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Jason Katz - RotoBaller

246 articles

I've been playing fantasy sports since 2003 and writing about it since 2015. You can find my work here on RotoBaller or for FantasyPros, FFToday and Fantasyfootballmetrics. I'm big on analytics and making decisions/predictions based on what the math says is the most likely outcome in a given situation. I'm a lifelong Cowboys fan living in New York. Eli Manning is not a Hall of Famer. Dez caught it.

Articles

Stop that Hype Train! Tre'Quan Smith

Generally, rookie wide receivers need to hit 500 receiving yards to have a realistic chance at going on to having a relevant career. New Orleans Saints WR Tre'Quan Smith finished with 427 receiving yards. Nevertheless, for the past two seasons, Smith has been hyped up as a late-round selection. To be fair, it hasn't been […]


Stop that Hype Train! Sam Darnold

Before you start yelling at your computer "Sam Darnold is not being drafted!" let me remind you of two things. Superflex leagues exist. There is a subset of fantasy managers that believe Darnold can rebuild his career in Carolina. Every starting quarterback will be drafted in Superflex leagues, no matter how a manager may feel […]


Second-Year Receivers Set to Bust Again

"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me...you can't get fooled again." Unfortunately, the classic proverb from the eloquent President George W. Bush is not entirely accurate when it comes to fantasy football. Every year, fantasy gamers are sucked in by rookie hype, and every year, many of them fail to live up to expectations. […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Michael Carter

The Jets were one of a number of teams pegged to take a day two running back that either waited until day three or did not take one altogether. With their first pick in the fourth round, the Jets selected North Carolina running back Michael Carter. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we care about […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Tylan Wallace

The Baltimore Ravens selected Tylan Wallace in the fourth round of the 2021 NFL draft. Wallace became the sixth wide receiver drafted by the Ravens in the past three years. Only sixth-round pick James Proche has lower draft capital than Wallace. He was also drafted behind first-rounder Rashod Bateman which complicates his path to targets on […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Trey Sermon

The San Francisco 49ers made Trey Sermon the fourth running back off the board in the 2021 NFL draft. Although this is a very weak running back class, that is still relatively high by comparison. Sermon walks into a crowded backfield, but one without a true alpha. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Chuba Hubbard

In what turned out to be a very poor decision, surefire Day Two NFL Draft pick Chuba Hubbard returned to college for his senior season and torpedoed his draft stock with a truly dismal season. Hubbard fell into the fourth round where he was drafted by the Carolina Panthers. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we […]


Veteran Running Backs Set to Lose Touches in 2021

As players change teams and rookies are added through the NFL draft, there is a discernable impact on veteran running backs, specifically their projected volume. The constant turnover in the NFL could result in a running back that saw a high opportunity share one year suddenly become an afterthought. Here are a handful of running […]


Veteran Wide Receivers Set to Lose Targets in 2021

As players change teams and rookies are added through the NFL draft, there is a discernable impact on veteran wide receivers, specifically their projected volume. The constant turnover in the NFL could result in a wide receiver that saw a high target share one year suddenly become an afterthought. Here are a handful of experienced […]


A.J. Green to Arizona - Fantasy Impact

It seems strange that the Cardinals, who already have one old wide receiver in Larry Fitzgerald, would bring in another in A.J. Green. The notion of Fitz, Green, and DeAndre Hopkins all part of the same wide receiver corps is pretty awesome given their names and their all-time stature, but also less exciting when you […]


Ryan Fitzpatrick to Washington - Fantasy Impact

The 2020 fantasy football season ended nearly three months ago, which means it's been about three months since anything meaningful happened in the NFL (aside from a couple of trades). Free agency is officially upon us and with a bunch of names moving around, we will see tangible shifts in fantasy values. Ryan Fitzpatrick is […]


Top Fantasy Football Rebound Candidates for 2021

Rebound (definition): recover in value, amount, or strength after a previous decrease or decline. I sometimes see the term "rebound" conflated with "breakout." In order for a player to rebound, that player has to have previously been good. In 2020, perhaps the biggest rebound player was Stefon Diggs, who followed up a dismal 2019 campaign with […]


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Full-Length Playoff League Picks and Strategies

The regular season is over, but that doesn't mean the fantasy fun stops there. Playoff fantasy football is still a great way to carry on playing this game that we love and providing us all with a vested interest in each of these playoff games, no matter how unexciting some of them may appear to […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 16

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 15

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


cam akers fantasy football rankings NFL DFS lineup picks

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 14

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 13

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 12

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 11

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Jerry Jeudy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, Draft Sleepers

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 10

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 9

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 8

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 6

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 5

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Darrell Henderson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 4

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 3

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 2

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Waiver Wire Prognostication - Who'll Be Hot Adds After Week 1?

Fantasy football has always been a game about predictions and reactions. We need to be able to predict what might happen and react when it happens (or doesn't). There is no week where that's more pronounced than following Week 1 of the season. Many of our preseason predictions about roles or usage come to fruition […]


Jason Katz's Bold Predictions - 2020 Fantasy Football

In my group of friends, I am known for making outlandish claims that, most of the time, even I don't believe. It antagonizes them because they know I'm just complaining about how Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill is going to finish with zero receptions because it's 10 minutes into the first quarter and he hasn't caught a […]


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Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
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Dealing with Finger Sprain
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Mikael Granlund Moves to Anaheim on Three-Year Deal
Jacob Wilson

Scratched With Hamstring Soreness
NJ

Jake Allen Signs Five-Year Extension With Devils
VAN

Brock Boeser Remains in Vancouver on Seven-Year Deal
Conor Garland

Signs New Six-Year Deal with Canucks
Thatcher Demko

Signs Three-Year Extension with Canucks
Brandon Woodruff

Ready for Season Debut
Martin Fehérváry

Martin Fehervary Agrees to Seven-Year Extension with Capitals
Garrett Mitchell

Out for the Rest of the Season
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Brewers-Mets Postponed on Tuesday
MLB

Tigers-Nationals Postponed on Tuesday
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Returns to Tuesday's Lineup
Milwaukee Bucks

Gary Harris Inks Deal With Bucks
MLB

Padres-Phillies Postponed on Tuesday
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Mason Plumlee Heading Back to Charlotte
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
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Back Behind the Dish on Tuesday
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Agrees to a Contract Extension With Raptors
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Jason Day

is a Fine Play With Limited Upside at John Deere Classic
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Vasilije Micic Dealt to Bucks on Tuesday
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and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Luke Clanton

Looks to Have Another Strong Week at TPC Deere Run
Pat Connaughton

Traded to Hornets
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Luke Kennard Lands in Atlanta
Breece Hall

Aiming to Prove He is "Still One of the Best in the League"
T.J. Watt

Steelers Not Planning to Trade T.J. Watt
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Dennis Schroder Set to Join Sacramento
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Out Again on Tuesday
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Likely Heading to Injured List
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Luke Kornet Agrees to Contract With San Antonio
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Nuggets Trade for Center Jonas Valanciunas
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Twins Activate Royce Lewis
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Signs Massive Extension With Oklahoma City
Corbin Carroll

Eyeing Return Before All-Star Break
New York Knicks

Knicks Pick Up Guerschon Yabusele
Yordan Alvarez

Could Return Early Next Week
NFL

Negotiations on 18-Game Season Not Expected Until Next Year
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Myles Turner Leaves Indiana, Signs With Milwaukee
Kerry Carpenter

Shelved with Hamstring Issue
Tyler Boyd

Steelers Have Talked With Tyler Boyd
Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Waived By Milwaukee
Darren Waller

Coming Out of Retirement to Play for Dolphins
Alexander Romanov

Islanders Retain Alexander Romanov on $50 Million Contract
Andrei Kuzmenko

Signs Up for One More Year with Kings
Morgan Geekie

Signs Long-Term Extension with Bruins
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Stays in Columbus on Seven-Year Deal
Alex Pietrangelo

Stepping Away From Golden Knights for Health Reasons
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Maple Leafs Bring in Matias Maccelli
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Inks $42 Million Contract with Oilers
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Wild Acquire Vladimir Tarasenko From Detroit
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Lands Six-Year Extension
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Remains a Panther on Eight-Year Deal
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Heads to Vegas
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Homers Twice, Plates Four Monday
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Hits Three-Run Homer In Return From Injured List Monday
Wilyer Abreu

Belts Grand Slam and Hits Inside-the-Park Home Run
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Trendon Watford Lands in Philadelphia
New York Knicks

Jordan Clarkson Expected to Sign With Knicks
Zack Wheeler

Tosses Eight Shutout Innings, Punches Out 10
Santi Aldama

Remains with Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Lands in Atlanta
George Springer

Exits Early Monday With Neck Injury
Jalen Ramsey

Could Move Around in Pittsburgh
Los Angeles Clippers

Brook Lopez Strikes Deal With Clippers
Jonnu Smith

to be Used in Hybrid Role
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Commanders, Terry McLaurin Not Close on Contract Extension
Hunter Goodman

Likely Headed to Injured List
Chicago Bulls

Tre Jones Remaining in Chicago
Michael Mayer

Raiders Not Interested in Trading Michael Mayer
Houston Rockets

Dorian Finney-Smith Signing With Rockets
Atlanta Hawks

Caris LeVert Joining Pistons
Aldrich Potgieter

Wins Rocket Mortgage Classic
Thorbjorn Olesen

Finishes Tied for 41st at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Denny McCarthy

Finishes Tied For 12th at Travelers Championship
Chris Kirk

Finishes Tied For Second at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Michael Kim

Finishes Tied for 26th at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Max Homa

Misses Cut at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Lucas Glover

Finishes Tied For Ninth at Travelers Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied For Sixth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
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Rumors Still Swirling Around Potential T.J. Watt Trade
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Tyler Boyd

Interested in Playing for Steelers
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Dolphins Now Looking to Acquire a Tight End
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
L'Jarius Sneed

Says he's Healthy
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
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Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
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Heading Back to Miami
Jonnu Smith

Shipped to Pittsburgh
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
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Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
Jalen Ramsey

Steelers Acquiring Jalen Ramsey
Jonas Brodin

Expected to Miss Start of Next Season
TB

Conor Sheary Placed on Waivers for Contract Termination
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Stays with Blue Jackets on Four-Year Deal
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Ends Winless Skid With Atlanta Victory
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NFL Won't Hold Supplemental Draft This Year
Damon Arnette

Getting Second Chance With Texans
Deommodore Lenoir

Arrested for Obstruction of Justice
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Top In-Season Challenge Seed Denny Hamlin Eliminated in Lap 70 Crash
Ty Dillon

Bottom Seed Ty Dillon Upsets Denny Hamlin to Advance in In-Season Challenge
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Expected to Make Second-Year Jump
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Looking to Flip the Script in 2025
Kyle Larson

Don't Expect Kyle Larson to Win First Drafting Track Race on Saturday
Christopher Bell

Unlikely to Complete Atlanta Sweep
Brad Keselowski

Seeks Another Clutch Win for Hail-Mary Playoff Bid
Chris Buescher

Unlikely to Lead Enough to Have Much DFS Value
Alex Bowman

Qualifies Best Among Non-Fords but Unlikely to Contend at Atlanta
Ryan Preece

Will Probably Run Better Than Usual at Atlanta
Austin Dillon

Consistently Mediocre at Atlanta
Ty Gibbs

Slightly Faster Lately but Unlikely to be a Factor at Atlanta
Erik Jones

a Low-Key Strong DFS Option
Noah Gragson

Could Have DFS Value as One of the Lowest-Qualifying Fords
Riley Herbst

Unlikely to Replicate February Atlanta Finish
Charles Oliveira

Can Become A Two-Time Lightweight Champion
Ilia Topuria

A Favorite At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fourth Title Defense At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
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Looks For His Third Win In A Row
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Returns At UFC 317
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC 317
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Looks To Bounce Back
Felipe Lima

Set To Open Up UFC 317 Main Card
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