X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Week 10 (11/10/19) - Monkey Knife Fight

Michael Thomas New Orleans Saints

Scott Cullen provides his Week 10 NFL DFS prop picks for November 10th, 2019 on Monkey Knife Fight. Make your DFS picks with his fantasy football advice.

Week 10 in the National Football League is a challenging one for fantasy players because there are six teams on a bye week and that can make the pickings relatively slim.

There are some compelling games, though. Patrick Mahomes is due back in the lineup for the Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee. The Sunday nighter is a quality matchup with the Minnesota Vikings visiting the Dallas Cowboys. The Giants and the Jets play for the title of Worst New York Football Team.

The leaner schedule might make the week more challenging but there are always opportunities available to analyze the situation and make the right selections.

Here are some angles to consider before making this Sunday’s football prop picks on Monkey Knife Fight.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNFL19'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Matt Ryan OVER 296.5 PASSING YARDS – There is some statistical upside to losing every week and, for Matt Ryan, it’s based around the throwing the ball a lot. Ryan is averaging 40.7 passes per game and that has helped him average a career-high 310 passing yards per game (despite being held to 159 passing yards in his last outing, in Week 7 vs. the Rams). He’s also averaging 303 passing yards in 21 career games against New Orleans. At the same time, the Saints are allowing 232.3 passing yards per game and 7.1 passing yards per attempt, so they won’t make it easy, but Ryan has topped 300 yards in six of seven starts this season and the likelihood that he will need to throw a lot weighs in his favor.

Drew Brees OVER 295.5 PASSING YARDS – Although Brees has played in just two complete games so far this season, he has thrown for at least 370 yards in both of them. Facing an Atlanta defense that is giving up 8.5 yards per pass attempt, and 261.1 passing yards per game, is not enough reason to believe that the Falcons will be able to keep Brees and the Saints under wraps.

Matthew Stafford OVER 270.5 PASSING YARDS – The Bears Defense is great but Stafford has been firing on all cylinders lately, averaging 333.6 passing yards in his past five games. With questions surrounding the Lions running game, it’s all the more reason to keep the ball in Stafford’s hands and let him guide the Lions offense through the air.

Sam Darnold OVER 258.5 PASSING YARDS – It’s not very easy to like Darnold, who has thrown for 259 or more yards twice in five starts this season, but he’s facing a Giants Defense that is abysmal against the pass, allowing a league-worst 8.9 passing yards per attempt. That’s enough reason to believe that Darnold could get to 260 or more.

Patrick Mahomes UNDER 317.5 PASSING YARDS – Before Week 7, when he was forced to leave the game after throwing 11 passes, Mahomes was averaging 350.7 passing yards per game, putting up numbers that made him look like a video game come to life. In his return to the lineup, he faces a Titans team that is decent defensively, allowing 7.1 passing yards per attempt and 236.3 passing yards per game. Coming off injury, it might be best to exercise some caution.

Jameis Winston OVER 310.5 PASSING YARDS – In the past six games, Winston has thrown for at least 330 yards four times and he’s facing a Cardinals Defense that is one of the league’s worst against the pass, allowing 8.3 yards per pass attempt and 280.7 passing yards per game.

RAPID FIRE

Michael Thomas -2.5 receptions vs. Golden Tate – Thomas is the league’s most productive receiver, averaging 9.2 receptions per game, and looked like he didn’t miss a beat when Drew Brees returned for the Saints last week. Tate is a big part of the Giants offense now, in part because of injuries to Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram, and has recorded at least six catches in four straight games. Still, Thomas’ ceiling gives him the chance to put this category out of reach.

Nick Chubb +1.5 rushing yards vs. Saquon Barkley – As great as Barkley may be, he’s averaged 54.7 rushing yards per game in three games since returning from his ankle injury and faces a Jets Defense that is actually rather stout against the run, giving up 3.1 yards per carry and 89.3 rushing yards per game. Chubb, on the other hand, has been a threat all season and has averaged 111 rushing yards per game in the past six. He’s also going against a Bills team that isn’t great against the run, allowing 4.4 yards per carry and 111.6 rushing yards per game, so there should be room for Chubb to get loose.

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Mason Rudolph UNDER 237.5 PASSING YARDS – The Steelers are back to .500 and Rudolph keeps them competitive but he’s also surpassed 237 passing yards once in five starts and it was against Miami. This week’s matchup with the Rams may not be so easy.

Jacoby Brissett UNDER 220.5 PASSING YARDS – Assuming that Brissett is healthy enough to play, he has a chance at going over because he faces a Dolphins team that has problems everywhere, including pass defense, which allows 8.6 yards per pass attempt and 251.6 passing yards per game. The rub here, however, is that the Colts’ receiving corps is perilously thin. With T.Y. Hilton and rookie Parris Campbell injured, Zach Pascal is the top wide receiver and the tight end duo of Eric Ebron and Jack Doyle are the next two priority targets.

Kyle Allen UNDER 239.5 PASSING YARDS – The Packers Defense isn’t strong against the pass (8.1 yards per pass attempt, 251.2 passing yards per game) but Allen has thrown for 240 yards or more once in six starts and it was his first start of the season.

Ryan Fitzpatrick OVER 239.5 PASSING YARDS – It’s not easy to be productive on a talent-starved team but Fitzpatrick has thrown for more than 280 yards in two of his past three starts and he faces a Colts Defense that runs middle of the pack in terms of pass defense.

Aaron Rodgers UNDER 275.5 PASSING YARDS – Just when it looked like Rodgers had found his groove, he was held to a season-low 161 passing yards against the Chargers last week and now faces a Panthers team that is allowing 227 passing yards per game along with 6.7 passing yards per attempt.

RAPID FIRE

Cooper Kupp -5.5 receiving yards vs. Davante Adams – Both receivers are facing quality pass defenses, with Kupp facing the Pittsburgh Steelers and Adams going against the Carolina Panthers, so opposition shouldn’t have a significant affect on this situation. Adams has a high ceiling but has played just one game since returning from injury and had seven catches for 41 yards. Cupp also has a high ceiling, which he may have hit last week when he hauled in seven passes for 220 yards and a touchdown, his fifth 100-yard game of the season.

Christian McCaffrey +6.5 rushing yards vs. Marlon Mack – There are some weeks in which McCaffrey fills out his stat sheet with receiving yards but he’s run for at least 90 yards in six of eight games so far this season. Mack has topped 90 yards just twice this season but he’s going against Miami, an opportunity to pad those rushing stats while, at least theoretically, running out the clock. Still, McCaffrey is averaging 110.1 rushing yards per game and that’s tough to overcome.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Nolan Arenado

Dealing with Finger Sprain
ANA

Mikael Granlund Moves to Anaheim on Three-Year Deal
Jacob Wilson

Scratched With Hamstring Soreness
NJ

Jake Allen Signs Five-Year Extension With Devils
VAN

Brock Boeser Remains in Vancouver on Seven-Year Deal
Conor Garland

Signs New Six-Year Deal with Canucks
Thatcher Demko

Signs Three-Year Extension with Canucks
Brandon Woodruff

Ready for Season Debut
Martin Fehérváry

Martin Fehervary Agrees to Seven-Year Extension with Capitals
Garrett Mitchell

Out for the Rest of the Season
MLB

Brewers-Mets Postponed on Tuesday
MLB

Tigers-Nationals Postponed on Tuesday
Zach Neto

Returns to Tuesday's Lineup
Milwaukee Bucks

Gary Harris Inks Deal With Bucks
MLB

Padres-Phillies Postponed on Tuesday
Charlotte Hornets

Mason Plumlee Heading Back to Charlotte
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Hunter Goodman

Back Behind the Dish on Tuesday
Jakob Poeltl

Agrees to a Contract Extension With Raptors
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Jason Day

is a Fine Play With Limited Upside at John Deere Classic
Vasilije Micić

Vasilije Micic Dealt to Bucks on Tuesday
Daniel Suarez

and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Luke Clanton

Looks to Have Another Strong Week at TPC Deere Run
Pat Connaughton

Traded to Hornets
Atlanta Hawks

Luke Kennard Lands in Atlanta
Breece Hall

Aiming to Prove He is "Still One of the Best in the League"
T.J. Watt

Steelers Not Planning to Trade T.J. Watt
Sacramento Kings

Dennis Schroder Set to Join Sacramento
Bo Bichette

Out Again on Tuesday
Trent Grisham

Likely Heading to Injured List
Boston Celtics

Luke Kornet Agrees to Contract With San Antonio
Jonas Valančiūnas

Nuggets Trade for Center Jonas Valanciunas
Royce Lewis

Twins Activate Royce Lewis
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Signs Massive Extension With Oklahoma City
Corbin Carroll

Eyeing Return Before All-Star Break
New York Knicks

Knicks Pick Up Guerschon Yabusele
Yordan Alvarez

Could Return Early Next Week
NFL

Negotiations on 18-Game Season Not Expected Until Next Year
Indiana Pacers

Myles Turner Leaves Indiana, Signs With Milwaukee
Kerry Carpenter

Shelved with Hamstring Issue
Tyler Boyd

Steelers Have Talked With Tyler Boyd
Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Waived By Milwaukee
Darren Waller

Coming Out of Retirement to Play for Dolphins
Alexander Romanov

Islanders Retain Alexander Romanov on $50 Million Contract
Andrei Kuzmenko

Signs Up for One More Year with Kings
Morgan Geekie

Signs Long-Term Extension with Bruins
Ivan Provorov

Stays in Columbus on Seven-Year Deal
Alex Pietrangelo

Stepping Away From Golden Knights for Health Reasons
Matias Maccelli

Maple Leafs Bring in Matias Maccelli
Evan Bouchard

Inks $42 Million Contract with Oilers
Vladimir Tarasenko

Wild Acquire Vladimir Tarasenko From Detroit
Patrick Kane

Signs New One-Year Deal with Red Wings
Brad Marchand

Lands Six-Year Extension
Aaron Ekblad

Remains a Panther on Eight-Year Deal
Mitchell Marner

Heads to Vegas
Randy Arozarena

Homers Twice, Plates Four Monday
Shea Langeliers

Hits Three-Run Homer In Return From Injured List Monday
Wilyer Abreu

Belts Grand Slam and Hits Inside-the-Park Home Run
Philadelphia 76ers

Trendon Watford Lands in Philadelphia
New York Knicks

Jordan Clarkson Expected to Sign With Knicks
Zack Wheeler

Tosses Eight Shutout Innings, Punches Out 10
Santi Aldama

Remains with Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Lands in Atlanta
George Springer

Exits Early Monday With Neck Injury
Jalen Ramsey

Could Move Around in Pittsburgh
Los Angeles Clippers

Brook Lopez Strikes Deal With Clippers
Jonnu Smith

to be Used in Hybrid Role
Terry McLaurin

Commanders, Terry McLaurin Not Close on Contract Extension
Hunter Goodman

Likely Headed to Injured List
Chicago Bulls

Tre Jones Remaining in Chicago
Michael Mayer

Raiders Not Interested in Trading Michael Mayer
Houston Rockets

Dorian Finney-Smith Signing With Rockets
Atlanta Hawks

Caris LeVert Joining Pistons
Aldrich Potgieter

Wins Rocket Mortgage Classic
Thorbjorn Olesen

Finishes Tied for 41st at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Denny McCarthy

Finishes Tied For 12th at Travelers Championship
Chris Kirk

Finishes Tied For Second at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Michael Kim

Finishes Tied for 26th at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Max Homa

Misses Cut at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Lucas Glover

Finishes Tied For Ninth at Travelers Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied For Sixth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Pittsburgh Steelers

Rumors Still Swirling Around Potential T.J. Watt Trade
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Tyler Boyd

Interested in Playing for Steelers
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Now Looking to Acquire a Tight End
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
L'Jarius Sneed

Says he's Healthy
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Minkah Fitzpatrick

Heading Back to Miami
Jonnu Smith

Shipped to Pittsburgh
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
Jalen Ramsey

Steelers Acquiring Jalen Ramsey
Jonas Brodin

Expected to Miss Start of Next Season
TB

Conor Sheary Placed on Waivers for Contract Termination
Dante Fabbro

Stays with Blue Jackets on Four-Year Deal
Chase Elliott

Ends Winless Skid With Atlanta Victory
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Atlanta Victory
NFL

NFL Won't Hold Supplemental Draft This Year
Damon Arnette

Getting Second Chance With Texans
Deommodore Lenoir

Arrested for Obstruction of Justice
Carson Hocevar

Recovers From Big One to Finish 10th at Atlanta
William Byron

Caught up in Atlanta Big One but Retains Points Lead
Denny Hamlin

Top In-Season Challenge Seed Denny Hamlin Eliminated in Lap 70 Crash
Ty Dillon

Bottom Seed Ty Dillon Upsets Denny Hamlin to Advance in In-Season Challenge
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Expected to Make Second-Year Jump
Jalin Hyatt

Looking to Flip the Script in 2025
Kyle Larson

Don't Expect Kyle Larson to Win First Drafting Track Race on Saturday
Christopher Bell

Unlikely to Complete Atlanta Sweep
Brad Keselowski

Seeks Another Clutch Win for Hail-Mary Playoff Bid
Chris Buescher

Unlikely to Lead Enough to Have Much DFS Value
Alex Bowman

Qualifies Best Among Non-Fords but Unlikely to Contend at Atlanta
Ryan Preece

Will Probably Run Better Than Usual at Atlanta
Austin Dillon

Consistently Mediocre at Atlanta
Ty Gibbs

Slightly Faster Lately but Unlikely to be a Factor at Atlanta
Erik Jones

a Low-Key Strong DFS Option
Noah Gragson

Could Have DFS Value as One of the Lowest-Qualifying Fords
Riley Herbst

Unlikely to Replicate February Atlanta Finish
Charles Oliveira

Can Become A Two-Time Lightweight Champion
Ilia Topuria

A Favorite At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fourth Title Defense At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Renato Moicano

Returns At UFC 317
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC 317
Payton Talbott

Looks To Bounce Back
Felipe Lima

Set To Open Up UFC 317 Main Card