Chef's Special - NFL Divisional Round Edition

January 17, 2021

Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for The NFL Divisional Round. Drew finished the 2020 season with over 20 units in winnings and is 98-55 in 2020 for over 56 units.

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Last week was utter destruction for me and my wallet throughout the first-ever Super Wild Card Weekend.  Basically, the only high point was the Colts covering which led me to believe a good weekend was on the way.  Thankfully, almost all of the bets were one unit or less so it could have been worse, I guess?  We are still up an insane 47 units with a 100-64 record despite the 2-9 disastrous performance last week.

This weekend, I'm most excited about two games more than the others.  We have the History Channel battle with the two ageless wonders of Drew Brees and Tom Brady, and we have the battle of the two young, dual-threat QBs in Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson.  Shoot me a DM or Tweet and let me know who you are rooting for this weekend, and which game you are most looking forward to watching.  Below, you will find my Divisional Round betting picks!

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing. Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information for those of you that are reading for the first time. Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units. If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes. For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor. For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

• Example: 2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
• Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following: 22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
• Mr. Garage Guy would be the following: 22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
• Mr. Danny Boi would be the following: 22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green. However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Wild Card Weekend Card

Here, I will post my Wild Card weekend betting picks. Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial. Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+47.78u) 100-64 Total [3-0 on 4&5U plays]

• 0-1.5U Risk Record: 66-51
• 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record: 31-13
• 4-5U Risk Record: 3-0

Last Updated: Sunday 11:00 ET

• Bills ML vs Ravens - Risk 2.4u to win 1.75u - Win
• Devin Singletary Over 19.5 receiving yards - Risk 0.55u to win 0.5u - Loss
• Devin Singletary Over 2.5 receptions - Risk 0.8u to win 0.5u - Win
• Rams +7 (buy 1/2) vs Packers - Risk 3u to win 2.5u - Loss
• Rams ML vs Packers - Risk 1u to win 2.8u - Loss
• Browns +10 vs Chiefs - Risk 1.8u to win 1.5
• Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 Passing TD's - Risk 2.5u to win 2u
• Bucs +3 vs Saints - Risk 1.15u to win 1u
• Chris Godwin over 67.5 receiving yards - Risk 0.7u to win 0.5u
• Jared Cook over 2.5 receptions - Risk 0.65u to win 0.5u

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