MLB DFS Picks Today: Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy and Tips For FanDuel, DraftKings (7/1/25)

Jamie's top DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks for today, Monday, 7/1/25. His favorite daily fantasy baseball lineup sleepers and value picks for DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Happy Tuesday everyone! A lot of the hitters in my article yesterday hit (thanks Jazz and Laureano), but WOOF on Chase Burns, huh? The rookie sensation got the rudest awakening possible from a struggling Red Sox lineup, and didn't even make it out of the first inning!

Tonight we have ten games to tackle as the calendar turns over to July. We have an immediate decision to make at the top of the starting pitching pool, and Houston's post-Jeremy Pena lineup will be key to navigating the Coors slate. We'll be in the RotoBaller Discord working hard for you all day, so come say hi!

This article will provide my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 7/1/2025, with the slate starting at 7:05 PM. The lineup picks will showcase elite players, mid-priced options, and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for other sports here. Monitoring injury news and today's MLB starting lineups is always essential.

DraftKings, FanDuel Pitchers - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Yoshinobu Yamamoto, LAD ($10,800 DK/$10,800 FD)

Tonight's slate immediately presents us with a decision. Are we #TeamYamamoto or #TeamDeGrom? They're the clear top two SPs tonight, but fitting both will be virtually impossible given the need to roster some of the top hitters going this evening. So which one?

Their matchups (White Sox and Orioles) are virtually the same. Both have IRTs hovering right around three runs, and the two teams have almost identical K rates against RHP. One could argue that deGrom's consistency gives him the edge in this one, but I'm always going to vote for upside metrics in DFS.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has had some blips lately, but his K rate is 3% higher than deGrom's and his GB rate is over 10% higher. The White Sox rank 29th in ISO against RHP, and are getting a park downgrade going to Los Angeles. The $500 differential makes it more of a conversation on DK, but on FD Yamamoto is $200 cheaper, making it an easy call there.

Shane Baz, TB ($8,800 DK/$9,100 FD)

Shane Baz was an attack point for DFS in the beginning of the season but he's been the model of consistency lately, winning seven consecutive starts. Baz has his GB rate up to 50% on the season, and his underlying metrics suggest that his current 4.37 ERA will improve even more.

I've been loathe to utilize pitchers from Tampa or the Athletics (who are ironically playing each other) due to both playing in Triple-A parks, but Baz has the means to transcend park issues. The A's have exciting young hitters, but with youth comes growing pains. The A's have struck out at the fifth-highest rate against RHP, and Baz has 21 Ks in his last three games.

Others To Consider (Cash/GPP):

• Jacob deGrom, TEX ($10,300 DK/$11,000 FD)
• Clay Holmes, NYM ($8,500 DK/$8,900 FD)

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DraftKings, FanDuel Infielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Jose Ramirez, CLE ($5,500 DK/$3,700 FD)

We're going to take a break from our regularly-scheduled Rafael Devers in this spot to bring you an even better third baseman. Jose Ramirez hasn't exactly lit up the scoreboard lately, but he's making regular contact. He's only struck out five times in his last 12 games, so brighter days are just around the corner.

The key here is the wind. As of now, it's blowing out in Wrigley Field, and this park is the most impactful when it comes to wind. If that remains throughout the day, this game could shoot past it's O/U. Ramirez has made a career of bashing lefties, and that's continued into this season as he's posted a .427 wOBA and .280 ISO.

Ramirez also has the BvP edge against Matthew Boyd. When facing his former teammate, Ramirez has 12 hits, five XBH, and three homers while posting a 4/4 K/BB ratio. He's worth the spend tonight even if the wind dies away.

Bobby Witt Jr., KC ($5,400 DK/$3,900 FD)

Bobby Witt Jr. is getting a park downgrade this evening as the Royals travel to Seattle, but it shouldn't deter you from considering one of the best hitters in baseball against a pitcher who hasn't figured it out yet. Emerson Hancock has a 5.67 FIP, only an 8.9% swinging strike rate, and has allowed a whopping 18.5% HR/FB rate.

Witt uncharacteristically has struck out five times over his last two games, but he's also racked up 50 DK points in his last four. Against same-handed pitching this year, the Royals star has a .397 wOBA and .256 ISO, and he's always a threat to steal bases as well.

Isaac Paredes, HOU ($4,800 DK/$3,700 FD)

The Astros are the wild card team tonight. They're in Coors Field which automatically puts them at the top of the pecking order as far as stacking goes. The problem is their current best hitter (Jeremy Pena) was just placed on the IL with a rib fracture after getting hit by a pitch. Since Houston didn't play yesterday, it's a mystery how their new lineup will shake out.

As of now, I'm assuming Isaac Paredes will take over for Pena in the leadoff spot, and leadoff hitters in Coors Field should garner your immediate attention. Paredes is not the reverse-split king we'd hope for, but poor Chase Dollander is taking his lumps as a Rockies pitcher. The young righty has allowed over two homers per nine innings while posting a 5.83 FIP with only a 17.9% K rate.

Others To Consider (CASH/GPP): 

• Ketel Marte, 2B - ARI ($6,000 DK/$4,200 FD)
• Matt Olson, 1B - ATL ($4,900 DK/$3,400 FD)
• Pavin Smith, 1B/OF, ARI ($3,900 DK/$2,800 FD)

DraftKings, FanDuel Outfielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Shohei Ohtani, LAD ($6,500 DK/$4,700 FD)

Shane Smith has held his own as a rookie in the White Sox rotation, posting a respectable 3.78 FIP and 21% K rate. However, "being respectable" and facing Shohei Ohtani in L.A. are two different animals altogether. Ohtani is having another MVP-type season with 29 homers and a 1.015 OPS.

The Dodgers star been an absolute wrecking ball against RHP, posting a .453 wOBA, .392 ISO, 49.5% HHR (!), and a 195 wRC+. Once Smith is out of the game, Ohtani continues to get to attack a White Sox bullpen that ranks 28th in FIP. If you can afford Ohtani, he's more than worth it.

Jarren Duran, BOS ($4,500 DK/$3,000 FD)

I've been on the Jarren Duran train for the past two weeks given the rise of his barrel rate over the last ten, and of course I got off it just in time for him to join in the bashing of Chase Burns last night. Tonight, I'm all aboard again as Duran will get to face Brady Singer.

Singer has held his own in his first year in Cincinnati, but his 34% GB rate is positively alarming given he's been at 50% for his career. Singer has also struggled against lefties, with a .370 wOBA and 1.47 HR/9 against since the beginning of last year. Duran has a .373 wOBA and .234 ISO against RHP this season and is too cheap on both sites.

Cam Smith, HOU ($4,200 DK/$3,400 FD)

Again, Houston's lineup is key here. Cam Smith has generally been hitting fifth or sixth (which is fine), but the new absence of Jeremy Pena could vault him into the prominent three or four holes. Smith was the key piece coming back in the Kyle Tucker trade this past offseason, and he's starting to really blossom.

Before Sunday's game, Smith had three consecutive multi-hit games, homering in two of them. I REALLY wish he was facing a lefty here, and Smith's splits are extreme to start his career, but potentially getting a hot cleanup hitter in Coors Field for $4,200 is too good to pass up.

Others To Consider (CASH/GPP): 

• Kyle Tucker, CHC ($6,100 DK/$3,900 FD)
• Ronald Acuna Jr., ATL ($6,300 DK/$4,100 FD)
• Roman Anthony, OF - BOS ($3,900 DK/$2,500 FD)

DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS Stacks

1. Houston Astros vs Chase Dollander

As I've mentioned, the lineup is guesswork at this point, so stay tuned for updates to this article later. Houston has an IRT of 6.5 runs despite losing Jeremy Pena, and Chase Dollander has a 5.83 FIP and has allowed an 18.4% HR/FB rate. Don't be scared off by all the righties on Houston either.

Favorite Combo: Paredes, Altuve, Smith, Diaz (pending lineup)

2. Chicago Cubs vs Gavin Williams

I mentioned Jose Ramirez and the wind in Wrigley Field, but don't forget the Cubs side here. If the wind does indeed continue to blow straight out, the Cubs' hitters get to attack Gavin Williams. The Cleveland righty is a capable pitcher, but pitching to contact with that wind isn't a good recipe.

Favorite Combo: Happ, Tucker, Suzuki, Busch

3. Atlanta Braves vs Tyler Anderson

The Braves' players didn't get their own writeup here this morning, but they represent a good team stack against Tyler Anderson and the Angels. Anderson's K rates are in line with his career, but his 1.58 HR/9 and 11.4% HR/FB rate haven't been that bad since he pitched in Colorado. Atlanta has the righties (and lefty-hitting Matt Olson) to make Anderson's life miserable.

Favorite Combo: Acuna, Riley, Ozuna, Olson

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