RADIO
Matt Miller dives into his top longshot bets for the 2026 Cadillac Championship sleeper plays, value bets, and under-the-radar golf betting insights.
Welcome to my weekly longshots article! The purpose of this piece is to identify players further down the board who are low-risk, high-reward wagers. For purposes of this article, I am considering longshots to be players over 100-1 on the odds list.
The wagers listed below might have playability in various sectors of the market. Please search your shops to see if you can find anything enticing.
If you have any additional questions for me, you can find me on X @MattyMillz85. I am always more than happy to answer any questions you might have. Also, stay tuned for additional announcements from me here in 2026. Big things are on the way!
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Daniel Berger (100-1 FanDuel)
Daniel Berger hasn't had the best results since his playoff loss at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in early March. That said, the iron play continues to produce for the 33-year-old. Berger has gained strokes on approach in five of his last six starts and ranks 5th on tour this year in strokes gained approach.
The Florida State University alumni was born and raised in Florida and currently still resides in Jupiter, Florida. It is not often that we see a pure Bermuda grass course on the PGA Tour schedule, as most are over-seed. Berger's Florida ties should give him an advantage on a pure Bermuda course since they are prevalent in the Florida area.
If ain't broke, don't fix it.
Daniel Berger's mesmerizing swing has him leading @APInv by FIVE. pic.twitter.com/vyVqaKq25Y
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) March 7, 2026
Berger has struggled with the putter for a majority of this season and will need to turn it around if he hopes to contend. That said, I had the same comment prior to the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He gained strokes on the green that week, also Bermuda grass, and led the tournament for 70 holes.
Corey Conners (100-1 FanDuel)
Corey Conners struggled with his approach a bit in his last start at the RBC Heritage. Despite the disappointing performance in Hilton Head, I have a ton of faith in the Canadian's iron play. Conners gained strokes on approach in four straight starts prior to the Heritage, and ranks inside the top-25 on the PGA Tour this season in strokes gained approach.
🚨🦅🏀 #SLAM DUNK — Corey Conners holes out for eagle from 145 yards and 40 yards on back-to-back holes.
Conners holds the early leads at the Valspar
— NUCLR GOLF (@NUCLRGOLF) March 19, 2026
The 34-year-old's ability to be accurate off the tee and hit his mid to long irons well should bode well at Doral this week. We saw Conners perform exceptionally well at Oak Hill at the PGA Championship a few years ago, a course that was also long and demanding off the tee.
While the putter is always a huge question mark for the veteran, the ball striking should separate him in this field. Conners may not have enough to win this week but he still presents good value placement markets.
Ryan Fox (110-1 DraftKings)
Ryan Fox finished T25 or better in four consecutive starts between February 8th and March 8th. This included a T7 finish at the Genesis and a T24 finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, two long, challenging golf courses. Fox is 28th on tour in driving distance, so it is no surprise to see him have success at longer courses.
The form since has been rather uninspiring aside from his T16 finish at the RBC Heritage. It should be noted that after his T24 at the Arnold Palmer, Fox did undergo a procedure to have kidney stones removed. As someone who has had two kidney stones experiences to date, I can tell you they are not fun. I will give Fox a pass on some recent poor play and hope that returns to what we saw in late February.
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