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Jason Katz - RotoBaller

246 articles

I've been playing fantasy sports since 2003 and writing about it since 2015. You can find my work here on RotoBaller or for FantasyPros, FFToday and Fantasyfootballmetrics. I'm big on analytics and making decisions/predictions based on what the math says is the most likely outcome in a given situation. I'm a lifelong Cowboys fan living in New York. Eli Manning is not a Hall of Famer. Dez caught it.

Articles

Stop that Hype Train! Tre'Quan Smith

Generally, rookie wide receivers need to hit 500 receiving yards to have a realistic chance at going on to having a relevant career. New Orleans Saints WR Tre'Quan Smith finished with 427 receiving yards. Nevertheless, for the past two seasons, Smith has been hyped up as a late-round selection. To be fair, it hasn't been […]


Stop that Hype Train! Sam Darnold

Before you start yelling at your computer "Sam Darnold is not being drafted!" let me remind you of two things. Superflex leagues exist. There is a subset of fantasy managers that believe Darnold can rebuild his career in Carolina. Every starting quarterback will be drafted in Superflex leagues, no matter how a manager may feel […]


Second-Year Receivers Set to Bust Again

"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me...you can't get fooled again." Unfortunately, the classic proverb from the eloquent President George W. Bush is not entirely accurate when it comes to fantasy football. Every year, fantasy gamers are sucked in by rookie hype, and every year, many of them fail to live up to expectations. […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Michael Carter

The Jets were one of a number of teams pegged to take a day two running back that either waited until day three or did not take one altogether. With their first pick in the fourth round, the Jets selected North Carolina running back Michael Carter. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we care about […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Tylan Wallace

The Baltimore Ravens selected Tylan Wallace in the fourth round of the 2021 NFL draft. Wallace became the sixth wide receiver drafted by the Ravens in the past three years. Only sixth-round pick James Proche has lower draft capital than Wallace. He was also drafted behind first-rounder Rashod Bateman which complicates his path to targets on […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Trey Sermon

The San Francisco 49ers made Trey Sermon the fourth running back off the board in the 2021 NFL draft. Although this is a very weak running back class, that is still relatively high by comparison. Sermon walks into a crowded backfield, but one without a true alpha. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Chuba Hubbard

In what turned out to be a very poor decision, surefire Day Two NFL Draft pick Chuba Hubbard returned to college for his senior season and torpedoed his draft stock with a truly dismal season. Hubbard fell into the fourth round where he was drafted by the Carolina Panthers. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we […]


Veteran Running Backs Set to Lose Touches in 2021

As players change teams and rookies are added through the NFL draft, there is a discernable impact on veteran running backs, specifically their projected volume. The constant turnover in the NFL could result in a running back that saw a high opportunity share one year suddenly become an afterthought. Here are a handful of running […]


Veteran Wide Receivers Set to Lose Targets in 2021

As players change teams and rookies are added through the NFL draft, there is a discernable impact on veteran wide receivers, specifically their projected volume. The constant turnover in the NFL could result in a wide receiver that saw a high target share one year suddenly become an afterthought. Here are a handful of experienced […]


A.J. Green to Arizona - Fantasy Impact

It seems strange that the Cardinals, who already have one old wide receiver in Larry Fitzgerald, would bring in another in A.J. Green. The notion of Fitz, Green, and DeAndre Hopkins all part of the same wide receiver corps is pretty awesome given their names and their all-time stature, but also less exciting when you […]


Ryan Fitzpatrick to Washington - Fantasy Impact

The 2020 fantasy football season ended nearly three months ago, which means it's been about three months since anything meaningful happened in the NFL (aside from a couple of trades). Free agency is officially upon us and with a bunch of names moving around, we will see tangible shifts in fantasy values. Ryan Fitzpatrick is […]


Top Fantasy Football Rebound Candidates for 2021

Rebound (definition): recover in value, amount, or strength after a previous decrease or decline. I sometimes see the term "rebound" conflated with "breakout." In order for a player to rebound, that player has to have previously been good. In 2020, perhaps the biggest rebound player was Stefon Diggs, who followed up a dismal 2019 campaign with […]


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Full-Length Playoff League Picks and Strategies

The regular season is over, but that doesn't mean the fantasy fun stops there. Playoff fantasy football is still a great way to carry on playing this game that we love and providing us all with a vested interest in each of these playoff games, no matter how unexciting some of them may appear to […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 16

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 15

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


cam akers fantasy football rankings NFL DFS lineup picks

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 14

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 13

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 12

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 11

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Jerry Jeudy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, Draft Sleepers

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 10

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 9

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 8

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 6

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 5

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Darrell Henderson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 4

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 3

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 2

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Waiver Wire Prognostication - Who'll Be Hot Adds After Week 1?

Fantasy football has always been a game about predictions and reactions. We need to be able to predict what might happen and react when it happens (or doesn't). There is no week where that's more pronounced than following Week 1 of the season. Many of our preseason predictions about roles or usage come to fruition […]


Jason Katz's Bold Predictions - 2020 Fantasy Football

In my group of friends, I am known for making outlandish claims that, most of the time, even I don't believe. It antagonizes them because they know I'm just complaining about how Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill is going to finish with zero receptions because it's 10 minutes into the first quarter and he hasn't caught a […]


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