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Fantasy Baseball Sell-Highs: Early-Season Overachievers to Trade Away? (Week 11)

Braxton Ashcraft - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Joey's fantasy baseball sell-highs, overvalued players to consider trading away. These hitters and pitchers have overperformed early and may bust going forward.

One of the hardest things in fantasy baseball is knowing when the right time is to sell a player. Sometimes, it's best to keep that starting pitcher who continues to put up zeros on the mound or that hitter who can't be stopped. Sometimes, though, it's best to sell high on these players because their fantasy value will never be higher.

For this week, we'll look at five of the biggest early-season overachievers. These five players are sell-high candidates in Week 11 of the fantasy baseball season. This list will feature a second-round pick from fantasy drafts this spring, a hitter who has turned things around recently, and one pitcher in the midst of a career year on the mound.

So, let's dive into the best sell-high candidates. All starts are through June 3.

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Kyle Tucker, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Kyle Tucker hasn't necessarily been that elite fantasy option this season. He's slashing just .243/.350/.399 with five home runs, two doubles, four stolen bases, and 29 RBI across 59 games this season and has batted only .245 with two home runs since May 1. Still, Tucker is a sell-high candidate because of his name value alone.

There are fantasy managers who probably believe that better days are ahead for Tucker, especially after his 3-for-5 day with one home run and two RBI on Wednesday. His 424-foot home run in that game came off the bat at 107.6 mph. However, Tucker is a clear sell at this point in the season. His metrics are down across the board from last year, and there are some concerning signs with his bat moving forward.

Tucker currently ranks in the bottom half of the league in expected slugging (.388), average exit velocity (89.2%), barrel rate (5.8%), hard-hit rate (40.5%), and bat speed (71.5 mph). Given that his barrel rate is down 5% from last year and his expected slugging ranks in the 38th percentile, it's hard to imagine him finishing with elite power numbers this year.

There is also always the injury concern with Tucker, as he has missed significant time in each of the past two seasons. While the Dodgers outfielder will provide solid all-around numbers, he's not the fantasy superstar that you drafted him as. Managers should look to capitalize on his recent 6-for-19 turnaround.

 

Jarren Duran, OF, Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran has been on another level at the plate the last few weeks. Duran is slashing .319/.380/.681 with six home runs, three doubles, two triples, 15 RBI, and one stolen base over his last 16 contests. This hot stretch comes after the former All-Star batted just .174 with four home runs and 44 strikeouts in his first 39 games.

It has been nice to see the 29-year-old finally post strong numbers following a slow start. But fantasy managers should capitalize on Duran's recent hot offensive stretch and trade him away. The Red Sox outfielder is not going to be hitting this well the rest of the season and will eventually regress back to his early-season self. Duran has a .304 xwOBA, a .234 expected batting average, and a .397 expected slugging on the year.

Additionally, the lefty slugger ranks in the 41st percentile in hard-hit rate (40%), 25th percentile in launch angle sweet-spot rate (31%), 18th percentile in squared-up rate (21.1%), 24th percentile in chase rate (34.3%), 6th percentile in whiff rate (34.9%), and 15th percentile in strikeout rate (28.7%). Having both a high whiff rate and strikeout rate could lead to plenty of rough stretches throughout the year.

So, make the right move and trade away Duran in all formats. This is a player who had no fantasy value just a few weeks ago.

 

Michael Soroka, SP, Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks starting pitcher Michael Soroka deserves a ton of credit for the way he has thrown the ball lately. He has a 2.48 ERA, 2.74 FIP, and 30 strikeouts in his last six starts. Soroka has allowed two runs or fewer in five of these six outings and held his own for the most part in his latest outing against the Dodgers. Although he gave up four runs across six innings, all of that damage came in the first two innings.

Despite the positive results from Soroka on the mound recently, the Diamondbacks right-hander is someone to sell high at this point in the season. His strikeout numbers are down across his last three outings, as he has a 15.7% strikeout rate during this stretch, and some negative regression is definitely headed his way within the next few weeks.

His expected ERA (4.07) is 58 points higher than his actual ERA (3.49), his expected slugging against (.416) is 38 points higher than his actual expected slugging against (.378), and his expected batting average against (.259), whiff rate (22.8%), and barrel rate (8.2%) all rank in the bottom half of the league. Those are all clear signs that some negative regression could affect his numbers moving forward.

 

Liam Hicks, C/1B, Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins catcher Liam Hicks has been one of the best waiver wire pickups this season. He is slashing .268/.352/.475 with 12 home runs, five doubles, 46 RBI, and one stolen base across 60 games, and his rostership has risen to 87% in Yahoo! leagues. His power upside has no doubt been on display in the early going.

However, now would be a good time to trade away Hicks in most leagues. He is batting only .188 with three home runs and four RBI in his last 14 games since May 20, and there are some question marks about whether the lefty slugger can continue to be a strong fantasy option moving forward. His below-average metrics across several key categories are why the 27-year-old is a sell-high.

His expected slugging (.383) is 92 points lower than his actual slugging (.475), and his average exit velocity (86.4 mph), barrel rate (5%), hard-hit rate (33.1%), launch angle sweet-spot rate (26.5%), and bat speed (68 mph) all rank in the bottom 25% of the league.

Those poor batted-ball metrics will eventually catch up to Hicks, which is why it's a smart idea to sell him in Week 11 of the fantasy baseball season.

 

Braxton Ashcraft, RP/SP, Pittsburgh Pirates

There aren't many negative things to say about Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Braxton Ashcraft. He has a 2.77 ERA, a 1.031 WHIP, and a 27.3% strikeout rate in his first 12 starts, and finished the month of May with a 1.99 ERA and a 26.4% strikeout rate. His best start last month actually came in his final outing, when he threw six innings of two-run ball with a career-high 11 strikeouts against the Twins.

The reason, though, that Ashcraft finds himself on this list is due to potential workload concerns down the stretch. The right-hander is only 26 years old and has never thrown more than 118 innings in a season in his young career. He threw 52 2/3 combined innings in the minors in 2023, pitched 73 innings in the minors in 2024, and threw 118 combined innings between the majors and minors last year.

This year, Ashcraft is already at 74 2/3 innings pitched, and we are not even halfway through the season. He has completed at least six innings in six straight starts and is on pace to throw over 200 innings in his first full Major League season. That's ultimately why the Pirates pitcher is a sell-high at this point in the year.

The Pirates are either going to limit him in the second half (similar to how the Rays limited Drew Rasmussen down the stretch last year) or keep throwing him out there and see his numbers regress because he's not used to the heavy workload.

Ashcraft has been dominant on the mound to start the 2026 campaign, but this could be a prime opportunity to land a superstar player in return for a pitcher who could see some innings restrictions later in the season.

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