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Welcome to our Sleeper NBA DFS prop picks for Wednesday, November 15. Wednesday’s eight-game slate features five teams playing the second game of a back-to-back. Already RotoBaller’s coveted Prop-timizer is loving the under bets and in the early, early morning you had to flip to the second page just to find the highest rated over. Conveniently, both those over bets centered around Trae Young’s absence, focusing on Dejounte Murray and Jalen Johnson’s peripheral stats. With Young being that current missing piece, it’s easy to assume both Johnson and Murray are going to keep up the exaggerated stat lines for the time being.
Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NBA DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are some of our favorite NBA prop picks for Wednesday’s 8-game slate.
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NBA DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Wednesday, November 15
Max Strus OVER 21.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists
We already know that Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are going to keep the secondary Cavaliers secondary options involved so Max Strus simply has to keep playing his game. Strus remains one of the better wing-threats on this team and until there is a clear regression on his overall stats, he’s nearly covering this line with points alone.
Strus had a hot start to this season, but his cooling-off has led to more consistency rather than fluky outings. As much as the depth chart and stats favor other Cavaliers having big games against a weak team, there’s a better chance the Cavaliers are able to play to their strengths, roll out the offense and game plan they want to utilize, and keep a variety of Cavaliers scoring in double-digits.
Franz Wagner OVER 3.5 Assists
When your offense is actively looking to Anthony Black for support, your team is cooked. While it didn’t last long and Black remains one of the show-stopping guards that creates space as an undersized paint-threat, not being able to hit outside shots as a guard makes you a liability. Franz Wagner continues to shine in wins and losses alike, but his assists numbers are bound to increase the more Orlando realizes it’s either Wagner or Paolo Banchero that has to do the dirty work at point guard.
Last game, Wagner crushed this over and four assists should be a cake walk for him. Unfortunately, it relies on the other Magic players to play well and that’s where problems arise. Since it’s the Bulls and Nikola Vucecic isn’t the strongest paint defender, there’s even a good chance Anthony Black will have a productive game exposing the defense from the inside-out, so look for another well-rounded game from Wagner. The rebounds+assists prop is sitting at 8.5 if you aren’t sold on assists.
Julius Randle OVER 13.5 Rebounds+Assists
Betting on Julius Randle is always a trip. You know he’s going to get stats in each and every game, but what player he is going to be is always a toss-up. Will is be pass-first Randle? Will it be every-board-is-my-board Randle? Will it be post-up and shoot or post-up and pass?
No matter what Randle does in terms of efficiency and offense, he’s going to get rebounds against this Hawks team and he is going to have minimal resistance in the post. Clint Capela or Onyeka Okongwu will be busy with Mitchell Robinson, leaving Randle deal with rookie Jalen Johnson or bench-option Saddiq Bey. Both are undersized, leaving more than enough potential for this frontcourt.
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
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