X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

2017 Final Consistency Report - Running Backs

I am a mixed bag of emotions because of the end of the 2017 season. I am excited for the NFL playoffs and a chance for the my hometown team, the Pittsburgh Steelers, to win their third Super Bowl in my lifetime. I am sad because the regular season is at an end and with it goes the 2017 fantasy football season. I am happy for those of you out there who brought home the fantasy championship in your leagues, but also mad because Mike Evans cost me one of mine. I am hopeful for the 2018 offseason and all the joys that come with free agency, draft season, training camp, and the weeks before the 2018 season.

However, since the 2017 season has come to a close, we now have a full season's worth of fantasy data to compile, analyze, and interpret to get ready for next year. To start, we have the final consistency numbers for each player at each position. To breakdown these numbers fully, I will be devoting a single article to each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) to analyze the final consistency numbers from 2017.

The players are sorted by COR and filtered by playing at least six games and having at least one top-12 performance. This gives us a large enough tally of players at each position to get a clear grasp on how well our studs performed and how bad the busts failed to deliver. Be sure to catch up on the previous article on quarterbacks as we now dive into the running back position.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Running Backs - 2017 Consistency Report

 

Studs

Le'Veon Bell - I am not sure I need to go into much detail to explain why Bell was a stud in 2017. After a slower start to the season, Bell finished the year with nine games over 20 fantasy points, six of which were over 27 points. Sure his standard deviation of 8.21 is slightly high among running backs, but with the elite numbers Bell puts up over the course of a season, owners will take a couple 16 point games. His consistency and ceiling put him at the top of the list in COR among running backs. On top of that, Bell finished with a floor of 14.56, higher than any other running back in fantasy. The RB2 overall on the year, this is the type of production Bell owners have come to expect from the best running back in the NFL.

Todd Gurley - My personal vote for fantasy MVP in 2017, Gurley was this year's version of David Johnson; he was cheap(er) on draft day, never skipped a beat all season, scored nearly 100 points in Weeks 15 and 16 alone, and finished the year as the RB1 overall. Even his only flaw on the year was positive: his 11.69 standard deviation was highest among running backs, but this was due to his four games over 34 points! His 37.25 ceiling is the highest among RBs and puts him second in COR behind only Le'Veon Bell. Like I said about Jared Goff in the QB article, the Jeff Fisher effect is real. Gurley has made a strong case to be 1.01 in 2018 drafts.

Ezekiel Elliott - Zeke finished as an RB1 this season (and probably would have finished in the top-3), despite playing only ten games. In that short time frame, however, Zeke managed to post three games over 25 fantasy points, including one game over 40. Like Bell, Zeke was slightly inconsistent with a 9.22 standard deviation, but his ceiling and floor more than made up for any sporadic point totals over the first half of the season. Elliott still finished third among RBs in COR and is a surefire top-5 pick in 2018 drafts.

 

Duds

Doug Martin - I think people forgot that Martin needs two years in between 1,400 yard seasons and that this was his second year. With that being said, Doug Martin 2018 stud muffin. Jokes aside, Martin had a disastrous 2017 campaign, finishing the year as the RB64 in PPR leagues. Despite scoring 30 points in his first two games coming back from suspension, Martin failed to score more than 11 fantasy points in any week the rest of the season. Even though his 5.35 standard deviation was one of the best among running backs, his 6.91 average was one of the worst. He was completely unreliable for fantasy owners, especially owners who paid a modest price on draft day for him, and he probably sat on waivers for most of the season. His days in Tampa may be over, but I am not sure if I can trust Martin to be on my team in 2018, let alone a start-able asset.

Ameer Abdullah - Abdullah made me very sad this year. Coming into the season, I saw Abdullah as a sleeper candidate at the running back position and was a favorite zero-RB target of mine in drafts. I believed in Abdullah's talent and potential workload in Detroit and saw him as a top-20 PPR back in 2017. Well, he finished as the RB40 and was a massive disappointment all season long. He broke double digits in only five games, one of which was over 13 fantasy points. His 8.89 average was one of the worst among running backs, but he was very consistent around that average. Despite having a modest floor, his ceiling made him an unwanted piece on any fantasy roster. The Lions may look to drafting another running back in the loaded 2018 class, making Abdullah an afterthought in fantasy.

Isaiah Crowell - Of all the busts in 2017, Crowell hit me the hardest. I may have been the highest on him coming into 2017 and drafted him in about every league I was in. Unfortunately for me, Crowell did not pan out the way I had anticipated. Like Abdullah, Crowell finished with one of the worst averages among running backs (8.97), but was very consistent around that average (5.15 standard deviation). Every preseason knock on Crowell came to fruition in 2017: questionable commitment to the run, negative game-scripts, high dependency on big plays, etc. It also did not help that Duke Johnson had the best season of his career. Like Abdullah, the Browns may be in the market for a rookie running back in April. However, Crowell is a free agent this season, so he may find a new home on a better team to boost his fantasy value. Time will tell.

 

Honorable Mentions

Alvin Kamara - Wow. Just wow. If it was not for Gurley's insane year, Alvin Kamara might have been this year's fantasy MVP, especially since he was probably on waivers for the first couple weeks of the season. Super Kamario finished the year as the RB3 overall, only 20 points behind Le'Veon Bell. What Kamara was able to do between Weeks 9-13 was absolutely unbelievable. He AVERAGED 29.6 points per game during that span and may have been solely responsible for fantasy teams making the playoffs. Kamara's 2017 season cannot be overstated and he will be a first round pick in 2018, especially in PPR leagues.

Kareem Hunt - Another rookie who took the fantasy world by storm the first three weeks of the season. Hunt scored no less than 14 points in any week though Week 7, including one 45-point performance. After a weird spurt of underwhelming games, Hunt returned to form in the fantasy playoffs, never scoring less than 20 points from Weeks 14-16. Despite finishing with the second highest standard deviation among running backs, Hunt is another elite asset to own in 2018 after an outstanding rookie campaign.

Christian McCaffrey - What a world we live in where four rookie running backs finish the season as RB1s. Though his name may not be as sexy as Kamara, Hunt or Leonard Fournette, Run CMC had quite the 2017 season himself. He finished the year with over 1,000 yards from scrimmage, seven touchdowns and 80 receptions. In PPR leagues, McCaffrey was a stud all season. He only scored less than eight fantasy points once and his 5.61 standard deviation was one of the best among RBs. Though he was fairly touchdown dependent to really get an elite game from him, McCaffrey was as reliable as they come on a weekly basis. All doubts about his volume have been answered and the possibility of taking over the Panthers rushing attack completely is very real in 2018. In PPR leagues, McCaffrey is a high-end RB2 likely to go in the second round of drafts.

Leonard Fournette - Might as well complete the rookie RB1s with maybe the most intriguing of them all. Fournette finished as the RB9 in 2017, but it may not have felt like it to Fournette owners. After constantly being a question mark about whether or not he would play, Fournette quietly had a solid end to the 2017 season, never scoring less than 16 fantasy points from Week 13 on. Perhaps his hype got a little out of control after three straight 20+ point weeks at the beginning of the season, but his rookie campaign was very much as expected. He did miss a couple games due to injury, but Fournette finished the season with 1,300 total yards, 10 touchdowns and even 36 receptions. Going into 2018, there are no questions about his talent, role, or volume, but whether or not he can play a full 16 game slate is the question. If he can, he is a surefire RB1 moving forward.

 

That's all for the running backs! Make sure to watch for tomorrow's Consistency Report on the wide receiver position and be sure to read yesterday's article on the quarterback position!

 

More 2017 Consistency Reports




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Patrick Rodgers

A Solid Value Play At TPC Craig Ranch
Jamal Murray

Explodes For 43 Points In Game 5
Carson Young

Looking To Recapture Form At CJ Cup
Jayson Tatum

Fires In 35 Points In Series-Clincher
Matt McCarty

An Intriguing Value Play At CJ Cup
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Logs Massive Triple-Double In Game 5
Maxi Kleber

Listed As Questionable For Game 5
Will Zalatoris

Searching For Putting Form At CJ Cup
Rob Dillingham

Out On Wednesday
Jae'Sean Tate

Still Out On Wednesday
Jimmy Butler III

Listed As Probable For Wednesday
Jack Eichel

Notches Two Assists In Game 5 Victory
Sam Stevens

A Risky Play With Upside At CJ Cup
PGA

Sungjae Im Riding Momentum Into CJ Cup
Sebastian Aho

Sends Hurricanes To Round 2
Ben Griffin

Looking To Stay Hot After First Career Win
Jake Knapp

Looking For More Success At TPC Craig Ranch
Linus Ullmark

Records Shutout In Elimination Game
Brady Tkachuk

Extends Point Streak To Four Games
Mackenzie Hughes

Is An Interesting Option At CJ Cup
Pavel Dorofeyev

Doesn't Finish Game 5
Filip Gustavsson

Exits Early Due To Illness
Aaron Ekblad

Slapped With Two-Game Suspension
Aldrich Potgieter

Trending Downward For CJ Cup
Taylor Pendrith

Plays Well In Houston Recently
PGA

Niklas Norgaard May Not Be Cut Out For Texas
Rasmus Hojgaard

Could Be Up Or Down In Texas
Ben Rice

Smacks Two Homers To End Slump
Jorge Polanco

Hits Two More Homers, Drives In Five
Scottie Scheffler

The Untouchable Favorite At CJ Cup
Tom Kim

A Popular Name To Avoid At TPC Craig Ranch
Austin Eckroat

Looking To Find Success Again At TPC Craig Ranch
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Set To Start Wednesday
Shota Imanaga

Exits With Leg Cramps
Ben Kohles

Finishes Tied For 59th At Corales Puntacana Championship
Joel Dahmen

Finishes Tied For Second At Corales Puntacana Championship
Beau Hossler

Finishes Tied For 60th At Valero Texas Open
Doug Ghim

Finishes Tied For 18th At the Valero Texas Open
Jordan Spieth

Finishes Tied For 18th At RBC Heritage
George Kirby

"Feeling Great," Could Throw Again On Sunday
Tyler Fitzgerald

Returning To Starting Nine
Josh Lowe

Progressing Well, Could Play In Rehab Games On Saturday
Shane McClanahan

Begins "Throwing-Like" Activities
Patrik Laine

Remains Day-To-Day
Gabriel Vilardi

On Track To Return Wednesday
Brandon Hagel

Ruled Out For Game 5
Marcus Johansson

Returns To Action Tuesday
Cole Ragans

Won't Start On Wednesday
Dylan Moore

Placed On 10-Day Injured List With Hip Inflammation
Jonas Siegenthaler

Considered A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Brett Pesce

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Yordan Alvarez

Back In Tuesday's Lineup
Frederik Andersen

Unavailable Tuesday
Aaron Nesmith

Upgraded To Available
Las Vegas Raiders

Jack Bech A Strong Candidate To Be An Immediate Starter
Las Vegas Raiders

Zamir White Competing For Depth Role
New York Jets

Mason Taylor To Immediately Be Atop Jets Tight End Depth Chart
Bennedict Mathurin

Cleared For Game 5
Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Setting Up As Post-Hype Sleeper In 2025?
Denver Broncos

Dre Greenlaw Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold To Take Over 90% Of The Snaps
Tennessee Titans

Titans In No Rush To Trade Will Levis
Daulton Varsho

Reinstated From Injured List And Starting On Tuesday
Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Says He Knows He's Ready To Start For Vikings
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Picking Up Fifth-Year Option On Dax Hill
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Apply Unrestricted Free-Agent Tender To J.K. Dobbins
Seattle Seahawks

Jaren Hall Cut Loose By Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs Compare Josh Simmons To Christian Darrisaw, Rashawn Slater
Denver Broncos

Pat Bryant Compared To Michael Thomas
Denver Broncos

RJ Harvey Could Do It All For Broncos
Carolina Panthers

Tetairoa McMillan Likely To Man The X Spot For Panthers
Green Bay Packers

Packers, Jaire Alexander Continue To Discuss Potential Reunion
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Discussed George Pickens With Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs To Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Trent McDuffie, George Karlaftis
Washington Commanders

Matt Gays Signs One-Year Deal With Commanders
San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Signs Four-Year Extension With 49ers
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Records Third Consecutive Double-Double
Brandin Podziemski

Hits Six Treys During 26-Point Performance
Jimmy Butler III

Leads Warriors In Scoring Monday Night
Jarrett Allen

Has Double-Double, Six Steals In Blowout Win
Brandon Boston Jr.

Recovering From Ankle Surgery
Kelly Olynyk

Undergoes Heel Procedure
Aaron Nesmith

Probable For Tuesday's Action
Nathan MacKinnon

Has Two Points In Losing Effort
Martin Necas

Records Two Assists In Game 5 Loss
Mikko Rantanen

Tallies Three Points In Monday's Win
Wyatt Johnston

Leads Stars To Game 5 Victory
Sergei Bobrovsky

Returns To Winning Ways
Anton Lundell

Earns Two Points Monday
Brandon Hagel

Departs Loss Early
Riley Greene

Homers Twice On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

Exits Monday's Win Early
Los Angeles Chargers

Tre Harris Expected To Fill X Role For Chargers
Jimmy Butler III

Officially Active For Game 4
Isaiah Stewart

Uncertain For Game 5
Michael Porter Jr.

Expected To Play In Game 5
Brandon Nimmo

Has Career Game
Russell Westbrook

Questionable For Tuesday Night
Tyler Glasnow

Going On The Injured List
Jaylen Brown

Back On The Injury Report
Luis Arraez

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Jordan Westburg

Placed On Injured List
William Byron

Ends With A Strong Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Ryan Blaney

Bad Luck Continues With Talladega Crash
Kyle Larson

Has A Career-Best Performance At Talladega
Ian Machado Garry

Gets Back On Track With UFC Kansas City Win
Brad Keselowski

Talladega Run Ends Early After Crashing
Carlos Prates

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Zhang Mingyang

Still Undefeated In The UFC
Anthony Smith

Retires After UFC Kansas City Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous Decision Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous-Decision Loss
David Onama

Extends Win Streak At UFC Kansas City
Michel Pereira

Drops Decision At UFC Kansas City
Abus Magomedov

Extends His Win Streak
Nicolas Dalby

Gets Finished For The First Time
Randy Brown

Gets Back In The Win Column
Ikram Aliskerov

Gets First-Round TKO Finish At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Gets TKO'd At UFC Kansas City
Chase Elliott

Recovers from Speeding Penalty to Finish Fifth
Joey Logano

Finishes Last at Talladega After Disqualification for Missing Spoiler Brace
Ryan Preece

Loses Talladega Race First in Photo Finish Then in Post-Race Inspection
NASCAR

Poor Toyota Strategy Arguably Cost Bubba Wallace Winning Chances at Talladega
Christopher Bell

Unhurt After Hard Contact with Inside Retaining Wall
Joe Ryan

Posts Stellar Outing
Nick Lodolo

Throws Seven Scoreless Innings
Tyler Glasnow

Removed Early On Sunday
Chase Elliott

Is One OF The Top Overall DFS Picks Of The Week
Joey Logano

Could Joey Logano Finish A Race With A Top Finish At Talladega?
NASCAR

DFS Players Should Like Bubba Wallace For Talladega This Week
Christopher Bell

Should DFS Players Roster Christopher Bell At Talladega?
Austin Cindric

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering For Talladega DFS Lineups?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Is A Solid, Safe, DFS Choice For Talladega Lineups
Austin Dillon

Is Austin Dillon A Viable DFS Play At Talladega This Week?
Josh Berry

Qualifies Too High At Talladega To Be Worth Rostering In DFS
Michael McDowell

Should DFS Players Take A Shot On Michael McDowell At Talladega?
Noah Gragson

Could Be A Sneaky DFS Play For Talladega
Denny Hamlin

Probably Qualified Too Well for DFS Consideration
Kyle Larson

Increasingly Undervalued Due to His Crashing, but Still a Great DFS Option
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF