X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

DraftKings NFL DFS: Week 11 Price Analysis & Picks

Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Jon Anderson looks into the NFL DFS projections for week five to pick out some spots to attack and mispriced players for your DraftKings DFS lineups.

Hey, RotoBallers! It's Jon Anderson back again to open up the week 11 DFS slate! If you're new here, this is not meant to be a definitive "picks" article, but just a first look to point out the best game environments and best projections and value plays. Quite often, by Sunday I'm not on all of the plays I start with here, but it does set the table for the rest of the week of search.

Again, I don't think it's profitable to build a lineup based on these picks, and certainly not this early in the week. You should be focusing heavily on game environments and correlations when building lineups, and this post doesn't really give you that. It's just a table-setter to look at the slate from a high level and pick out these mid-priced players. I hope it is helping, and I will continue to make it stronger as we move forward.

We are looking at the DraftKings NFL DFS main slate on Sunday, November 20th. Here we go!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 50% off using code SUMMER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Game Environments

Bye week teams

  • Jaguars
  • Dolphins
  • Seahawks
  • Bucs

Island game teams

  • Titans
  • Packers
  • Chiefs
  • Chargers
  • 49ers
  • Cardinals

All of that with the addition of the Cooper Kupp injury makes this a unique slate with tons of the league's best fantasy scorers off the slate. There are no stand-out games either at this point:

  1. Bears @ Falcons: 50.5 O/U, 3 point spread
  2. Cowboys @ Vikings: 47.5 O/U, 1.5 point spread
  3. Lions @ Giants: 45.5 o/u, 3 point spread
  4. Eagles @ Colts: 44.5 O/U, 6.5 point spread

Those are the top games to target, but once again we are without one of these total smash games that you really, really want a piece of. Pricing has really tightened up over the last few weeks, and this seems like another challenging slate. Let's get into it.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Lamar Jackson $8,400 CAR 26.7
Jalen Hurts $8,200 IND 24.2
Josh Allen $8,500 CLE 22.9
Joe Burrow $6,800 PIT 19.2
Russell Wilson $5,800 LV 18.9

 

Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Russell Wilson $5,800 LV 18.9
Daniel Jones $5,700 DET 18.5
Lamar Jackson $8,400 CAR 26.7
Marcus Mariota $5,200 CHI 17.4
Jared Goff $8,200 NYG 16.8

Three of the big four quarterbacks are on the slate, but they are very expensive and have no shortage of holes to poke in their games for this week.

Lamar Jackson has a good matchup here but has been pretty disappointing in terms of DraftKings scoring this year. He's been under 20 points in five of his last six outings, so that makes me pretty hesitant to pay the big price for him. Jalen Hurts projects well, of course, but the matchup with the Colts is far from great.

Only two quarterbacks have gone over 20 DraftKings points against the Colts this year (Trevor Lawrence and Taylor Heinicke – and the Colts have played against Patrick Mahomes). Hurts will almost surely get over 20, but the Colts are a team that likes to slow it down and a blowout is a real possibility here as well if the Eagles get right after that tough Monday Night loss.

Then we have Josh Allen at $8,500. It was surprising that he played last week, but a good sign. He has had three pretty underwhelming fantasy scores in a row now (18 points, 25 points, 23 points) and that price tag is really, really prohibitive. If you're paying $8,000+ for a QB, you really want 30+ points – and I'm just not that sure that's very likely with any of these three guys this week.

The bad news is that the cheap options are all brutal right now. It feels really gross to consider Russell Wilson at this point, but he does get a matchup with the Raiders that has allowed a minimum of 16.2 DK points to quarterbacks this year. The Raiders also allowed Russ to score 27.5 points against them back in week four as he threw for 237 yards and two touchdowns while adding a rushing touchdown.

Daniel Jones would have to be the other cheap guy to consider in the great spot against the Lions. That game is pretty interesting overall. The Lions have allowed big scores to QBs all year (Fields 42, Smith 35, Wentz 31, Tagovailoa 32), and Jones comes in with a pretty high ceiling for a guy this cheap (he's run for more than 50 yards on three different occasions and has a 32 fantasy point game).

It's a tough call here, and the QB play will be determined based on what we can find at the other positions. Let's move on.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Running Backs

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Saquon Barkley $8,900 DET 22.0
Alvin Kamara $7,600 LAR 18.1
Dalvin Cook $8,000 DAL 16.3
Joe Mixon $7,400 PIT 15.9
Jonathan Taylor $7,800 PHI 14.9

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Saquon Barkley $8,900 DET 22.0
D'Andre Swift $6,100 NYG 14.8
Alvin Kamara $7,600 LAR 18.1
Nyheim Hines $5,000 CLE 11.1
Rhamondre Stevenson $6,700 NYJ 14.9

Another week, another smash spot for Saquon Barkley. He carried the ball 35 times last week and has a minimum of 18 touches this year. It's fairly easy to move the ball on the Lions, and Barkley is pretty much the only way the Giants do that. It's going to be a good game for Barkley – but the price has gotten to the point where you're hoping for 25+ from him to pay it off, and that's far from a sure thing.

Alvin Kamara checks in under $8,000 again after a really disappointing game against the Steelers. Kamara, I think, is somewhat matchup-proof since he gets so much work in the passing game, but the floor is certainly low here with the Saints having trouble scoring points most weeks.

The best options may be Joe Mixon and Rhamondre Stevenson, both priced pretty fairly with roles very close to that of Saquon Barkley. Stevenson has scored 23, 25, 24, 21, and 16 points in his last five games and has seen at least five targets in his last four games while averaging seven targets. That price doesn't seem right against the Jets. Jonathan Taylor gets a really tough matchup with the Eagles, but we know what his ceiling is like and the big-play ability is there.

A tough grouping at RB too, no doubt – but it's possible we get some value in Jaylen Warren ($4,900) who might step into the starting role if Najee Harris is unable to go. Even so, Warren has earned 15 carries and six targets over the last two weeks as his role is increasing (he's managed 21.2 DraftKings points in those last two weeks on the limited opportunity without the benefit of a touchdown). Keep an eye on that news.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Stefon Diggs $8,300 CLE 20.3
Justin Jefferson $9,100 DAL 20.0
CeeDee Lamb $7,500 MIN 18.9
Davante Adams $8,700 DEN 18.7
A.J. Brown $8,000 IND 16.3

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Chase Claypool $4,800 ATL 12.1
CeeDee Lamb $7,500 MIN 18.9
Stefon Diggs $8,300 CLE 20.3
Wan'Dale Robinson $4,600 DET 11.0
Terry McLaurin $5,900 HOU 13.9

Kupp and Hill are off the slate, but we still have Diggs and Jefferson here. Jefferson is in a tough matchup, although I don't think that matters – and Diggs looked just fine with banged-up Josh Allen last week, earning 16 targets and hauling in 12 balls for 128 yards. Diggs is probably the best play on the slate there, but CeeDee Lamb isn't too far behind since he's $800 cheaper.

The standout value option is Chase Claypool, who played just 17 snaps and ran seven routes in his Bears debut. Obviously, this projection is expecting an increased role for him next week, but it's an incredibly risky play. Wan'Dale Robinson is in a similar situation. The Giants are in that smash matchup and everybody has been expecting Robinson's role to increase as the year progresses, but that didn't happen in week 10 as he ran just 19 routes and saw only two targets. Risky stuff as usual under $5,000 at wide receiver.

The one spot not shown above is the Rams receiving corps. There are about a dozen extra targets to go around now with Cooper Kupp on the shelf, but it's anybody's guess how they will be distributed between Allen Robinson ($5,600), Van Jefferson ($4,500), and Ben Skowronek ($3,900). I think Skowronek might be a pretty good pay-down option since you don't need a ton at that price, and he should play a good amount of snaps in the slot. You could easily see a five-for-fifty game here which would be perfectly fine under $4,000 – but we should wait for smarter people than I to weigh in on that before clicking that button.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Tight Ends

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Mark Andrews $6,800 CAR 15.6
Tyler Higbee $4,000 NO 12.5
Dalton Schultz $4,300 MIN 10.9
T.J. Hockenson $5,300 DAL 10.8
Pat Freiermuth $4,200 CIN 9.6

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Tyler Higbee $4,000 NO 12.5
Dalton Schultz $4,300 MIN 10.9
Foster Moreau $3,700 DEN 8.90
Hayden Hurst $3,500 PIT 8.4
Dawson Knox $3,200 CLE 7.6

After a few weeks of just having nothing to look at in tight end territory, Mark Andrews has re-appeared! Andrews has been banged up and missed the Ravens' last game before the bye week, but I would expect him back and at least close to 100% – and the price has come down. He has gone over 20 points four times this year, which would be a huge advantage on this slate at tight end with very few other options.

The rest of the options are short of awful, as you can feel pretty good about getting a good amount of targets from Higbee, Schultz, and even Moreau – but the ceilings are low. Higbee will likely soak up some of those Kupp targets, he has five games this year with eight or more targets even with Kupp on the field - so five catches here feel very, very likely. He is probably the top per-dollar play at the tight end position, but Andrews is the guy I want the most.

 

That's it, we've popped the top on another tough Sunday NFL DFS slate. Hope this helps, or at least hope somebody enjoyed reading it. Good luck, and keep it locked on RotoBaller all week long!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Demarcus Robinson

Sentenced to Three Years of Probation
Jalen Nailor

In Line for WR3 Role in Minnesota
Andrew Thomas

Could Miss Start of 2025 Season
Alex Bregman

Expected to Return on Friday
Julio Rodríguez

Julio Rodriguez Won't Suit Up for Midsummer Classic
Trey Smith

Chiefs, Trey Smith Expected to Work Out Long-Term Extension
Bernhard Raimann

a Candidate for an Extension This Summer
C.J. Stroud

Could Sign Multi-Year Deal Before 2026 Season
Kyle Juszczyk

Says Christian McCaffrey Looks Healthy, Explosive
Kyren Williams

Showing Improved Explosiveness
Christian Barmore

"Dominant" this Spring
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Homers Twice, Drives in Three
Brice Matthews

Joining Astros
MLB

White Sox-Guardians Postponed on Thursday
Brandon Aiyuk

Likely to Begin Season on PUP List, but Not Ruled Out for Week 1
Jameson Williams

Not in the Team's Long-Term Plans?
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Micah Parsons

Plans to be Present for Start of Training Camp
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Ikem Ekwonu

Next Up for Extension in Carolina?
Jalen Thompson

Heading into Last Year With Cardinals?
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Najee Harris

Suffers Eye Injury in Fireworks Mishap
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Alex Bregman

Will Return to Red Sox This Weekend
Chris Sale

Braves Won't Consider Trading Chris Sale
Clarke Schmidt

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery on Friday
Nick Nash

Unlikely to Make Falcons Active Roster
Lane Johnson

in No Rush To Retire
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Blake Corum

has "Gotten His Speed Back"
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Byron Buxton

Sitting Thursday
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Homers Twice on Wednesday
Mike Trout

Homers Twice in Win Over Rangers
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Leads Yankees to Victory
Salvador Perez

Crushes Two Homers in Win
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Devin Booker

Agrees to Extension with Phoenix
Trevor Williams

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Byron Buxton

Exits After Hit-by-Pitch, X-Rays Negative
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Playing on Wednesday
Alex Bregman

has "Really Good Chance" to Return Before All-Star Break
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Expected to Return on Friday
Walter Clayton Jr.

Leads Jazz to Summer League Win
Carter Bryant

Struggles in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Drops a Double-Double in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Oklahoma City Thunder

Malevy Leons Logs Impressive Summer League Outing on Tuesday
Dalton Knecht

Collects 25 Points in Lakers Summer League Win
Los Angeles Lakers

Darius Bazley Drops 27 Points in Summer League on Tuesday
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Alex Bregman

Not Returning Wednesday
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF