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Jason Katz - RotoBaller

246 articles

I've been playing fantasy sports since 2003 and writing about it since 2015. You can find my work here on RotoBaller or for FantasyPros, FFToday and Fantasyfootballmetrics. I'm big on analytics and making decisions/predictions based on what the math says is the most likely outcome in a given situation. I'm a lifelong Cowboys fan living in New York. Eli Manning is not a Hall of Famer. Dez caught it.

Articles

Fool Me Once... Sophomore Wide Receivers Set to Bust Again

"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me...you can't get fooled again." Unfortunately, the classic proverb from the eloquent President George W. Bush is not entirely accurate when it comes to fantasy football. Every year, fantasy gamers are sucked in by rookie hype and every year, many of them fail to live up to expectations. […]


2018 ADP Throwdown - Alvin Kamara vs. Saquon Barkley

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are […]


Week 22 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago by completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked […]


Week 21 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago by completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked […]


Allen Hurns (WR, DAL) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~125 CURRENT ADP: ~135 ANALYSIS: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Allen Hurns moved from the Jaguars to the Cowboys this offseason and his fantasy stock may never be higher. The speedster is very talented, and really has the chance to break out, but his fantasy stock is so high for two main reasons. First, he […]


Trey Burton (TE, CHI) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~90 CURRENT ADP: ~100 ANALYSIS: After spending years trapped behind Zach Ertz in Philly, Chicago Bears tight end Trey Burton is free to spread his wings in Chicago. He projects to have a substantial increase in target volume as a starter versus being purely a backup to start his career. Burton has been productive just about […]


Stop that Hype Train! DeVante Parker

Again with this guy? Really? You should all be reading this in the same exasperated tone I am writing in. Devante Parker is a superb athletic specimen. No one can take that away from him. He should be good at football, but after three years on an NFL field, we can definitively conclude that he is not. […]


Derrius Guice Injury Fallout

Injuries are literally the worst. On the very first full day of preseason action, we saw four fantasy-relevant injuries, the worst being Derrius Guice's sprained MCL turned torn ACL. Fantasy owners and football fans alike thought Guice had averted disaster after he was initially diagnosed with a sprained MCL, which would have cost him around […]


Week 20 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago by completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked […]


Week 19 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Cameron Meredith (WR, NO) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~120 CURRENT ADP: ~150 ANALYSIS: New Orleans Saints wide receiver Cameron Meredith is a sleeper based on what the 2018 Bears would have looked like with him still on the roster. The best version of Meredith, for fantasy purposes, still would have been the 2017 version had he not torn his ACL and […]


Week 18 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Why This Year's Alvin Kamara Doesn't Exist

One of the biggest pitfalls of fantasy football analysis is recency bias. Whenever something new or innovative is invented or discovered, everyone is looking for "the next (insert thing) here." In fantasy football, we constantly chase last year's production at our own peril. Alvin Kamara is coming off the single most efficient season for a […]


Week 16 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Bad JuJu - Why JuJu Smith-Schuster is Destined to Bust in 2018

As of mid-July, Juju Smith-Schuster carried an ADP of WR19. Fantasy owners are already baking in an increase in production in his second season. JuJu is a good receiver. He definitely belongs in the NFL and he's a worthy sidekick to Antonio Brown. But how exactly is he reaching mid WR2 numbers? Last season, JuJu […]


Week 16 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Paul Richardson (WR, WAS) - 2018 Fantasy Football Sleeper

We continue our preseason fantasy football sleeper series with a look at Washington Redskins wide receiver Paul Richardson. While the first few rounds of every draft are essentially a wash-rinse-repeat of the consensus top-36, we can always count on those middle and late rounds to cement our confidence in this year's sleepers. The definition of […]


Jordan Matthews - 2018 Fantasy Football Sleeper

I thought Jordan Matthews had sleeper appeal even before Julian Edelman was caught cheating. While Matthews' ADP has risen a bit, by no means is he costly. I know it's been a while was Matthews was "good," but hear me out. He didn't suddenly forget how to football. Matthews has an impressive college resume. He's […]


Week 15 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Chris Godwin (WR, TB) - 2018 Fantasy Football Sleeper

We continue our preseason fantasy football sleeper series with a look at Tampa Bay Bucs wide receiver Chris Godwin. While the first few rounds of every draft are essentially a wash-rinse-repeat of the consensus top-36, we can always count on those middle and late rounds to cement our confidence in this year's sleepers. The definition […]


Jimmy Graham (TE, GB) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~50 CURRENT ADP: ~60 ANALYSIS: Green Bay Packers tight end Jimmy Graham is a known commodity, but is in a position to thrive with a new team. What ultimately pushed makes him a sleeper is what the Packers did in the NFL Draft. After releasing Jordy Nelson, the Packers did not prioritize a WR, but rather […]


2018 Fantasy Sleeper: Allen Robinson (WR, CHI)

BALLER MOVE: Target ~25 CURRENT ADP: ~40 ANALYSIS: Chicago Bears wide receiver Allen Robinson goes from a team that wants to run the ball as much as possible that is quarterbacked by Blake Bortles to a team that is clearly being built to throw more and is quarterbacked by Mitch Trubisky. While the general population may not think that Mitch […]


Jerrick McKinnon (RB, SF) - 2018 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE:  Target ~20 CURRENT ADP: ~25 ANALYSIS: San Francisco 49ers running back Jerick McKinnon is the most obvious top-end sleeper leading into the season. He was the most obvious when he was signed by San Francisco, but there was concern over the 49ers drafting an early down back - someone like Rashaad Penny, Royce Freeman, or even Nick […]


Running Back Handcuffs Worth Drafting as Standalone Players

I've never been a handcuff enthusiast. I don't think it's an effective strategy. If I draft Kareem Hunt this year, I don't want Spencer Ware. He would just sit on my bench and have no chance at being a useful asset...unless Hunt goes down. I don't want Hunt to go down and I certainly would […]


Jordan Howard - This Year's Todd Gurley?

Let's not beat around the bush here. You've for sure heard about the parallels between the 2018 Bears and the 2017 Rams, of which there are many. The Rams brought in a new, offensive-minded head coach in Sean McVay to replace one of the worst head coaches in NFL history, Jeff Fisher. The Bears brought […]


Week 14 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


If at First You Don't Succeed... Second-Year NFL Breakouts

Do you remember your first year playing fantasy football? I can't talk about myself because I was 14 at the time and everyone in my league was essentially playing for the first time. But over the years, as I got older, I saw plenty of friends introduced to the world of fantasy sports. Many of […]


Week 13 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Week 12 Waiver Wire: H2H Category Streamers

I like to consider myself a pioneer of the streaming approach. I won a league about seven years ago completely ignoring saves and just stacking up the starts each week. While streaming is undoubtedly more directly associated with pitching, there's plenty of value in streaming for offense as well. Maybe you have a stacked roster […]


Who's #1 in Redraft Leagues for 2018?

Every year, there is a consensus #1 overall pick in fantasy football. The consensus varies in strength, but there's usually a guy the majority of the fantasy community agrees should go first. Last year, it was David Johnson. In 2016, it was Antonio Brown. In 2015,  it was Adrian Peterson. The past three seasons have […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Anthony Santander

Hoping to Hit Soon
Luis Robert Jr.

Returning in Short Order
Alex Bregman

Could Return Later This Week
Ketel Marte

Day-to-Day with Groin Tightness
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Hunter Greene

Suffers Setback on Monday
Philadelphia 76ers

Kyle Lowry Staying With 76ers
Kyle Anderson

Lands in Utah
Kevin Love

Traded to Jazz in 3-Team Swap
Norman Powell

Traded to Miami
John Collins

Dealt to Clippers
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied For 14 at Travelers Championship
Xander Schauffele

Finishes Tied For 61 at Travelers Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Robert MacIntyre

Finishes Tied For 17 at Travelers Championship
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied For 11 at John Deere Classic
Viktor Hovland

Withdraws From Travelers Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

Finishes Tied For Second at Travelers Championship
Brian Campbell

Wins John Deere Classic
Bronny James Jr.

Scores 10 Points
Harrison Ingram

Limited on Sunday
Golden State Warriors

Isaiah Mobley Drops 16 Points
Ryan Rollins

Staying with Bucks
T.J. Watt

Pittsburgh Still Not Close on New Contract
Terry McLaurin

Still Not Pleased with Contract Situation
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Yu Darvish

to Make Season Debut on Monday
MLB

Nationals Fire Dave Martinez, Mike Rizzo
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
KaVontae Turpin

Arrested on Two Charges
Cole Ragans

to Begin Throwing on Monday
Theo Johnson

Prioritizing his Health this Offseason
Andrés Giménez

Andres Gimenez Hits 10-Day Injured List
Jermaine Burton

Continues to Show Growth
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
Austin Cindric

Remains an Overrated Road Racer
Cam Ward

"Not Expecting" to be handed Starting Job
Chase Claypool

Eager to Get Back on the Field
Wyatt Langford

Activated, Playing on Saturday
Jay Huff

on the Move to Indiana
Cam Whitmore

Wizards Acquire Cam Whitmore from the Rockets
LaJohntay Wester

Stands out on Special Teams
Clarke Schmidt

Likely to Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Nolan Arenado

Scratched from Saturday's Lineup
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Starting on Saturday
Corbin Carroll

Activated from 10-Day Injured List
Cincinnati Bengals

Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Jock Landale

Waived by Rockets
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Jabari Walker

Signs Two-Way Deal With Sixers
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Byron Young

Still Improving?
Cody Simon

Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
SirVocea Dennis

has Impressive Offseason
Trevor Penning

Could Still Have a Role in New Orleans
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors Decline Recent Offer for Jonathan Kuminga
Moritz Wagner

Magic Agree to One-Year Deal
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
José Soriano

Jose Soriano Throws Gem Against Braves
Robbie Ray

Earns Ninth Win in Complete Game
T.J. Watt

Likely to Reset the Edge-Rush Market
George Springer

Blasts Two Homers, Drives in Four
Bradley Beal

Suns Discussing Potential Buyout
Jaxson Hayes

Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
Jackson Suber

Staying Below 70 is Key to Success for Jackson Suber
Kevin Roy

Playing Better Heading into John Deere Classic
Justin Lower

Hoping for Something Positive in Illinois
Ben Kohles

a Long Shot at John Deere Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
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