MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (4/2/2026)

April 2, 2026

Koby's best MLB player prop bets for today (4/2/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Byron Buxton, Kyle Isbel, Ronald Acuna Jr., and more!

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have a short slate on deck. Originally, we had four games, but with the postponement of the Blue Jays versus White Sox game, we now only have three games to look forward to on this fine Thursday afternoon.

This makes it a bit more challenging to pick spots, but I think there are a couple of pitchers we can take advantage of. There are also some big wind gusts pushing 20+ mph in Kansas City. This is ideal home run conditions. The only downside is the books will be in on this, and we won't see as good odds.

Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Thursday, April 2, 2026. Today, all the odds are from DraftKings, but always make sure to shop around and find the best odds! If you are interested, check out the RotoBaller Discord and see what the rest of the staff is playing every day!

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (4/2/2026)

Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Thursday, April 2.

Byron Buxton OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+275 DraftKings)

I don't like picking on Cole Ragans. I really like him and think he has a lot of potential in the league, but after a rough year last season and a brutal first game of this season, this is a spot I have to take advantage of. As I mentioned above, the winds are going to be blowing out to center field with upwards of 23 mph in this game.

Those are some Wrigley Field wind gusts that we have taken advantage of plenty of times. As long as we can avoid the rain, this should be ideal home run hitting conditions.

Last season, all seven of his home runs allowed came against right-handed batters. This year, he is off to an odd start as two lefties and a righty hit a home run off him in his season debut against Atlanta. The Twins have a lot of righties in their lineup and likely will only have one lefty in Matt Wallner going against him. That gives us plenty of options to choose from. There really is no one better than Byron Buxton in this spot, though.

The pitch mix lines up disturbingly well against Ragans. Ragans primarily throws the four-seamer, changeup, and then the occasional cutter that has been crushed quite a bit. All seven of Ragans' homers given up to righties last season came off the four-seamer and the changeup. Buxton is slugging .641 off the four-seamer, .478 off the changeup, and 1.583 off the cutter.

I didn't want to copy Dan from yesterday's article, but this is too good an opportunity to pass up. His odds are pretty low, so if you are looking for something a little more juicy, I don't mind taking a shot on Royce Lewis or Brooks Lee.

Kyle Isbel OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+890 DraftKings)

I might be a little crazy for this one, but Kyle Isbel has been hitting the ball extremely well and is now getting a righty who struggled against lefties last year. Taj Bradley looked good in his season debut, but last year, he was rough against lefties.

They hit him for a .431 SLG, a .195 ISO, with an 11.8% barrel rate and a 37% hard hit rate. The hard hit rate is a little lower than what I like to take, but with the weather the way it is, it won't take much to get some of these fly balls out of Kauffman Stadium.

Isbel just hit a home run in the 7th inning last night off a righty, for his second home run of the season. Looking at Bradley's pitch mix, he primarily throws the four-seamer and the splitter. The splitter is what trips up a lot of guys, like Vinnie Pasquantino, whom I initially was going to write up until I saw his splits against the splitter. Isbel is the best lefty on the team against the splitter, where he slugged .444 last season.

KC - Kyle Isbel Solo HR (2)

📏 360 ft | 💨 98.6 mph | 📐 26°
⚾️ 90.8 mph four-seam fastball (MIN - RHP Zak Kent)
🏟️ Out in 26/30 MLB parks

MIN (4) @ KC (13)
🔻 7th#FountainsUp pic.twitter.com/ZmmP6mCSez

— MLB Home Runs (@MLBHRs_) April 2, 2026

Isbel overall is starting the season with a .571 batting average and is coming off a four-hit night. Isbel has been hitting the ball hard, too, with three of those hits having an exit velo of 92 mph or better. At +890, this really good value. The only downside is that he has been consistently in the nine-hole. He likely sees one less at-bat compared to some of the guys at the top, but I think he can get it done against Bradley in this spot.

Ronald Acuna Jr. OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+368 Novig)

Ronald Acuna Jr. is very much due for a home run this season. He has had two balls go over 390 feet and not end up being home runs. He has five hit balls this season for 95+ mph exit velocity and just hasn't quite got the launch angle for it.

He will get there, and tonight is a good spot for that against Ryne Nelson, who has some very obvious reverse splits as righties hit him very well. Last season, they had a slugging of .442, an ISO of .203, a 13.3% barrel rate, and a 50% hard hit rate.

Although it was a short season for Acuna last year, he hit Nelson's pitch mix extremely well. The cutter and four-seamer were the root of the issue, with 10 of 12 home runs coming against righties. Good thing for Acuna, he crushes both of those to the tune of a .571 SLG on the four-seamer and a .471 SLG on the cutter. Nelson also throws the slider quite a bit, and Acuna hit three homers off that pitch alone last season.

Ronald Acuña Jr: hits a 105.9 mph flyball at a 30° launch angle and 402 feet with an xBA of .870...and it's caught at the wall

Braves baseball has never been more back pic.twitter.com/6ZrTSp2fhk

— Lindsay Crosby, big baseball guy (@CrosbyBaseball) March 29, 2026

It's just a matter of time before Acuna gets his first home run of the season, so why not now?

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Mark Vientos OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+599 Novig )

We are getting the benefit of some nice winds in the Bay Area tonight, with winds sitting around 13-16 mph blowing out towards center field. Robbie Ray, with how good a bounce back he had last season, had a bit of an issue giving up the long ball last year, specifically to right-handed batters. He gave up 18 home runs, resulting in a 1.17 HR/9. In his season debut, he gave up one to Aaron Judge, but we can let him slide on that one.

Righties had an SLG of .402, an ISO of .172, an 11.2% barrel rate, and a 47.2% hard hit rate. I've been a bit disappointed in this Mets team in the early going. They are pretty well stacked, and so far, they just haven't gotten much going, including not doing much against Matthew Liberatore, who is also a lefty.

The majority of Ray's home runs came off the four-seamer and slider. The occasional knuckle curve was mixed in as well, but not a lot of guys throw it, so we don't have a lot of data to go against that. Mark Vientos has hit the four-seamer well, going yard on the pitch four times last season. Vientos has so far made solid contact against lefties, going 2-for-3, and both those exit velocities have been 98+ mph.

If Vientos can get the ball in the air, he has a real chance at getting a home run here off of Ray.

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