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Jason Katz - RotoBaller

246 articles

I've been playing fantasy sports since 2003 and writing about it since 2015. You can find my work here on RotoBaller or for FantasyPros, FFToday and Fantasyfootballmetrics. I'm big on analytics and making decisions/predictions based on what the math says is the most likely outcome in a given situation. I'm a lifelong Cowboys fan living in New York. Eli Manning is not a Hall of Famer. Dez caught it.

Articles

Stop that Hype Train! Tre'Quan Smith

Generally, rookie wide receivers need to hit 500 receiving yards to have a realistic chance at going on to having a relevant career. New Orleans Saints WR Tre'Quan Smith finished with 427 receiving yards. Nevertheless, for the past two seasons, Smith has been hyped up as a late-round selection. To be fair, it hasn't been […]


Stop that Hype Train! Sam Darnold

Before you start yelling at your computer "Sam Darnold is not being drafted!" let me remind you of two things. Superflex leagues exist. There is a subset of fantasy managers that believe Darnold can rebuild his career in Carolina. Every starting quarterback will be drafted in Superflex leagues, no matter how a manager may feel […]


Second-Year Receivers Set to Bust Again

"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me...you can't get fooled again." Unfortunately, the classic proverb from the eloquent President George W. Bush is not entirely accurate when it comes to fantasy football. Every year, fantasy gamers are sucked in by rookie hype, and every year, many of them fail to live up to expectations. […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Michael Carter

The Jets were one of a number of teams pegged to take a day two running back that either waited until day three or did not take one altogether. With their first pick in the fourth round, the Jets selected North Carolina running back Michael Carter. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we care about […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Tylan Wallace

The Baltimore Ravens selected Tylan Wallace in the fourth round of the 2021 NFL draft. Wallace became the sixth wide receiver drafted by the Ravens in the past three years. Only sixth-round pick James Proche has lower draft capital than Wallace. He was also drafted behind first-rounder Rashod Bateman which complicates his path to targets on […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Trey Sermon

The San Francisco 49ers made Trey Sermon the fourth running back off the board in the 2021 NFL draft. Although this is a very weak running back class, that is still relatively high by comparison. Sermon walks into a crowded backfield, but one without a true alpha. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we […]


NFL Rookie Spotlight - Chuba Hubbard

In what turned out to be a very poor decision, surefire Day Two NFL Draft pick Chuba Hubbard returned to college for his senior season and torpedoed his draft stock with a truly dismal season. Hubbard fell into the fourth round where he was drafted by the Carolina Panthers. When evaluating prospects' likelihood of NFL success, we […]


Veteran Running Backs Set to Lose Touches in 2021

As players change teams and rookies are added through the NFL draft, there is a discernable impact on veteran running backs, specifically their projected volume. The constant turnover in the NFL could result in a running back that saw a high opportunity share one year suddenly become an afterthought. Here are a handful of running […]


Veteran Wide Receivers Set to Lose Targets in 2021

As players change teams and rookies are added through the NFL draft, there is a discernable impact on veteran wide receivers, specifically their projected volume. The constant turnover in the NFL could result in a wide receiver that saw a high target share one year suddenly become an afterthought. Here are a handful of experienced […]


A.J. Green to Arizona - Fantasy Impact

It seems strange that the Cardinals, who already have one old wide receiver in Larry Fitzgerald, would bring in another in A.J. Green. The notion of Fitz, Green, and DeAndre Hopkins all part of the same wide receiver corps is pretty awesome given their names and their all-time stature, but also less exciting when you […]


Ryan Fitzpatrick to Washington - Fantasy Impact

The 2020 fantasy football season ended nearly three months ago, which means it's been about three months since anything meaningful happened in the NFL (aside from a couple of trades). Free agency is officially upon us and with a bunch of names moving around, we will see tangible shifts in fantasy values. Ryan Fitzpatrick is […]


Top Fantasy Football Rebound Candidates for 2021

Rebound (definition): recover in value, amount, or strength after a previous decrease or decline. I sometimes see the term "rebound" conflated with "breakout." In order for a player to rebound, that player has to have previously been good. In 2020, perhaps the biggest rebound player was Stefon Diggs, who followed up a dismal 2019 campaign with […]


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Full-Length Playoff League Picks and Strategies

The regular season is over, but that doesn't mean the fantasy fun stops there. Playoff fantasy football is still a great way to carry on playing this game that we love and providing us all with a vested interest in each of these playoff games, no matter how unexciting some of them may appear to […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 16

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 15

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


cam akers fantasy football rankings NFL DFS lineup picks

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 14

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 13

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 12

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 11

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Jerry Jeudy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, Draft Sleepers

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 10

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 9

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 8

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 6

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 5

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Darrell Henderson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 4

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 3

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 2

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]


Waiver Wire Prognostication - Who'll Be Hot Adds After Week 1?

Fantasy football has always been a game about predictions and reactions. We need to be able to predict what might happen and react when it happens (or doesn't). There is no week where that's more pronounced than following Week 1 of the season. Many of our preseason predictions about roles or usage come to fruition […]


Jason Katz's Bold Predictions - 2020 Fantasy Football

In my group of friends, I am known for making outlandish claims that, most of the time, even I don't believe. It antagonizes them because they know I'm just complaining about how Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill is going to finish with zero receptions because it's 10 minutes into the first quarter and he hasn't caught a […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Luguentz Dort

Will Be Available Thursday Night
Cason Wallace

Will Not Play Thursday vs. the Pacers
De'Andre Hunter

Moving Well; Remains Uncertain for Friday
Portland Trail Blazers

Tiago Splitter Will be the Interim Head Coach of the Trail Blazers
Al Horford

Will Come Off the Bench on Thursday
Yves Missi

Will Be Questionable Friday vs. the Spurs
Aaron Jones Sr.

Activated, Likely to Play vs. Chargers
Terry Rozier

Chauncey Billups Arrested in Gambling Investigation
Moses Moody

Out on Thursday
Al Horford

to Rest on Friday
T.J. McConnell

Remains Unavailable Thursday
Isaiah Joe

Misses Thursday's Action
Cason Wallace

Questionable for Finals Rematch
Jalen Williams

Remains Out Thursday
Patrick Kane

to Miss Third Consecutive Game Thursday
Nikita Kucherov

Set to Return Against Blackhawks
Brock Boeser

Available Thursday
Dawson Mercer

Records Two Assists Against Wild
Jack Quinn

Tallies Three Points in Wednesday's Win
Jason Zucker

Exits With Injury Wednesday
CFB

Utah QB Devon Dampier Listed as Questionable on Big 12 Injury Report
San Francisco Giants

Tony Vitello Named New Manager of the Giants
Anthony Edwards

Active Against Trail Blazers
Grayson Allen

Active for Suns’ Opening Night Game
Kevin Porter Jr.

Won't Return on Wednesday Evening
Anthony Edwards

a Game-Time Decision for Wednesday
Daniel Gafford

Ruled Out for Mavericks Season Opener
Alexander Romanov

Expected to Miss Two More Games
Pierre Engvall

Ruled Out for the Season
Luguentz Dort

Questionable for Thursday Versus Pacers
Adin Hill

Out Week-to-Week
Patrik Laine

Sits Out Another Game Wednesday
Caris LeVert

Cleared for Wednesday's Game
Marco Rossi

Available Wednesday Night
Cody Glass

Out on Wednesday
Ryan Kalkbrenner

Starting on Wednesday
Stefan Noesen

Makes Season Debut Wednesday
Jaylen Waddle

Dolphins Don't Have Plans to Trade Jaylen Waddle
Francisco Lindor

has Elbow Surgery, Expected to be Ready for Spring Training
Aaron Jones Sr.

Considered Questionable to Play on Thursday
PGA

Alex Noren is a Smash Play at Bank of Utah Championship
Mike Evans

Could be Back in Under Eight Weeks
Bucky Irving

Will Not Play in Week 8
Jayden Daniels

Will Not Play on Monday Night Against Chiefs
Darren Waller

Dolphins Place Darren Waller on Injured Reserve
Maverick McNealy

Look Out For Maverick McNealy This Week in Utah
Justin Lower

Unlikely to Flip The Script at Bank of Utah Championship
Stephan Jaeger

Looking for Repeat Performance in Utah
CFB

Behren Morton Will be Listed as Questionable on Wednesday
Max McGreevy

a Longer Shot to Contend in Utah
Jackson Suber

on the Bubble for the PGA in 2026
Greyson Sigg

Improving at the Right Time This Fall
Seamus Power

Hopes to Make More Birdies This Week
Patton Kizzire

May Struggle Once Again in Utah
Beau Hossler

Up and Down Heading to Bank of Utah Championship
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Find the Weekend in Utah
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Enjoying the Fall Golf Season
Brad Marchand

Delivers Two Assists on Special Night
Adrian Kempe

Lifts Kings to Victory Tuesday
Justin Brazeau

Records Three Points Against Canucks
Jack Hughes

Pots Third Career Hat Trick
TOR

Chris Tanev Could Miss Time With Upper-Body Injury
Jack McBain

Evaluated for Upper-Body Injury
Tom Hoge

Sputtering into Bank of Utah Championship
Sahith Theegala

On the Upswing Heading into Utah
Andrew Putnam

Looks to Find Form in Utah
Matt McCarty

Looks to Defend Title in Utah
Ben Kohles

a Strong Value Play at Bank of Utah Championship
Max Homa

Trending Up Entering the Bank of Utah Championship
Nick Dunlap

Searching for Spark at Bank of Utah Championship
Quade Cummins

Struggling to Find Form Ahead of Bank of Utah Championship
Maxx Crosby

Raiders Won't Trade Maxx Crosby
Jonathan Marchessault

Remains Absent Against Ducks
Darcy Kuemper

Available Tuesday
Jason Day

Making a Spot Start at Bank of Utah Championship
Los Angeles Angels

Kurt Suzuki to be the Angels' Next Manager
Bo Bichette

Plans to be Ready for World Series
Tyrod Taylor

Aaron Glenn "Moving Toward" Naming Tyrod Taylor the Starting QB
Zach Charbonnet

Finds the End Zone Twice on Monday Night
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Continues Elite Production
Chris Godwin

Bucky Irving May Not Play This Week
Michael Penix Jr.

Expected to Be "Good to Go" for Sunday
Nico Collins

Ruled Out Late on Monday Night With Concussion
Nico Collins

Suffers Head Injury on Monday Night
Jahmyr Gibbs

Blows Up For 218 Total Yards, Two Touchdowns in Win
Mike Evans

to Miss Most of the Year With Broken Clavicle
Brandon Woodruff

Expects to Be Ready for Opening Day
Mike Evans

Ruled Out Monday With Concussion, Shoulder Injury
Mike Evans

Making his Return in Primetime Against Detroit
Emeka Egbuka

Officially Active on Monday Night
Michael Penix Jr.

Dealing With Bone Bruise in Foot, Considered Day-to-Day
Reinier de Ridder

Reinier De Ridder Suffers His First UFC Loss
Brendan Allen

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Kevin Holland

Drops Decision
Mike Malott

Wins Third Fight In A Row
Marlon Vera

Loses Third Consecutive Fight
Aiemann Zahabi

Gets A Razor-Thin Split Decision Win
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Manon Fiorot

Gets Back In The Win Column
Davey Grant

Suffers Submission Loss
Charles Jourdain

Gets First-Round Submission Win
Matt Frevola

Gets Dominated At UFC Vancouver
Matt Frevola

Kyle Nelson Dominates Matt Frevola
George Springer

Returns to Lineup for Game 6 of ALCS
CFB

Colorado State Fires Head Coach Jay Norvell After Four Seasons
CFB

Florida Fires Head Coach Billy Napier After Four Years
Chase Elliott

Can Chase Elliott Deliver Another Clutch Win to Make Championship 4?
William Byron

Seeks First Win at Talladega to Overcome Las Vegas Crash
Chase Briscoe

Likely to Finish Worse Than he Starts
Kyle Larson

Despite No Wins on Drafting Tracks, Kyle Larson is Improving
Tyler Reddick

Despite Winning at Talladega, Tyler Reddick's Drafting Record Is Not So Hot
Ross Chastain

Poor Qualifying Makes him a Strong DFS Option at Talladega
Chris Buescher

Excellent Crash Avoidance Could Reap Dividends at Talladega
Ty Gibbs

If Ty Gibbs' Team Executes a Better Strategy, he Could Win at Talladega
Daniel Suarez

Hopes for Clutch Talladega Win to Remain in the NASCAR Cup Series
Josh Berry

Might Contend at Talladega
Austin Dillon

Doesn't Lead Enough at Talladega to Contend for Wins
Brendan Donovan

Undergoes Sports Hernia Surgery
George Springer

Exits Game 5 Early After HBP on his Knee
Jackson Chourio

Back in Game 4 Lineup Against Dodgers
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Has Bone Spurs Removed From his Elbow

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