TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

2017 Final Consistency Report - Quarterbacks

I am a mixed bag of emotions because of the end of the 2017 season. I am excited for the NFL playoffs and a chance for the my hometown team, the Pittsburgh Steelers, to win their third Super Bowl in my lifetime. I am sad because the regular season is at an end and with it goes the 2017 fantasy football season. I am happy for those of you out there who brought home the fantasy championship in your leagues, but also mad because Mike Evans cost me one of mine. I am hopeful for the 2018 offseason and all the joys that come with free agency, draft season, training camp, and the weeks before the 2018 season.

However, since the 2017 season has come to a close, we now have a full season's worth of fantasy data to compile, analyze, and interpret to get ready for next year. To start, we have the final consistency numbers for each player at each position. To breakdown these numbers fully, I will be devoting a single article to each position (QB, RB, WR, TE) to analyze the final consistency numbers from 2017.

The players are sorted by COR and filtered by playing at least six games and having at least one top-12 performance. This gives us a large enough tally of players at each position to get a clear grasp on how well our studs performed and how bad the busts failed to deliver. First up, the quarterback position.

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Quarterbacks - 2017 Consistency Report

 

Studs

Carson Wentz - The NFL is a better league with Carson Wentz in it and so is fantasy football. Before Wentz went down, he was on track for an MVP season, leading the Eagles to the number one seed in the NFC. For fantasy purposes, he was leading teams to the number one seed in the fantasy playoffs as well and would have made a strong case for 2017 fantasy MVP. Not only was Wentz an elite option at the position, with one of the highest ceilings among quarterbacks, he was also producing at a super consistent rate. His standard deviation of 5.14 ranks fifth among QBs and third among QB1s. I will not be surprised to see Wentz ranked in the top-3 quarterbacks heading into 2018 after a phenomenal 2017.

Russell Wilson - Your 2017 QB1 overall, ladies and gentlemen! What more can be said about Wilson that has not been already said. The man is a wizard on the field given the weapons around him and has been neck-and-neck with Carson Wentz all season in fantasy. Despite having a fairly high standard deviation (7.74), Wilson finished the season with the second highest ceiling among quarterbacks. He posted three games above 30 fantasy points and only one game below double-digits. Yes, he did hurt your team in Week 15 with a dud against the Rams, but he was the reason you made the playoffs in the first place. Like Wentz, Wilson could be ranked inside the top-three QBs for 2018.

Deshaun Watson - The future is bright in Houston and Watson is a big reason why. Since becoming the permanent starter in Week 2, Watson only scored less than 20 fantasy points ONCE (17.2 in Week 2). Like Wilson, Watson also posted three games above 30 fantasy points and was the most electric quarterback in the league before tearing his ACL in practice. The sample size may be small, but Watson has already shown he is capable of being a game-changer at the position. With DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller as his primary targets, Watson's fantasy value is through the roof.

 

Duds

Derek Carr - What happened? Carr was supposed to be the future of the NFL, the leader of a promising young Oakland Raiders team, and then it all fell apart. Statistically speaking, Carr had his worst season since his rookie year and was a big reason why Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree owners were left asking, what happened? Carr finished the year as the QB19, with only four games above 17 fantasy points and five games under double-digits. Consistency wise, he was pretty middle-of-the-pack with a 6.32 standard deviation, but his 13.75 average really killed his floor and ceiling. Because of this, Carr finished in the bottom-10 QBs in COR. There is hope for Carr in 2018 and beyond, but his fantasy value took a serious hit this season.

Dak Prescott - If you asked me in Week 9 whether Dak would be part of the "Duds" section in a Year in Review article, I would have called you nuts, but here we are. After an elite start to the season, in which Dak was the QB4 through the first nine games, the second-half of the season was not kind. Maybe some of the blame is the loss of his left tackle for a couple games or Ezekiel Elliot's suspension, but Dak was not Dak from Week 10 on. After posting five games over 20 fantasy points through the first nine weeks, Prescott scored more than 20 fantasy points once after Week 10 and posted three games under six fantasy points. This is the reason why Dak has the second highest standard deviation among quarterbacks and is right above Derek Carr in the final COR rankings. Heading into 2018, Dak is a fringe QB1 who has shown the ability to be an elite asset, but also a drop-able piece on any roster.

Jameis Winston - Some people who know me on Twitter know that I am a vocal Winston disliker. His hype train coming into this season sped by you so fast you couldn't see it until it hit a mountain called "Overrated." I see the potential in Winston, I really do, but as a dependable fantasy asset, we need to take a step back and breathe. Winston finished the season with a lackluster 8.06 standard deviation, seventh highest among quarterbacks. A respectable 15.52 average made Winston a quality streaming option in the right matchup, but he was too inconsistent to be an every-week starter. Winston only produced four games above 20 fantasy points (one of which was in Week 17) and also posted three games under four fantasy points. To his credit, Winston was injured and played injured for a couple games and the Week 1 bye did him no favors, but like Carr, Winston's fantasy value took a hit this season, leaving owners questioning what they really have in him.

 

Honorable Mentions

Matthew Stafford - Stafford continues to be, well, Matthew Stafford. He finished the year as the QB7 but his production probably didn't feel like QB7. He continues to be a very underrated NFL and fantasy quarterback given his team's struggles, but Stafford is the definition of a consistent quarterback week-in and week-out. His 5.03 standard deviation was fourth among quarterbacks. Pair that with a 17.11 average points per game, and you have yourself a high floor/low ceiling quarterback who never once scored less than 10 points in 2017. He continues to be match-up dependent, but who isn't these days. I will be looking for Stafford to be undervalued come August 2018 in drafts and a steal for late-round QB strategists.

Jared Goff - Don't worry guys, I wrote him off too after a dismal performance at the end of 2016, but the Jeff Fisher effect is real. Goff went from being a bust to a potential MVP candidate on the 11-5, NFC West division champions. Though his production on the field did not translate well to fantasy points in some games, Goff finished the year as the QB12 overall. He was one of the most consistent QBs with a 6.43 standard deviation to pair with a 17.03 average. Similar to Stafford, Goff was a high floor streamer for most of the season and even delivered a couple QB1 overall weeks. Under Sean McVay, Goff and the Rams offense will be fantasy gold for years to come.

Matt Ryan - Perhaps the most obvious prediction entering the 2017 season was the regression of the Atlanta Falcons offense after an outlier statistical season in 2016. Ryan finished as the QB15 in 2017, but his season was not as bad as some people may think. He averaged a mediocre 14.26 points per game but was INSANELY consistent around that average, with a 3.70 standard deviation, second among QBs. He did not have a single game above 19 fantasy points and only finished as a weekly top-10 QB three times (one in Week 17), but Ryan was fairly okay in 2017. Another offseason under offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian may benefit him in 2018 and having weapons like Julio Jones, Mohammed Sanu, Devonta Freeman, and Tevin Coleman around him certainly does not hurt.

Jimmy Garoppolo - I think you guys know my feelings on JimmyG after my Week 16 love letter to him as fantasy goldmine in 2018 and beyond. Needless to say, I love Garoppolo, even though I will never be able to spell his last name right on the first try.

Cam Newton - Would it surprise you if I said Cam finished as the QB2 overall in 2017 behind Russell Wilson? It surprised me. To say the least, Newton's season was very... Cam Newton. His 18.72 average points per game may lead people to believe Cam was an elite asset all season. However, his 8.52 standard deviation was fourth highest among quarterbacks in 2017, making him a very boom-bust play on a weekly basis. His rushing ability certainly helps elevate his floor and ceiling, but when it becomes almost his main source of fantasy production, I am very hesitant to call him an elite player at the position. Passing-wise, 2017 was Cam's second worst season statistically, but it was also one of his best on the ground, setting career highs in rushing attempts and yards and scoring six rushing touchdowns. His rushing ability is primarily what he was missing last season and he reverted back to his old ways this season. I remain adamant that Cam is not an elite fantasy quarterback due to his struggles passing the ball, but you cannot deny his ability to make plays with his feet and score fantasy points on the ground.

 

That's all for the quarterbacks! Make sure to watch for tomorrow's Consistency Report on the running back position.

 

More 2017 Consistency Reports




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

LeBron James

Available Versus Sacramento
Zion Williamson

Ruled Out Versus Clippers
Shelby Miller

Officially Placed on 60-Day Injured List
Kevin Love

Resting Monday Against Nuggets
Jacob deGrom

is Nearing Spring Debut
Tristan Vukcevic

Could Miss Game Vs. Houston
José Soriano

Jose Soriano has Start Pushed Back
John Collins

Cleared to Play Sunday
Bobby Miller

Being Viewed as Reliever
Brandon Clarke

to be Re-Evaluated in Two Weeks
Walker Jenkins

is Diagnosed with Hamstring Strain
Caleb Martin

Returns Against Thunder
P.J. Washington

Naji Marshall Ruled Out Sunday
Kyshawn George

Could Miss Game Against Houston
Baylor Scheierman

Cleared to Play Sunday
Rui Hachimura

Set to Return Against Kings
LeBron James

Questionable Against Kings
Jonathan Drouin

Unavailable Sunday
Darcy Kuemper

Won't Play Monday Due to Illness
Andrew Mangiapane

Oilers Place Andrew Mangiapane on Waivers
Jabari Smith Jr.

Still Out on Monday
Uvis Balinskis

Out Sunday
Jalen Johnson

Back on Sunday Night
Dmitry Kulikov

Comes Off Injured Reserve
Mark Stone

Exits With Injury Sunday
Deni Avdija

Remains Out on Sunday
Zach Edey

to Undergo Another Ankle Surgery
Merrill Kelly

"Optimistic" About Being Ready by Opening Day
Gabriel Moreno

Can Gabriel Moreno Put Together a Fully Healthy Season in 2026?
Mark Vientos

May Be Limited to Part-Time Role in New York
Kyler Murray

Likely to be Released
Noah Cameron

Can Noah Cameron Repeat His Breakout 2025 Season?
Justin Steele

"Full-Go" on Throwing, Still Eyeing May or June Return
Travis Etienne Jr.

Not Expected to be Franchise-Tagged
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Planning to Release Aaron Jones Sr.?
Samuel Basallo

is Returning on Sunday
St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals Sign Oliver Marmol to Two-Year Extension
Thomas White

is Diagnosed with Oblique Strain
Carmen Mlodzinski

to Compete for Starting Rotation Spot
Tyler Reddick

Could Make History at COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Still the Favorite at COTA
Christopher Bell

Will Be Tough to Beat at COTA
Jacob Melton

is Returning on Sunday
AJ Allmendinger

Could Contend at COTA
Connor Zilisch

Carries Plenty of Upside for DFS at COTA
Chase Elliott

May be A Strong Contender Again at COTA
Chris Buescher

Is Nothing But Consistent at Road Courses
Ross Chastain

May Be An Underrated Competitor for the Win at COTA
William Byron

Is William Byron a Viable DFS Option for COTA?
Carson Hocevar

Needs Clean Race at COTA
Nick Suzuki

Enjoys Three-Point Night Against Capitals
Rasmus Dahlin

Collects Three Points Saturday
Kyle Larson

Could be A Decent DFS Option for COTA Lineups
Joel Kiviranta

in Concussion Protocol
Joel Eriksson Ek

Available Sunday
Ryan Blaney

Could Ryan Blaney be A Sleeper DFS Option for All Formats for COTA?
Mark Scheifele

Expected to Play Sunday
Chase Briscoe

Should DFS Players Roster Chase Briscoe at COTA?
Adam Wilsby

Exits Early Versus Stars
Gage Goncalves

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Russell Westbrook

Off Injury Report Sunday
Kawhi Leonard

Set to Play Against Pelicans
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Is A Favorable Value Option for COTA DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Be A Rosterable DFS Play for COTA?
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Favorable DFS Option for COTA?
Donovan Mitchell

to Miss Third Straight Game
Joel Embiid

Sidelined Three Games with Oblique Injury
Cooper Flagg

Remains Sidelined Sunday
Cale Makar

Scores Twice Versus Chicago
Connor McDavid

has a Three-Assist Game
Keston Hiura

Exits After Getting Hit by Pitch
Leo De Vries

Exits Early on Saturday
Kyle Stowers

is Dealing with Minor Hamstring Strain
Cody Bellinger

Dealing With Back Injury
Corbin Carroll

Likely to be Ready for Opening Day
Vladislav Namestnikov

Out Week-to-Week
Nino Niederreiter

Recovering From Surgery
Colton Parayko

Doubtful for Sunday
Zach Benson

Activated From Injured Reserve
Anthony Cirelli

a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Roope Hintz

Remains Out Saturday
Starling Marte

Royals Agree With Starling Marte
A.J. Brown

Patriots "Have Explored Trade Talks" Involving A.J. Brown
Lone'er Kavanagh

Set For UFC Mexico City Main Event
Brandon Moreno

Looks To Bounce Back
David Martinez

Set For UFC Mexico City Co-Main Event
Marlon Vera

In Dire Need Of Victory
King Green

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Zellhuber

Aims To Snap Two-Fight Skid
Felipe Bunes

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
George Pickens

Cowboys Not Interested in Trading George Pickens
Ashton Jeanty

Not in Line for Workhorse Role in 2026?
Anthony Richardson Sr.

Colts Give Anthony Richardson Sr. Permission to Seek a Trade
Kyler Murray

Prefers to be Released
Derek Carr

"Strong Belief" That Derek Carr is "Very Serious" About Unretiring
Andy Dalton

Is Andy Dalton Available for a Trade?
Keith Mitchell

Making The Comfortable Return to PGA National
CFB

Chandler Morris Suing NCAA for Seventh Year of Eligibility
Chris Kirk

Searching for a Spark at Cognizant Classic
Brooks Koepka

Making Third PGA Tour Start at Cognizant Classic
Mackenzie Hughes

a Steady Option at Cognizant Classic
Seamus Power

Seeking More Green in Florida
PGA

Haotong Li Back From a Break as Florida Stretch Starts
Stephan Jaeger

Trying to Put Four Rounds Together in Florida
PGA

Nico Echavarria Again Attempting to Make the Weekend
Patrick Fishburn

Looking for a Spark at Cognizant Classic
Blades Brown

Set for Cognizant Classic Debut
Michael Thorbjornsen

Looking to Bounce Back at Cognizant Classic
Maxx Crosby

Raiders Expect Maxx Crosby to Return
Billy Horschel

Looks to Improve Season at Cognizant Classic
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Falcons Place Franchise Tag on Kyle Pitts Sr.
Joe Highsmith

Returns to Defend at Cognizant Classic
Quinshon Judkins

Out of Walking Boot, Will be Ready for Training Camp
Breece Hall

Jets Will Use Franchise Tag on Breece Hall if Extension isn't Reached
Joel Dahmen

Needs Better Consistency Heading Into The Florida Swing
Daniel Berger

Looks to Improve Putting as PGA Tour Begins Its Florida Swing
Kirk Cousins

Falcons Plan to Release Kirk Cousins
Zach Ertz

Plans to Return for 14th Season
Davis Thompson

Struggling to Find Birdies as Florida Looms
Tom Kim

Not Quite Cutting It in 2026
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Build Momentum from Scottsdale
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Returns After Extended Break for Florida Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF