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Jan 18, 2025, 4:46 PM ET

Despite a fourth consecutive 20 home run and 20 stolen base season, Randy Arozarena caused no end of frustration for fantasy managers last year. That was largely down to his .219 batting average. With a .219 xBA (expected batting average), it wasn't just due to bad luck. Arozarena's quality of contact did drop compared to 2023. Most notably his 8.3% Barrel% (54th percentile) which was down from 12.3% (82nd percentile). The trade to the Mariners did see Arozarena improve his batting average but also saw his power diminish. After hitting .211/.318/.394 with the Rays (100 games), Arozarena hit .231/.356/.377 in Seattle (54 games). While not the biggest sample, there's enough encouragement to believe the outfielder can put up a batting average nearer his .254 career mark over a full season in Seattle. Arozarena will be 30 years old by Opening Day so it's too soon to believe his numbers will drop off a cliff. Providing we don't see a marked decline in his sprint speed (28.1 ft/s) or quality of contact (43.5% HardHit%), there's every reason to believe Arozarena can register a fifth consecutive 20/20 season while hitting in the heart of the Mariners' lineup.--Jamie Steed
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