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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 13

Some stars (and surprising scrubs) continue to rise, while others have yet to turn a corner. That begs the all-important questions: sell-high or buy-low? In the case of struggling stars, it's hard to let go but sometimes it's in the best interest of your team to cut bait before too much damage is done. Other times, we have to embrace the youth movement that is underway. This week, I suggest a pair of young, budding stars that should be added universally, but for some reason are still widely available. I also recommend you take the bold step of selling low or outright cutting a Cy Young winner and a preseason top-20 outfielder.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 13

Trey Mancini (1B/OF, BAL) 45% owned

Trey Mancini is this year's Adam Duvall for me. Not just because he is an unheralded power bat on pace to hit 30+ home runs in his first year as a starter. I think of Duvall because last season, in an NL-only league no less, I added Duvall in the first week off waivers and then dropped him two weeks later because I didn't figure he would do much. Oops... Likewise, I owned Mancini in a couple of leagues this May, but got impatient with his lack of regular playing time and gave him the boot.

Now, Chris Davis is on the DL and Mancini is continuing his power surge with three homers and a .408 average in the past two weeks. He now has a total of 12 HR and 38 RBI in just under 200 at-bats on the season. Even when Davis returns, the team has no choice but to find more at-bats for Mancini. Even though there is no chance he approaches the current AL rookie leader in home runs (some Judge guy), he looks like one of the better young sluggers in the league. He is a great value in points leagues, but should be owned in most 12+ team rotisserie leagues as well.

Bradley Zimmer (OF, CLE) 15% owned

Really? 15%? If we ignore the fact that Aaron Judge exists (impossible, I know) then Zimmer could also make a run for AL Rookie of the Year. His game is more speed than power, but aren't stolen bases harder to find than homers these days? Zimmer is batting .303 on the season with 20 RBI and seven steals in just over a month's worth of action.

As a first-round pick playing for the defending AL champs, what exactly is the concern that is leaving him on so many waiver wires still? Any league that allows keepers should have a Zimmer owner somewhere. His SB upside doesn't rival Mallex Smith, but he will do more in other counting stats and could be a rare five-category contributor.

Cam Bedrosian (RP, LAA) 57% owned

The Angels' closer situation is verifiable mess right now. Bud Norris takes Huston Street's place on the DL, just as Bedrosian had come back a week earlier. Between the current closer (Norris) and last year's closer (Street), it would seem Bedrock Jr. would be stuck at third in the pecking order for saves. By year's end, I have little doubt Bedrosian will be the man, however. Chances of Street staying healthy and effective are slim to none. He hasn't taken the mound this year, only pitched 22 1/3 innings last year, and posted a 6.45 ERA.

Norris may temporarily get the closer job back in a week or so, but he will likely suffer the same fate as last year by being traded for prospects. The Angels are not a contender and have no reason to hold onto the 32-year old if they can improve their depleted farm system. The only reason Bedrosian hasn't held the job all year is his own injury. Before hitting the DL, he hadn't yielded a run in nine appearances, including three saves. He pitched to a sparkling 1.12 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 11.4 K/9 last season. Bedrosian will fall back into the closer role sooner than later, so snag him now before he becomes a waiver wire sensation.

 

Overrated Players - Week 13

Brandon Belt (1B, SF) 64% owned

This isn't the first, nor will it be the last time I call out Brandon Belt truthers for having unrealistic expectations. For some reason, he keeps being heralded as undervalued year-after-year, even though the numbers don't change.

Belt is on pace to crack the 20-HR mark for the first time ever, but it's coming at the expense of his average, which is a career-low .226. The power may subside too, as his 12.4% HR/FB rate is four points above his career mark. The truth is Belt has never been significantly better than replacement level and nothing has changed this season.

Carlos Gonzalez (OF, COL) 87% owned

You don't need me to tell you that CarGo is having a terrible season. Gonzalez was a fifth or sixth round pick in most fantasy drafts as an OF2, but he's competing with Gregory Polanco for biggest bust among outfielders at the moment. It's not just his .221 average and paltry six home runs for a Rockies player that are concerning.

The fact is that young Raimel Tapia has been on fire lately and David Dahl still figures to return at some point to claim playing time. The Rockies could easily find themselves willing to part with CarGo at the trade deadline, even if they are in first place. Gonzalez is an impending free agent, so a move to bolster the rotation and/or bullpen would make sense if he is still struggling. A move out of Coors Field won't help his value whatsoever, so it might be best for fantasy teams to move on from him, even if it's selling low at this point.

Rick Porcello (SP, BOS) 83% owned

It's time to pull the plug. After his next start against the Trout-less Angels, I'll be dropping Porcello in two leagues (one is AL-only and the other was auto-drafted, OK?). After leading the league in wins last season, he's leading the league in losses (nine so far) this season. Things are just getting worse, as he's dropped four of his last five contests, going over a month without a victory. He also has the dubious distinction of leading the league in hits allowed, which explains his 1.53 WHIP.

The one area that works in his favor is a strong 4.72 K:BB rate. He's whiffing batters at a high rate and still walks very few batters, but he's allowing a significant amount of contact. At some point, his .366 BABIP should come down, but it may not be enough to make him worth hanging onto. We knew regression would come for Porcello, but nobody expected it to hit this hard.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Nicolas Claxton

Available Sunday
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Expect Aaron Rodgers to Play in Week 13
Tee Higgins

Suffers Concussion, Won't Return in Week 12
Kevin Durant

Will Miss the Next Two Games
Alvin Kamara

Suiting Up Against Falcons in Week 12
Kristaps Porzingis

Taking the Night off on Sunday
Kawhi Leonard

Off the Injury Report, Cleared to Suit Up on Sunday
Brandon Miller

Sitting Out on Sunday Evening
DK Metcalf

D.K. Metcalf Cleared to Return in Week 12 After Injury Scare
DK Metcalf

D.K. Metcalf Questionable to Return With Ankle Injury
LaMelo Ball

Resting Against Atlanta
Jalen Suggs

Won't Play Against Boston
Drake London

Falcons Could be Cautious With Drake London
Jordan Love

Playing Through Shoulder Injury
Brian Thomas Jr.

Likely to be Back in Week 13?
Brandon Aiyuk

Close to Being Cleared for Return
Xavier Worthy

Active Versus Colts
Kenneth Walker III

Will Play Against Titans in Week 12
Rhamondre Stevenson

Officially Active on Sunday
Emanuel Wilson

Set to Start for Packers in Week 12
George Pickens

Franchise Tag the More Likely Option for George Pickens
Josh Jacobs

Inactive for Week 12 Against Vikings
Mason Rudolph

Earns the Start in Week 12
Aaron Rodgers

Inactive for Week 12 Against Bears
Deshaun Watson

Travels for Week 12, Will Watch from Browns' Sideline
Lonzo Ball

Sitting Sunday for Knee Management
Shaedon Sharpe

Ruled Out for Third Straight Game
Jrue Holiday

Out at Least 1-2 Weeks
Donovan Clingan

Faces Uncertain Status Against Thunder
Jarrett Allen

Sidelined Again With Finger Strain
Jakob Poeltl

Out Sunday for Back Injury Management
VJ Edgecombe

Lands on Injury Report With Calf Issue
Joel Embiid

Out Again as Sixers Manage Knee Issue
Andrew Wiggins

to Miss Sunday's Contest with Hip Injury
Rhamondre Stevenson

Expected to Play in Week 12
Norman Powell

Carrying Probable Tag for Sunday
Aaron Rodgers

Pushing to Play Against Bears
Sidney Crosby

Records 500th Multi-Point Game
Mackenzie Blackwood

Posts 35-Save Shutout
Aaron Ekblad

Battling an Illness
Jake McCabe

Suffers Upper-Body Injury
Brayden Point

Makes Early Exit Versus Capitals
Nikita Kucherov

Hurt on Saturday
Xavier Worthy

Expected to Play in Week 12
Nic Dowd

Out Against Lightning
Jake Evans

Good to Go Saturday
Gavin Brindley

to Sit Out at Least Two Games
Thomas Chabot

Available Against Sharks
Roman Josi

Returns From 12-Game Absence
Jake Walman

Out Saturday
Kawhi Leonard

Expected to Return on Sunday
J.T. Miller

Won't Play Against Mammoth
Kawhi Leonard

Sidelined for Saturday's Game Against Hornets
Tre Mann

Dealing With Ankle Soreness
Jaden Ivey

Could Make Season Debut Soon
Gabriel Vilardi

Has Two Goals in Losing Effort
Jordan Staal

Provides Two Goals in Friday's Win
Matt Boldy

Amasses Three Points in Impressive Road Win
Filip Gustavsson

Shuts Out Penguins Friday
Josh Doan

Pots Two Goals Friday Night
Alex Tuch

Tallies Four Assists in Big Win
Vinnie Hinostroza

Suffers Serious Injury Friday
Adolis García

Rangers Non-Tender Adolis Garcia on Friday
Auston Matthews

Doubtful for Saturday
CFB

Beau Pribula Expected to Start Against Oklahoma
Dan Hooker

An Underdog At UFC Qatar
Arman Tsarukyan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
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A Favorite At UFC Qatar
Belal Muhammad

Looks To Bounce Back
Alonzo Menifield

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Volkan Oezdemir

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Myktybek Orolbai

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jack Hermansson

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Kyoji Horiguchi

Returns To The UFC
Tagir Ulanbekov

Set To Open Up UFC Qatar Main Card
Elly De La Cruz

Played Through Partially Torn Quad to End 2025
Tarik Skubal

Tigers "Doubtful" to Trade Tarik Skubal
Raisel Iglesias

Returning to the Braves on One-Year Deal
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Continue Fall Run at RSM Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Looking to Bounce Back at RSM Classic
Tom Hoge

Looking to Regain Form at RSM Classic
Joe Highsmith

Searching for Turnaround at RSM Classic
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Build on T11 Finish in Bermuda
Austin Eckroat

Searching for Momentum at RSM Classic
Joel Dahmen

Trying to Find Form at the RSM Classic
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful to Play Against Western Kentucky
Michael Thorbjornsen

Hopes to End 2025 Campaign With Another Solid Finish
Andrew Novak

Looks to End 2025 Season on High Note at RSM Classic
Harry Higgs

Teetering for PGA Tour Card in 2026
PGA

Nico Echavarria has the Potential to Contend at the RSM Classic
Sam Stevens

Finishing Out Year in Georgia
Seamus Power

Playing Better at the Right Time
Beau Hossler

Roller Coaster Comes to Saint Simons Island
Quade Cummins

The Time is Now for Quade Cummins in Georgia
Austin Cook

Needs a Win at the RSM Classic
Cameron Champ

on the PGA Tour Card Bubble
Grayson Rodriguez

Shipped to Angels
Taylor Ward

Orioles Acquire Taylor Ward From Angels
Shota Imanaga

Accepts Cubs Qualifying Offer
Brandon Woodruff

Returning to Milwaukee in 2026
Denny McCarthy

Looking For Another Solid Finish at RSM Classic
Si Woo Kim

Looking To Use Current Momentum to Flip Script at RSM Classic
Mackenzie Hughes

a Good Bounce-Back Candidate at RSM Classic
Harris English

Making 14th Start at This Week's RSM Classic
Konnor Griffin

Could Compete for Starting Shortstop Job in 2026
Gleyber Torres

Accepts Tigers Qualifying Offer
CFB

Sam Leavitt Set to Enter Transfer Portal?
Jose Altuve

Undergoes Foot Surgery
Alex Bregman

Red Sox Going for Either Alex Bregman or Pete Alonso?

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