Sleeper.com NBA DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Friday, December 15

December 15, 2023

Sleeper NBA DFS prop picks for December 15, 2023. Use Jake's NBA over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NBA DFS prop picks for Friday, December 15. Eight games Friday and 10 games Saturday with zero percent chance of Basketball-Gate ending before the weekend does. While we won’t get to see Giannis Antetokounmpo angrily respond with on-court actions, do we think Kyle Kuzma has a chance to recreate a similar history? No, but I’m not against the Pacers starting to take game balls away from opposing players. The NBA needs a stronger WWE presence and more gimmicks anyway.

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NBA DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are some of our favorite NBA prop picks for Friday’s eight game slate.

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NBA DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Friday, December 15

Tyrese Haliburton OVER 0.5 Double-Double

This is fairly obvious. His lines are set at 27.5 points and 12.5 assists. Not that a double-double is ever certain, but unless Indiana literally drops the ball, Haliburton should continue to rack up double-digit assists, especially against bad teams. At this point, you either love betting Haliburton lines or you hate them. Nothing said here will really change that.

The big negative here is the blowout potential. A big positive, however, is that the Pacers don’t win many games that Haliburton doesn’t contribute in and he has rarely failed to contribute this season. His MVP narrative is going to be coated with double-doubles and I’m not overthinking sure-thing bets when even Vegas agrees.

Tyrese Maxey UNDER 0.5 Double-Double

Tyrese Maxey might be good for points, but the assists will always be somewhat shaky, definitely not on the level of consistently posting double-digit assists. He’s the 76ers' primary playmaker, but that doesn’t mean he is racking up assists or even looking to assist on most possessions. Maxey’s smart enough to dump off passes for easy buckets, but his natural ability is scoring and that’s what we’re targeting here.

His assist + rebound line is set at 10.5 and looking great in terms of what is expected. Since Philadelphia is on the first night of a back-to-back and the Pistons have been notorious for letting up huge games to guards, even a monster game from Maxey doesn’t really automatically mean 10 assists. He’s put up 10 or more five times, five or less assists seven times this season. Unless you literally think ‘Pistons bad, Maxey get lots of assists,’ which I won’t fault you for, it just isn’t likely.

Daniel Gafford OVER 6.5 Rebounds

We are going to look back at Daniel Gafford’s career in awe of the one season he averaged seven rebounds and cashed 65% of his over bets. The Wizards being terrible has not helped his cause at all, but playing alongside two shooters helps him tremendously when it comes to chasing offensive rebounds. It gets mighty boring watching your teammates shoot and Gafford has started creating his own opportunities much more frequently.

The Pacers play at an incredibly high pace and Myles Turner plays on the perimeter, meaning when Turner doesn’t shoot, Gafford won’t need to box out someone standing on the three-point line. Not to mention Turner rarely chases offensive rebounds in the first place. There’s always potential for the under here, but there’s not much resistance in the Pacers frontcourt and Gafford is more likely to run into teammates stealing rebounds rather than the Pacers preventing him specifically.

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

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