Doug's best MLB player prop bets for today (4/14/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Wilyer Abreu, Kyle Schwarber, James Wood, and Chase DeLauter.
So many games, so many options for home run bets. How in the world do we narrow them down? Today I’m looking heavily at platoon splits, especially as it pertains to Hard% and ISO. The harder a ball gets hit, the more likely it is to leave the yard. Thankfully, several players have been pounding the baseball that we can choose from.
To narrow things down further, I’m looking at recent form and trying to find players who are white hot or whose underlying stats indicate they are due to put one over the fence tonight. History against a pitcher helped me hone in on a few bats, and bingo-boingo, we have four guys who I absolutely love tonight. I’ll be betting each of these players individually, and will also sprinkle some pizza money on a round robin to try to pull a monster return.
Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get more value on your wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.
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MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (4/14/2026)
Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Tuesday, April 14.
| Hitter | Team | Opponent | HR Odds | Sportsbook |
| Wilyer Abreu | Red Sox | Twins | +475 | BetMGM |
| James Wood | Nationals | Pirates | +475 | Bet365 |
| Chase DeLauter | Guardians | Cardinals | +510 | Fanatics |
| Kyle Schwarber | Phillies | Cubs | +215 | Fanatics |
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+475 BetMGM)
You could go in a lot of directions with Boston bats today as it pertains to home runs. Roman Anthony has the highest Hard% against righties on the team since last season at 45%, but he’s only hit one home run and just three extra-base hits this season. He could hit one today, given his history against right-handed pitching, but I’d rather take slightly worse odds and go with a guy who has shown his power potential in 2026.
That guy is Wilyer Abreu. Although he hasn’t gone long in about two weeks, he’s still rocking a .593 SLG, nearly 300 points higher than Anthony. Abreu’s specialty is hammering righties, posting a team-leading .244 ISO over the past two seasons. His 37.2% Hard% is lower than Anthony's, but it’s still good enough for second on the team, and his 24 home runs against righties lead the team since the start of the 2025 season.
Twins starter Mick Abel hasn’t allowed a home run yet this year, but that’s only half of the story. He’s been hit hard by left-handed bats, allowing a .526 SLG on the season. Abel has also been a bit wild, issuing 10 walks over 13.1 innings. That’s the kind of inaccuracy that will lead to an early hook, putting the onus on the Twins' bullpen, which has the ninth-worst ERA in the league.
James Wood (WSH) OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+475 Bet365)
I went back and forth for this entry between O’Neil Cruz and James Wood, both of whom will play in this game. Cruz is doing things to a baseball that seem inhumane at times, and he has a great matchup against Miles Mikolas, so why did I decide on Wood? Upon further inspection, as much as Cruz is pounding baseballs, Wood may be even more aggressive.
Wood has three of the eleven hardest hit balls so far this year, each of which had an exit velocity of over 115 MPH. He’s also playing some of the best ball of his career, riding a seven-game hitting streak that has seen him put up a .500 AVG and four home runs. In his career, he’s hit Mitch Keller well, batting .333 with a home run and a .778 SLG in nine at-bats. Over the past two seasons, Wood has a .235 ISO and 41.6% Hard% against right-handed pitching.
The future is here — and his name is James Wood.
Your MLB Player of the Week! 🔥#Nats | #MLB | #JamesWood pic.twitter.com/LG9syET6ad
— TheNatsReport 🇺🇸 ⚾ (@TheNatsReport) April 13, 2026
Keller has struggled against lefties, with a .441 SLG, 34.8% Hard%, and only 17.5% K-rate. Keller hasn’t allowed a homer yet this year, but he has given up 18 fly balls compared to 20 ground balls. With the weather heating up in the eastern part of the country, it’s only a matter of time before those fly balls start to leave the yard. If you want to get aggressive, I’d sprinkle a same-game parlay on Wood and Cruz to both go yard, given how well both are playing.
Chase DeLauter (CLE) OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+510 Fanatics)
Chase DeLauter hit four home runs over the first three games of the season, finishing the first week with five long balls. He’s yet to hit a home run since then, so should we be worried? I think not, as DeLauter is still crushing the ball; they just haven’t left the park. Over the past five games, DeLauter has a .333 batting average with a double in each of his last four games. He’s also seeing the ball well, walking in four of his past five games, while only recording one strikeout.
For the season, DeLauter has a ridiculous .471 ISO and a 46.4% Hard% against right-handed pitching. He clearly can’t keep up that kind of pace, but his four-to-one BB:K rate over these five games speaks to his ability to get his bat on the ball.
Cleveland #Guardians OF Chase DeLauter picked up an outfield assist tonight against the Braves nailing the runner at second.
DeLauter also reached base 3x (2-2 2B BB) and is currently hitting .300 with a 1.059 OPS.#GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/5Z6iaQSeOh
— Guardians Prospective (@CleGuardPro) April 13, 2026
He couldn’t have a much better matchup tonight, as he will face Cardinals’ righty, Michael McGreevy. He’s allowed a .486 SLG while only striking out 14.3% of the lefty bats he’s faced over the past two years. If he can’t miss bats, a guy like DeLauter, with his immense power, becomes even more of a threat. Given his current form, I’d hedge a DeLauter home run bet with a bet of over 1.5 bases, and if he knocks one out, you scoop both bets.
Kyle Schwarber OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+215 Fanatics)
Outside of Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani, is there a better pure power hitter in the game than Kyle Schwarber? His .318 ISO and 45.7% Hard% against righties over the past two years is ridiculous. Schwarber leads the team with 37 home runs, a 151 wRC+, and a .552 SLG against right-handed pitching since the start of last year, and his lead over the next-best player on the team is massive.
He only has four home runs this year, but has an extra-base hit in each of his past two games and could be starting to heat up. He’s faced Colin Rea 11 times in his career and has three hits, including a home run and a .930 OPS. Rea has allowed a .494 SLG against left-handed bats over the past two years, a number surpassed by only three arms on tonight’s slate.
This game takes place at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, which was the third-most home-run-friendly stadium over the past three seasons. Kyle Schwarber has smashed at home over the past two seasons, recording a .640 SLG and .381 ISO.
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