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RotoBaller's top PGA player props, best bets, and matchup picks for the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge. Get commission-free odds and market edges with Novig golf picks.
Hello golf fans, it's great to be with you again here at RotoBaller! Following a thrilling final-round 60 from Wyndham Clark to capture the Byron Nelson title, the PGA Tour heads just 30 minutes west to Fort Worth for one of the game's most enduring tests. Where last week saw a huge emphasis placed on ball speed and birdie-making, Colonial's old-school design will ask much more strategic questions of this week's field.
This week's picks will all be using the odds on the most unique and fastest-growing sports prediction sites -- Novig. If you're not familiar with the site, I'll explain how it works and provide some of my favorite wagers to place on Novig. There are lots of juicy numbers available!
As always, make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your season-long, DFS, and betting needs. Now, here are some of my favorite PGA bets and props for the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge.
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What is Novig?
Novig is one of the fastest-growing peer-to-peer sports prediction markets. On Novig, users trade directly with each other, without the "vig" typically associated with a sportsbook. The vig is the fee sportsbooks charge you to use their services. It's a hidden cost that can be found in the odds that are being offered on each side of a specific bet. When a book offers -110 odds on both sides of a bet, it is keeping close to 10% of every bettor's wager, regardless of whether you win or lose.
On Novig, users trade with each other on the outcomes of sporting events, similarly to the way that investors trade on the stock market. But instead of having to beat the books, you just have to win against other users -- there's no commission kept by the site.
Users can bet on most traditional sports markets, including moneyline bets, spreads, totals, tournament matchups, player props, parlays, and futures!
Novig operates with two virtual currencies. Novig coins can be wagered for fun and to test out strategies, while Novig cash can be wagered on all markets and then redeemed for real cash prizes.
Access to Novig is widespread; it's now accessible in 36 U.S. states.
How Does Novig Work?
Since users are not playing against the books, there is an opportunity to make more money per wager that you win, and users can usually find better values on bets (in terms of the prices being offered) than on traditional sportsbooks.
There are no oddsmakers; users dictate their own odds. You can either accept the odds that the market is offering or set your own odds.
If you set your own odds, another user has to accept them on the other side for the bet to be activated.
Users drive the market, not the sportsbook or oddsmakers!
PGA Tournament Matchup Picks
All odds are from Novig and were accurate/available as of 5/27/2026. Odds are subject to change.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout (-104 at Novig) OVER J.T. Poston
Although these two profile similarly on paper, I don’t see how the South African isn’t deserving of clear favoritism based on current form. While J.T. Poston has recorded just two top-25 finishes in 12 starts this calendar year, Christiaan Bezuidenhout has matched that total over the past four weeks alone.
Statistically, Bezuidenhout grades out comfortably ahead of Poston in nearly every key category for Colonial. He ranks better in season-long approach play (34th vs. 59th), around-the-green play (20th vs. 100th), and putting (3rd vs. 85th). He’s also been remarkably consistent at Colonial itself, finishing no worse than 21st across his last four appearances at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
The one area where Poston can claim an edge -- off-the-tee -- has historically been minimized at this venue. Across those four Colonial starts, Bezuidenhout has actually gained strokes off the tee relative to the field (+0.31 aggregate), as the course’s positional nature and his elite fairway-finding ability help neutralize the typical distance advantage longer hitters possess.
If Bezuidenhout can once again hold his own off the tee, it’s difficult to see Poston making up the gap with the rest of the bag. At -104, I see clear value backing Bezuidenhout in this matchup.
HOW?! 🤯
Christiaan Bezuidenhout’s ball takes a U-turn @CJByronNelson.
📺 PGA TOUR LIVE on ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/dTVzda75dW
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) May 21, 2026
Andrew Putnam (-145 at Novig) OVER Thorbjorn Olesen
The second matchup of the week requires a bit of juice, but still comes in notably cheaper than what’s available at other shops -- where Putnam is priced 20+ cents higher in spots at the time of writing, and my numbers back up this market edge over Olesen.
From a skill-set perspective, this is exactly the type of setup where Putnam thrives. On one of the game's most positionally intensive venues, only Russell Henley hits fairways at a higher clip. Over his last 30 rounds, Putnam sits third in this field in Strokes Gained proficiency on and around the greens.
Olesen, by contrast, is struggling across multiple baseline categories. He ranks outside the top 80 in driving accuracy, good drive percentage, season-long putting, and weighted proximity. Even in Putnam’s traditional weak point -- approach play -- the two are essentially side by side this season, sitting 25th and 26th in the field in 2026 numbers.
It’s not often I’m willing to lay this kind of price in a head-to-head, but these two simply project in different tiers this week. Putnam already owns four top-30 finishes in eight career starts at Colonial, and with his current form, a fifth in nine looks well within reach.
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PGA Finishing Position Props
All odds are from Novig and were accurate as of 5/27/2026. Odds are subject to change.
Rickie Fowler WINNER (+2757 at Novig)
I’ve already written extensively about Rickie Fowler’s recent form in this week’s power rankings, and with the best outright price on the market over at Novig, he stands out as my favorite click on the board.
Down as low as 20-1 at some shops, Fowler’s surge has clearly been recognized by the market. This week, he gets another opportunity to extend that form in a field featuring just five of Data Golf’s top-20-ranked players.
Field strength hasn’t been an issue for him lately, either. In the last three Signature Events (Truist, Cadillac, Heritage), Fowler has finished second, ninth, and eighth while averaging a +3.64 strokes-gained rating in driving and approach play.
And unlike many of the other elite ball-strikers in this field, Fowler also brings legitimate upside on the greens. Over his last 36 rounds, he’s one of just three players in the field ranking inside the top 20 in both putting and approach.
At Colonial, the fit is just as encouraging. Fowler has gained strokes putting in each of his last four appearances (and in seven of his last 11 starts overall), and he’s consistently thrived on bentgrass -- gaining over a third of a stroke per round on these surfaces since the start of 2024. He also owns five finishes of 16th or better across 11 career starts here in Fort Worth since 2011.
We’ve seen a similar lead-in before his last PGA Tour win in Detroit three years ago, where he arrived off four straight top-13 finishes in strong fields before capturing the Rocket Mortgage in a playoff. By current form, he looks like a legitimate top-15 player in the world. At 27-1 -- fifth on the Novig board -- he profiles as one of the clearest value plays near the top of the market.
This isn't AI, it's REAL 🫠@RickieFowler goes lefty and backwards @RBC_Heritage.
📺 @GolfChannel pic.twitter.com/E6NFqNGR6Y
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) April 16, 2026
