RADIO
An eleven-game slate is going to feature our widest selection of options this weekend, so let’s make the most out tonight’s games. Every night is a new story, whether it’s revolving around a specific player or specific team or even a specific event during a specific game. There’s been no shortage of distractions recently, so let’s focus on what really matters, how we can profit from all of this.
One week it’s Luka Doncic. The next day it’s Donovan Mitchell. This week it’s Giannis Antetokounmpo…but last night was all Lauri Markkanen. We’ve witnessed more career-high games the past 30-days than we have ever seen before and after another ridiculous performance, we can only wonder who tonight’s limelight will end up on. My guess is Damian Lillard then Kevin Durant.
MonkeyKnifeFight.com is always ahead of the curve with their canceling of contests amid postponements, so don't worry about wasting money on a player or game that might not play. As always, you can find me in the NBA Chat Room or @HalfCourtJester on Twitter with any questions, especially since lines and players are subject to change throughout the day.
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ATL @ LAL
LeBron James (LAL) MORE 33.5 Points – Trae Young (ATL) MORE 27.5 Points
Rightfully so, this should be the highest-scoring game of the night. No defense and an excess of offense should propel both these players to their projected overs. Putting up 34-points shouldn’t be too much for LeBron James after putting up 40+ points in two consecutive games, so even though that’s a little risky, James looks like he’s starting a scoring streak.
For what seems like the first time all season, the Atlanta Hawks offense was spread out last game and no single player was doing all the work. This is great from a team aspect, but does nothing but create more concern in the betting department. Until Trae Young can find consistency to the point where he actually looks comfortable playing alongside Dejounte Murray, he’s just not putting up the same point production. Luckily, the Lakers and Hawks just played so we already know Young is lined up for a ton of shots and he scored 29-points when these teams played last Friday.
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POR @ IND
Damian Lillard (POR) MORE 29.5 Points – Tyrese Haliburton (IND) MORE 19.5 Points
Two players you should be familiar with betting on already since both have been terrific for hitting their prop totals this season. Haliburton has just about cemented himself as one of this season’s top playmakers and he’s even put up massive numbers in the point column. We cannot ignore the infamous one-point game, but it’s hard to imagine Indiana not being forced to rely on a few extra Haliburton three-pointers to keep this game close.
The Pacers have the offense to keep games interesting, but when a player gets going they just have to sit back and watch. Damian Lillard is being used differently this year since Portland has found some relief in Anfernee Simons and Jerami Grant, but he’s still the same player that can go off for 20-ponts in a quarter without a moment’s notice. Assuming that playing at home will help some of the Pacers role players, Lillard should have boosted potential against a weak opponent.
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DET @ SAS
Keldon Johnson (SAS) MORE 24.5 Points –Bojan Bogdanovic (POR) MORE 21.5 Points
Devin Vassell is going to be out for some time and Keldon Johnson should have no problems with any extra usage that funnels his way. He’s already at the top of the totem pole in the Spurs offense and there is no one even close to him in terms of production. Very rarely can you count on Spurs players to overperform, but Keldon Johnson has pretty much proven that he wants to score and wants to rebound. Everything we want to see as bettors.
Bojan Bogdanovic continues to be the one consistent spot in this offense and it’s not because he is putting up points on a super-consistent basis. As you can tell he is and always will be prone to those ‘off-games’ and there’s no rhyme or reason to it. They will just happen and the Pistons not being the best team means his window of opportunity is much lower than everyone else’s. Over his last 10-games he’s only scored over 21-points in five.
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WAS @ OKC
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) MORE 31.5 Points – Kristaps Porzingis (WAS) MORE 23.5 Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander isn’t good for 30-points like he was earlier this season, but that’s not to say he’s still not posting huge games, they just aren’t nearly as impressive as what they were. His last four games have been one of his roughest stretches of the season but the Wizards still aren’t that great of a defensive team. His point average over the last two weeks is still hovering around 29 points per game so it’s hard to just write this off as another ‘rough’ game.
Since Bradley Beal lingering injuries have been a problem this season, Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma have willingly shouldered the extra weight. Porzingis was showing signs of drastic improvement to every area of his game, but the Wizards were losing. Now that he’s shifted back to power forward, his stat line has regressed back to what we were seeing before, underwhelming point totals and half as many rebounds as we’d like to see out of a seven-footer. Like most players in this article, he should have no issues hitting the over.
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