👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


2016 Fantasy Football ADP Analysis - Mark Ingram vs. LeSean McCoy

It's never too early to start preparing for your fantasy football drafts, and RotoBaller is here to help. In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in drafts.

This article comes from RotoBaller's lead columnist Bill Dubiel (@Roto_Dubs) and featured writer Ben Ruppert (@Ben_Ruppert_21). Bill will defend Mark Ingram and his prospects in the still-dangerous New Orleans offense, while Ben extols the virtues of perennial fantasy superstar LeSean McCoy, who will once again lead the ground-and-pound Rex Ryan offense in Buffalo. Feel free to reach out to either or both with questions or opinions.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium NFL Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the preseason tools to help win your drafts, and in-season tools to win your seasonal and daily leagues: Draft Kit, Premium Rankings, ADP Sleepers Tool, Matchup Ratings for every player, Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. 

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Mark Ingram (RB, NO) - Bill Dubiel

The big-bodied (5'10", 215 lbs), bruising tailback for the New Orleans Saints was on his way to a career year in 2015 before his season was cut short by a torn rotator cuff. He made his presence known in the 12 games he did play in, averaging 64.1 yards per game on the ground and another 33.8 through the air. You don't typically see a player with his body type making a difference in the passing game, but Ingram did just that with an average of 4.2 catches per game. Total all of that up and you have one hell of a fantasy running back--Ingram finished as a top-15 standard back and a top-12 PPR back with only 12 total games played. Did I mention he only fumbled once all season?

Let's say he was healthy. Project those numbers out and you get 1,025 yards on the ground on 221 rushes, eight touchdowns, 540 yards through the air (on 66 catches). If those were in fact his numbers, he would have been the third-best overall running back in 2015, behind only Devonta Freeman and Adrian Peterson in standard and 0.5 PPR leagues. In a full PPR league, he's second behind Freeman. We will of course allow for some regression, but even if you lop 100 yards off in either category you're still looking at a top-five back.

Ingram will turn 27 during the 2016 season, meaning there is plenty of tread on the tires, and the Saints offense has a very real chance to be even better overall in 2016. Stud rookie Michael Thomas should make an immediate impact in the receiving corps with Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead, and Drew Brees will continue to sling it around the yard as he has for the last decade. This ever-present threat should leave plenty of room up the middle for Ingram to do damage. Furthermore, the Saints defense isn't a whole lot better than last year, meaning that the Saints will play in plenty of shootouts. C.J. Spiller can't stay healthy, and even when he was on the field Ingram was the more productive receiving back. Ingram should continue to play the role of feature back, although he'll likely lose a few snaps to Travaris Cadet. Tim Hightower, the savior of many a fantasy season last year (including mine) is no more than a low-end handcuff.

Ultimately Ingram is an underrated feature back in a prolific offense who can be had for cheap (relatively speaking, of course). His ADP right now is around 23, which puts him in the late-second/early-third round. He's capable of being a top-five back, and makes for the ideal choice after snagging one or two stud wide receivers with your early picks.

 

LeSean McCoy (RB, BUF) - Ben Ruppert

After a season that saw him play in only 12 games, LeSean McCoy is underrated coming into the 2016 season. Currently being drafted as the 12th overall running back, Shady brings all aspects of the game together into one complete package. Last season he collected 1,192 yards from scrimmage with five scores, averaging 19.5 touches per game. McCoy has 10,261 yards from scrimmage through his age-27 season, which ranks 11th-highest all time. When Shady gets the ball in his hands, he knows how to make things happen. Of course, narratives will always get in the way on draft day:

“LeSean McCoy is another year older.”

“28 is the year running backs fall off the face of the earth.”

“No one has carried the ball more since his rookie season in 2009.”

While these are valid concerns, will not affect McCoy in the 2016 season. Shady doesn’t run with the pounding, bruising style that wears other running backs out. Watching him juke defenders out of their cleats is a thing of beauty, and he's still perfectly capable of doing it.

Let’s look at another Bills running back, Thurman Thomas. Both McCoy and Thomas are listed at 5’10”, played at a similar weight (between 210-215), and both were great at hitting holes and catching passes. In his age 28 season, Thomas collected 1,442 yards from scrimmage, while catching 50 passes. Outside of his rookie season, McCoy has topped 1,400 yards every year he has played at least 15 games. Plain and simple; if McCoy can stay healthy, he is going to be one of the most productive backs in the league. 45 running backs have topped 1,200 yards at age 28 or older. McCoy is extremely talented, and there is no reason he can’t be the 46th.

McCoy is currently the top back on the depth chart, followed by Karlos Williams, Mike Gillislee, and rookie Jonathan Williams. Karlos Williams will take some short yardage carries and spell Shady on the field at times, but he hasn’t proven to be a factor in the passing game yet. The sophomore had some nice moments last season, but came into camp this season out of shape. Gillislee and Jonathan Williams will make minimal impacts as the third and fouth running backs. With quarterback Tyrod Taylor poised to take a step forward this season, it will open up running lanes for Shady to bust through. Over the past five seasons the Bills have averaged a top-10 rushing offense, and in 2015 they were ranked number one in the NFL. Until last season, this was done with Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller. Talented backs, but McCoy is on a different level. The Bills are going to run the ball, and Shady is their clear-cut number one back.

McCoy is being drafted at #27 overall. If you can get him in the late second or early third round, you will be getting a solid, proven running back in one of the best rushing offenses in the league, who can also catch upwards of 50 passes. He will be able to put up big numbers in both PPR and standard scoring leagues.

 
WHO WON? WHO DO YOU WANT TO SEE NEXT? TWEET @ROTOBALLER AND LET US KNOW!

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mike Evans

a Risky Upside Buy for Contending Dynasty Managers
Justin Herbert

Is Justin Herbert Entering His True Dynasty Prime?
Oronde Gadsden

Can Talent Overcome Situation for Oronde Gadsden II?
David Njoku

a Short-Term Dynasty Buy
Devin Neal

a Dynasty Hold Until the Depth Chart Ahead of Him Settles
Ricky Pearsall

Is Ricky Pearsall a Dynasty Breakout Candidate?
Tank Dell

Is Tank Dell a Player to Target in Dynasty Leagues?
NBA

Warriors Prioritize Depth Around Returning Steve Kerr
Sean Tucker

Is Sean Tucker an Undervalued Dynasty Trade Target?
Donovan Mitchell

Remains Cleveland's Top Priority
Puka Nacua

Is Puka Nacua the WR1 in Dynasty Leagues?
Adou Thiero

Remains a Lakers Development Project
Jalen McMillan

to Play All Three Receiver Positions?
NBA

76ers Hire Mike Gansey as President of Basketball Operations
NBA

Chicago Bulls Explore Kevin Young as Coaching Candidate
Kyrie Irving

Reports He's Nearing Full Strength in ACL Recovery
Lane Hutson

Posts a Power-Play Assist in Game 5 Loss
Cole Caufield

Nets a Power-Play Goal in Season-Ending Loss
Seth Jarvis

Closes Out East Finals With Multi-Point Game
Logan Stankoven

Notches Three Points in Big Game 5 Win
Taylor Hall

Racks Up Three Points in Series-Clinching Win
Frederik Andersen

Remains Stellar as Hurricanes Clinch Finals Berth
Jacob Gonzalez

is Heading to the Big Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Mitchell Robinson

Plans to Play in Game 1 After Finger Surgery
Ajay Mitchell

Ruled Out for Game 7
Jalen Williams

Unavailable in Decisive Game 7
NBA

Magic Finalizing Hire of Sean Sweeney as Head Coach
Eury Pérez

Eury Perez is Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Alec Pierce

Dynasty Hype May Be Creating a Sell-High Opportunity
Drake London

Quarterback Uncertainty Creating a Buy-Low Window for Drake London?
Davante Adams

: Dynasty Sell-High Candidate Entering Age-34 Season
Rhamondre Stevenson

Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Crowded New England Backfield
Bo Nix

Is Bo Nix Currently Undervalued in Dynasty Formats?
Rico Dowdle

Dynasty Value Fading Ahead of First Season in Pittsburgh?
Deiveson Figueiredo

Set For UFC Macau Main Event
MMA

Yadong Song Returns At UFC Macau
Alonzo Menifield

An Underdog At UFC Macau
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Macau Co-Main Event
Tallison Teixeira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Sergei Pavlovich

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Cameron Smotherman

Looks To Bounce Back
Kai Asakura

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
CFB

Faizon Brandon In Position to Start Week 1
CFB

Dane Weber Commits to Cal
CFB

Joey McGuire Attempts to Add Texas to Schedule
CFB

Mike Leach on 2027 College Football Hall of Fame Ballot
CFB

Maryland, Baylor Schedule Home-and-Home
Cooper Kupp

Is Cooper Kupp Still Roster-Worthy in Dynasty Formats?
CFB

Taron Dickens Decommits From North Carolina
Christian McCaffrey

Should Dynasty Managers Be Looking to Sell High on Christian McCaffrey?
Braelon Allen

Does Braelon Allen Still Carry Dynasty Buy-Low Appeal Following Jets' Offseason Moves?
Kyler Murray

Offers Clear Dynasty Buy-Low Appeal After Offseason Change of Scenery
Rachaad White

: Prime Dynasty Buy-Low Candidate Ahead of Possible Bounce-Back Campaign
Jalen Williams

Limited in Game 6 Return
Jared McCain

Provides Bench Spark in Game 6 Loss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Posts Lowest-Scoring Night of His MVP Season
De'Aaron Fox

Struggles From the Field Thursday
Stephon Castle

Controls the Spurs Offense in Game 6 Win
Dylan Harper

Finds His Rhythm Thursday
Victor Wembanyama

Drops 28 to Force a Winner-Take-All Game 7
Jalen Williams

is Active for Game 6
Thomas Sorber

is Optimistic About Playing in Summer League
NBA

Terry Rozier Gets Hit with New Charges
NBA

NBA Approves New Anti-Tanking Rules
MLB

MLB Proposes Hard Salary Cap as Part of Next CBA
Kenley Jansen

Tigers Place Kenley Jansen on Injured List With Pelvic Inflammation
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Strain
MON

Lane Hutson Struggles in Game 4 Loss
CAR

Logan Stankoven Nets Eighth Postseason Goal
CAR

Sebastian Aho Pots Game-Winner on Power Play
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Tallies Two Helpers in Impressive Road Win
CAR

Shayne Gostisbehere Records Two Assists in Game 4 Win
CAR

Frederik Andersen Establishes Hurricanes New Postseason Shutout Record
Yordan Alvarez

Continues Homer Barrage With Two More Long Balls on Wednesday
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Makes History With Seven More Shutout Innings Against Padres
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Lifted From Wednesday's Game Early With Hamstring Strain
Kenley Jansen

Exits Relief Appearance on Wednesday With Groin Injury
Eury Pérez

Eury Perez Pulled Early on Wednesday With Hamstring Issue
CFB

Drew Mestemaker a Top Big 12 Quarterback Right Away?
PGA

Sungjae Im Remains Boom-or-Bust at Colonial
PGA

Michael Thorbjornsen Trending in Wrong Direction Entering Colonial
Russell Henley

a Top Option at Colonial
Harry Hall

Hoping Putter Carries Him at Colonial
Rickie Fowler

Looks to Regain Momentum at Colonial
Pierceson Coody

Looking to Stay Hot at Colonial
Martin Necas

Collects an Assist in Game 4 Loss to Golden Knights
Gabriel Landeskog

Scores Only Avalanche Goal in Season-Ending Loss
Carter Hart

Finishes Series-Clincher With 20 Saves
Dylan Coghlan

Continues Unlikely Success Story
Cole Smith

Scores Series-Clincher Tuesday Night
Mark Stone

Nets Another Goal as Golden Knights Finish Off Avalanche
Ludvig Aberg

Looking to Exchange Momentum for a Victory in Fort Worth
Stephan Jaeger

Trending Upward as PGA Heads to Fort Worth
Max Homa

Comes Off Awful Putting Performance at PGA Championship
Tony Finau

Faces Different Test at the Colonial
Robert MacIntyre

Seeks Better Beginning in Fort Worth
Tom Hoge

Ups and Downs Could Continue at Colonial
Brian Harman

Not Having the Best Golf Season in 2026
Austin Eckroat

Struggling Too Often Heading to Charles Schwab Challenge
Zach Bauchou

Tries to Keep Momentum Rolling at Colonial
Keegan Bradley

Looking to Rebound at Colonial
Claude Giroux

Planning to Return for 20th NHL Campaign
Carter Hart

Aiming for Sixth Consecutive Win Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin

Inks New One-Year Deal With Penguins
Ben Griffin

Looking to Repeat This Week at Colonial
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
Hideki Matsuyama

Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
Akshay Bhatia

Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
CFB

DJ Lagway Looking to Rebound at Baylor
CFB

Josh Hoover Tasked With Leading Indiana Back to the Playoffs
CFB

Braylon Staley the Next 1,000-Yard Tennessee Receiver?
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Return Timeline Remains Unclear
Gage Jump

Athletics to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Gage Jump to Major Leagues
Tatsuya Imai

Two Relievers Combine to No-Hit the Rangers on Monday
Dylan Cease

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Daniel Suarez

Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
Denny Hamlin

Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
Kyle Larson

Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF