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Week 3 Buy and Sell for Fantasy Baseball

Kyle Bishop takes a look at which MLB hitters and pitchers you should keep, drop, or trade for during week 3 of the 2016 MLB fantasy baseball season.

This early in the season, most of my advice boils down to, “Be patient.” The fantasy baseball season is a marathon, not a sprint. Nobody wants to fall behind early, but overreacting to small samples is a good way to make sure you stay behind.

That doesn’t mean there aren’t moves to be made. Savvy owners know to look for any opportunity to turn the chaos of April to their advantage. Whether it’s selling high on an overperforming asset or targeting a player who’s off to a slow start, the right decisions in the opening month can pay dividends all year long. Each week in this space, we’ll identify one hitter and one pitcher on each side of the buy/sell equation.

 

Week 3 Buys

Zack Greinke, SP, Arizona Diamondbacks

Greinke’s tenure in Arizona hasn’t gotten off to the best start – through three turns, he’s 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. His HR/9 is also 1.56, nearly triple what it was a year ago. Anyone who drafted Greinke expecting anything close to a repeat of last season’s 1.66 ERA is going to be disappointed. That mark was supported by both an unsustainable BABIP (his .229 mark was the fifth-lowest in the last quarter century) and strand rate (second-highest in the same time frame).

The good news is that Greinke doesn’t have to come anywhere close to last year’s success to be a fantasy stud. Over the prior four seasons, he averaged 16 wins and a 3.16 ERA while striking out nearly a batter per inning and four batters for every walk issued. Most owners probably will give him the benefit of the doubt, as they should. But it’s worth checking in to see if your rival’s a little spooked by the early scuffles.

 

Domingo Santana, OF, Milwaukee Brewers

After being traded to Milwaukee at the deadline last season as part of the package for Carlos Gomez, Santana hit eight homers and stole four bases in just 187 plate appearances. That performance garnered him some buzz as a potential sleeper, particularly after news broke that he would tapped to lead off for the Brew Crew. While he hasn’t offered the same category juice in 2016, there’s a lot to like about his early performance. Santana has improved his already excellent walk rate and drastically cut down on strikeouts so far.

His batted ball data also portends good things – lots of line drives and other hard contact. Per StatCast, his average exit velocity is fifth-best in the majors, and he has more 100+ MPH batted balls than anyone in the game. Santana’s floating around on the wire in the majority of leagues, and represents a fantastic potential buy-low opportunity if he’s owned in your league. The power will come. Grab him before it does and reap the rewards.

 

Week 3 Sells

Carlos Gomez, OF, Houston Astros

Lots of owners looked at Gomez before the season and saw a prime bounceback candidate. It was certainly an understandable perspective. After all, before last year’s injury-marred campaign, Gomez had averaged 22 homers and 37 steals in the three seasons prior. He also only turned 30 in December. But through the season’s first two weeks, Gomez has looked awful. He’s striking out more often, and when he has made contact, it’s been much weaker.

There’s a lot of season left, but these early returns are troubling. When you consider that some of his peripherals had already been trending in the wrong direction, it’s little wonder that the projection systems are pessimistic. They’ve all got Gomez pegged for a 15/20 season with a batting average hovering below .260. That’s Brett Gardner territory. Useful, sure, but nowhere near the elite production Gomez used to boast. There’s bound to be at least one believer in your league. It might be time to talk deal.

 

Aaron Sanchez, SP, Toronto Blue Jays

Command has always been Sanchez’s big question mark, and it showed last season. He spent most of the year in the bullpen, but did make 11 starts. In those starts, he posted a 1.8 K/BB%. Only three starters (minimum 50 innings) were worse. He’s been much better in the early going of 2016, nearly doubling his K% and keeping the walks to a manageable level. But that 1.35 ERA has nowhere to go but up, because – and this may shock you – it’s built on an unsustainable foundation.

Maybe Sanchez has made some legitimate improvements. That’s not unreasonable to believe. He was well-regarded as a prospect, he’s just 23, and he was aggressively promoted through the minors. It’s too early to say for sure. What we do know is that he’s not going to maintain a .170 BABIP or 91.6% strand rate, and that he struggled with free passes at every stop in his minor league career. The potential reward is high if he’s finally put it together, but so is the risk that he hasn’t. Sanchez could be more valuable to you as a trade chip than as a presence on your roster.

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Emmanuel Clase

Luis L. Ortiz to Remain On Leave for Rest of Season
Kyle Schwarber

has Historic Performance in Rout of Braves
Boston Red Sox

Payton Tolle Expected to Make Debut on Friday
Green Bay Packers

Packers Acquire Micah Parsons, Sign him to Four-Year Extension
Jauan Jennings

Remains Sidelined at Practice
Corey Seager

Undergoing Appendectomy on Thursday
Chris Godwin

to Miss First Month of Season, Possibly More
Quinshon Judkins

Not Considering Return to College
A.J. Brown

Returns to Practice, Expected to Play in Week 1
Jaylen Wright

Undergoes Surgery, Could be Back "Septemberish"
Tyreek Hill

on Track to Play in Week 1
Kyren Williams

to See Reduced Workload?
Jayden Reed

Dealing with Jones Fracture in Left Foot
Lauri Markkanen

Torches Sweden
Neemias Queta

Dominates in EuroBasket Opener
Kawhi Leonard

Clippers Not Allowing Kawhi Leonard to Play Back-to-Backs
Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Mavericks Looking to Trade Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Tyrese Haliburton

Expects to Return in 15 Months
Malik Nabers

Expected to be Full-Go for Week 1
Freddie Freeman

Out Wednesday With Neck Stinger
Alejandro Kirk

Avoids Major Injury, Remains Out on Wednesday
Travis Hunter

Back at Practice, Will be Ready for Week 1
Luis Robert Jr.

Could Miss the Rest of the Season
De'Von Achane

Not Practicing on Wednesday
Trevor Megill

Brewers Place Trevor Megill on Injured List With Flexor Strain
Luis Robert Jr.

Placed on Injured List With Hamstring Strain
Rashee Rice

Accepting Six-Game Suspension to Begin the Year
Kyle Hamilton

Ravens, Kyle Hamilton Finalizing Four-Year Extension
Rashee Rice

NFL Aiming to Place Six-Game Suspension on Rashee Rice
De'Von Achane

Dolphins GM Says De'Von Achane Will be Ready for Week 1
Joe Mixon

Texans GM: "We'll See" if Joe Mixon Plays in 2025
Adam Thielen

Traded to the Vikings
Nick Lodolo

Expected to Return Wednesday Against the Dodgers
Terance Mann

Confident About Having a Big Year in Brooklyn
Zaccharie Risacher

Aims to Improve Ball-Handling Skills
NBA

Pistons And Timberwolves Join Race for Malik Beasley
John Tonje

Signs Two-Way Deal With Jazz
Max Strus

to Miss 3-4 Months After Surgery
Blake Snell

Activated From Paternity List Tuesday
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Still Expect Micah Parsons to Play in Week 1
Luis Robert Jr.

Exits Early With Hamstring Soreness
Chris Godwin

Passes Physical, Will be Activated From PUP List
Willson Contreras

Issued Six-Game Suspension
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez Placed on Injured List
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers Officially Place Brandon Aiyuk on PUP List
Nathan Eovaldi

Likely Done for the Season
Yordan Alvarez

Activated and Starting on Tuesday
Oneil Cruz

Back From Injured List
New York Mets

Jonah Tong Promoted to Major Leagues
Nikola Jović

Heat Have High Hopes for Nikola Jovic
Golden State Warriors

Cody Martin Drawing Interest From Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves

Timberwolves Interested in Reunion With Bones Hyland
Kylor Kelley

Joins Lakers
Colin Castleton

Links Up With Magic
Malik Monk

Kings "Not Actively Engaged" in Trade Discussions Involving Malik Monk
P.J. Washington

Mavs Likely to Offer P.J. Washington a Contract Extension
NHL

Jan Rutta Lands in Switzerland
Kirby Dach

Skates on Monday
COL

Tyson Barrie Retires From NHL
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Back in Toronto's Lineup
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Johnny Walker

Gets Back In The Win Column
Brian Ortega

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Aljamain Sterling

Proves Too Much For Brian Ortega
Chris Sale

Penciled in to Start on Saturday
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Wins Decision At UFC Shanghai
Kevin Borjas

Drops Decision At UFC Shanghai
Sumudaerji

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Kiefer Crosbie

Still Winless In The UFC
Taiyilake Nueraji

Gets His First UFC Win
Ryan Blaney

Earns his Second Daytona Cup Series Win
Tyler Reddick

Locks Into the 2025 Playoffs Despite Underwhelming Daytona Performance
Erik Jones

Misses the 2025 Playoffs Despite Top-Five Run at Daytona
Justin Haley

Best Performance of 2025 Falls Short of Victory at Daytona
Chase Burns

To Throw Bullpen on Tuesday
Kyle Larson

Enters Playoffs As Co-Points Leader
Alex Bowman

Advances to Playoffs Despite Crashing at Daytona
Cole Custer

Finally Shows Signs of Life at Daytona
Daniel Suarez

Lame-Duck Daniel Suarez Delivers Clutch Second-Place Finish
Chase Elliott

Despite Being Winless at Daytona, Chase Elliott is Probably the Best DFS Option
Ryan Blaney

Will Likely Lead a Lot at Daytona
Kyle Larson

a Poor DFS Option at Daytona
Christopher Bell

Consistent Enough to Consider for DFS
Chris Buescher

Now Must Win His Way Into Playoffs
Ryan Preece

Being One of the Slowest-Starting Fords Makes Ryan Preece a Strong DFS Option
Ross Chastain

Leads a Lot on Drafting Tracks
Daniel Suarez

Now in Desperation Mode With his Career on the Line
Chase Briscoe

Tendency to Finish Better Than He Runs May Reap Dividends at Daytona
Carson Hocevar

Hard to Forecast Since He's Rarely Given 100 Percent at Daytona
Michael McDowell

has a Solid Drafting Record
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Arguably Starting Too Well for Place-Differential Points
Austin Dillon

Will Likely Be Too Conservative for DFS Consideration
Moses Moody

Warriors Not Interested in Trading Moses Moody
Kevin Durant

Rockets Expected to Agree on New Contract
Trey Murphy III

Warriors, Spurs Interested in Trey Murphy III

RANKINGS

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RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
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C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP