Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


Top College Prospects - Dynasty League Scouting (Bowl Season - Week 1 Edition)

Bowl season is finally here. We're still a few weeks away from deciding the national champion, but there are some intriguing NFL prospects in early games.

There's a misguided belief that top dynasty assets exclusively come from traditional powerhouse programs, but there's plenty of talent in these early games. And if you look close enough, you'll find a few late round gems.

Today, we'll take a look at three prospects, including  one top pick and two late round options, whose teams are playing in the opening week of bowl games.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

Scouting The Wide Receivers

KeeSean Johnson, WR Fresno State

Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl - vs. Arizona State (12/15)

If you're struggling to find a matchup to care about in the early games, this would be my recommendation. Fresno State has been an undervalued team by the public, all season, and they're taking on an Arizona State team that has outperformed everyone's expectations. And for Fresno State, they're offense goes through senior WR, KeeSean Johnson.

KeeSean Johnson G Rec Yds Avg TD MS Receiving Yards MS Receiving TDs Dominator
2015 11 37 337 9.1 2 0.16 0.10 0.13
2016 12 66 773 11.7 6 0.30 0.45 0.38
2017 14 77 1013 13.2 8 0.30 0.41 0.36
2018 13 93 1307 14.1 8 0.37 0.31 0.34
Career 50 273 3430 12.6 24 0.30 0.31 0.30

The most noticeable trend for Johnson is three consecutive seasons with, at least, a 30 percent market share of receiving yards and three years over a 0.30 dominator rating. And from a raw numbers perspective, he's amassed over 1,000 receiving yards in each of his final two seasons.  If there's any concern about Johnson's production, it's that his career high 14.1 yards per reception falls short of the ideal 16 yards that would represent a field stretching receiver. But even with that concern, his consistent usage rate shows a level of trust from the coaching staff that will only be matched by a few other WRs in the class.

Johnson lacks the high school pedigree as a former two-star prospect and he's likely going to be a late-round NFL draft pick or potentially an undrafted free agent, but that shouldn't worry you as a dynasty player because he's also going to be a very inexpensive option in drafts. And with production like he has, Johnson should find his way onto an NFL roster. Don't count on Johnson to become an instant impact fantasy asset, but he's a great option to stash on a taxi squad or the last spot on a bench.

N'Keal Harry, WR Arizona State

Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl - vs. Fresno State (12/15) - Sitting Out

N'Keal Harry has declared for the NFL Draft and is choosing to sit out of his bowl game, but that's not going to stop us from taking a look at him as a prospect.

N'Keal Harry G Rec Yds Avg TD MS Receiving Yards MS Receiving TDs Dominator
2016 12 58 659 11.4 5 0.21 0.32 0.27
2017 13 82 1142 13.9 8 0.34 0.38 0.36
2018 12 73 1088 14.9 9 0.38 0.47 0.42
Career 37 213 2889 13.6 22 0.31 0.39 0.35

Harry has never had a season below 20 percent market share of his team's receiving yards and his dominator rating has never dipped below 0.25. His true breakout season came in 2017 when he compiled a dominator over 0.30 during his age 19 season.  He's not a likely field stretcher with a career average of 13.6 yards per reception. But as a relatively young WR prospect with three seasons of proven production, the former four-star prospect is trending towards being an early draft pick.

Currently, Harry is projected as one of the top two or three WR prospects by most outlets which explains his decision to sit out a low tier bowl game.  The biggest deciding factor in his rookie draft position will likely be his team situation as he's a projected first round pick. If he lands in a situation with a good QB and available targets, Harry could easily end up as the consensus 1.01 in drafts. With a slightly less than ideal team situation, he could fall as far a six. Regardless, the talent is clear so he's going to cost drafters a high price, but it will likely be worth it.

Scouting A Runningback

A.J. Ouellette, RB Ohio

Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl - vs. San Diego State (12/19)

As we get beyond the first weekend of games, the Boca Raton Bowl features two RB prospects who could hear their names called in this year's draft. The more well known is Juwan Washington due to San Diego State producing a first round RB, last year. But Ohio has an under-the-radar RB who has produced well at the college level.

A.J. Ouellette G Att Rush Yds Avg TD Rec Rec. Yds Avg TD
2014 10 160 785 4.9 7 21 133 6.3 3
2015 13 151 687 4.5 6 12 74 6.2 0
2016 1 3 45 15 0 0 0 0 0
2017 13 192 1006 5.2 7 10 97 9.7 1
2018 12 184 1142 6.2 12 19 179 9.4 2
Career 49 690 3665 5.3 32 62 483 7.8 6

An injury cut short Oullette's 2016 campaign short, but since the injury he's put together two productive seasons. Back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons help solidify Oullette draft profile and by raising his efficiency in his final season, he alleviated some of the concerns that could have been raised. One other positive note is his usage in the passing game. His two seasons with more than one reception per game demonstrate that he's, at least, capable out of the backfield.

Oullette proved over the course of his college career that he's a versatile back, but he likely lacks some of the explosion that would intrigue scouts in the first two days of the draft. But as a late-round selection, he may represent a somewhat boring, but effective leader in a RB committee.  If he earns an invite to the combine, that would be decent sign for him as a prospect. Whether he's drafted or not, Oullette should be on dynasty owner's radars as a last round pick if he ends up with a team in camp.

More NCAA Football Analysis

More Recent Articles


Engel's Angles: ADP Insights, Perspectives on Aaron Judge and Ketel Marte (Premium Content)

Spring training exhibition play has just opened and expert draft season is here. The trends are being firmly established on how to draft, and where to draft certain players. We all know pure ace top starters are going to be taken very early, and there will be a high emphasis on garnering top speed merchants.... Read More

RotoBaller Friends & Family Industry Mock Draft: What the Experts Were Thinking

The RotoBaller Friends & Family Mock Draft has become an annual tradition where we gather some of the biggest names from the fantasy baseball world and put together a mock draft just as spring training has commenced. Thanks to RT Sports for once again hosting and providing a custom draft site where readers could follow... Read More

H2H Points League Draft Strategy

Points leagues are essentially the rawest version of fantasy baseball. These are not players, these are stat-lines and you want to put up as many points per week as possible. Do not get too attached to underperforming players who have name-value and potential. There is a stark difference in draft strategy when it comes to... Read More

2020 Catcher Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues

Spring Training is upon us! Pitchers and catchers have reported and we finally have some box scores to desperately over-analyze. The catcher position can really be a headache for dynasty owners trying to plan for the future. Needless to say, it is not a position that many MLB teams count on for offense, leaving fantasy players... Read More

Questionable Closers: An Early Look at Some Unsettled Bullpens

As anyone who has played fantasy baseball for even five minutes knows, bullpens around the league are always in flux. There are fewer and fewer closers who are no doubt, always in for the ninth inning, always healthy, never slumping, and always celebrating wins for their team. We're seeing more and more teams go with... Read More

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – Aaron Civale

With Mike Clevinger sidelined to start the year and Corey Kluber off to Texas, the Indians will rely on the emergence of Aaron Civale to bolster their typically-formidable rotation. Civale impressed in his rookie season with 10 starts, 57.2 innings pitched (IP), a 3-4 win-loss record, 2.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 46 Ks. Due to the... Read More

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Didi Gregorius

The Philadelphia Phillies finished 2019 with a record of 81-81, which was only good enough for a fourth-place finish in the NL East. They have since added the likes of Zack Wheeler and Didi Gregorius to improve their chances of a division title in 2020. They have also brought in highly-touted manager Joe Girardi to... Read More

2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Shortstop

If you're keeping up with the Keeper Value Rankings, you know we've already covered First Base, Second Base, and Third Base. Today, we will address Shortstop. These rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based... Read More

ADP Showdown: Anthony Rendon vs. Rafael Devers

The first two rounds in your fantasy draft can be challenging because each available player is tremendously skilled with significant upside. Every pick looks desirable, so it’s important to try to determine which player has a greater likelihood of producing superior fantasy production. This can be accomplished by examining overall production and team context.  This... Read More

2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More

MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. Stay on top of all closer depth... Read More

Industry Expert Mock: ADP Surprises

Pierre Camus and Nicklaus Gaut break down the recent RotoBaller Friends & Family industry mock draft to see how the experts fared and look at some of the most surprising picks, for better or worse. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and... Read More

Fantasy Insider Angles - Thor, Jeff McNeil, J.D. Davis and More (Premium Content)

Success in baseball isn’t always just about pure numbers. For those who play the game and are inside the clubhouse, it’s also about creating the right chemistry and environment. As the New York Mets opened spring training this season, there was a fresh air of optimism around the team. It also seemed to extend to... Read More

Points League Ranker Tool - NFBC

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Brought to you by RotoBaller's Nicklaus Gaut (@Nt_BurtReynolds), this Points Rankings tool uses RotoBaller's 2020 MLB projections to build out custom rankings for NFBC Points Leagues. The tool uses the default NFBC scoring settings. All fantasy baseball platforms have different scoring settings for their points leagues.... Read More

Points League Ranker Tool - CBS

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Brought to you by RotoBaller's Nicklaus Gaut (@Nt_BurtReynolds), this Points Rankings tool uses RotoBaller's 2020 MLB projections to build out custom rankings for CBS Points Leagues. The tool uses the default CBS scoring settings. All fantasy baseball platforms have different scoring settings for their points leagues.... Read More