always, I've got you covered with ranks, tiers, trends, and notes with the top-101 in a table with other fun things like earned value via Fangraphs. It's time for another edition of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW% from the last 30 days. Do note that the bottom of the top-101 table has the injured arms and where they'd slot in when healthy, plus some brief updates on where they're at recovery-wise. I highly encourage you to click the sheet.

As is tradition, these fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings are geared toward traditional 5x5 leagues. Without further ado, here's my top-101 SP for the rest of 2022!

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including Best MLB Series, NFL Series, NBA Writer, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

-Lance Lynn, Clayton Kershaw, and Tylor Megill are all welcomed back from the infirmary ward with some rusty returns, but we’re just happy to see them. Lynn at least didn’t issue any walks, opting instead to be done in by batted balls with a horrid .529 BABIP on the day. Kershaw got roughed up a bit in the second inning but looked like himself for the most part. And Megill pushed out to 64 pitches looking no worse for wear, so I’m going to call all of these a win.

I’d plopped Shane Baz back onto the table for his return last Saturday but he’s right there in that conversation. It’s never recommended to deploy an arm in their first start back from the IL and Baz allowing five runs over 2 ⅓ IP underscores why! After looking alright through two frames, he loaded up the bases for a Luis Arraez grand slam in the third and would exit after 48 pitches. He’s in wait-and-see mode for Friday’s outing at Baltimore but the future is bright and any buy-low opportunities should be taken advantage of.

-Kevin Gausman has lost four of his last six and while he’s still rocking a stellar 77/10 K/BB on the year (70 ⅔ IP), the 12/5 ratio over his last three starts (14 ⅔ IP) is far less impressive. He’s yet to surrender more than three earned runs in any outing so you aren’t getting scorched, but you can’t have a three-start stretch like that alongside a 2-4 record in his last six starts and keep your slot near the top of the table.

-Shane Bieber continues to make me feel silly for my early doubts regarding his reduced velocity, but he’s also enjoyed a swell run of matchups. He’s faced Texas, Baltimore (at Camden), Detroit x2, Minnesota, Oakland, Colorado, and Toronto over his last eight games. And you’ll recall Toronto gave him that seven-run thrashing back in early May. That’s not exactly a Murderer’s Row, but props to him for delivering all the same! I give solid credit for turning in a quality start at Coors Field on Tuesday as well.

-Zac Gallen was phenomenal through his first seven starts, allowing only five earned runs in that window (39 ⅓ IP) with a 39/8 K/BB ratio. Unfortunately, he then got walloped by KC on May 24 for six earned and has now given up 14 ER with a 16/8 K/BB mark in his last four trips to the hill. Let’s hope he can regain his command and feel more confident on the bump soon.

-Eric Lauer is another arm that’s fading as the heat rises, only exceeding five innings twice in his last six turns. He’d shown tremendous growth in the control department early on, walking one or fewer in five of his first seven starts of 2022. As you know by now, seeing that the K/BB ratio slide is very bad and now Lauer has walked multiple batters in each of his last four starts. The early 54/8 K/BB rate has given way to a 13/13 split in his last four games and that yields warning bells.

-Robbie Ray gives us a positive blurb in 2022 as he’s dusted off a sinker that gave us seven shutout innings against a good Red Sox lineup on June 12. The southpaw threw it nearly half of the time per Savant and perhaps this could stabilize his arsenal enough to limit the insane bad innings that have devastated him thus far. In case you’ve missed it, Ray’s worst inning from each game has been responsible for roughly 75% of all earned runs against him. So any pitch he can dip into the stop the bleeding and induce some DP-friendly grounders is welcome.

-Hunter Greene pulled out of his spiral and now has a sexy 3.57 SIERA underneath the 5.10 ERA and 5.16 FIP. That 30.3% strikeout rate is electrifying, even in today’s strikeout-happy era, but it’s his only walking two batters in his last three starts with an emphasis on the slider that has us truly happy. His triple-digit fastball remains a threat but is no longer the backbone of his approach, as MLB hitters can adjust and line up their barrel. Take when Aroldis Chapman has command of his fastball-slider combo in the ninth and make that into a starter. If Greene can develop a third pitch then we’d be seeing a frontline ace emerge, but this will do for now.

-Trevor Rogers is in droppable territory for 10-teamers and some 12’s. Taking on the Phillies at Citizens Bank was going to be tough, but allowing four earned with SIX walks in just 3 ⅔ IP is just terrible. He’s now posted a WHIP of 2.50 or higher in three of his last five starts. The implosions remain too frequent to be worth chasing the upside in many formats. The chase rate on his changeup went from 45% in 2021 down to around 30% in ‘22 and hitters have more than doubled the barrel rate from last year against his heater. It’s terrible, avert your eyes. Yusei Kikuchi also destroyed a little confidence I’d regained, and Ranger Suarez couldn’t deliver in a streaming spot against Arizona so they both fall as well.

 

Top-101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

These are rest-of-season fantasy baseball rankings for starting pitchers.

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ PV Trend Notes
0 1 Corbin Burnes 1 $5.0 44.5 44.5 0.0 ▬
0 1 Gerrit Cole 2 $4.0 43.5 43.5 0.0 ▬
1 2 Shane McClanahan 3 $8.7 41.0 37.0 4.0 ▲ Does he have durability to sustain thru RoS?
-1 2 Joe Musgrove 4 $6.8 41.0 41.0 0.0 ▬
1 2 Sandy Alcantara 5 $16.1 37.0 34.0 3.0 ▲ 7+ IP in last 7 starts w/ only 5 ER! Helps milder Ks
1 2 Zack Wheeler 6 $13.4 37.0 34.0 3.0 ▲ 1.09 FIP over last month, elite Ks plus 53% GB rate
1 2 Justin Verlander 7 $5.7 34.0 32.0 2.0 ▲
-3 3 Kevin Gausman 8 $4.5 33.5 36.0 -2.5 ▼ Lesser command, BB creeping up, .361 BABIP last 30
0 3 Alek Manoah 9 $9.5 32.0 31.0 1.0 ▲
0 3 Max Fried 10 $5.7 30.0 30.0 0.0 ▬
1 3 Carlos Rodon 11 $2.1 29.5 28.5 1.0 ▲ Rebounded against Dodgers of all teams, nice
3 3 Aaron Nola 12 $10.0 27.0 25.0 2.0 ▲
5 3 Shane Bieber 13 $10.5 25.0 22.5 2.5 ▲ 28.3% K-BB rate in last 30 as early worries vanish
5 3 Frankie Montas 14 $8.4 23.0 21.0 2.0 ▲
-1 3 Shohei Ohtani 15 $0.7 23.0 25.0 -2.0 ▼
N/A 3 Lance Lynn 16 $0.3 22.5 N/A N/A .529 BABIP in return, sheesh; no walks is good
-4 3 Lucas Giolito 17 $0.3 22.5 28.5 -6.0 ▼ 5 HR in last 3 starts, ~.400 BABIP in last 30
-2 3 Dylan Cease 18 $2.7 22.5 24.5 -2.0 ▼ Losing control, 22/16 K/BB over 4 starts before 6/14
-2 3 Pablo Lopez 19 $0.1 22.0 23.5 -1.5 ▼
0 4 Nestor Cortes 20 $5.7 20.0 20.0 0.0 ▬ Bad luck on off night; only 3 BB in last 5 games
N/A 4 Clayton Kershaw 21 -$0.3 20.0 N/A N/A Back in action, CLE at home next
0 4 Logan Webb 22 $3.8 20.0 20.0 0.0 ▬
0 4 Julio Urias 23 $3.1 19.0 20.0 -1.0 ▼
5 4 Luis Severino 24 $5.5 19.0 15.5 3.5 ▲ Will IP be managed down stretch? B2B 10 K gems
-1 4 Logan Gilbert 25 $6.1 18.0 18.0 0.0 ▬
0 4 Yu Darvish 26 $7.4 17.5 17.5 0.0 ▬ 6+ K in 3 of last 4 after early-May lull
3 4 Kyle Wright 27 $7.0 16.5 14.5 2.0 ▲ Woe to those who jumped ship, QS or W in last 6
-7 4 Chris Bassitt 28 -$2.1 16.5 20.0 -3.5 ▼ 2 implosions over his last 5 starts
2 4 Luis Castillo 29 $7.6 15.0 14.5 0.5 ▲
5 4 Tarik Skubal 30 $9.9 15.0 13.0 2.0 ▲
-6 5 Zac Gallen 31 -$1.3 14.5 17.5 -3.0 ▼
-5 5 Michael Kopech 32 $2.7 14.5 17.0 -2.5 ▼ Fluid drained in knee, may make next start
0 5 Sean Manaea 33 $2.9 14.0 14.0 0.0 ▬
4 5 Framber Valdez 34 $5.9 13.0 12.0 1.0 ▲
4 5 Tony Gonsolin 35 $5.7 13.0 11.0 2.0 ▲
-4 5 Charlie Morton 36 $0.4 13.0 14.0 -1.0 ▼
-3 5 Shane Baz 37 -$1.2 13.0 13.0 0.0 ▬
-1 5 Jose Berrios 38 $4.1 12.5 12.5 0.0 ▬
N/A 5 Sonny Gray 39 $6.9 12.5 N/A N/A Supposed to return late this week
-4 6 Joe Ryan 40 $3.2 12.5 12.5 0.0 ▬
-1 6 Luis Garcia 41 $3.1 11.0 10.5 0.5 ▲
-1 6 Carlos Carrasco 42 $6.9 10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 6 Tylor Megill 43 -$0.2 10.0 N/A N/A Some rust in return, went 64 pitches
0 6 Jordan Montgomery 44 $5.5 10.0 9.0 1.0 ▲
0 6 Cristian Javier 45 $6.2 9.5 9.0 0.5 ▲ 30% K rate in last 30, great threshold to meet
1 6 MacKenzie Gore 46 $6.9 9.0 9.0 0.0 ▬
1 6 Robbie Ray 47 -$0.5 9.0 8.5 0.5 ▲ Throwing sinker more now, led to QS v. BOS
2 6 Aaron Ashby 48 $5.4 9.0 8.0 1.0 ▲ 1.73 xFIP lowest of all P in last 30 days
-3 6 George Kirby 49 $0.3 8.5 9.0 -0.5 ▼
2 7 Tyler Mahle 50 $3.7 8.5 7.5 1.0 ▲ Masterful Tuesday, though it was versus ARI
-8 7 Eric Lauer 51 -$0.5 7.5 9.0 -1.5 ▼ Ks down, BBs up, panic up
-1 7 Patrick Sandoval 52 $4.5 7.5 7.5 0.0 ▬
1 7 Adam Wainwright 53 $4.0 7.0 7.0 0.0 ▬
1 7 Triston McKenzie 54 -$2.3 6.5 6.5 0.0 ▬
2 7 Roansy Contreras 55 $4.4 6.0 5.5 0.5 ▲ Impressed as he keeps attacking zone
5 7 Jameson Taillon 56 $7.6 6.0 5.0 1.0 ▲
7 7 Nick Pivetta 57 $7.0 6.0 4.5 1.5 ▲ Even in loss, still gave us 11 Ks. Sharp run
7 8 Tyler Anderson 58 $7.8 5.5 4.5 1.0 ▲
0 8 Blake Snell 59 $4.2 4.5 5.0 -0.5 ▼
12 9 Spencer Strider 60 $5.5 4.5 3.0 1.5 ▲ Control off at Coors, fine, then blanked PIT
-1 8 Noah Syndergaard 61 $1.3 4.5 5.0 -0.5 ▼
0 8 Drew Rasmussen 62 -$0.6 4.5 5.0 -0.5 ▼
0 8 Martin Perez 63 $8.1 4.5 4.5 0.0 ▬ A bad turn was inevitable but not a dealbreaker
3 8 Paul Blackburn 64 $2.3 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
1 8 Alex Wood 65 $7.3 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
2 8 Michael Lorenzen 66 $5.3 3.5 3.5 0.0 ▬
4 9 Josiah Gray 67 -$0.1 3.5 3.0 0.5 ▲
7 9 Jeffrey Springs 68 $4.2 3.5 3.0 0.5 ▲ Keeps cruising with 3-pitch mix, going 5+ IP for Ws
9 9 Jon Gray 69 $6.1 3.5 2.5 1.0 ▲
9 9 Hunter Greene 70 $6.9 3.5 2.5 1.0 ▲
2 9 Jose Urquidy 71 -$1.1 3.0 3.0 0.0 ▬
8 9 Brady Singer 72 $2.9 3.0 2.5 0.5 ▲
11 9 Edward Cabrera 73 -$0.2 3.0 3.0 0.0 ▬ Disciplined HOU tagged him, gets NYM next
8 10 Zach Eflin 74 $3.6 3.0 2.0 1.0 ▲
-17 7 Trevor Rogers 75 -$2.6 3.0 5.5 -2.5 ▼ 5+ BBs in 2 of last 3, 17/15 K/BB in last 5 starts
9 10 Miles Mikolas 76 $2.4 2.5 1.5 1.0 ▲ 129 pitches in no-hit bid, watch for hangover
0 9 Reid Detmers 77 -$0.9 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
-2 9 Kyle Gibson 78 $5.4 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
7 10 Cal Quantrill 79 $2.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
7 10 Taijuan Walker 80 $7.4 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
10 10 Graham Ashcraft 81 $4.1 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
13 10 Michael Wacha 82 $3.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-13 10 Yusei Kikuchi 83 $1.4 1.5 3.5 -2.0 ▼ Slapped around by BAL B squad, no bueno
5 10 Kyle Hendricks 84 -$2.9 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
5 10 Jose Quintana 85 $4.4 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
6 10 Chris Flexen 86 $1.1 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬ Starting to lean on 2-seamer for more balance
11 10 Alex Faedo 87 $3.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-7 10 Ranger Suarez 88 $3.4 1.0 2.0 -1.0 ▼ Even struggled vs. ARI, zero trust here
-1 10 Ian Anderson 89 $2.9 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼ May be on outside of 5-man when Soroka is ready
N/A 10 Ross Stripling 90 $4.6 1.0 N/A N/A
2 10 Dane Dunning 91 $2.1 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼
N/A 11 Tyler Wells 92 $3.7 1.0 N/A N/A
1 11 JT Brubaker 93 $2.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
3 11 Madison Bumgarner 94 -$0.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 11 Corey Kluber 95 $4.2 1.0 N/A N/A Minuscule walk rate of late driving success
N/A 11 Devin Smeltzer 96 -$0.1 1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 11 Dakota Hudson 97 $5.4 1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 11 Zach Thompson 98 $0.5 1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 11 Johnny Cueto 99 $3.2 1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 11 Zach Davies 100 $0.9 1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 11 Matthew Liberatore 101 -$2.5 1.0 N/A N/A Called up 6/14, 5 scoreless IP for the win
N/A INJ Jacob deGrom 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A Throwing bullpens, hope for ASB return
N/A INJ Max Scherzer 3 N/A N/A N/A N/A May beat ASB return, live hitters soon
N/A INJ Brandon Woodruff 5 N/A N/A N/A N/A Reynaud's finger numbness, hope TOS isn't coming
N/A INJ Walker Buehler 11 N/A N/A N/A N/A Out 6-8 weeks then rehab, droppable territory
N/A INJ Chris Sale 20 N/A N/A N/A N/A Threw live BP on 6/14, may be reliever?
N/A INJ Freddy Peralta 24 N/A N/A N/A N/A Shoulder strain means significant time missed
N/A INJ Jack Flaherty 25 N/A N/A N/A N/A Next rehab start on 6/15, aiming for 75 pitches
N/A INJ Nathan Eovaldi 28 N/A N/A N/A N/A Lower back inflammation
N/A INJ Lance McCullers Jr. 35 N/A N/A N/A N/A Starting to throw curve soon in rehab
N/A INJ Mike Clevinger 42 N/A N/A N/A N/A COVID-19 list
N/A INJ Jesus Luzardo 44 N/A N/A N/A N/A Played catch on 6/13
N/A INJ Alex Cobb 41 N/A N/A N/A N/A Throwing live BP on 6/14
N/A INJ Andrew Heaney 46 N/A N/A N/A N/A May return after 3rd rehab start on 6/14
N/A INJ Mike Soroka 48 N/A N/A N/A N/A Sitting 92-95, may begin rehab starts end of June
N/A INJ Dustin May 50 N/A N/A N/A N/A Hoping for early-to-mid August return
N/A INJ Garrett Whitlock 49 N/A N/A N/A N/A Hip inflammation, BOS rotation hit again
N/A INJ Nick Lodolo 53 N/A N/A N/A N/A Starting rehab assignment 6/13
N/A INJ Bailey Ober 55 N/A N/A N/A N/A Right groin strain,
N/A INJ Stephen Strasburg 56 N/A N/A N/A N/A Back to IL, discomfort during bullpen
N/A INJ Eduardo Rodriguez 60 N/A N/A N/A N/A Restricted list
N/A INJ Sixto Sanchez 65 N/A N/A N/A N/A "Dry mound" work, throwing around 75 mph
N/A INJ James Paxton 66 N/A N/A N/A N/A Bullpen session last weekend, 15 pitches
N/A INJ Marcus Stroman 69 N/A N/A N/A N/A Right shoulder inflammation
N/A INJ Luis Patino 74 N/A N/A N/A N/A Threw 29 pitches in 2nd rehab start 6/12
N/A INJ Adbert Alzolay 75 N/A N/A N/A N/A Resumed light catch, temper expectations
N/A INJ Anthony DeSclafani 76 N/A N/A N/A N/A Returning to rotation this/next week
N/A INJ Hyun Jin Ryu 80 N/A N/A N/A N/A What will surgery be? 2022 likely over
N/A INJ Steven Matz 80 N/A N/A N/A N/A Long tossing after rehab hit a snag
N/A INJ Jakob Junis 83 N/A N/A N/A N/A Hamstring strain, out 4-6 weeks


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RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP