X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Football ADP Analysis - Mark Ingram vs. LeSean McCoy

It's never too early to start preparing for your fantasy football drafts, and RotoBaller is here to help. In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in drafts.

This article comes from RotoBaller's lead columnist Bill Dubiel (@Roto_Dubs) and featured writer Ben Ruppert (@Ben_Ruppert_21). Bill will defend Mark Ingram and his prospects in the still-dangerous New Orleans offense, while Ben extols the virtues of perennial fantasy superstar LeSean McCoy, who will once again lead the ground-and-pound Rex Ryan offense in Buffalo. Feel free to reach out to either or both with questions or opinions.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium NFL Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the preseason tools to help win your drafts, and in-season tools to win your seasonal and daily leagues: Draft Kit, Premium Rankings, ADP Sleepers Tool, Matchup Ratings for every player, Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. 

Editor's Note: Access RotoBaller’s trusted fantasy football rankings for PPR, Standard, Dynasty, Super Flex, and Best Ball formats. Get tiered cheat sheets, expert analysis, and player outlooks to dominate your draft from every angle.

 

Mark Ingram (RB, NO) - Bill Dubiel

The big-bodied (5'10", 215 lbs), bruising tailback for the New Orleans Saints was on his way to a career year in 2015 before his season was cut short by a torn rotator cuff. He made his presence known in the 12 games he did play in, averaging 64.1 yards per game on the ground and another 33.8 through the air. You don't typically see a player with his body type making a difference in the passing game, but Ingram did just that with an average of 4.2 catches per game. Total all of that up and you have one hell of a fantasy running back--Ingram finished as a top-15 standard back and a top-12 PPR back with only 12 total games played. Did I mention he only fumbled once all season?

Let's say he was healthy. Project those numbers out and you get 1,025 yards on the ground on 221 rushes, eight touchdowns, 540 yards through the air (on 66 catches). If those were in fact his numbers, he would have been the third-best overall running back in 2015, behind only Devonta Freeman and Adrian Peterson in standard and 0.5 PPR leagues. In a full PPR league, he's second behind Freeman. We will of course allow for some regression, but even if you lop 100 yards off in either category you're still looking at a top-five back.

Ingram will turn 27 during the 2016 season, meaning there is plenty of tread on the tires, and the Saints offense has a very real chance to be even better overall in 2016. Stud rookie Michael Thomas should make an immediate impact in the receiving corps with Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead, and Drew Brees will continue to sling it around the yard as he has for the last decade. This ever-present threat should leave plenty of room up the middle for Ingram to do damage. Furthermore, the Saints defense isn't a whole lot better than last year, meaning that the Saints will play in plenty of shootouts. C.J. Spiller can't stay healthy, and even when he was on the field Ingram was the more productive receiving back. Ingram should continue to play the role of feature back, although he'll likely lose a few snaps to Travaris Cadet. Tim Hightower, the savior of many a fantasy season last year (including mine) is no more than a low-end handcuff.

Ultimately Ingram is an underrated feature back in a prolific offense who can be had for cheap (relatively speaking, of course). His ADP right now is around 23, which puts him in the late-second/early-third round. He's capable of being a top-five back, and makes for the ideal choice after snagging one or two stud wide receivers with your early picks.

 

LeSean McCoy (RB, BUF) - Ben Ruppert

After a season that saw him play in only 12 games, LeSean McCoy is underrated coming into the 2016 season. Currently being drafted as the 12th overall running back, Shady brings all aspects of the game together into one complete package. Last season he collected 1,192 yards from scrimmage with five scores, averaging 19.5 touches per game. McCoy has 10,261 yards from scrimmage through his age-27 season, which ranks 11th-highest all time. When Shady gets the ball in his hands, he knows how to make things happen. Of course, narratives will always get in the way on draft day:

“LeSean McCoy is another year older.”

“28 is the year running backs fall off the face of the earth.”

“No one has carried the ball more since his rookie season in 2009.”

While these are valid concerns, will not affect McCoy in the 2016 season. Shady doesn’t run with the pounding, bruising style that wears other running backs out. Watching him juke defenders out of their cleats is a thing of beauty, and he's still perfectly capable of doing it.

Let’s look at another Bills running back, Thurman Thomas. Both McCoy and Thomas are listed at 5’10”, played at a similar weight (between 210-215), and both were great at hitting holes and catching passes. In his age 28 season, Thomas collected 1,442 yards from scrimmage, while catching 50 passes. Outside of his rookie season, McCoy has topped 1,400 yards every year he has played at least 15 games. Plain and simple; if McCoy can stay healthy, he is going to be one of the most productive backs in the league. 45 running backs have topped 1,200 yards at age 28 or older. McCoy is extremely talented, and there is no reason he can’t be the 46th.

McCoy is currently the top back on the depth chart, followed by Karlos Williams, Mike Gillislee, and rookie Jonathan Williams. Karlos Williams will take some short yardage carries and spell Shady on the field at times, but he hasn’t proven to be a factor in the passing game yet. The sophomore had some nice moments last season, but came into camp this season out of shape. Gillislee and Jonathan Williams will make minimal impacts as the third and fouth running backs. With quarterback Tyrod Taylor poised to take a step forward this season, it will open up running lanes for Shady to bust through. Over the past five seasons the Bills have averaged a top-10 rushing offense, and in 2015 they were ranked number one in the NFL. Until last season, this was done with Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller. Talented backs, but McCoy is on a different level. The Bills are going to run the ball, and Shady is their clear-cut number one back.

McCoy is being drafted at #27 overall. If you can get him in the late second or early third round, you will be getting a solid, proven running back in one of the best rushing offenses in the league, who can also catch upwards of 50 passes. He will be able to put up big numbers in both PPR and standard scoring leagues.

 
WHO WON? WHO DO YOU WANT TO SEE NEXT? TWEET @ROTOBALLER AND LET US KNOW!

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Zack Wheeler

Tosses Eight Shutout Innings, Punches Out 10
Santi Aldama

Remains with Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Lands in Atlanta
George Springer

Exits Early Monday With Neck Injury
Jalen Ramsey

Could Move Around in Pittsburgh
Los Angeles Clippers

Brook Lopez Strikes Deal With Clippers
Jonnu Smith

to be Used in Hybrid Role
Terry McLaurin

Commanders, Terry McLaurin Not Close on Contract Extension
Hunter Goodman

Likely Headed to Injured List
Chicago Bulls

Tre Jones Remaining in Chicago
Michael Mayer

Raiders Not Interested in Trading Michael Mayer
Houston Rockets

Dorian Finney-Smith Signing With Rockets
Trent Grisham

Exits With Hamstring Tightness
Atlanta Hawks

Caris LeVert Joining Pistons
Milwaukee Bucks

Kevin Porter Jr., Bucks Reach Agreement on a New Contract
Brooklyn Nets

D'Angelo Russell Heading to Dallas
Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown Jr. Heading Back to Denver
Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Returning to Houston
Cameron Johnson

Traded to Denver
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Signs Massive Extension
Michael Porter Jr.

Traded to Brooklyn
Matt Chapman

Could Return for Start of Giants Homestand
Wyatt Langford

Expected to Return on Saturday
Yanquiel Fernández

Yanquiel Fernandez Called Up to Majors
Tyler Mahle

Dealing With Rotator-Cuff Strain
Brooklyn Nets

Ziaire Williams Expected to Return to Nets
Austin Wells

to Miss Next Two Games
Tre Mann

Set to Become an Unrestricted Free Agent
Bo Bichette

Scratched With Sore Knee
Cody Martin

to Enter Free Agency
Los Angeles Clippers

Nicolas Batum Staying with Clippers
Jurickson Profar

to Return on Wednesday
Jordan Clarkson

Jazz Finalize Contract Buyout for Jordan Clarkson
Aldrich Potgieter

Wins Rocket Mortgage Classic
Thorbjorn Olesen

Finishes Tied for 41st at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Denny McCarthy

Finishes Tied For 12th at Travelers Championship
Chris Kirk

Finishes Tied For Second at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Michael Kim

Finishes Tied for 26th at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Max Homa

Misses Cut at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Lucas Glover

Finishes Tied For Ninth at Travelers Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied For Sixth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Brooklyn Nets

Day'Ron Sharpe Staying with Nets
Colby Thomas

Called Up From Triple-A
Shea Langeliers

A's Reinstate Shea Langeliers From Injured List
Pittsburgh Steelers

Rumors Still Swirling Around Potential T.J. Watt Trade
Jalen Williams

will Undergo Surgery on Right Wrist
Bryce Harper

Activated and Starting on Monday
Deandre Ayton

Finalizing Contract Buyout with Portland
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Lands on Injured List With Fractured Ribs
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Tyler Boyd

Interested in Playing for Steelers
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Now Looking to Acquire a Tight End
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
L'Jarius Sneed

Says he's Healthy
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Minkah Fitzpatrick

Heading Back to Miami
Jonnu Smith

Shipped to Pittsburgh
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
Jalen Ramsey

Steelers Acquiring Jalen Ramsey
Kerry Carpenter

Leaves Game with Apparent Hamstring Injury
Jonas Brodin

Expected to Miss Start of Next Season
TB

Conor Sheary Placed on Waivers for Contract Termination
Dante Fabbro

Stays with Blue Jackets on Four-Year Deal
Joel Hofer

Commits to Blues for Two More Years
Kevin Bahl

Signs Long-Term Extension with Flames
Oneil Cruz

Smacks Two Homers
Jordan Spence

Traded to Ottawa
Petr Mrazek

Heads to Anaheim
John Gibson

Red Wings Acquire John Gibson
Matthew Knies

Inks Six-Year Extension with Maple Leafs
Aaron Judge

Blasts Two Homers, Dealing With Back Issue
Claude Giroux

Signs One-Year Deal with Senators
Yordan Alvarez

has Chance to Return Next Weekend
Luis Robert Jr.

Heads to Injured List
Gabriel Arias

Carted Off on Sunday
Chase Elliott

Ends Winless Skid With Atlanta Victory
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Atlanta Victory
NFL

NFL Won't Hold Supplemental Draft This Year
Damon Arnette

Getting Second Chance With Texans
Deommodore Lenoir

Arrested for Obstruction of Justice
Carson Hocevar

Recovers From Big One to Finish 10th at Atlanta
William Byron

Caught up in Atlanta Big One but Retains Points Lead
Denny Hamlin

Top In-Season Challenge Seed Denny Hamlin Eliminated in Lap 70 Crash
Ty Dillon

Bottom Seed Ty Dillon Upsets Denny Hamlin to Advance in In-Season Challenge
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Expected to Make Second-Year Jump
Jalin Hyatt

Looking to Flip the Script in 2025
Kyle Larson

Don't Expect Kyle Larson to Win First Drafting Track Race on Saturday
Christopher Bell

Unlikely to Complete Atlanta Sweep
Brad Keselowski

Seeks Another Clutch Win for Hail-Mary Playoff Bid
Chris Buescher

Unlikely to Lead Enough to Have Much DFS Value
Alex Bowman

Qualifies Best Among Non-Fords but Unlikely to Contend at Atlanta
Ryan Preece

Will Probably Run Better Than Usual at Atlanta
Austin Dillon

Consistently Mediocre at Atlanta
Ty Gibbs

Slightly Faster Lately but Unlikely to be a Factor at Atlanta
Erik Jones

a Low-Key Strong DFS Option
Noah Gragson

Could Have DFS Value as One of the Lowest-Qualifying Fords
Riley Herbst

Unlikely to Replicate February Atlanta Finish
Ty Dillon

Could Benefit from Kaulig Speed
Dylan Sampson

Being Used as a Receiver
Carson Schwesinger

Figures to be in Full-Time Role in 2025
Cedric Tillman

Should Have Full-Time Role
Bryce Young

Looking More Comfortable, Showing More Intensity
Charlie Coyle

Blue Jackets Acquire Charlie Coyle and Miles Wood From Colorado
Jack Quinn

Signs Up for Two More Years with Sabres
Brandon Saad

Stays in Vegas on One-Year Deal
Trent Frederic

Inks Eight-Year Extension
Emil Heineman

Shipped to the Islanders
Noah Dobson

Traded to Montreal
John Tavares

Agrees to Four-Year Extension with Maple Leafs
Sam Bennett

Signs Eight-Year Extension with Panthers
NYI

Islanders Select Matthew Schaefer With No. 1 Pick in NHL Draft
Aaron Rodgers

Roman Wilson Could Fit Nicely With Aaron Rodgers
Charles Oliveira

Can Become A Two-Time Lightweight Champion
Ilia Topuria

A Favorite At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fourth Title Defense At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Renato Moicano

Returns At UFC 317
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC 317
Payton Talbott

Looks To Bounce Back
Felipe Lima

Set To Open Up UFC 317 Main Card
Daniil Tarasov

Panthers Bring in Daniil Tarasov
Frederick Gaudreau

Kraken Pick Up Frederick Gaudreau From Wild
Michael Thorbjornsen

Returns in Detroit at Rocket Classic
Adam Hadwin

Could Struggle Over the Weekend in Detroit
Cam Davis

Hopes Detroit Magic Can Spark Turnaround
Matt Wallace

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Rocket Classic
Joel Dahmen

Not Cutting it Lately
Michael Kim

Searching for Spark at Rocket Classic
Rasmus Hojgaard

a High-Ceiling Play in Rocket Classic
Matt McCarty

a Wild Card Heading into Detroit
Emiliano Grillo

Rolling into the Summer Season
Rickie Fowler

Looking for More Magic at Rocket Classic
Wyndham Clark

Brings High Upside to Detroit Golf Club
Max Greyserman

Could Make Noise at Rocket Classic
Akshay Bhatia

a Strong Value Play at Rocket Classic
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF