👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Football ADP Analysis - Mark Ingram vs. LeSean McCoy

It's never too early to start preparing for your fantasy football drafts, and RotoBaller is here to help. In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in drafts.

This article comes from RotoBaller's lead columnist Bill Dubiel (@Roto_Dubs) and featured writer Ben Ruppert (@Ben_Ruppert_21). Bill will defend Mark Ingram and his prospects in the still-dangerous New Orleans offense, while Ben extols the virtues of perennial fantasy superstar LeSean McCoy, who will once again lead the ground-and-pound Rex Ryan offense in Buffalo. Feel free to reach out to either or both with questions or opinions.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium NFL Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the preseason tools to help win your drafts, and in-season tools to win your seasonal and daily leagues: Draft Kit, Premium Rankings, ADP Sleepers Tool, Matchup Ratings for every player, Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. 

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Mark Ingram (RB, NO) - Bill Dubiel

The big-bodied (5'10", 215 lbs), bruising tailback for the New Orleans Saints was on his way to a career year in 2015 before his season was cut short by a torn rotator cuff. He made his presence known in the 12 games he did play in, averaging 64.1 yards per game on the ground and another 33.8 through the air. You don't typically see a player with his body type making a difference in the passing game, but Ingram did just that with an average of 4.2 catches per game. Total all of that up and you have one hell of a fantasy running back--Ingram finished as a top-15 standard back and a top-12 PPR back with only 12 total games played. Did I mention he only fumbled once all season?

Let's say he was healthy. Project those numbers out and you get 1,025 yards on the ground on 221 rushes, eight touchdowns, 540 yards through the air (on 66 catches). If those were in fact his numbers, he would have been the third-best overall running back in 2015, behind only Devonta Freeman and Adrian Peterson in standard and 0.5 PPR leagues. In a full PPR league, he's second behind Freeman. We will of course allow for some regression, but even if you lop 100 yards off in either category you're still looking at a top-five back.

Ingram will turn 27 during the 2016 season, meaning there is plenty of tread on the tires, and the Saints offense has a very real chance to be even better overall in 2016. Stud rookie Michael Thomas should make an immediate impact in the receiving corps with Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead, and Drew Brees will continue to sling it around the yard as he has for the last decade. This ever-present threat should leave plenty of room up the middle for Ingram to do damage. Furthermore, the Saints defense isn't a whole lot better than last year, meaning that the Saints will play in plenty of shootouts. C.J. Spiller can't stay healthy, and even when he was on the field Ingram was the more productive receiving back. Ingram should continue to play the role of feature back, although he'll likely lose a few snaps to Travaris Cadet. Tim Hightower, the savior of many a fantasy season last year (including mine) is no more than a low-end handcuff.

Ultimately Ingram is an underrated feature back in a prolific offense who can be had for cheap (relatively speaking, of course). His ADP right now is around 23, which puts him in the late-second/early-third round. He's capable of being a top-five back, and makes for the ideal choice after snagging one or two stud wide receivers with your early picks.

 

LeSean McCoy (RB, BUF) - Ben Ruppert

After a season that saw him play in only 12 games, LeSean McCoy is underrated coming into the 2016 season. Currently being drafted as the 12th overall running back, Shady brings all aspects of the game together into one complete package. Last season he collected 1,192 yards from scrimmage with five scores, averaging 19.5 touches per game. McCoy has 10,261 yards from scrimmage through his age-27 season, which ranks 11th-highest all time. When Shady gets the ball in his hands, he knows how to make things happen. Of course, narratives will always get in the way on draft day:

“LeSean McCoy is another year older.”

“28 is the year running backs fall off the face of the earth.”

“No one has carried the ball more since his rookie season in 2009.”

While these are valid concerns, will not affect McCoy in the 2016 season. Shady doesn’t run with the pounding, bruising style that wears other running backs out. Watching him juke defenders out of their cleats is a thing of beauty, and he's still perfectly capable of doing it.

Let’s look at another Bills running back, Thurman Thomas. Both McCoy and Thomas are listed at 5’10”, played at a similar weight (between 210-215), and both were great at hitting holes and catching passes. In his age 28 season, Thomas collected 1,442 yards from scrimmage, while catching 50 passes. Outside of his rookie season, McCoy has topped 1,400 yards every year he has played at least 15 games. Plain and simple; if McCoy can stay healthy, he is going to be one of the most productive backs in the league. 45 running backs have topped 1,200 yards at age 28 or older. McCoy is extremely talented, and there is no reason he can’t be the 46th.

McCoy is currently the top back on the depth chart, followed by Karlos Williams, Mike Gillislee, and rookie Jonathan Williams. Karlos Williams will take some short yardage carries and spell Shady on the field at times, but he hasn’t proven to be a factor in the passing game yet. The sophomore had some nice moments last season, but came into camp this season out of shape. Gillislee and Jonathan Williams will make minimal impacts as the third and fouth running backs. With quarterback Tyrod Taylor poised to take a step forward this season, it will open up running lanes for Shady to bust through. Over the past five seasons the Bills have averaged a top-10 rushing offense, and in 2015 they were ranked number one in the NFL. Until last season, this was done with Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller. Talented backs, but McCoy is on a different level. The Bills are going to run the ball, and Shady is their clear-cut number one back.

McCoy is being drafted at #27 overall. If you can get him in the late second or early third round, you will be getting a solid, proven running back in one of the best rushing offenses in the league, who can also catch upwards of 50 passes. He will be able to put up big numbers in both PPR and standard scoring leagues.

 
WHO WON? WHO DO YOU WANT TO SEE NEXT? TWEET @ROTOBALLER AND LET US KNOW!

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Firmly Entrenched in Top Tier of Dynasty Receivers
Drew Allar

Wasn't Always Set Up to Succeed in College
Darnell Washington

Trending Down in a New-Look Offense?
Saquon Barkley

Still a Dynasty Target for Managers Looking to Win Now
Fernando Mendoza

Will Fernando Mendoza's Skill Set Translate to the NFL?
Michael Wilson

Could Actually Benefit From Cardinals' Quarterback Situation
Michael Penix Jr.

Falcons Unsure on Michael Penix Jr.'s Status for Training Camp
C.J. Stroud

Texans Praise C.J. Stroud for Offseason Work
Jake Ferguson

a Lower-Cost TE1 in Dynasty Leagues
Tyrese Maxey

Limited to 13 Points in Second-Round Opener
Tyreek Hill

Is a Reunion with Kansas City in the Cards for Tyreek Hill?
Joel Embiid

Stays Quiet in Game 1 Against Knicks
Brock Bowers

Back Atop the Dynasty Rankings
Jalen Brunson

Torches 76ers With 35 Points Monday
Dylan Harper

Leads Spurs With 18 Points Monday
Mack Hollins

a Dynasty Faller as Patriots Re-Tool the Offense
Julius Randle

Collects First Double-Double of Postseason
Anthony Edwards

Tallies 18 Points in Comeback Game
Mike Gesicki

a Low-Cost Dynasty Depth Piece with Insurance Upside
Victor Wembanyama

Posts Unique Triple-Double
Jackson LaCombe

Sets New Record With Another Assist
Mikael Granlund

Continues Postseason Success With Third Goal
Mitchell Marner

Notches Two Points in Series-Opening Win
Ben Griffin

Looks Solid on the Surface Heading to Charlotte
Taylor Hall

Makes History With Overtime Winner
Rickie Fowler

Faces a Challenge at Quail Hollow
Nikolaj Ehlers

Collects Two Points in Comeback Win
Cale Makar

Good to Go for Game 2 Against Wild
Gary Woodland

on a Nice Wave Approaching Truist Championship
Ridly Greig

Suspended for Two Games
Sepp Straka

Hoping for More Success at Truist Championship
J.J. Spaun

Approaching Charlotte With Optimism
Alex Smalley

Carries Momentum into Truist Championship
Nicolai Hojgaard

Roller Coaster Heads to Charlotte
Keegan Bradley

Desperate to Bounce Back from Doral Encounter
Dallas Mavericks

Masai Ujiri Hired as Mavericks Team President
Anthony Edwards

to Come Off Bench Monday
Chicago Bulls

Bryson Graham Hired as Bulls Lead Executive
Jalen Williams

Sidelined Tuesday vs Lakers
Carter Bryant

Unavailable for Game 1 Against Minnesota
Anthony Edwards

Set to Return Monday with Restrictions
Joel Embiid

is Cleared for Monday's Game 1
Kevin Huerter

is Questionable for Tuesday's Contest
Ayo Dosunmu

is Ruled Out for Game 1 on Monday
Jeremy Sochan

is Available for Game 1 on Monday
Roman Anthony

Pulled Early on Monday After Tweaking his Wrist
Jhoan Duran

to Come Off the Injured List on Tuesday
Owen Tippett

Remains Out Monday
Roope Hintz

Recovering From Hamstring Injury
Tyler Seguin

Expects to Be Ready for Training Camp
Sam Carrick

Could Practice Tuesday
Alexander Nikishin

Won't Play Monday
Jeremy Lauzon

Expected to Miss Round 2
William Karlsson

Rejoins Golden Knights Lineup Monday
Jackson Chourio

Brewers Reinstate Jackson Chourio From the Injured List
Malachi Fields

Could be "Power Forward" at Wide Receiver
Fernando Mendoza

Working on Playing Under Center
Cleveland Browns

Browns Not Naming a Leader in the QB Battle
Anthony Richardson Sr.

Reports for Voluntary Offseason Workouts
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Losing Patience With Aaron Rodgers?
Skylar Thompson

Ravens Expected to Sign Skylar Thompson
DJ Giddens

Can DJ Giddens Re-Establish His Dynasty Value After Underwhelming Rookie Season?
Desmond Ridder

Packers Sign Tyrod Taylor, Release Desmond Ridder
Tarik Skubal

to Undergo Elbow Surgery
Chase Elliott

Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
Alex Bowman

Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
Tyler Reddick

Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
CFB

Bryce Underwood in Better Situation Entering Sophomore Season
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Emerging as Leader, Playmaker for UCLA
Raisel Iglesias

to be Activated on Tuesday
Orlando Magic

Jamahl Mosley Out as Magic Head Coach
Scottie Barnes

Caps Season with Efficient Game 7 Showing
Donovan Mitchell

Finishes with 22 Points in Deciding Game
Jarrett Allen

Leads Frontcourt Effort with 19 Rebounds
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Shines At UFC Perth
Jakub Dobes

Backstops Canadiens to Game 7 Victory
Beneil Dariush

Suffers A First-Round TKO Loss
Quillan Salkilld

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Quinn Hughes

Takes Over Postseason Scoring Lead With Three-Point Effort
Cale Makar

Shakes Off Injury to Collect Three Points in Game 1
Owen Tippett

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Logan Stanley

Practices Fully Sunday
Sam Carrick

Will Miss Second-Round Matchup
Tim Elliott

Drops Decision At UFC Perth
Noah Ostlund

Expected to Miss Round 2
Steve Erceg

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ollie Schmid

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Marwan Rahiki

Remains Unbeaten
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote No. 1-Ranked Prospect Bryce Eldridge to MLB Roster
Anthony Volpe

Reinstated From Injured List, Optioned to Triple-A
Ranger Suarez

Exits Sunday's Start With Hamstring Tightness
Agustín Ramírez

Marlins Demote Agustin Ramirez to Triple-A
Ben Rice

Exits Sunday's Contest With Left-Hand Contusion
Christopher Bell

Is Christopher Bell Worth Rostering for Texas Lineups?
Cal Raleigh

Considered Day-to-Day With Soreness in his Side
William Byron

Might have the Speed to Compete for the Win at Texas
Joey Logano

Provides Solid Upside for Texas DFS Lineups
Joe Ryan

Exits Early From Start on Sunday Due to Elbow Soreness
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Pick for Texas Lineups?
Ty Gibbs

Should DFS Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Texas?
Daniel Suarez

Is Daniel Suarez Worth Rostering After Career-Best Starting Position at Texas?
Daniel Palencia

Cubs Reinstate Daniel Palencia From the Injured List on Sunday
Kyle Busch

Is a DFS Risk Starting in the Top 10 at Texas
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Place Ronald Acuna Jr. on Injured List With Strained Hamstring
Nick Lodolo

Expected to Make Season Debut on Friday
Tyler Reddick

One of the Favorites to Win at Texas
Chase Elliott

Could Contend for Another Win at Texas
Carson Hocevar

on Pole at Texas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wrecks in Practice at Texas
Chris Buescher

Looking to Continue Strong Run at Texas
Austin Dillon

Blows Engine in Practice at Texas
Cal Raleigh

Scratched From Lineup, No Reason Given
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits With Left-Hamstring Tightness
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Leaves With Side Tightness, Considered Day-to-Day
Jacob Misiorowski

Leaves Start Early on Friday With Hamstring Cramp
Brandon Nimmo

Aggravates Hamstring, Pulled Early on Friday
Ryan Helsley

Placed on Injured List With Elbow Inflammation
Jack Della Maddalena

Returns At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Set For UFC Perth Main Event
Quillan Salkilld

Set For Co-Main Event
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC Perth
Steve Erceg

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Tim Elliott

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Ollie Schmid

Set For His UFC Debut
Marwan Rahiki

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Gary Woodland

Riding Momentum Into Cadillac Championship
Jordan Spieth

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Cadillac Championship
Adam Scott

Looks Poised for Another Strong Finish at Doral
Maverick McNealy

Needs Approach Game to Click at Doral
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF