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Tight Ends Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks

Jake Ferguson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL News

Matt's tight end (TE) fantasy football start 'em, sit 'em picks for Week 6 of 2025. His TE lineups advice for Week 6 fantasy football start/sit decisions.

Fantasy roulette continued this week with AJ Barner, Jake Tonges, and Theo Johnson all providing fantasy managers with 17 or fantasy points. At the same time, Trey McBride, T.J. Hockenson, and Hunter Henry failed to produce more than 10.

If we have learned anything this season, it's to play the matchups, good or bad. Once again, the matchups have provided fantasy managers with the most insight every week, as the season is becoming increasingly unpredictable.

Here are your starts and sits at the tight end position for Week 6 of the fantasy football season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Week 6 - Fantasy Football Booms

David Njoku - TE, Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Vindication! If you follow our Discord channel, you know I have been backing David Njoku all season. There were some dark days over the previous four weeks. At one point, fantasy managers had to question my sanity and credibility, but through it all, I refused to drop Njoku. I wouldn't start him, but I refused to drop him.

Finally, with a quarterback change in Cleveland, new hope arose last week. We've seen this song and dance before: rookie quarterbacks find veteran tight ends. It's a tale as old as time itself. Against the Vikings, Dillon Gabriel targeted Njoku on none occasions, resulting in six receptions for 67 yards and a touchdown.

More importantly, the 18.7 fantasy points last week alone were just 8.1 fantasy points shy of his previous four-week total combined.

Looking at the matchups across the league, Njoku has one of the more favourable ones at the tight end position. The Pittsburgh Steelers have allowed three touchdowns and 250 yards receiving to the position over the previous four weeks, and the 16.05 fantasy points per game conceded over that time happens to be the fourth-most.

Tucker Kraft - TE, Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Coming off the bye week, people may have forgotten how good Tucker Kraft has been this season. Kraft enters this Week 6 contest averaging 12.7 fantasy points per game, TE6 for the season.

What makes Kraft special is that he has played in-line 61% of the time, while his yards per reception of 14.06 trails only Dalton Kincaid, Cole Kmet, and Henry among tight ends to run at least 90 routes this season. That yards per reception number is even more impressive considering his average target depth is 4.9.

Kraft enters this week's contest against the Bengals eighth in the NFL in receiving yards among tight ends with 225 yards, and that's with playing one fewer game than those who have produced more yards.

On the season, only three other teams (Carolina, New England, and Baltimore) have allowed more receiving yards to the tight end position than the Bengals' defense has, which is 345 yards. Only the New York Jets have conceded more touchdown receptions than the Bengals (four), and when you add that up, you get a defense that allows 18.56 fantasy points per game to the position, the most in fantasy football.

Jake Ferguson - TE, Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers

Okay, I am going to take the easy way out this week. Since the loss of CeeDee Lamb from this Cowboys offense, Ferguson has been on an absolute heater, producing 19.7 fantasy points per game over his previous four contests. Suppose you put Ferguson among the wide receiver position in PPR scoring. In that case, only Puka Nacua, Amon-Ra St. Brown, George Pickens, Ja'Marr Chase, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba have been more productive.

Since Week 2, Ferguson has run a route 68.5% of the time and accounted for an air yard share of 14.1% and 166 yards. While impressive, that is nothing compared to the 10.5 targets per game, 25.3% target share, and 0.34 targets per route run rate Ferguson has garnered during Lamb's absence. 

The good times should keep rolling this week as Ferguson faces a Panthers defense that has given up 401 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season on 38 receptions, with the team surrendering 18.02 fantasy points per game. Last week, Darren Waller of the Miami Dolphins did some damage as his five receptions resulted in a touchdown, 78 receiving yards, and 18.8 fantasy points.

 

Week 6 - Fantasy Football Busts

Kyle Pitts Sr. - TE, Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills

Let's give Kyle Pitts a little love, as the much-maligned Falcons tight end is currently averaging 11.6 fantasy points per game and is perched among the top 10 in fantasy production thus far this season after several underwhelming seasons. Before the Falcons hit the bye, Pitts had caught all five of his targets for 70 receiving yards and a touchdown against the Commanders.

This season, Pitts has averaged six targets per game and accounted for an 18.4% target share, leading to 205 receiving yards and 131 additional air yards. One of the most challenging things to do in life is to regain trust after it has been lost. Pitts has been trying to do so this season, but each week feels like fantasy managers could be getting set up for disappointment.

This week, the Falcons face a Bills defense that held Henry to 6.6 fantasy points on Sunday Night Football, but has a track record this season of being a difficult matchup for the position in fantasy. In five games this year, Buffalo has allowed just one touchdown reception on 15 total passes thrown in the direction of the tight end.

Of those 15 targets, 11 have been caught, resulting in 113 receiving yards and 5.66 fantasy points against.

Dalton Kincaid - TE, Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons

Speaking of fantasy tight end resurrections, have you seen Dalton Kincaid? As awkward as that last sentence sounds, Kincaid has easily surpassed fantasy managers' expectations this season and has produced double-digit fantasy production in three of five contests, averaging 13.3 fantasy points per game. Only Ferguson and Waller are currently averaging more fantasy points per game.

In primetime, Kincaid recorded his first 100-yard game of his career, gaining 108 receiving yards on six receptions. Yet, something still seems misleading. I know we are taught it's not how, it's how many, but Kincaid's production does not seem sustainable. Kincaid's 55.5% route participation rate is less than that of Kmet, Dalton Schultz, Johnson, and even Tonges.

The only team that has been tougher on tight ends this season than the Bills is, you guessed it, the Atlanta Falcons. On the season, Atlanta has yielded just eight receptions to the position and has yet to concede a receiving touchdown to an opposing tight end, which has led to their league-best 4.23 fantasy points against.

Darren Waller - TE, Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers

In two games, Waller has scored three touchdowns on his receptions and churned out 105 receiving yards and 36.5 fantasy points. That fantasy production has led to back-to-back top-5 fantasy finishes among tight ends.

The Waller resurgence is a welcome story, especially at the tight end position, where fantasy managers are seeking some consistency weekly. Like most fairy tale stories, there is a good introduction or reintroduction, followed by the hero having to endure some form of hardship before being vindicated. That hardship could be coming this week in the form of the Chargers' defense.

Last week, Waller faced a Panthers defense that allowed more than 18 fantasy points per game to the position. This week, he faces a defense in Los Angeles that allows 8.50 per game, the fifth-fewest. Los Angeles has allowed the fourth fewest receptions (19) and the fifth fewest receiving yards (145) to the position this season.

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