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Jason Katz - RotoBaller

246 articles

I've been playing fantasy sports since 2003 and writing about it since 2015. You can find my work here on RotoBaller or for FantasyPros, FFToday and Fantasyfootballmetrics. I'm big on analytics and making decisions/predictions based on what the math says is the most likely outcome in a given situation. I'm a lifelong Cowboys fan living in New York. Eli Manning is not a Hall of Famer. Dez caught it.

Articles

Fool Me Once... Sophomore Wide Receivers Set to Bust Again

"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me...you can't get fooled again." Unfortunately, the classic proverb from the eloquent President George W. Bush is not entirely accurate when it comes to fantasy football. Every year, fantasy gamers are sucked in by rookie hype and every year, many of them fail to live up to expectations. […]


2018 ADP Throwdown - Alvin Kamara vs. Saquon Barkley

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are […]


Week 22 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago by completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked […]


Week 21 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago by completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked […]


Allen Hurns (WR, DAL) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~125 CURRENT ADP: ~135 ANALYSIS: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Allen Hurns moved from the Jaguars to the Cowboys this offseason and his fantasy stock may never be higher. The speedster is very talented, and really has the chance to break out, but his fantasy stock is so high for two main reasons. First, he […]


Trey Burton (TE, CHI) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~90 CURRENT ADP: ~100 ANALYSIS: After spending years trapped behind Zach Ertz in Philly, Chicago Bears tight end Trey Burton is free to spread his wings in Chicago. He projects to have a substantial increase in target volume as a starter versus being purely a backup to start his career. Burton has been productive just about […]


Stop that Hype Train! DeVante Parker

Again with this guy? Really? You should all be reading this in the same exasperated tone I am writing in. Devante Parker is a superb athletic specimen. No one can take that away from him. He should be good at football, but after three years on an NFL field, we can definitively conclude that he is not. […]


Derrius Guice Injury Fallout

Injuries are literally the worst. On the very first full day of preseason action, we saw four fantasy-relevant injuries, the worst being Derrius Guice's sprained MCL turned torn ACL. Fantasy owners and football fans alike thought Guice had averted disaster after he was initially diagnosed with a sprained MCL, which would have cost him around […]


Week 20 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago by completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked […]


Week 19 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Cameron Meredith (WR, NO) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~120 CURRENT ADP: ~150 ANALYSIS: New Orleans Saints wide receiver Cameron Meredith is a sleeper based on what the 2018 Bears would have looked like with him still on the roster. The best version of Meredith, for fantasy purposes, still would have been the 2017 version had he not torn his ACL and […]


Week 18 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Why This Year's Alvin Kamara Doesn't Exist

One of the biggest pitfalls of fantasy football analysis is recency bias. Whenever something new or innovative is invented or discovered, everyone is looking for "the next (insert thing) here." In fantasy football, we constantly chase last year's production at our own peril. Alvin Kamara is coming off the single most efficient season for a […]


Week 16 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Bad JuJu - Why JuJu Smith-Schuster is Destined to Bust in 2018

As of mid-July, Juju Smith-Schuster carried an ADP of WR19. Fantasy owners are already baking in an increase in production in his second season. JuJu is a good receiver. He definitely belongs in the NFL and he's a worthy sidekick to Antonio Brown. But how exactly is he reaching mid WR2 numbers? Last season, JuJu […]


Week 16 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Paul Richardson (WR, WAS) - 2018 Fantasy Football Sleeper

We continue our preseason fantasy football sleeper series with a look at Washington Redskins wide receiver Paul Richardson. While the first few rounds of every draft are essentially a wash-rinse-repeat of the consensus top-36, we can always count on those middle and late rounds to cement our confidence in this year's sleepers. The definition of […]


Jordan Matthews - 2018 Fantasy Football Sleeper

I thought Jordan Matthews had sleeper appeal even before Julian Edelman was caught cheating. While Matthews' ADP has risen a bit, by no means is he costly. I know it's been a while was Matthews was "good," but hear me out. He didn't suddenly forget how to football. Matthews has an impressive college resume. He's […]


Week 15 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Chris Godwin (WR, TB) - 2018 Fantasy Football Sleeper

We continue our preseason fantasy football sleeper series with a look at Tampa Bay Bucs wide receiver Chris Godwin. While the first few rounds of every draft are essentially a wash-rinse-repeat of the consensus top-36, we can always count on those middle and late rounds to cement our confidence in this year's sleepers. The definition […]


Jimmy Graham (TE, GB) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~50 CURRENT ADP: ~60 ANALYSIS: Green Bay Packers tight end Jimmy Graham is a known commodity, but is in a position to thrive with a new team. What ultimately pushed makes him a sleeper is what the Packers did in the NFL Draft. After releasing Jordy Nelson, the Packers did not prioritize a WR, but rather […]


2018 Fantasy Sleeper: Allen Robinson (WR, CHI)

BALLER MOVE: Target ~25 CURRENT ADP: ~40 ANALYSIS: Chicago Bears wide receiver Allen Robinson goes from a team that wants to run the ball as much as possible that is quarterbacked by Blake Bortles to a team that is clearly being built to throw more and is quarterbacked by Mitch Trubisky. While the general population may not think that Mitch […]


Jerrick McKinnon (RB, SF) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE:  Target ~20 CURRENT ADP: ~25 ANALYSIS: San Francisco 49ers running back Jerick McKinnon is the most obvious top-end sleeper leading into the season. He was the most obvious when he was signed by San Francisco, but there was concern over the 49ers drafting an early down back - someone like Rashaad Penny, Royce Freeman, or even Nick […]


Running Back Handcuffs Worth Drafting as Standalone Players

I've never been a handcuff enthusiast. I don't think it's an effective strategy. If I draft Kareem Hunt this year, I don't want Spencer Ware. He would just sit on my bench and have no chance at being a useful asset...unless Hunt goes down. I don't want Hunt to go down and I certainly would […]


Jordan Howard - This Year's Todd Gurley?

Let's not beat around the bush here. You've for sure heard about the parallels between the 2018 Bears and the 2017 Rams, of which there are many. The Rams brought in a new, offensive-minded head coach in Sean McVay to replace one of the worst head coaches in NFL history, Jeff Fisher. The Bears brought […]


Week 14 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


If at First You Don't Succeed... Second-Year NFL Breakouts

Do you remember your first year playing fantasy football? I can't talk about myself because I was 14 at the time and everyone in my league was essentially playing for the first time. But over the years, as I got older, I saw plenty of friends introduced to the world of fantasy sports. Many of […]


Week 13 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Week 12 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Who's #1 in Redraft Leagues for 2018?

Every year, there is a consensus #1 overall pick in fantasy football. The consensus varies in strength, but there's usually a guy the majority of the fantasy community agrees should go first. Last year, it was David Johnson. In 2016, it was Antonio Brown. In 2015,  it was Adrian Peterson. The past three seasons have […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Daniel Gafford

Remains Out Sunday
Breece Hall

Records Three Touchdowns
Patrick Kane

to Remain Out on Tuesday
Brett Pesce

Ruled Out for Road Trip
Jason Dickinson

Expected Back on Sunday
Tyler Bertuzzi

Skips Sunday's Action
Cam Skattebo

Will Undergo Surgery on Sunday Night
Karl-Anthony Towns

Good to Go Against Miami
Miles McBride

Won't Play on Sunday
Marcus Foligno

Out Sunday
Brandon Miller

Ruled Out Against Washington
Roope Hintz

Unavailable Versus Predators
Saquon Barkley

Seems Confident He Will Play in Week 10
Rickard Rakell

Undergoes Hand Surgery
Dillon Gabriel

Will Remain the Browns' Starting Quarterback After Bye Week
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Out at Least a Week
Cam Skattebo

Dislocates his Ankle in Loss to Eagles
Saquon Barkley

Questionable to Return Against Giants in Week 8
Quinshon Judkins

Won't Return Against Patriots
Karl-Anthony Towns

Uncertain for Sunday
Mitchell Robinson

Remains Out
Quinshon Judkins

Questionable to Return Against Patriots
Miles McBride

Questionable for Sunday's Game
Josh Hart

Probable to Play on Sunday
Jaylen Brown

Cleared to Face Detroit
De'Andre Hunter

Tagged as Questionable for Sunday
Darius Garland

Remains Sidelined on Sunday
Trey Hendrickson

Ruled Out for Remainder of Week 8 Due to Hip Injury
Bennedict Mathurin

Sidelined Against Minnesota
Andrew Nembhard

Out Again on Sunday Night
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected to Play Versus Cleveland
Cam Skattebo

Exits Week 8 Early Due to Serious Ankle Injury
Derrick White

Good to Go Against Detroit
Cam Thomas

Available on Sunday
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Dealing with a Finger Injury
Anthony Richardson Sr.

has Surgery, Could Return This Year
D'Andre Swift

Cleared to Play in Week 8
Michael Penix Jr.

Officially Inactive on Sunday
Dalton Kincaid

Active for Week 8 Against Panthers
Mason Taylor

Suiting Up in Week 8
Breece Hall

Active for Week 8 Against Bengals
David Njoku

Suiting Up for Week 8 Against Patriots
Drake London

Inactive with Hip Injury
Matthew Golden

Expected to Play Against Steelers
Tua Tagovailoa

Added to Injury Report, Will Play Sunday
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher A Playable DFS option for Martinsville?
Ryan Preece

is an Intriguing DFS Option For Martinsville
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Return in Week 9
Daniel Suarez

May be Worth Rostering in DFS for Martinsville
Austin Dillon

Is Austin Dillon Worth Rostering in DFS for Martinsville This week?
Robert Thomas

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Rickard Rakell

Hurt Versus Blue Jackets
Roope Hintz

Injured on Saturday
Mikael Granlund

Exits Early Saturday
Dylan Strome

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Saturday
William Nylander

Maple Leafs Hope to Have William Nylander Back on Tuesday
Christopher Bell

Kyle Larson Should Advance to Championship 4
Joey Logano

Don't Expect Joey Logano to Significantly Contend for Championship 4
William Byron

A DFS Must-Start Due to Lap-Leader Points
Ross Chastain

Hail Melon Nostalgia Masks Ross Chastain's Martinsville Mediocrity
Josh Berry

a Top Contender for DFS Place-Differential Points
Brad Keselowski

an Intriguing Martinsville Option
Shane Van Gisbergen

Now Competent on Ovals, but Don't Start Him Here
Kyle Busch

Qualifies Well but Probably Won't Have Staying Power
Carson Hocevar

Lack of Finesse Makes Him a Risky Martinsville Pick
Michael McDowell

Missing Martinsville Mastery
Patrik Laine

Ruled Out for 3-4 Months
Brandon Montour

Ready to Face Oilers
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Available Saturday
Roman Josi

Out Week-to-Week With Upper-Body Injury
Anze Kopitar

Set to Rejoin Kings Lineup Saturday
William Nylander

Good to Go Saturday
Morgan Rielly

Returns to Action Saturday
Zaccharie Risacher

Out Again on Saturday
Mark Williams

Sidelined Versus Denver
Jalen Johnson

Uncertain to Suit Up Versus OKC
Jonathan Lekkerimaki

to Miss 2-3 Weeks
Bryce Harper

Phillies Aren't Planning to Trade Bryce Harper
Bo Bichette

Starting at Second, Batting Cleanup in Game 1 of World Series
Bo Bichette

Makes World Series Roster
Ciryl Gane

Scheduled For A Title Fight
Tom Aspinall

Set for First Official Title Defense
Mackenzie Dern

Can Become The New Strawweight Champion
Virna Jandiroba

Set For UFC 321 Co-Main Event
Mario Bautista

Aims To Extend His Win Streak
MMA

Umar Numagomedov A Favorite At UFC 321
Jailton Almeida

Hopes To Get A Title Shot With A Win
Alexander Volkov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Azamat Murzakanov

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Aleksandar Rakic

In Dire Need Of Victory
CFB

Texas Tech QB Will Hammond Will Start vs. Oklahoma State Saturday
CFB

Kansas State RB Dylan Edwards Out For Sunflower Showdown
CFB

Arizona State WR Jordyn Tyson Will Not Play In Week 9
Zack Wheeler

Could be Ready for Opening Day in 2026
William Contreras

Could Need Finger Surgery
CFB

Utah QB Devon Dampier Listed as Questionable on Big 12 Injury Report
San Francisco Giants

Tony Vitello Named New Manager of the Giants
Francisco Lindor

has Elbow Surgery, Expected to be Ready for Spring Training
PGA

Alex Noren is a Smash Play at Bank of Utah Championship
Maverick McNealy

Look Out For Maverick McNealy This Week in Utah
Justin Lower

Unlikely to Flip The Script at Bank of Utah Championship
Stephan Jaeger

Looking for Repeat Performance in Utah
CFB

Behren Morton Will be Listed as Questionable on Wednesday
Max McGreevy

a Longer Shot to Contend in Utah
Jackson Suber

on the Bubble for the PGA in 2026
Greyson Sigg

Improving at the Right Time This Fall
Seamus Power

Hopes to Make More Birdies This Week
Patton Kizzire

May Struggle Once Again in Utah
Beau Hossler

Up and Down Heading to Bank of Utah Championship
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Find the Weekend in Utah
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Enjoying the Fall Golf Season
Tom Hoge

Sputtering into Bank of Utah Championship
Sahith Theegala

On the Upswing Heading into Utah
Andrew Putnam

Looks to Find Form in Utah
Matt McCarty

Looks to Defend Title in Utah
Ben Kohles

a Strong Value Play at Bank of Utah Championship
Max Homa

Trending Up Entering the Bank of Utah Championship
Nick Dunlap

Searching for Spark at Bank of Utah Championship
Quade Cummins

Struggling to Find Form Ahead of Bank of Utah Championship
Jason Day

Making a Spot Start at Bank of Utah Championship
Los Angeles Angels

Kurt Suzuki to be the Angels' Next Manager
Bo Bichette

Plans to be Ready for World Series
Brandon Woodruff

Expects to Be Ready for Opening Day

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