Matt Miller's 2026 RBC Canadian Open Longshot Bets

June 10, 2026

Matt Miller dives into his top longshot bets for the 2026 RBC Canadian Open sleeper plays, value bets, and under-the-radar golf betting insights.

Welcome to my weekly longshots article! The purpose of this piece is to identify players further down the board who are low-risk, high-reward wagers. For purposes of this article, I am considering longshots to be players over 85-1 on the odds list.

The wagers listed below might have playability in various sectors of the market. Please search your shops to see if you can find anything enticing.

If you have any additional questions for me, you can find me on X @MattyMillz85. I am always more than happy to answer any questions you might have. Also, stay tuned for additional announcements from me here in 2026. Big things are on the way!

Max Greyserman (88-1 DraftKings)

Max Greyserman is entering this week off the heels of a putrid showing at the Charles Schwab. That said, if you can look past his most recent start, Greyserman shows a lot of promise in his recent form.

Prior to the catastrophic iron week at Colonial, the 31-year-old had gained strokes on approach in five straight starts. This stretch was capped off by an incredible approach week at the Byron Nelson, where he led the field in strokes gained approach, gaining over 2.5 strokes on average per round against the field.

Co-medalist Max Greyserman of Short Hills, NJ fired a 28(!) on the front nine of his second round at Canoe Brook. He finished -11/131 for the day, securing one of the four U.S. Open qualifying spots.@usopengolf | #USOpen | @USGA | @PGATOUR pic.twitter.com/8oTF3cehoa

— Metropolitan Golf Association (@MGA1897) June 4, 2024

Greyserman is still looking for his first PGA Tour victory but comes with a ton of upside. He has five runner-up finishes since the start of 2024, so is no stranger in being in contention down the stretch. With less win equity at the top of the board this week, it feels like an opportunity for Greyserman to steal his first PGA Tour victory.

Austin Smotherman (125-1 FanDuel)

If there were an Austin Smotherman bandwagon, admittedly I'd be near the driver seat of it. I absolutely love the 32-year-old's game and firmly believe he is going to win a PGA Tour event sooner rather than later.

Austin Smotherman has a 15-footer for birdie and the outright lead on his final hole… that he has to hit tomorrow morning.

PAIN.
pic.twitter.com/Ur2yRrXXWx

— Fore Play (@ForePlayPod) March 13, 2026

Smotherman appeared in my longshot article back in March at the Cognizant Classic and held a 54-hole lead that week. While he ultimately came up short on Sunday, I believe Smotherman learned a lot from being in that position and will be even more comfortable next time he gets a shot to win on Sunday.

The SMU grad hit a little rough patch as the Florida swing concluded and went on a five tournament stretch where he failed to register a top 35 finish. That said, Smo is rounding back into form as we head to Canada's national open.

The Dallas native has gained strokes on approach in five of his last seven starts and had his best iron week since the AMEX in January in his last start. He is highly dependable off the tee in terms of accuracy which should suit him well this week. If the putts can fall, I believe Smotherman is live to win.

Austin Eckroat (175-1 FanDuel)

I've been a bit of a broken record on Eckroat in 2026 with nothing coming to fruition so far. That said, it's hard not to find value on the two-time PGA Tour winner at 175-1.

While Eckroat's current form isn't great, it's far from bad. The 27-year-old has gained strokes on approach in six of his last seven starts which checks the most important box of the week. He has also gained strokes putting in five of his last six starts.

If Eckroat can hit it decently off the tee, he is in solid form both on approach and on the greens. It is also an unusual luxury at 175-1 to have a guy you can actually trust to close out an event if in contention. I think Eckroat presents a ton of upside long-term on the PGA Tour and I am going to continue to be interested in him at large numbers.

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