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Underdog NFL DFS prop picks for the Super Bowl Sunday Slate (February 11, 2024). Use Shaun's NFL over/under props recommendations to win on Underdog Fantasy.
Happy Friday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the Super Bowl on Sunday, February 11, 2024. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choose your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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Underdog NFL DFS Prop Picks - Super Bowl Showdown
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Jauan Jennings, 14.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Jauan Jennings has had an uptick in targets per route ran so far through the San Francisco 49ers playoff games this season. He went from no routes ran through Weeks 16 to 18 to getting a huge bump in the divisional round versus the Green Bay Packers. Granted, it was due to Deebo Samuel leaving the game early with a shoulder injury but Jennings has capitalized on the opportunity. He had five receptions on six targets for 61 yards versus Green Bay and had two targets with one reception for eight yards versus Detroit.
Now, heading into the Super Bowl, Jauan Jennings is projected for 1.3 receptions and 2.1 targets for 16.6 receiving yards. Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel will most likely have the defensive schemes planned for them, leaving players like Jauan Jennings and George Kittle open to make huge plays to keep the 49ers in the game.
Isiah Pacheco, 16.5 Rushing Attempts (HIGHER)
The San Francisco 49ers run defense has been struggling to say the least so far in the playoffs. They gave up a hundred rushing yards to Aaron Jones on 18 carries in the divisional round which Jones became the first rusher to break one hundred yards versus the 49ers in 51 games. David Montgomery had 15 carries for 93 yards and Jahmyr Gibbs had 12 carries for 45 yards. Isiah Pacheco should be able to match the previous running back's output.
Using the Proptimizer, Pacheco comes in with the six-highest odds total to hit the over on his rushing attempts prop. He is projected for 18 rushing attempts and sits at a -124 (55.36%) implied odds to go over. The one thing to be cautious of for the Kansas City Chiefs backfield is that Jerick McKinnon has been activated and should see some type of field time to get Pacheco rest.
Travis Kelce, 7 receptions (HIGHER)
Travis Kelce continues to break records and will continue padding onto his playoff reception record. In three playoff games this season, Kelce has recorded 23 receptions on 27 targets. He recorded 11 receptions versus the Baltimore Ravens in a dominant performance by the entire Kansas City Chiefs team. Now he gets the 49ers defense which has shown some holes in their defense. They are one of the better teams when it comes to guarding tight ends but Travis Kelce is one of a kind and could be looked at as a wide receiver.
He's projected for 6.3 receptions on eight targets for 67.3 receiving yards. If the run game gets going with Isiah Pacheco, play-action plays could make it easy for Kelce to hit seven receptions fairly quickly. If both team's defensive units come out strong, however, it will be a battle on both sides for the offenses.
Brock Purdy, 12.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
Brock Purdy showcased his feet in the Conference Championship game versus the Detroit Lions and it's something to look for once again this Sunday. The Chiefs rank sixth when it comes to pressure rate and 16th when it comes to blitz rate. This will most likely force Purdy out of the pocket and when he's on the move, he can make magic happen. He has two games this season where his scrambling ability was showcased. He scrambled for 57 yards versus Cincinnati in Week 8 and then versus Detroit where he scrambled for 48 yards. For the Super Bowl, Brock Purdy is projected to rush 2.6 times for 13.5 rushing yards. Playing one of the leagues top defenses will have Brock Purdy doing all that he can to make sure he brings home number six for the San Francisco 49ers.
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