X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Three Shortstops Who Will Outperform Their 2015 ADP: Rankings Analysis

After the tier of elite shortstops, which, as I see it, is essentially just Troy Tulowitzki and Ian Desmond (though I am hesitant to crown Desmond as "elite" just yet), there is quite a bit of parity throughout the league. Of the consensus top five or six shortstops ranked for fantasy purposes, ZiPS projects only two to hit more than 20 home runs, only one to score 80 or more runs, and just three everyday players to hit over .285. On the flip side of that, we have 23 shortstops projected to produce between 10-17 home runs, 33 projected to score between 60-79 runs and 19 to hit somewhere between .260 and .279.

Basically, what I am trying to suggest is that with this great parity, the opportunity to steal value in late rounds and in players less thought of presents itself. Also, don't go wasting an early pick on a shortstop not named Tulowitzki or Desmond. To be honest, I wouldn't use one on Tulo, either. He's been prone to injury and the last time he played more than 140 games was 2011. I understand how valuable he is when healthy and he's certainly still cabable of raking big numbers. That said, should Tulo lose time to injury your team will have a hard time replacing his value.

Let's take a gander at three shortstops who should outperform their average draft positions for the 2015 fantasy season.

 

Three Undervalued Shortstops for Your Drafts

Jhonny Peralta, STL - Current ADP: 199 (15th SS)

Often overlooked and undervalued, Jhonny Peralta has been Mr. Consistency at the shortstop position for quite some time. Dating back to the 2005 season, Peralta has played in more than 140 games and produced double digit home run totals in each of those seasons, with the exception of playing in only 107 games in 2013. He still managed to produce 11 deep flies in '13, despite his shortened season.

All factors considered, Peralta had an above average season in 2014. Among all MLB shortstops, he finished the year first in extra base hits (59), third in total bases (248), and first in isolated power (.180).

The fact that he put together such a great season, especially relative to his numbers the two to three seasons before it, could be what is scaring fantasy owners away. We throw around the term regression quite a bit now, and frankly, Peralta is a good candidate for it. But how much regression is to be expected? And what about areas Peralta under-produced in in 2014?

So, let's say it's unlikely Jhonny produces another 20+ home run season and leads all shortstops in isolated power. That's fine. His batting average and BABIP - which last year was nearly 20 points lower than his career average - should bounce back this season. His strikeout percentage, which ballooned to almost 22% in 2013, was back closer to his career average in 2014, which is a good sign, along with the increased walk percentage. Peralta also has excellent patience at the plate - he's 4th among shortstops, seeing 3.94 pitches per plate appearance - an above average on-base percentage, and a position (albeit late in the order) in an excellent lineup. He should get increased run scoring and RBI producing opportunities in 2015.

 

Xander Bogaerts, BOS - Current ADP: 177 (12th SS)

Young Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts is what you might consider a post-hype sleeper, in that he may be overlooked this season because he didn't quite produce the stellar numbers some analysts had him projected for in 2014. Those owners that may be sleeping on him create quite the opportunity for you and I to steal extra value in the middle-to-late rounds of the draft in a player that has an enormously high ceiling.

It's no secret that Bogaerts's 2014 campaign was not up to par with the lofty projections he was pegged with, but he was league average across the board in almost every category. Oh, he was also just 21 years old for the entirety of the season, which is three years younger than the average MLB rookie.

Boagerts saw incredible success at every minor league level, and those skills he used to produce those gaudy statistics won't disappear overnight. They also point towards a brighter future than the .240/.297/.362 slash line he finished with last year. To struggle against major league pitching in the early going, especially at such a young age, is to be expected.

In 2015, some scouts and analysts (like myself) are betting on the skills he flashed throughout the minors to rear their collective heads again. His .294 BABIP last season is solid by most accounts, but well below his career average, and it could have something to do with the approach he took at the plate last season. His line drive rate was cut down significantly from to just 20%, his plate patience wasn't there (walks dipped but swing rate was roughly league average) and he struggled mightily against right-handed pitching. I'm expecting an improved plate approach and swing that allows him to spray line drives to all fields, providing a lot of value for Bogaerts' fantasy owners.

 

Wilmer Flores, NYM - Current ADP: 422 (38th SS)

In regards to true sleepers, that is, the players I really, really have heard little mention of, none fit the bill more perfectly than the Mets' Wilmer Flores. There are plenty of reasons why a young player may be overlooked or unknown in some fantasy circles, but with Flores' offensive ceiling as high as it is, I'm shocked to see so little mention of him and a draft position that is 38th among MLB shortstops.

Flores definitely has some defensive flaws and issues to correct if he wants to stick at shortstop, but it looks like has just enough to be the man in Queens this season. His offensive upside may even be enough for the Mets to consider keeping him there long term despite his limited range, or it could even kick him over to third base if David Wright were to finish his career elsewhere.

That said, he could have fairly significant fantasy impact this season, especially in regards to power numbers relative to other shortstops. Flores has the potential to be a 20+ home run guy and if he can keep his strikeout rate low (an impressive 11.3% in 274 plate appearances in 2014) we may see him reach that potential before the year's end.

Flores definitely needs to improve on his discipline a little. Scouts are saying he often is over aggressive, which can lead to making outs early. However, they also point to the fact that an above average power tool, coupled with an average hit tool - both grades Flores has received - usually translates to 20-25 home runs a season at the MLB level. The 23 year old has a big frame, covers the plate well and could see a lot of pitches to hit late in this Mets lineup if Cuddyer and Granderson are doing their part to get on base. I may be going out on a bit of a limb here, but it wouldn't totally surprise me if Flores produces top 15 shortstop numbers when the 2015 season is in the books.

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cam Thomas4 hours ago

Won't Return On Monday Night
Jakob Poeltl5 hours ago

Injures Ankle On Monday
LaMelo Ball5 hours ago

Sidelined Again On Tuesday
Zion Williamson5 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report
Corey Kispert5 hours ago

Questionable For Tuesday
Deni Avdija5 hours ago

Might Miss Another Game
Bilal Coulibaly5 hours ago

Out Versus Golden State
Davis Bertans6 hours ago

Questionable Against Bucks
Seth Curry6 hours ago

Expected To Play Tuesday Versus Bucks
Dennis Schroder6 hours ago

Moves Into Starting Five
Isaiah Livers7 hours ago

Ruled Out For Remainder Of Season
Ben Simmons7 hours ago

Upgraded To Available On Monday
New York Giants7 hours ago

Giants Open To Taking Quarterback In The Draft
Austin Ekeler7 hours ago

Chargers Expected To Let Austin Ekeler Explore Free Agency
Derrick Henry7 hours ago

Titans Won't Use Franchise Tag On Derrick Henry
Tony Pollard7 hours ago

Cowboys Not Expected To Use Franchise Tag On Tony Pollard
Saquon Barkley7 hours ago

Giants Unlikely To Franchise Tag Saquon Barkley
Jalen Smith8 hours ago

Available On Monday
Dereck Lively8 hours ago

II Probable Tuesday
Jung Hoo Lee8 hours ago

To Make Cactus League Debut Tuesday
Maxi Kleber8 hours ago

Probable For Tuesday's Action
Josh Green8 hours ago

Considered Probable For Tuesday
Brandon Crawford8 hours ago

Cardinals Sign Brandon Crawford
Dante Exum8 hours ago

Listed As Doubtful For Tuesday
Enrique Hernández8 hours ago

Enrique Hernandez Returns To Dodgers
Luka Doncic9 hours ago

Probable For Tuesday
Bo Naylor9 hours ago

Scratched With Back Spasms
Gary Harris9 hours ago

Available Tuesday
Alek Thomas9 hours ago

Dealing With Wrist Soreness
Jonathan Isaac9 hours ago

Questionable Tuesday
Paolo Banchero9 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Tuesday
Rome Odunze9 hours ago

Will Participate In NFL Combine
Scott Mayfield9 hours ago

Listed As Day-To-Day
Brandon Royval9 hours ago

Gets Back On Track With Decision Win
Justin Faulk9 hours ago

Activated From Long-Term Injured Reserve
Brandon Moreno9 hours ago

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Nick Jensen9 hours ago

Anthony Mantha, Nick Jensen Game-Time Decisions For Capitals Monday
Francisco Prado9 hours ago

Drops A Decision At UFC Mexico City
Malik Nabers9 hours ago

Won't Test At NFL Combine
T.J. Oshie9 hours ago

Listed As Week-To-Week
Tyler Seguin10 hours ago

Listed As Week-To-Week
Josh Jacobs10 hours ago

Unlikely To Be Franchise-Tagged
Daniel Zellhuber10 hours ago

Extends Win Streak To Three
Anthony Duclair10 hours ago

Sharks Not Discussing Contract Extension
Sam Hughes10 hours ago

Takes Decision Loss
Sam Hughes10 hours ago

Yazmin Jauregui Defeats Sam Hughes
Logan Couture10 hours ago

Not Close To Returning
Kyle Busch10 hours ago

Frustrated Despite Finishing Third At Atlanta
Ryan Blaney11 hours ago

After Runner-Up at Atlanta: "That Was So Fun"
Daniel Suarez11 hours ago

Wins At Atlanta In Photo Finish
Manuel Margot11 hours ago

Dodgers Trade Manuel Margot To The Twins
Eury Pérez11 hours ago

Eury Perez Trying New Curveball Grip
Kansas City Chiefs12 hours ago

Andy Reid Expected To Become Highest-Paid Coach
Marvin Harrison Jr.12 hours ago

Chooses To Skip Combine
Jayden Daniels12 hours ago

Plans To Skip Throwing At Combine
Caleb Williams12 hours ago

Not Expected To Throw At Combine
Nico Collins12 hours ago

Open To Extension Talks
Kirk Cousins12 hours ago

Showing Encouraging Progress
Calle Jarnkrok12 hours ago

Aiming For Practice Return Next Week
Matt Murray12 hours ago

Taking Shots In Injury Recovery
Timothy Liljegren13 hours ago

Listed As Day-To-Day
DAL13 hours ago

Stars In The Market For Help On Defense
Valeri Nichushkin13 hours ago

Cleared From Player Assistance Program
Evan Carter13 hours ago

Takes Part In Intrasquad Game
Jordan Montgomery13 hours ago

Red Sox Could Get Something Done With Jordan Montgomery
Joseph Woll13 hours ago

Recalled From Conditioning Stint
Los Angeles Dodgers13 hours ago

Yoshinobo Yamamoto To Make Spring Debut On Wednesday
Yuki Matsui13 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Back Inflammation
Royce Lewis13 hours ago

Extension Unlikely For Royce Lewis Right Now
Hunter Renfroe13 hours ago

Dealing With Lower-Back Tightness
Jasson Domínguez13 hours ago

Jasson Dominguez Takes Swings Off Tee Monday
Carlos Rodón14 hours ago

Carlos Rodon Debuts A New Cutter
Justin Verlander14 hours ago

To Increase Intensity In Next Bullpen
Julio Rodríguez14 hours ago

Julio Rodriguez Has Inflammation In His Hand
Garrett Cooper14 hours ago

Signs With Cubs
Matt McLain14 hours ago

Progressing Well
Evan Carter14 hours ago

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Evan Carter
Mark Scheifele16 hours ago

Records Four Points In Sunday's Win
Patrick Kane17 hours ago

Returns To Chicago With Overtime Game-Winner
Sidney Crosby17 hours ago

Puts In Vintage Performance Versus Flyers
Nikita Kucherov17 hours ago

Surpasses 100-Point Mark With Big Performance
Jamie Drysdale17 hours ago

Exits With Injury On Sunday
Bryan Rust17 hours ago

Evaluated For Upper-Body Injury
Clayton Keller17 hours ago

Injured On Sunday
Kaz Grala18 hours ago

Rises To 14th By End Of Atlanta Race
Austin Cindric18 hours ago

Enjoys Top 5 Result At Atlanta
Ross Chastain1 day ago

Outshone by Teammate, But Still Made Solid Recovery
Harrison Burton1 day ago

Electrifying Ford Speed Carries Harrison Burton to One of His Best Runs
Michael McDowell1 day ago

Finishes Eighth After Strong Atlanta Performance
Ty Gibbs1 day ago

Quietly Recovers From Crash For An Atlanta Top 10 Finish
NASCAR1 day ago

Bubba Wallace Starts 2024 Off With Back-To-Back Top Five Finishes
Todd Gilliland1 day ago

Despite Poor Finish, Todd Gilliland Has Big Day At Atlanta
Shohei Ohtani1 day ago

To Make Spring Debut On Tuesday
Connor Ingram1 day ago

Returns To Action Sunday
Chris Duncan1 day ago

Gets Submitted Quickly At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres1 day ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Yair Rodriguez1 day ago

Gets Finished At UFC Mexico City
Brian Ortega1 day ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Joey Logano1 day ago

Will Have to Serve Penalty at Start of Atlanta Race
Joey Logano2 days ago

the Favorite to Win at Atlanta
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Can Win At Atlanta This Weekend
Chase Elliott2 days ago

a Core DFS Play at Atlanta
William Byron2 days ago

Looking To Win Again
Ross Chastain2 days ago

Has Aggressiveness Needed To Win At Atlanta
Ricky Stenhouse Jr2 days ago

. Looking To Build On Good Atlanta Runs
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace Has Upside at Atlanta Despite Poor Record
Ryan Preece2 days ago

Is A Difficult DFS Recommendation For Atlanta
Brad Keselowski2 days ago

Is A DFS Favorite To Recommend At Atlanta
Marquez Valdes-Scantling3 days ago

A Logical Cap Casualty
A.J. Brown3 days ago

Shuts Down Trade Rumors
Kendrick Bourne3 days ago

Expected To Test The Market
Tee Higgins3 days ago

Bengals Tell Tee Higgins He's Going To Receive Franchise Tag
Demarcus Robinson3 days ago

Rams Re-Sign Demarcus Robinson
Miami Dolphins3 days ago

Dolphins To Release Xavien Howard
Robert Woods3 days ago

A Possible Cut Candidate
Brandon Royval4 days ago

Set For A Rematch
Brandon Moreno4 days ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
Francisco Prado4 days ago

Has A Tough Test In Front Of Him
MMA4 days ago

Daniel Zellhuber Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Yazmin Jauregui4 days ago

Hopes To Get Back In Win Column
Manuel Torres4 days ago

Looking To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Chris Duncan4 days ago

Goes Into Enemy Territory At UFC Mexico City
Ricky Turcios4 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.4 days ago

Set For Fourth UFC Appearance
Brian Ortega4 days ago

Ends Layoff At UFC Mexico City
Yair Rodriguez4 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
PGA5 days ago

Seonghyeon Kim Looks To Continue A Steady Run Of Play
Jhonattan Vegas5 days ago

Showing Signs Of A Return To Form
Justin Suh5 days ago

Taking A Volatile Run Of Form South Of The Border
Jake Knapp5 days ago

Proving To Be A Compelling Korn Ferry Prospect
Brandon Wu5 days ago

Looking To Carry Over His Immaculate Mexico Open History
Alex Smalley6 days ago

Brings Tee-To-Green Struggles To Mexico
Nate Lashley6 days ago

Struggling Outside Of Putting Aberration
Maverick McNealy6 days ago

Trending Upwards Ahead Of Mexico Open
Michael Kim6 days ago

In Good Form Heading To Mexico
Davis Thompson6 days ago

Set For Mexico Open Debut
Cameron Champ6 days ago

Looks To Continue Success In Mexico
Aaron Rai6 days ago

Heads To Mexico In Poor Form
Thomas Detry6 days ago

Looking For Driver To Deliver
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

2024 NFL Scouting Combine Preview: Players To Watch In Indianapolis

As the NFL Scouting Combine looms on the horizon, anticipation reaches a fever pitch among fantasy football enthusiasts. This annual event serves as a crucial battleground where college prospects showcase their athletic prowess, mental acuity, and raw potential in front of scouts, coaches, and general managers from across the league. For fantasy football managers, the... Read More


Breece Hall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Biggest Fantasy Football Running Back Breakouts of 2023

In the high-stakes world of fantasy football, the running back position is the cornerstone of many winning strategies. Whether it's securing crucial yardage, making key receptions (in PPR formats), or finding the end zone, their multifaceted contributions can make or break a fantasy team's fortunes. Yet, what truly sets the running back position apart is... Read More


Drake Maye - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, QB, NFL Draft Sleepers

Coach Knows Ball: Drake Maye 2024 NFL Draft Film Breakdown Of North Carolina QB

Welcome to Coach Knows Ball, an NFL Draft series analyzing the top prospects in the 2024 class. I'm a college football coach with nine years of NCAA experience, and have been scouting NFL Draft prospects for over 15 years. This series will give a deep dive into the film of some of the top players... Read More


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Early 2024 Fantasy Football Breakouts: Running Backs

The 2024 fantasy football season is still months away. Yet, it’s never too early to start preparing for your fantasy drafts. Every year, fantasy players want to pick players who will outperform their average draft position (ADP) and avoid players who will bust. However, finding sleepers and breakout players is critical to winning your fantasy... Read More


Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Injury News

2024 Free Agency Preview: Biggest Positional Needs for the Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs are Super Bowl Champions once again. They have now won back-to-back championships and are committed to becoming the first team to ever three-peat. Travis Kelce and Andy Reid have already said they're returning. There had been murmurs of a potential retirement for both individuals. Star defensive tackle and free agent Chris... Read More


Khalil Shakir - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Early Best Ball Sleepers For 2024 Fantasy Football - Wide Receiver Draft Targets

The 2o23 NFL season and Super Bowl LVIII are in the past, but fantasy football never ends. Early best ball drafts began quickly after last season concluded, and they will take place all the way up to September when the 2024 campaign begins. The sleeper suggestions in this article can also be viewed as trade... Read More


Javonte Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 Free Agency Preview: Biggest Positional Needs for the Denver Broncos

The duo of Russell Wilson and Sean Payton wasn't enough to bring Denver out of mediocrity and because of that, the organization is looking at making a massive move this offseason -- cutting Russell Wilson. His play doesn't justify the contract, that's true, but Wilson wasn't the problem. He played pretty well, all things considered.... Read More


Caleb Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

2024 NFL Mock Draft - Making All 32 Fan Bases Happy

What Appears In This Article? hide 1. First Round 2. Second-Round Predicting the first round of the NFL Draft is a futile exercise. The “best” mock drafts have a hit rate lower than Kyle Schwarber’s batting average, which probably explains why there are so many of them floating about. Here, we won’t be trying to... Read More


Jaxon Smith-Njigba Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buys and Sells - 2023 Rookie Class Edition

As dynasty managers turn their attention to the 2024 NFL Draft, now is the perfect time to look back at the 2023 rookie class. Bijan Robinson was the clear top prospect and the 1.01 in both non-Superflex and one-quarterback leagues. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the top wide receiver in the class, while Anthony Richardson battled Bryce... Read More


Will Levis - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

2024 Free Agency Preview: Biggest Positional Needs for the Tennessee Titans in 2024

It's a new day in Tennessee. We just don't know yet if it's a sunny day, a gloomy day, or a day filled with thunderstorms and a potential tornado. They're making the right decision moving on from Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry. Moving on from Mike Vrabel...that one we cannot answer yet. This trio has... Read More


Michael Pittman Jr -Fantasy-Football-Rankings-Draft-Sleepers-Waiver-Wire-Pickups-icon-rotoballer

2024 Free Agency Preview: Biggest Positional Needs for the Indianapolis Colts in 2024

The Colts were impressive in Shane Steichen's first year as a head coach. While they missed the playoffs, the team finished with a winning record and were in playoff contention through the entire season. Their first-round draft pick, quarterback Anthony Richardson, played just four games, making the team's performance even more of an accomplishment. Given... Read More


2024 NFL Draft Top 10 TE Rankings: Pre-Combine Rookie Tight Ends Analysis

The Super Bowl might be over, but football season never ends at RotoBaller! The countdown is on for 2024 fantasy football drafts with NFL teams and fantasy football fans preparing for the 2024 Combine and upcoming Draft. Matt Donnelly discusses his favorite tight ends in the 2024 NFL Draft class and ranks his top-10 pre-combine... Read More


Michael Penix Jr. - CFB DFS Picks, Daily College Fantasy Football, NFL Draft Rookies

Will Michael Penix Jr. Be A First-Round Pick? 2024 NFL Draft Outlook

Former Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. will be a popular name in the 2024 NFL Draft. After spending his first four college seasons at Indiana (2018-2021), Penix revived his career by transferring to Washington and putting up big numbers. The gun-slinging lefty finished eighth in Heisman Voting in 2022 and then as the runner-up to... Read More