Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Buy or Sell - Undervalued and Overvalued Players for Week 9


We are nearly a third of the way through the fantasy season and things are starting to figure themselves out. For example, Kris Bryant has seemingly found his stroke and shut the window closed on buy-low opportunities. Several other players around the league are also beginning to find their groove, yet there are still a few inefficiencies out there to take advantage of.

Lucas Giolito is an interesting case to feature in the piece this week. I'm sure it is no secret how dominant his most recent start against the Astros was (9IP, 5 baserunners, 9K, CGSO) but for some reason, he is still available in certain leagues. It is weird when a player goes from overvalued (specifically Gio, the former top pitching prospect) to undervalued in a matter of a season. Sometimes it takes a mechanical tweak, getting healthy, or even dash of good fortune. Whatever the change may be for Giolito, it is working. His 2.77 ERA and 1.06 WHIP are eye candy for owners. He probably won't keep THIS up, but should be plenty good throughout the year.

Anyway, these buys and sells are where your focus should be for this upcoming week. Best of luck dealing.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!

 

Undervalued Players - Week 9

These players could be worth trying to add or acquire as long as you're not paying for preseason value. Ideally, they are just lying around on your wire and you can add them straight up or for a few extra FAAB dollars.

 

Lucas Giolito - SP, CHW

66% owned

This is pretty obvious after his shut out of the HOUSTON ASTROS on Thursday. I would not be placing Giolito in this piece if not for his 66 percent ownership. The guy is a must-own starter in all leagues. He is breaking out to an extent. Although he may not be the ace that was promised, he is pitching at a very high level and worthy of fantasy ownership.

Giolito's xFIP and SIERA are under four, his strikeout rate is nearly 30 percent and his walk rate is down from last year. The velocity is up on his fastball and he is killing with his changeup. Giolito should not be available on your waiver wire. If he is, BUY. Spend an exorbitant amount of FAAB if you have to. If an owner in your league thinks this is a fluke, go pull the rug from under him. This is legit.

 

Jurickson Profar - 1B/2B/3B/SS, OAK

50% owned

Profar has been bad. Better of late, but still bad. I do not love the idea of having him on any of my rosters, but for someone in a deeper league where he's available on the wire or via trade, he's worth taking a flier on. Profar's transition from Texas to Oakland has been very ugly. The change in home park has clearly affected his performance. Oakland Stadium is a black hole for most hitters, even former top prospects.

Profar's breakout season in 2018 had plenty of folks believing in him around the mid-rounds of preseason drafts, but now he's available in about half of Yahoo's leagues. Profar is not a must-own by any means but should be better than he has been. A sub-.200 BABIP is sinking his average and his power is coming according to Statcast. Nothing extraordinary should be expected from him ROS, but there will be a gradual improvement that adds value. The walks are down, however, so are his strikeouts. There is nothing too egregious in his profile making it seem like his early season is nothing more than a fluke.

Grab him if you need infield depth.

 

Ronald Acuna Jr. - OF, ATL

99% owned

"Hey Kev, how is a first rounder that has not exactly underperformed undervalued?" Well, as good as Acuna's been, he should be even better. The former top prospect has not disappointed but is not really setting the world on fire either...yet. His Statcast numbers suggest that both his batting and slugging averages could take a jump in the near future.

He has been relatively quiet since his mid-April heater. Three home runs in two games this past week should keep his value high, but it is likely that he could be available for the right price in your redraft leagues. Not only is his power around the corner, but so are his steals. Guy has hardly been unleashed on the base paths. There could be 20 left in the tank for this year. His success rate in the MLB thus far is high enough to keep the green light on when he has the chance.

I would be aggressively targeting RAJ in every league I could to pry him away and reap the benefits of his potential ROS spoils.

 

Overvalued Players - Week 9

Overvalued does not always mean SELL. Players here are just showing enough red flags that warrant the overvalued tag.

 

Eduardo Escobar - (3B, ARI)

77% owned

Escobar has been scorching hot over the past month-ish. Since April 20th, he has hit 11 of his 12 home runs on the season. Call me a pessimist, but this pace is not going to keep up throughout the year. Escobar's career high in home runs (23) came in his first full season last year. While he should definitely crack that mark regardless of how much he slows down, the average, along with his counting stats should take a hit as the year rolls on. Arizona's offense is not the most potent and just lost David Peralta for the immediate future.

Escobar's lack of steals and reliance on home runs make him a risky hold going forward. If anyone in your league needs middle infield depth, throw Esco's name out and see if they bite on the hot streak. Obviously, don't drop him straight to the wire if he sticks around, but don't expect much more than what we have already seen.

 

Gleyber Torres - (2B/SS, NYY)

98% owned

Unless the Yankees plan on playing Baltimore for every other series this season, I would advise getting off the Gleyber train soon. He has been SCORCHING against the Orioles and pretty mediocre against the rest of the field (10 of Torres' 12 home runs have come against the Orioles).

If he stole bases consistently, maybe I'd reconsider this decision, but that just is not the case. Torres is a valuable player in a potentially even more loaded lineup but lacks the overall fantasy appeal for now (at the very least he is not hitting ninth anymore). The upside is still plentiful, we just have to see him unlock it against better competition before making any hasty decisions.

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice




More Recent Articles

 

Waiver Wire Express - Week 15 Lightning Round

An injury-laden Week 14 decided many matchups, with several big names going down in a Red Wedding-esque affair. Not only was Josh Jacobs was a late inactive, but Jared Cook, Devante Parker, Albert Wilson all left with concussions, Mike Evans pulled up with a hamstring injury, Calvin Ridley and Ryan Griffin hurt their ankles, Derrius... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Jared Cook has been ruled out of the game after... Read More


Week 14 Chat - Live Fantasy Football Game Day Q&A

It's Sunday Morning Week 14... Do You Know Who to Start? Each Sunday morning of the NFL season, RotoBaller's experts will be moderating the industry's leading live chat room and answering a bunch of your fantasy football questions, from around 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET. Come join in on the fun, and get your... Read More


Updated Week 14 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 14 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 14 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Will Fuller (hamstring) is expected to miss Week 14. Adam Thielen (hamstring) has officially been ruled out. Le'Veon Bell... Read More


Fantasy Football Mailbag - Q&A for Week 14

This article's content may vary week-to-week, but generally, it will be answering questions fielded from either the @RotoBallerNFL twitter account or my personal one (@RotoSurgeon). This week, the focus is on start/sit questions, and there were plenty. Every week, many of us struggle with which quarterback to start, or who to flex, and I am... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 14

Welcome to our Week 14 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More


Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 14

In Week 13, Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill were the high-end options that had great matchups. Adams had a huge two-touchdown game while Hill only came up with 55 scoreless yards, falling victim to game flow as the Chiefs led from start to finish, scoring a defensive touchdown in the process. Several of the wide receivers... Read More


Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More


Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 14

Welcome to Week 14, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football playoffs. These player selections are based on my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More


NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 14) - Targets and Avoids

If there were a dozen people left in a survivor pool this past week, odds are those pools are down to just several. The upsets began Thursday when the Bills beat the Cowboys, and continued Sunday when the Dolphins and Redskins won as 10-point underdogs. If you're somehow still alive in your pool with just... Read More


Week 14 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that the playoffs are beginning in most leagues and the final march for a championship has begun, streaming becomes a  necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions could easily be the difference in winning a championship.... Read More


Fantasy Football Playoff RB Handcuffs: Add Them Now!

The fantasy football postseason has begun, so it’s time to re-evaluate your depth, especially at running back. With only three weeks left on most fantasy scoreboards and each matchup possibly being your last, there is no more time for stashing players for potential contributions later. You also cannot waste roster space on guys who will... Read More


Fleaflicker's Most Added and Dropped: Week 14

Week 13 just served to remind us all that anything can happen in the National Football League and that you can't ever look past the New York Jets when you're trying to lose. The Cincinnati Bengals learned that lesson on Sunday, beating the Jets handily in a game that wasn't even as close as the... Read More