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Jake King-Finnen's NBA Over/Under DFS prop picks for RIVAL fantasy contests for Wednesday, May 17th, 2023. Sign up for RIVAL fantasy and use his NBA DFS prop picks to win money.
Welcome to our Rival Fantasy NBA DFS prop picks for Wednesday, May 17th, 2023. There are only nine total options available right now so this article is going to seem more like a summary.
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RIVAL Over/Under Picks
Until more picks are available like Jimmy Butler, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and Kevin Love, we will work with what is offered.
Jayson Tatum OVER 50.15 fantasy points
This year there have only been three playoff games where Jayson Tatum has scored below 20 points and in his lowest scoring game, the Celtics won in a blowout.
Coming off a 51-point Game 7 versus Philadelphia, the Heat defense is likely to matter significantly less than Tatum’s overall efficiency and he’s put up monstrous numbers against them in the past. He will do so this series.
Scoring 51 fantasy points against Miami’s defense will still be a tough task to overcome, but there so much rebounding and playmaking upside that the under isn’t exactly safe.
Bam Adebayo UNDER 36.87 fantasy points
Comfortable in his role as a roaming center, Bam Adebayo hasn’t really been contributing in the stat column as much as you’d think and hope. We can work with this by taking the under, it’s just usually hard to fade young, versatile big men lined up against 36-year old Al Horford.
It seems like a recipe for success but Horford is a stat drainer. He lives for the 7-6-7 stat line and does everything he can do make his opponent post the same.
Although the regular season is borderline irrelevant to how good a player actually is, the one time Adebayo played Boston this year and would have crushed this over, Horford did not play.
Robert Williams UNDER 22.23 fantasy points
There have only been four games these playoffs where Robert Williams has played 25 minutes or more and Boston is 3-1 in those games. His minutes should continue upward although it shouldn’t change his statistical trajectory.
Boston has enough firepower to allow their frontcourt to play in the traditional, clog-the-paint style that doesn’t generate many stats, so although this seems like an easy-over, Williams is deceptively unproductive.
He might be their leading shot blocker and best defender, but the way the Celtics function doesn’t provide many opportunities to score and grab rebounds despite being a center.
Max Strus OVER 17.37 fantasy points
Once again, we find our way to Max Strus. The line-setters may have not bought into his upside yet, but the Heat have found their main wing shooter.
This most likely wasn’t in the game plan until Strus started proving himself starting with Game 2 in New York, but there’s ultimately no reason to avoid the hot-hand when it’s this hot.
His line is barely above the amount of points he averaged last series and he’s taken at least eleven shots in his last five games.
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