👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


2017 Final Consistency Report - Quarterbacks

I am a mixed bag of emotions because of the end of the 2017 season. I am excited for the NFL playoffs and a chance for the my hometown team, the Pittsburgh Steelers, to win their third Super Bowl in my lifetime. I am sad because the regular season is at an end and with it goes the 2017 fantasy football season. I am happy for those of you out there who brought home the fantasy championship in your leagues, but also mad because Mike Evans cost me one of mine. I am hopeful for the 2018 offseason and all the joys that come with free agency, draft season, training camp, and the weeks before the 2018 season.

However, since the 2017 season has come to a close, we now have a full season's worth of fantasy data to compile, analyze, and interpret to get ready for next year. To start, we have the final consistency numbers for each player at each position. To breakdown these numbers fully, I will be devoting a single article to each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) to analyze the final consistency numbers from 2017.

The players are sorted by COR and filtered by playing at least six games and having at least one top-12 performance. This gives us a large enough tally of players at each position to get a clear grasp on how well our studs performed and how bad the busts failed to deliver. First up, the quarterback position.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Quarterbacks - 2017 Consistency Report

 

Studs

Carson Wentz - The NFL is a better league with Carson Wentz in it and so is fantasy football. Before Wentz went down, he was on track for an MVP season, leading the Eagles to the number one seed in the NFC. For fantasy purposes, he was leading teams to the number one seed in the fantasy playoffs as well and would have made a strong case for 2017 fantasy MVP. Not only was Wentz an elite option at the position, with one of the highest ceilings among quarterbacks, he was also producing at a super consistent rate. His standard deviation of 5.14 ranks fifth among QBs and third among QB1s. I will not be surprised to see Wentz ranked in the top-3 quarterbacks heading into 2018 after a phenomenal 2017.

Russell Wilson - Your 2017 QB1 overall, ladies and gentlemen! What more can be said about Wilson that has not been already said. The man is a wizard on the field given the weapons around him and has been neck-and-neck with Carson Wentz all season in fantasy. Despite having a fairly high standard deviation (7.74), Wilson finished the season with the second highest ceiling among quarterbacks. He posted three games above 30 fantasy points and only one game below double-digits. Yes, he did hurt your team in Week 15 with a dud against the Rams, but he was the reason you made the playoffs in the first place. Like Wentz, Wilson could be ranked inside the top-three QBs for 2018.

Deshaun Watson - The future is bright in Houston and Watson is a big reason why. Since becoming the permanent starter in Week 2, Watson only scored less than 20 fantasy points ONCE (17.2 in Week 2). Like Wilson, Watson also posted three games above 30 fantasy points and was the most electric quarterback in the league before tearing his ACL in practice. The sample size may be small, but Watson has already shown he is capable of being a game-changer at the position. With DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller as his primary targets, Watson's fantasy value is through the roof.

 

Duds

Derek Carr - What happened? Carr was supposed to be the future of the NFL, the leader of a promising young Oakland Raiders team, and then it all fell apart. Statistically speaking, Carr had his worst season since his rookie year and was a big reason why Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree owners were left asking, what happened? Carr finished the year as the QB19, with only four games above 17 fantasy points and five games under double-digits. Consistency wise, he was pretty middle-of-the-pack with a 6.32 standard deviation, but his 13.75 average really killed his floor and ceiling. Because of this, Carr finished in the bottom-10 QBs in COR. There is hope for Carr in 2018 and beyond, but his fantasy value took a serious hit this season.

Dak Prescott - If you asked me in Week 9 whether Dak would be part of the "Duds" section in a Year in Review article, I would have called you nuts, but here we are. After an elite start to the season, in which Dak was the QB4 through the first nine games, the second-half of the season was not kind. Maybe some of the blame is the loss of his left tackle for a couple games or Ezekiel Elliot's suspension, but Dak was not Dak from Week 10 on. After posting five games over 20 fantasy points through the first nine weeks, Prescott scored more than 20 fantasy points once after Week 10 and posted three games under six fantasy points. This is the reason why Dak has the second highest standard deviation among quarterbacks and is right above Derek Carr in the final COR rankings. Heading into 2018, Dak is a fringe QB1 who has shown the ability to be an elite asset, but also a drop-able piece on any roster.

Jameis Winston - Some people who know me on Twitter know that I am a vocal Winston disliker. His hype train coming into this season sped by you so fast you couldn't see it until it hit a mountain called "Overrated." I see the potential in Winston, I really do, but as a dependable fantasy asset, we need to take a step back and breathe. Winston finished the season with a lackluster 8.06 standard deviation, seventh highest among quarterbacks. A respectable 15.52 average made Winston a quality streaming option in the right matchup, but he was too inconsistent to be an every-week starter. Winston only produced four games above 20 fantasy points (one of which was in Week 17) and also posted three games under four fantasy points. To his credit, Winston was injured and played injured for a couple games and the Week 1 bye did him no favors, but like Carr, Winston's fantasy value took a hit this season, leaving owners questioning what they really have in him.

 

Honorable Mentions

Matthew Stafford - Stafford continues to be, well, Matthew Stafford. He finished the year as the QB7 but his production probably didn't feel like QB7. He continues to be a very underrated NFL and fantasy quarterback given his team's struggles, but Stafford is the definition of a consistent quarterback week-in and week-out. His 5.03 standard deviation was fourth among quarterbacks. Pair that with a 17.11 average points per game, and you have yourself a high floor/low ceiling quarterback who never once scored less than 10 points in 2017. He continues to be match-up dependent, but who isn't these days. I will be looking for Stafford to be undervalued come August 2018 in drafts and a steal for late-round QB strategists.

Jared Goff - Don't worry guys, I wrote him off too after a dismal performance at the end of 2016, but the Jeff Fisher effect is real. Goff went from being a bust to a potential MVP candidate on the 11-5, NFC West division champions. Though his production on the field did not translate well to fantasy points in some games, Goff finished the year as the QB12 overall. He was one of the most consistent QBs with a 6.43 standard deviation to pair with a 17.03 average. Similar to Stafford, Goff was a high floor streamer for most of the season and even delivered a couple QB1 overall weeks. Under Sean McVay, Goff and the Rams offense will be fantasy gold for years to come.

Matt Ryan - Perhaps the most obvious prediction entering the 2017 season was the regression of the Atlanta Falcons offense after an outlier statistical season in 2016. Ryan finished as the QB15 in 2017, but his season was not as bad as some people may think. He averaged a mediocre 14.26 points per game but was INSANELY consistent around that average, with a 3.70 standard deviation, second among QBs. He did not have a single game above 19 fantasy points and only finished as a weekly top-10 QB three times (one in Week 17), but Ryan was fairly okay in 2017. Another offseason under offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian may benefit him in 2018 and having weapons like Julio Jones, Mohammed Sanu, Devonta Freeman, and Tevin Coleman around him certainly does not hurt.

Jimmy Garoppolo - I think you guys know my feelings on JimmyG after my Week 16 love letter to him as fantasy goldmine in 2018 and beyond. Needless to say, I love Garoppolo, even though I will never be able to spell his last name right on the first try.

Cam Newton - Would it surprise you if I said Cam finished as the QB2 overall in 2017 behind Russell Wilson? It surprised me. To say the least, Newton's season was very... Cam Newton. His 18.72 average points per game may lead people to believe Cam was an elite asset all season. However, his 8.52 standard deviation was fourth highest among quarterbacks in 2017, making him a very boom-bust play on a weekly basis. His rushing ability certainly helps elevate his floor and ceiling, but when it becomes almost his main source of fantasy production, I am very hesitant to call him an elite player at the position. Passing-wise, 2017 was Cam's second worst season statistically, but it was also one of his best on the ground, setting career highs in rushing attempts and yards and scoring six rushing touchdowns. His rushing ability is primarily what he was missing last season and he reverted back to his old ways this season. I remain adamant that Cam is not an elite fantasy quarterback due to his struggles passing the ball, but you cannot deny his ability to make plays with his feet and score fantasy points on the ground.

 

That's all for the quarterbacks! Make sure to watch for tomorrow's Consistency Report on the running back position.

 

More 2017 Consistency Reports




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
Chris Brazzell II

Is Chris Brazzell II the Top Deep Threat in Carolina's Receiver Room?
Kaelon Black

a Threat to Win Backup RB Job in San Fran?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
De'Zhaun Stribling

to be 49ers' New "F" Receiver?
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
Drew Allar

Steelers "Uninstalling" Everything Drew Allar Learned in College
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Ja'Kobi Lane

Is Ja'Kobi Lane the Pass-Catching Answer the Ravens Have Been Seeking?
Zachariah Branch

Does Zachariah Branch Have a Path to Immediate Production?
Max Klare

Can Max Klare Separate Himself in Rams' Tight End Room?
Eli Stowers

the Tight End of the Future in Philadelphia?
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
J.J. Spaun

Trending Up Ahead of PGA Championship
Adam Scott

Riding Strong Form Into PGA Championship
Patrick Reed

Looking to Make Another Run at PGA Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Build on Strong Finish at Truist Championship
Sam Burns

Must Keep Ball in Play at PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Complete Career Grand Slam at Aronimink
Brandt Snedeker

Not the Best Option for the PGA Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Volatile Option at PGA Championship
Germie Bernard

Already in a Tough Spot to Hold Dynasty Value
Ayo Dosunmu

Has Busy Night in Game 5
Maverick McNealy

Seeking Better Start in Philadelphia
Harry Hall

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Aronimink
Jaden McDaniels

Notches 17 Points in Game 5 Loss
Denzel Boston

a Smart Bet to Meet or Exceed Value in Dynasty Rookie Drafts
Hideki Matsuyama

Attempts to Improve Over 2025 PGA Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Defend PGA Championship at Aronimink
Julius Randle

Posts a Double-Double in Losing Effort
Matthew Stafford

a Sell Candidate with Touchdown Regression Likely on its Way
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Keep Momentum Rolling in Philadelphia
Anthony Edwards

Held to 20 Points in Game 5 Loss
Ben Griffin

Attempting to Bounce Back After Truist Championship
CFB

Transfer Defensive Lineman Devarrick Woods Commits to Clemson
Keldon Johnson

Comes Alive in Game 5 Against Timberwolves
Jayden Reed

Dynasty Value Tethered to His Underwhelming Usage
Harris English

Will Need His Putter to Thrive at Aronimink
Stephon Castle

Makes All-Around Impact in Game 5
Kenyon Sadiq

Is Kenyon Sadiq the Next Great Rookie Tight End?
Victor Wembanyama

Leads Spurs to Big Win in Game 5
Akshay Bhatia

Creative Flair Could Show Itself in Philadelphia
Keegan Bradley

Knows the Aronimink Golf Club Well
Mason McTavish

Delivers Two Assists Tuesday Night
Pavel Dorofeyev

Pots Two Goals in Vital Game 5 Win
Josh Doan

Records Two Assists in Game 4 Victory
Evgeni Malkin

Penguins Want Evgeni Malkin Back
Sidney Crosby

Joins Team Canada for World Championship
Ryan Poehling

Suffers Upper-Body Injury in Game 5 Loss
Si Woo Kim

Struggles at Truist Championship
Gary Woodland

Can Continue Incredible 2026 Season at PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele

In Excellent Form Heading to PGA Championship
Cade Klubnik

Becoming Fan Favorite, in Play to Win Backup QB Job?
Michael Penix Jr.

Throwing During Offseason Program
Bryce Young

Panthers Will Continue to Discuss Extension With Bryce Young
Brandon Nimmo

Leaves Game on Tuesday with Apparent Ankle Injury
Michael Mayer

More Opportunities Coming for Michael Mayer?
Philadelphia 76ers

76ers Part Ways With Daryl Morey
Kevin Huerter

Iffy for Game 5 Against Cavaliers
Dylan Harper

Cleared for Action Tuesday
De'Aaron Fox

Available for Game 5 Against Timberwolves
Caris LeVert

Remains on Injury Report With Heel Issue
Duncan Robinson

Listed as Questionable for Game 5
Memphis Grizzlies

Brandon Clarke Dies at Age 29
Charlie McAvoy

Slapped With Six-Game Suspension
Jonas Brodin

Unavailable for Game 5 Against Avalanche
Joel Eriksson Ek

to Remain Out Wednesday
Sam Malinski

Day-to-Day With Upper-Body Injury
Jacob Wilson

A's Place Jacob Wilson on Injured List With Shoulder Subluxation
Artturi Lehkonen

Considered Day-to-Day
Charlie Coyle

Lands Six-Year Extension
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

to Start Game 4 Against Canadiens
Drew Helleson

Unavailable for Game 5
Radko Gudas

Still Out Tuesday
Mark Stone

Won't Play Tuesday
Carnell Tate

Is Carnell Tate Poised for Immediate Stardom in Tennessee?
Jeremiyah Love

Will Jeremiyah Love See a Limited Role in Arizona as a Rookie?
Wan'Dale Robinson

Dynasty Stock Fading Following NFL Draft
Bucky Irving

Not Yet Cleared to Participate in OTAs
Christian Yelich

Brewers Reinstate Christian Yelich From Injured List
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Admits He Wasn't Close to Returning Before Season Ended
CFB

Isaac Brown Has All-American Upside in 2026
LeBron James

Uncertain About Future After Season-Ending Loss
Ajay Mitchell

Continues to Excel for Thunder
CFB

Nyck Harbor Heading into Breakout Year?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Posts 35 Points in Series Clincher
CFB

Notre Dame, USC in Discussions to Resume Rivalry Series
Cade Cunningham

Struggles in Game 4 Loss
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Has Eyes on ACC Title
James Harden

Records 40th Postseason Double-Double
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Gunshot Wound Not Viewed as Career-Threatening
Donovan Mitchell

Ties NBA Playoff Record With 39 Second-Half Points
A.J. Ewing

Mets to Call Up Top Prospect A.J. Ewing
Mookie Betts

is Officially Back on Monday
Nathan Eovaldi

Scratched From Monday's Start With Side Tightness
Mark Jankowski

Signs Two-Year Extension With Hurricanes
Joel Kiviranta

Cleared to Play Monday
Josh Manson

Available for Game 4 Monday
Mackenzie Blackwood

Expected to Start Monday
Jonas Brodin

Won't Play Monday
Henry Bolte

Athletics to Promote Top Outfield Prospect Henry Bolte to Major Leagues
Khamzat Chimaev

Suffers his First Loss
Sean Strickland

Recaptures Middleweight Title
Tatsuro Taira

Suffers Fifth-Round TKO Loss
Joshua Van

Defends Flyweight Title
MMA

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Drops Decision
Alexander Volkov

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Shane Van Gisbergen

Dominates Watkins Glen for First Win of 2026
Michael McDowell

Finishes Second for Best Run of the Year At Watkins Glen
Ty Gibbs

Scores New Career-Best Finish of Third at Watkins Glen
Tyler Reddick

Continues His Strong Season With Fifth-Place Run at Watkins Glen
Austin Dillon

Earns his First Top-10 Finish of 2026 at Watkins Glen
Mookie Betts

Dodgers Expect Mookie Betts to Return on Monday
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Sustains Gunshot Wound, in Stable Condition
Connor Zilisch

Will Start Fifth in his First Watkins Glen Cup Series Race
Tyler Reddick

Is A Top DFS Option for Watkins Glen Lineups
Christopher Bell

Is Likely to Bounce Back This Week at Watkins Glen
Carlos Rodón

Carlos Rodon Activated for Season Debut on Sunday
William Byron

Is William Byron Playable in DFS Lineups at Watkins Glen?
Kyle Larson

May have A Positive Day at Watkins Glen
Chase Briscoe

May Compete for A Top-10 Finish at Watkins Glen
NASCAR

A.J. Allmendinger May have Another Solid Outing at Watkins Glen
Ty Gibbs

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Watkins Glen?
Ross Chastain

Is Ross Chastain Worth Rostering for Watkins Glen Lineups?
Austin Cindric

Could Austin Cindric be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Watkins Glen?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite at Watkins Glen
Chase Elliott

Is Chase Elliott a No-Brainer DFS Pick at Watkins Glen?
Chris Buescher

Qualifies 14th at Watkins Glen
Ryan Blaney

Has Upside at Watkins Glen After Signing Contract Extension
Michael McDowell

Still Searching for First Top-Five Finish at Watkins Glen
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar Too Aggressive for Road-Course Racing?
Luis Castillo

Mariners Intend to Piggyback Luis Castillo, Bryce Miller
Logan Webb

Placed on 15-Day Injured List With Knee Bursitis
Bryce Miller

is Set to Return on Wednesday
Jeff Hoffman

Could Return to Closer Role
Taj Bradley

Hits the Injured List With Pectoral Inflammation
Kyle Bradish

has Nice Bounce-Back Performance With 10 K's
Casey Mize

Throws Bullpen on Friday, Return Not Imminent
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Optimistic About Returning Next Wednesday
Tyler Glasnow

Dodgers Put Tyler Glasnow on Injured List With Back Spasms
Blake Snell

to Make Season Debut for Dodgers on Saturday
Cole Ragans

Royals Place Cole Ragans on Injured List With Elbow Impingement
Sean Strickland

An Underdog At UFC 328
Khamzat Chimaev

Set For UFC 328 Main Event
Tatsuro Taira

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Joshua Van

Set For His First Title Defense
Alexander Volkov

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Nick Lodolo

Officially Activated, Making Season Debut on Friday
CFB

Walker Lyons Could be Go-To Target for Bear Bachmeier
CFB

Ty Benefield a Potential Game-Changer for LSU Defense
CFB

Hayden Lowe Set for Significant Role Following Miami's NFL Departures
CFB

Taylor Wein in Position for Big Season on Oklahoma's Defensive Line
CFB

Rasheem Biles an Instant Impact Player for Texas
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Be Full-Go for Fall Camp
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF