X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

NFL DFS Prop Picks for Thanksgiving Day (11/28/19) - Monkey Knife Fight

Scott Cullen provides his Thanksgiving NFL DFS prop picks for November 28th, 2019 on Monkey Knife Fight. Make your DFS picks with his fantasy football advice.

Thanksgiving Day means many things but, for our purposes, it means a day full of football and opportunities to play props on Monkey Knife Fight.

It starts with the 5-6 Chicago Bears at the 3-7-1 Detroit Lions. The Lions also happen to be down to their third-string quarterback so this may not be the picture of a beautiful aerial attack.

The second game of the day is more compelling as the 6-5 Dallas Cowboys are still battling to hold the lead in the NFC East and the 8-3 Buffalo Bills are in the thick of the AFC playoff race.

Finally, the 9-2 New Orleans Saints are visiting the 3-8 Atlanta Falcons and that may be a lopsided game but the Falcons have been more competitive over the past month, so maybe they can find a way to keep this game competitive.

It may not be the most compelling slate of games but if you’re going to be watching anyway…here are some angles to consider before making your prop picks for the Thanksgiving Day games.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNFL19'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

CHICAGO-DETROIT

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Mitchell Trubisky OVER 228.5 PASSING YARDS – Betting on Trubisky has not been a way to get rich this season and he’s averaging just 185.8 passing yards per game. But he threw for a season-high 278 yards last week and the Lions are allowing 275.5 passing yards per game, the third-highest mark in the league.

David Blough UNDER 180.5 PASSING YARDS – With Matthew Stafford and Jeff Driskill injured, the Lions have to turn to Blough, a 24-year-old out of Purdue who has yet to throw a pass in the NFL. The Bears Defense is a tough way to make his first start so it could get ugly.

Marvin Jones UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS – Under normal circumstances, it would be reasonable enough to like Jones on the over because he’s averaging 5.1 receptions per game, but the quarterback situation complicates matters.

RAPID FIRE

Allen Robinson -12.5 receiving yards vs. Kenny Golladay – Although Golladay holds a slight advantage on receiving yards per game (72.0 vs. 69.5), the Bears pass defense is stronger and the uncertainty in the Lions quarterback situation makes it difficult to count on Detroit’s passing production.

Bo Scarbrough -10.5 rushing yards vs. David Montgomery – While the quarterback questions for Detroit may cause some concern when it comes to passing yards, it could also be an advantage for the running game. Scarbrough has run for 153 yards on 32 carries in his first two NFL contests, and while it’s not much of a track record, it’s enough to expect that the Lions will try to get him plenty of touches, if possible. Montgomery has run for 153 yards in the past four games, so he would have to step up his production to keep up with Scarbrough.

 

BUFFALO-DALLAS

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Dak Prescott UNDER 260.5 PASSING YARDS – Even though Prescott is averaging 312.1 passing yards per game it’s not going to be easy to take the over this week because he’s facing a Bills Defense that is surrendering 184.3 passing yards per game and 6.0 yards per pass attempt.

Josh Allen OVER 219.5 PASSING YARDS – The Bills quarterback is averaging 214.5 passing yards per game and the Cowboys are allowing 213.6 passing yards per game so it should be an easy under, right? Well, maybe, but in five road games this season Allen has thrown for more than 220 yards four times and the one time he didn’t he finished with 219 passing yards.

Cole Beasley UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS – The former Cowboy has been a solid slot receiver for the Bills but prior to recording six catches last week, Beasley had gone six straight games with four or fewer receptions.

RAPID FIRE

Devin Singletary +26.5 rushing yards vs. Ezekiel Elliott – While Elliott has the longer track record, and perhaps the higher ceiling, Singletary is adjusting nicely to the lead running role for the Bills, averaging 79.5 rushing yards per game in the past four. Elliott does have five 100-yard rushing games this season but has been held under 50 yards in two of the past three games which opens the door for Singletary to keep the total close enough.

John Brown +5.5 receiving yards vs. Amari Cooper – This is a case of going for the consistency of Brown over the up-and-down results from Cooper. Brown is averaging 77.8 receiving yards per game and Cooper is averaging 80.5 per game, so the underdog already makes sense.

 

NEW ORLEANS-ATLANTA

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Drew Brees UNDER 310.5 PASSING YARDS – In the five complete games that he has played this season, Brees has thrown for more than 310 yards three times, though that includes last week when he threw for 311. Over the course of a game, that’s just a few favorable spots. The Falcons Defense isn’t good and an indoor venue is better for Brees, but that is a big number to cover, especially if the Saints get into the lead, as expected.

Matt Ryan UNDER 290.5 PASSING YARDS – While Ryan has averaged 293.4 passing yards per game this season, that number has been dropping as he’s averaged 230.8 passing yards per game in the past four. Combine that with a solid Saints Defense and the under makes more sense.

Alvin Kamara UNDER 59.5 RUSHING YARDS – Coming back from injury, Kamara hasn’t been the explosive force that he was last season and he’s been held under 60 rushing yards in three of his past four games. Some of that is due to usage – he’s not getting as many carries – but that trend could very well continue against a Falcons team that is a little better than average against the run.

RAPID FIRE

Alvin Kamara +4.5 receptions vs. Michael Thomas – While Kamara might not be getting a full workload as a runner, the Saints are still using him a lot as a receiver out the backfield. Since returning from injury, he has 27 catches in three games. As great as Thomas has been this season, he’s not going to cover that number if Kamara stays on his recent pace.

Devonta Freeman -7.5 rushing yards vs. Latavius Murray – Neither is an ideal option. Freeman is dealing with a foot injury and has rushed for more than 40 yards once in the past six games. He’s also going up against a Saints team that is allowing just 88.5 rushing yards per game. Murray was a big running threat when Alvin Kamara was injured but in the past three games he has 103 rushing yards on 22 carries – that’s efficient but not enough volume to like him in this matchup.

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cal Raleigh

Continues Historic Homer Pace Tuesday
Jacob Wilson

Exits Early On Tuesday With Left Hand Contusion
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
Laken Tomlinson

Confident in Texans Offensive Line
J.K. Dobbins

the Starter in Denver?
JT Woods

Seahawks Release JT Woods
Darren Waller

Trade to Miami Becomes Official
Asante Samuel Jr.

Dolphins Interested in Asante Samuel Jr.
Nyheim Hines

Seeking Return to NFL
Dak Prescott

Expects to be Full-Go for Training Camp
Ajay Mitchell

Posts 16 Points in Summer League Win on Monday
Milwaukee Bucks

Vasilije Micic Waived by Bucks
Brice Sensabaugh

Logs 37 points in Summer League Win on Monday
Luis Garcia

Fans Four in Rehab Outing
GG Jackson II

Collects 27 Points in Summer League Loss
Ace Bailey

Scores 18 Points in Summer League Victory
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Kobe Bufkin

Cleared for Summer League Action
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Milwaukee Bucks

Vasilije Micic Agrees to Contract Buyout with Bucks
PGA

Sungjae Im Still a Liability at Scottish Open
James Wiseman

Pacers Bring Back James Wiseman
Ludvig Aberg

is a Solid Option at Scottish Open
Tyrese Haliburton

to Miss Entire 2025-26 Campaign
Paolo Banchero

Signs Historic Five-Year Extension with Magic
Anthony Santander

Hoping to Hit Soon
Luis Robert Jr.

Returning in Short Order
Alex Bregman

Could Return Later This Week
Ketel Marte

Day-to-Day with Groin Tightness
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Hunter Greene

Suffers Setback on Monday
Kyle Lowry

Staying With 76ers
Kyle Anderson

Lands in Utah
Kevin Love

Traded to Jazz in 3-Team Swap
Norman Powell

Traded to Miami
John Collins

Dealt to Clippers
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied For 14 at Travelers Championship
Xander Schauffele

Finishes Tied For 61 at Travelers Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Robert MacIntyre

Finishes Tied For 17 at Travelers Championship
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied For 11 at John Deere Classic
Viktor Hovland

Withdraws From Travelers Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

Finishes Tied For Second at Travelers Championship
Brian Campbell

Wins John Deere Classic
Bronny James Jr.

Scores 10 Points
Harrison Ingram

Limited on Sunday
Golden State Warriors

Isaiah Mobley Drops 16 Points
Ryan Rollins

Staying with Bucks
T.J. Watt

Pittsburgh Still Not Close on New Contract
Terry McLaurin

Still Not Pleased with Contract Situation
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Yu Darvish

to Make Season Debut on Monday
MLB

Nationals Fire Dave Martinez, Mike Rizzo
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
KaVontae Turpin

Arrested on Two Charges
Cole Ragans

to Begin Throwing on Monday
Theo Johnson

Prioritizing his Health this Offseason
Andrés Giménez

Andres Gimenez Hits 10-Day Injured List
Jermaine Burton

Continues to Show Growth
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
Cam Ward

"Not Expecting" to be handed Starting Job
Chase Claypool

Eager to Get Back on the Field
Wyatt Langford

Activated, Playing on Saturday
Jay Huff

on the Move to Indiana
Cam Whitmore

Wizards Acquire Cam Whitmore from the Rockets
LaJohntay Wester

Stands out on Special Teams
Clarke Schmidt

Likely to Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Nolan Arenado

Scratched from Saturday's Lineup
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Starting on Saturday
Corbin Carroll

Activated from 10-Day Injured List
Cincinnati Bengals

Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins