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Welcome to our Sleeper NBA DFS prop picks for Monday, November 13. Before we get into this article, let’s talk about rebounds. Hands down, there is not a fickler stat to bet on. The best example has to be yesterday’s Knick game, where Mitchell Robinson had 10 points and eight rebounds in the first half, only to finish the game with one more rebound. The game was a blowout, and Robinson only played 24 minutes, but as a bettor that might seem impossible for a seven-footer to not get rebounds, but sometimes the ball just doesn’t bounce your way, literally.
Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NBA DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are some of our favorite NBA prop picks for Monday’s 4-game slate.
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NBA DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Monday, November 13
Mitchell Robinson UNDER 9.5 Rebounds
I am the devil’s advocate, but hear me out. There are two ways to look at this game. One with Al Horford and context, the other through generalities. Al Horford is one of the league’s best frontcourt defenders and the proof lies in his opponents’ stat lines. Horford boxes out like none other and removes the opposing team’s best rebounder by force almost each and every possession
Mitchell Robinson however, is a strong seven-footer that just needs a small amount of effort combined with his size to pull down ten rebounds each night. That being said, there is a group of seven-foot centers that despite having the size to be double-digit rebounders, just aren’t. That’s not their fault, it’s just not their game and it’s important to address that. It should also be noted that Robinson has yet to average double-digit rebounds in a season even though he’s averaging 12 a game right now. Against the Celtics I’m assuming he’ll struggle which means he’ll somehow grab 20 tonight.
Evan Mobley UNDER 9.5 Rebounds
Somehow, the Cavaliers have a rebounding problem with Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley. There was potential in a theory that Mobley would become a more aggressive rebounder when Allen returned to help with paint coverage, but clearly Mobley just isn’t that interested in rebounds.
But can we blame him? Rebounds are not the most attractive stat and do you see all the work you have to do just to get one? Life’s easier when you stick to points and blocks. Against the Kings, we should expect Mobley to be stuck putting a body on a defender before chasing a rebound and despite a decent track record against this team, 10 rebounds would be random.
Kevin Huerter OVER 4.5 Rebounds
Probably one of the better bets of the night compared to the other two being offered and you can assume RotoBaller’s risk management department will be contacting me later. I can already see the angry email titled ‘Kevin Hurter rebounds…REALLY?!’ in my inbox, but you know what? It’s a good bet. Huerter is getting the minutes and the fact he’s shooting with no regard for anything but winning means the minutes and confidence are working together.
Rebounds are one of those stats where more selfish, aggressive players shine. Kyle Kuzma, Julius Randle, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jayson Tatum all want the ball and it starts with getting the rebound, usually by doing it themselves. Huerter is not in that caliber of player, but the mindset of either stealing a possession (offensive rebound) or securing the possession (defensive rebound) on every missed shot is what we want and Huerter has it.
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
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