X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Player Props - Today's Prop Betting Picks for Hitters and Pitchers (6/6/23)

Mitch Keller - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Today's free MLB prop betting picks for Tuesday, June 6, 2023. Use Dan Palyo's top baseball prop picks and MLB prop bet recommendations to win money on sports books.

It's a loaded slate for pitching and so I am going to do something unprecedented for this piece so far this season. I am going to give you FIVE pitching props today and skip the hitters. No offense hitters, but I grow weary of you letting me down in good spots. My pitching picks are my bread and butter and always have been. And there just happen to be five spots I really like today, so why not just roll with those - you know what I mean?

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Tuesday, June 6, 2023. If you ever want to chat about strikeout props or any other MLB bets, you can find me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS. Good luck today and let's cash some bets!

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Mitch Keller OVER 6.5 strikeouts (-160 DraftKings)

Let's start with the prop that every single one of you wants to bet on today and I'm not going to have to twist your arm too much in order to do so. Keller continued his epic run last time out by striking out eight Giants despite also allowing four runs on 10 hits. That actually makes two starts in a row where he struggled with run prevention but still buckled down and got his strikeouts and finished six innings. The streak of 7+ strikeouts is now at seven games and he walks into one of the best matchups of the day here at home against Oakland, who are one of the worst in the league against RHP at 27% K%.

Regression is going to come at some point for Mitch with that 10% SwStr%, but I don't think it's today and I was honestly expecting this number to be 7.5 (which it is on FanDuel). If it moves up during the day, I am okay betting it at 7.5, too, as I have him projected for nearly 9 strikeouts tonight.

Jesus Luzardo OVER 6.5 strikeouts (-155 DraftKings)

Here's the other juicy line as it's sitting at -155 on DK now and probably going to move. Luzardo is enjoying a nice little stretch of 7+ strikeouts of his own with four straight games having hit that number. Two of those starts have been great for run prevention as well, allowing only one run in each while in the other two (against San Diego and San Francisco) he gave up six and five runs, respectively.

Luzardo is a classic fly ball/strikeout pitcher. He's going to give up some home runs to opponents, but he's shown the ability to rack up strikeouts in bunches, too. His SwStr% is sitting at 13.2% on the season and he's really improved his control this year as he's brought down his walk rate to just 7%. We saw Braxton Garrett get six strikeouts in this spot last night, even after giving up some runs early, and I am going right back to this matchup as KC has an elevated K% to lefties over their last few weeks (26.4%).

If this line moves to 7.5, I think I am OUT, though, unlike with Keller. So grab it at 6.5 now! Parlay it

Zach Eflin OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-115 DraftKings)

It's very close here between Eflin and Gilbert in terms of who my third favorite K prop is today, but we are getting much better odds on straight bets than our top two arms. My guess as to why we are getting Eflin at 5.5 is that it has to do with his very odd zero-strikeout game from a few starts ago against Toronto. Now the Blue Jays have one of the lowest K rates against righties in the majors and to his credit, Eflin shut them down to just one run over seven innings. That game certainly feels like an outlier for Eflin, who has been really effective this season and a surprisingly good strikeout artist with a 24.5% K% this year.

The key here is the matchup. The Twins are swinging and missing a ton right now. They lead baseball with a 31% K% against RHP over the last two weeks. They have good offensive marks otherwise, which can make the matchup dangerous for run prevention. But we are just hunting strikeouts here. Eflin's elite control means we don't have to worry about him walking guys and running up big pitch counts early, so he's got a great chance to get there tonight if he can continue to pitch into the later stages of the game (he's gone 6 or 7 innings in six straight starts).

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Logan Gilbert OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-125 DraftKings)

Gilbert's ERA has taken a jump lately, but he's still generating plenty of strikeouts in the right spots. He enters tonight's game with an excellent 28.7% K% and gets a San Diego team that strikes out around 24% of the time. Gilbert's game log is all over the place and he has dipped below six strikeouts twice in his last handful of starts. But this is also a guy who has gone bonkers against good teams as he struck out 10 Rangers and 9 Braves - stifling two of the best offenses in baseball.

Gilbert, like Eflin, has shown some elite control, too, so while the Padres walk a good bit, I don't think we have to worry about him laboring early and driving up his pitch count. I'm betting on the talent that Gilbert has shown this season. His fastball, slider, and splitter combo can be devastating. If he can pitch around Soto and Tatis Jr., there are a lot of strikeout-prone hitters in the bottom two-thirds of this Padres lineup.

Clarke Schmidt OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-135 DraftKings)

This is the guy who has the most question marks by far. Schmidt has been all over the map this year, but I was surprised to see that he qualified for my magic pitcher formula when I was writing this article about ground balls, walks, and strikeouts and how they correlated with ERA.

Schmidt, despite his 5.0 ERA, is only one of seven pitchers who have a strikeout rate above 24%, GB% above 45%, and a walk rate below 8%. Now he just barely makes the cut on all three stats, but his ERA indicators all point to him being much closer to a 4.0 ERA pitcher than a 5.0 ERA guy.

But I digress, today is really just about this matchup with the White Sox (26% K% over the last two weeks) and the solid recent form that Schmidt has shown. He's gone three straight starts in which he has allowed two earned runs or fewer and he blanked the Mariners with seven strikeouts over 5.2 innings last time out. His strikeout totals are anything but consistent, but he does have 6+ strikeouts in five of his last eight games. The White Sox don't walk much at all (6%) and are going to run at least five RHH out there today, which benefits Schmidt as he's been more deadly (29% K%) to righties than lefties (22% K%) this year.

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, let's have some fun today and make some money!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Trey Hendrickson

Holdout to Spill into Regular Season?
Jalen McMillan

Bucs Offensive Coordinator Not Forgetting About Jalen McMillan
Levi Onwuzurike

to Miss at Least Four Games
Nick Emmanwori

Seahawks, Nick Emmanwori Reach Agreement on Rookie Deal
Max Holloway

Set For Main Event
Brandon Lowe

Back From 10-Day Injured List
Dustin Poirier

Set For His Final UFC Fight
Roman Kopylov

Set For Co-Main Event
Paulo Costa

Returns At UFC 318
Luis L. Ortiz

to Remain on Leave for Another Month - Will he Pitch Again?
Daniel Rodriguez

Looks For Third Win In A Row
Kevin Holland

Set For His Fourth Fight This Year
Dan Ige

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Patricio Freire Set For His Second UFC Fight
Daniel Zellhuber

Set To Open Up UFC 318 Main Card
Michael Johnson

Looks For Third Consecutive Win
Elijah Arroyo

Signs Rookie Deal
Jaydon Blue

Described as "Borderline Lazy"
T.J. Sanders

Bills Sign T.J. Sanders to Rookie Deal
Christian Wilkins

Raiders Put Christian Wilkins on PUP List
Jabari Small

Lions Add Jabari Small to Backfield
Quinshon Judkins

Remains Unsigned, Won't Report With Rest of Rookies
Mason Taylor

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Jets
Hendon Hooker

Leading Lions QB2 Battle Entering Training Camp
Ozzy Trapilo

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Bears
Tate Ratledge

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Lions
Jack Bech

Signs Rookie Contract with Raiders
Yegor Chinakhov

Requests Trade
Dakota Joshua

Maple Leafs Acquire Dakota Joshua
Lukas Dostal

Signs Five-Year Extension with Ducks
Shemar Stewart

Not Practicing With College Team
Uchenna Nwosu

Seahawks Place Uchenna Nwosu on PUP List
Taylor Decker

Alim McNeill, Taylor Decker Placed on PUP List
Tyrion Davis-Price

Titans Waive Tyrion Davis-Price
Tre Harris

Chargers Relying on Tre Harris to Be Starting X Receiver
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Expected Back Friday
Micah Parsons

Will Become Highest-Paid Non-QB
Damian Lillard

Returning to Portland
Paul Skenes

Pirates Could Preserve Paul Skenes in Second Half
Brooks Barnhizer

Grabs 19 Points, Nine Boards in Summer League Win
Jeremiah Fears

Scores 22 Points in Summer League Loss to Thunder
Isaiah Collier

Collects 17 Points In Summer League Win
Caleb Houstan

Joins Hawks
AJ Johnson

Erupts for 25 Points in Summer League Loss
Washington Wizards

Leaky Black Logs Double-Double in Loss to Jazz
Connor Norby

Undergoes Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-8 Weeks
Trey Alexander

Tallies 25 Points in Losing Effort
Johni Broome

Records Second Consecutive Double-Double
Jahmir Young

Has Historic Summer League Outing
Rob Dillingham

Plays Big Role in Wednesday's Win
Tyrese Proctor

Erupts for 35 Points Against Kings
Cody Williams

Leads Jazz to Victory Against Wizards
LeBron James

Mavs Not Interested in "Gutting its Roster" For LeBron James
Josh Hart

Undergoes a Procedure on Right Finger
Jake Burger

Goes on 10-Day Injured List With Quad Strain
Sal Frelick

Dealing With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain, TBD for Start of Second Half
Chris Sale

Plays Catch
Los Angeles Clippers

Bradley Beal Heading to Los Angeles to Join Clippers After Contract Buyout
Rayan Rupert

Scores 24 Points in Summer League Win
Derik Queen

Collects Third Consecutive Double-Double in Summer League Loss
GG Jackson II

Records 13 Points in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Johni Broome

Logs Double-Double Against Wizards
DaRon Holmes II

Records Double-Double in Summer League Loss to Raptors
Kyle Schwarber

Named All-Star Game MVP
Harris English

Takes Stellar 2025 Performance to The Open Championship
Aldrich Potgieter

Seeks Better Result in Northern Ireland
Cameron Young

Likely to Hang Around at The Open Championship
Cameron Smith

Just Trying to Make the Cut at Royal Portrush
Jordan Spieth

Is Jordan Spieth Still a Natural for Links Style Golf?
Patrick Reed

a Viable Option at The Open Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound from Last Experience at Royal Portrush
Xander Schauffele

Looks to Defend His Claret Jug at Royal Portrush
Tony Finau

Trying to Turn Tide at Royal Portrush
Daniel Brown

Seeks a Rebound at The Open Championship
Rory McIlroy

Will be the Most Watched Player This Week at Royal Portrush
Daniel Berger

Trending Poorly as The Open Championship Looms
Clayton Kershaw

Retires Both Batters In ASG Appearance
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Hit In Pinky In All-Star Game, X-Rays Negative
MLB

NL All-Stars Win On Tie-Breaker Home Run Swing-Off
Robert MacIntyre

Hoping to Bounce Back at Open Championship
Shane Lowry

Hopes to Repeat at Royal Portrush
Brian Harman

Hopes to Rekindle Some Magic at the 153rd Open
UTA

Michael Carcone Returns to Utah on One-Year Contract
Bowen Byram

Signs Two-Year Deal with Sabres
Morgan Barron

Jets Re-Sign Morgan Barron for Two Years
PGA

Chris Gotterup Punches Ticket to Royal Portrush With Win at Scottish Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Hopes to Reverse Links Golf Struggle at the 153rd Open
Keegan Bradley

Needs to Find The Weekend at Royal Portrush for Ryder Cup Hopes
Oneil Cruz

Ties Home Run Derby Distance Record
Cal Raleigh

Wins 2025 Home Run Derby
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Michael Lorenzen

Royals Put Michael Lorenzen on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Tosses Gem Against Giants
Shota Imanaga

Shuts Down Yankees on Sunday
Nathan Eovaldi

Dominant Again in Seventh Win
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Select JoJo Parker with Eighth Overall Pick
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF