Matt Miller's 2026 Memorial Tournament Longshot Bets

June 3, 2026

Matt Miller dives into his top longshot bets for the 2026 Memorial Tournament sleeper plays, value bets, and under-the-radar golf betting insights.

Welcome to my weekly longshots article! The purpose of this piece is to identify players further down the board who are low-risk, high-reward wagers. For purposes of this article, I am considering longshots to be players over 90-1 on the odds list.

The wagers listed below might have playability in various sectors of the market. Please search your shops to see if you can find anything enticing.

If you have any additional questions for me, you can find me on X @MattyMillz85. I am always more than happy to answer any questions you might have. Also, stay tuned for additional announcements from me here in 2026. Big things are on the way!

Ryan Gerard (94-1 DraftKings)

For the first time this season I have lowered my longshot classification from 100-1 to 90-1. This is partly because of the nature of the tournament this week and the difficulty a longshot will have winning, and partially because I wanted to sneak Ryan Gerard into this article.

From a ball-striking standpoint, Gerard has everything I am looking for this week in an outright bet. He has been great with his irons over his last four starts, including a really strong performance last week at the Charles Schwab where he gained 1.14 strokes on average per round against the field on approach.

Co-leader Ryan Gerard made every single putt inside 15 feet.

Is that any good? pic.twitter.com/cfPR9CW5zf

— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) May 28, 2026

Gerard has also been extremely accurate off this tee lately. Murifield Village has a high missed fairway penalty and it will definitely be important for players to be accurate off the tee this week. Gerard has not been negative against the field in driving accuracy in any of his last eight starts.

While it may be difficult to see Gerard breaking through at such a demanding course, against such a strong field, Jack's place has been a bit of a breakout spot over the years. Both Collin Morikawa and Bryson Dechambeau picked up their first real signature wins at the Memorial Tournament. We have also seen both Jacob Bridgeman and Kristoffer Reitan stun at signature events this season.

Wyndham Clark (100-1 FanDuel)

The disrespect is real seeing Wyndham Clark go off at triple digits on the oddsboard while coming off a win at The CJ Cup. Is the course fit perfect for Clark, no? But the 32-year-old is still a four-time PGA Tour winner, including a U.S. Open and two signature events.

Wyndham Clark explains what its like to be an equipment free agent this year, "Its like a girlfriend, I've been dating a lot, with clubs." pic.twitter.com/GqvdtvntzG

— Chris McKee (@mrmckee) June 2, 2026

Clark has been great on approach, losing strokes against the field just once since the Farmers Insurance Open back in February. He also found something again off the tee in his last start after struggling with the driver at the PGA Championship.

The around the green play and driving accuracy are a few areas that can be deemed red flags for Clark this week. However, if he can replicate his driving performance at The CJ Cup, I have a ton of faith in the ball-striking. The major champion is also riding a red hot putter into this week.

Corey Conners (100-1 FanDuel)

Fairways and greens is a course profile that lends itself perfectly to Corey Conners. Conners is one of the more accurate drivers of the golf ball in the field this week, ranking 5th on tour this year in that category.

Conners is also a strong iron player. In his last start at the PGA Championship, the 34-year-old gained almost a stroke and half per round on average on approach. If the strong iron play continues this week, Conners rates out extremely well from a ball-striking standpoint.

The short game and putting are huge question marks for the Canadian this week, and that's probably being kind. I have my doubts that Conners can actually win this event but it would not shock me to see him play well enough to finish inside the top 10.

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