TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Week 16 Consistency Report - Floors and Ceilings

It amazes me that we are already at the end of December in Week 16 of the 2017 season. We spent all offseason preparing for this year and now it is all or nothing for many teams. To those of you in the championship, I congratulate you for making it, a feat in and of itself. To everyone else looking to next year already, keep paying attention to this season and the playoffs. Situations are still changing that can affect depth charts next year and you want to be sure you are in the know with everything happening in the NFL.

For everyone in the championship, you need to have consistency in your lineups, now more than ever. I will assume that you have an elite core of players that have carried you this far, but like the past two weeks, duds will kill your week and may cost you the ship. Floors are just as nice as ceilings, especially when looking for replacements to key players that got injured last week like Antonio Brown, Rex Burkhead, or Davante Adams. Maybe some of you are lucky enough to be getting Ezekiel Elliott back this week!

So, without further introduction, here is Week 16's consistency charts for each position:

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Quarterbacks

It is time for us in the fantasy community to start taking Jimmy Garoppolo very, very, very seriously. Since becoming the starter, Garoppolo has increased his fantasy points every single week: 5.1, 10.5, 15.1, 19.6. Through four weeks, he has already established a connection with Marquise Goodwin and Garrett Celek and has shown the poise needed from franchise quarterbacks to win games in the clutch.

Even though he has one of the worst CORs among QBs over the past five weeks and is not startable this week in the championship, he is the type of player fantasy owners need to watch for next season. Assuming he stays in San Francisco, Garoppolo will enter the season as a major sleeper pick for redraft and a top-15 option at the position. A second season under head coach Kyle Shanahan with Pierre Garcon coming back from injury on top of his favorite targets in Goodwin and Celek, about $100 million in cap space for the Niners to use in free agency, and high draft capital in a loaded 2018 draft, the Niners can be very dangerous next year. People who were excited for the new LA Rams in 2017 should also be very excited for the future of San Francisco and the potential for massive fantasy production offensively. He will be a heavy target of mine for redraft next year and already a major target for me in dynasty, both in 1QB leagues and superflex.

 

Running Backs

If there is one take I am planting my flag on for championship week, it's this: Jordan Howard is a trap in Week 16. Despite being RB12 on the season, Howard has the highest CV among the top-15 running backs and is near the bottom of the list in COR both yearly and in the past five weeks.

Since Week 11, Howard has been one of the most inconsistent running backs in fantasy. He has two games under five points but also two games above 18. Looking at Week 16, the Bears play at home against the Browns. To many owners, that may seem like a cake matchup. I mean, it is the Browns. However, on the season the Browns are 20th in fantasy points given up to the running back position. They are averaging 22.9 fantasy points per game to running backs, most of which is through the air. For Howard, his fantasy weeks rely heavily on scoring touchdowns more than yards or receptions. On the season, the Browns have given up the seventh LEAST amount of rushing touchdowns, meaning Howard may be very limited against a formidable rushing defense in Cleveland. This is why I believe Howard is a trap this week and I would not trust him as a core piece of my championship lineup.

 

Wide Receivers

I should make it known that I am not a Niners fan, but I need to talk about Maquise Goodwin. Athletically, the dude is a freak of nature and a favorite of Player Profiler. Fantasy-wise, owners struck gold this season. Despite being the WR31 on the season, Goodwin is the WR18 over the past five weeks and the WR7 over the past three weeks. He has established himself already as the favorite target for Jimmy Garoppolo, who I have already expressed my love for, and has been a consistent fantasy producer since Garoppolo has taken over.

In fact, Goodwin has the second highest COR among wide receivers over the past five weeks. He has not scored under double-digit fantasy points since Week 9 and has three top-20 performances in that time period. However, Goodwin and the Niners take on the Jaguars in Week 16. Because of this, I am not advocating the start of any 49ers players this week against arguably the best defense in the NFL. Looking ahead to next season, however, I am very optimistic about Goodwin's outlook, even with the return of Garcon or even a big free agent signing like Allen Robinson or Sammy Watkins in the offseason. He is an electric player in a Kyle Shanahan offense that made Taylor Gabriel a viable fantasy option in 2016 and I am excited for Goodwin's future with the 49ers.

 

Tight Ends

Jack Doyle may be a league winner for some teams this week. On the season, Doyle is the TE8 with the ninth highest COR among tight ends. He has been fairly inconsistent on the year, shown by his very high CV of almost 65%. However, Doyle has been one of the best tight ends in fantasy over the past five weeks as shown by the chart below.

Saying he has been one of the best tight ends in fantasy over the past five weeks may be a slight exaggeration, especially if you are a Doyle owner. Since Week 11, Doyle has posted two top-12 finishes, but also two finishes outside the top-15. As inconsistent as that may seem, Doyle is still a very high-upside play in Week 16, as the Colts take on the Raven Saturday afternoon. Now, do not let the Ravens defense scare you away from Doyle. On the year, the Ravens are the ninth worst against the tight end position for fantasy, with most of the damage coming through receptions. Doyle is a PPR machine, so this matchup in Week 16 may be a godsend to some owners. I would be confident starting Doyle as a top-5 option at the position, sitting him for only the elite options like Zach Ertz, Travis Kelce, Rob Gronkowski, or Delanie Walker.

 

Flex

 

More Week 16 Lineup Prep




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Bligh Madris

Cardinals Sign Bligh Madris to Minor-League Deal
Mickey Gasper

Red Sox Claim Mickey Gasper Off Waivers From Nationals
Yanquiel Fernández

Yankees Claim Yanquiel Fernandez Off Waivers From Rockies
Michael Fulmer

Signs Minor-League Deal With Giants
Grant Taylor

to Transition Back to Starting Role in 2027?
Framber Valdez

Pirates Emerging as Suitor for Framber Valdez
Tayler Scott

Signs Minor-League Deal With Braves
Max Clark

Receives Invite to Big-League Camp
Kevin McGonigle

Tigers Invite Shortstop Prospect Kevin McGonigle to Spring Training
Marcell Ozuna

Pirates Showing Interest in Marcell Ozuna
Brandon Drury

Royals Sign Brandon Drury to Minor-League Deal
Rhett Lowder

Could be Mid-Rotation Starter For Reds in 2026
Gunnar Henderson

Works on Speed in Offseason
Matt Fitzpatrick

Back in Action at WM Phoenix Open
Sahith Theegala

Riding Hot Start Into WM Phoenix Open
J.J. Spaun

Looks to Regain Form at WM Phoenix Open
Viktor Hovland

a Volatile Option at WM Phoenix Open
Rasmus Hojgaard

Aims to Build on Solid Start to 2026
Brian Harman

Looks to Find Form at WM Phoenix Open
Daniel Berger

Has the Tools to Go One Step Higher at Scottsdale
Max Greyserman

Searching for Consistency at WM Phoenix Open
Jake Knapp

Wants Revenge at WM Phoenix Open
CFB

Joey Aguilar Granted Temporary Restraining Order Against NCAA
Joel Dahmen

Carrying Momentum Into WM Phoenix Open
Corey Conners

Unlikely to Contend at Scottsdale
Mathew Barzal

Plays Key Role in Comeback Victory
Sepp Straka

Seeks a Rebound After The American Express
Sebastian Aho

Bags Three Points in Tuesday's Win
Jordan Spieth

Healthy Heading to WM Phoenix Open
Darren Raddysh

Extends Goal Streak to Five Games
Keith Mitchell

Building Momentum for Event in Scottsdale
Nikita Kucherov

Posts Second Straight Four-Point Game
Travis Konecny

Extends Multi-Point Streak Tuesday
Ramón Urías

Red Sox Have "Lukewarm" Interest in Ramon Urias
Tom Hoge

The Tom Hoge Roller Coaster Heads to Scottsdale for WM Phoenix Open
Elvis Merzlikins

Earns First Shutout of the Season
Josiah Gray

Could Earn Opening Day Start
Filip Chytil

Dealing With Migranes
Luis García Jr.

Luis Garcia Jr. a Candidate to Play First Base?
Rickie Fowler

Worth a Look at WM Phoenix Open
Jakob Marsee

Marlins Have Approached Jakob Marsee About Contract Extension
Jeremy Sochan

Out Wednesday
Jordan Leasure

was Almost Traded to Red Sox
Mike Conley

Not Expected to Remain in Chicago
Freddy Peralta

Carson Benge was Not Considered in Trade With Brewers
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis Available for Cavaliers Wednesday
De'Andre Hunter

Available for Kings Debut Wednesday
Josh Hart

Hurt in Blowout Win
Seattle Mariners

Ryan Sloan a Budding Arm in Seattle's System
LeBron James

Expects to Stay With Lakers Until End of Season
Mick Abel

Can Mick Abel Take the Next Step in the Major Leagues?
Derrick Jones Jr.

Off the Injury Report
Scotty Pippen Jr.

Tagged as Doubtful for Wednesday
Santi Aldama

Uncertain to Suit Up Wednesday
Domantas Sabonis

Questionable for Wednesday
Russell Westbrook

Available Wednesday Night
Darius Garland

Traded to Clippers
James Harden

Traded to Cavaliers
Payton Pritchard

Drops to Second Unit Tuesday
Amir Coffey

Starting Tuesday
Alex Caruso

Available Tuesday
Isaiah Hartenstein

Good to Go Tuesday
Jaylin Williams

is Cleared for Tuesday
Chet Holmgren

Cleared to Play Tuesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

is Upgraded to Available
Myron Gardner

Makes Second Career Start
Nick Foligno

Set to Return Wednesday
Dante Fabbro

Returns From Six-Game Absence
Kirill Marchenko

Out Tuesday
Bryan Rust

Returns to Penguins Lineup
Jack Hughes

Misses Second Straight Game
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Out for Olympics
Anthony Cirelli

to Miss Olympics
Xander Schauffele

Making Second Appearance at Phoenix Open
Collin Morikawa

Needs a Bounce-Back at Waste Management Phoenix Open
Hideki Matsuyama

Has a Shot to Challenge at the Waste Management Phoenix Open
Max Homa

Playing Well Heading to Waste Management Phoenix Open
Ben Griffin

Will Need to Find Approach Game to Compete in Phoenix
Michael Penix Jr.

Matt Ryan Not Committing to Michael Penix Jr. as the Starting QB
NASCAR

Billy Horschel Unlikely to Right the Ship in Phoenix
Nick Schmaltz

Leads Mammoth to Victory Monday
Roman Josi

Has Four Assists in Huge Comeback Win
Quinn Hughes

Records Hat Trick of Assists
Filip Chytil

Misses Third Period Monday
Daemon Hunt

Injured In Monday's Win
Zach Benson

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Monday
Sam Bennett

Exits Early Monday
Matthew Stafford

Doesn't Need Offseason Back Surgery
CFB

Joey Aguilar Files New Lawsuit Against NCAA Seeking Sixth Year of Eligibility
Davante Adams

Expected to Return to Rams in 2026
Los Angeles Rams

Rams Sign Sean McVay, Les Snead to Contract Extensions
Diego Lopes

Outclassed At UFC 325
Alexander Volkanovski

Dominates Diego Lopes
Dan Hooker

Stopped In The Second Round
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Extends His Win Streak
Rafael Fiziev

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Maurício Ruffy Gets Back In The Win Column
San Francisco 49ers

49ers Set to Name Raheem Morris Their Defensive Coordinator
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Close to Naming Klint Kubiak the Next Head Coach
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Finalizing Deal to Make Mike LaFleur the Next Head Coach
CFB

Gus Malzahn Retiring from Coaching
Breece Hall

Jets Want to Re-Sign Breece Hall, Could Use Franchise Tag
Diego Lopes

An Underdog At UFC 325
Alexander Volkanovski

Set For UFC 325 Main Event
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Dan Hooker

Set For UFC 325 Co-Main Event
Mauricio Ruffy

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Rafael Fiziev

Returns At UFC 325
CFB

Texas Lands Wake Forest Transfer Sterling Berkhalter
Kirk Cousins

Falcons Expected to Release Kirk Cousins
Chase Brown

Working on Extension With Bengals
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF