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NASCAR Cup Series Championship: DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy NASCAR Lineup Picks

It's down to one. The NASCAR Cup Series championship race is upon us, before the sport has 12 off weeks before returning at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum come early February for an exhibition race.

For whatever reason, when the championship races comes around, typically the four quickest cars are those that are battling for the championship. Expect the same on Sunday afternoon, as the four drivers competing for the title are the drivers that led the most laps in 2021.

Because it's championship weekend, this here column will focus on those four drivers, giving some background on why they should be in your lineup. And even if you start two of those drivers in your lineup, you can make the real money on the back half of your lineup. Choose wisely!

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DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings, FanDuel

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles, rankings and and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups. Just a reminder, qualifying isn't until Sunday morning at 9:00 a.m. ET, just four hours before the scheduled green flag. 

Kyle Larson

(DraftKings $11,500 | FanDuel $14,500 | DK SportsBook +190)

At this point I feel like a broken record, but Kyle Larson should probably be atop your lineup come Sunday afternoon. Once again, the No. 5 car will start from the pole, laying down the quickest lap in qualifying on Saturday. It's the 12th time he will start from the pole this year, sweeping the final four races.

Because the No. 5 Chevrolet will have clean air early, he'll likely control the first part of the race. Who knows, maybe it's another stomping, like we've seen so much this season. He's also pretty sporty at Phoenix, entering the race with five consecutive top-10 finishes.

Look, this feels like the year of Larson. He's won nearly every big race he's competed in 2021, whether it's been in NASCAR, World of Outlaws, late models or midget cars. He's my pick to win the title.

Denny Hamlin

(DraftKings $11,000 | FanDuel $13,500 | DK SportsBook +400)

For the fourth time since NASCAR went to the Championship 4, winner-take-all format (2014), Denny Hamlin has made it to the final race of the year still championship eligible. This year, he's hoping the outcome is different from the past three.

When Hamlin made it to the Championship 4 last year, he didn't think he a shot at the title. For the year, his No. 11 Toyota ranked 12th in overall speed on 750 horsepower tracks. This year, he's the fastest on such tracks, and was out front late last week at Martinsville Speedway before a mistake from Alex Bowman turned him.

Hamlin will start sixth in the race, third of the Championship 4 drivers. In 32 Cup starts at Phoenix, Hamlin has 15 top-five finishes and led 854 laps. It would only be fitting for the championship to come down to Larson and Hamlin after the years they've had.

Chase Elliott

(DraftKings $10,800 | FanDuel $14,000 | DK SportsBook +300)

According to DK Sportsbook, Chase Elliott is the second favorite for the championship at +300. That shouldn't be a surprise as the No. 9 car won the championship last year, in its first season being determined at Phoenix.

This year has been an interesting one for Elliott. He's won just two races, and both of them have come on road courses (COTA and Road America). His last oval win was this race last year, in which he started from the rear and still led 153 of 312 laps.

There's no doubt Elliott had the fastest car in this race last year. He starts second on Sunday and could lead laps early. Of course, though, if he were to finish below second, it will affect your lineup negatively. He has three podium finishes in 11 Phoenix starts.

Martin Truex Jr.

(DraftKings $10,400 | FanDuel $13,000 | DK SportsBook +500)

Martin Truex Jr., he too isn't too shabby at Phoenix. After all, he won the spring race at the track, leading 64 laps.

The reason to have Truex in your lineup is clear: He's been really good on 750 hp tracks this season. All four of his victories have come on 750 tracks, including three flat tracks in Phoenix, Martinsville and Richmond. Certainly, the No. 19 car will be a factor, as he's finished in the top two in points the last three times he's made the Championship 4.

Another thing to consider, Truex has the potential must upside of the four championship eligible drivers. The No. 19 Toyota starts 12th, lowest of the four drivers. In 31 starts at Phoenix, he's got 13 top-10 finishes. It's going to likely take another win -- like March -- to win his second championship.

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Tyler Reddick

(DraftKings $8,500 | FanDuel $8,000| DK SportsBook +6000)

Now that the four drivers running for the championship are taken care of, let's focus on drivers who will be good selections for the back half of your lineup. To me, Tyler Reddick is the obvious first choice.

Sure, Reddick has just three starts at Phoenix in the Cup Series, and the results, not good. Since taking over the No. 8 ride, the two-time Xfinity Series champion has a best finish of 19th in the desert, with an average result of 27th. The good bit of news is, in March of 2020, he drove from 29th to second before blowing a tire.

Of late, Reddick has been hot as the season has wound down. At both the Charlotte ROVAL and Texas, the No. 8 Chevrolet was in contention for the win late. Because he starts 20th on Sunday, there's optimism to use Reddick.

Bubba Wallace

(DraftKings $7,700 | FanDuel $7,000 | DK SportsBook +10000)

The 2021 season has been a growing year for Bubba Wallace and 23XI Racing. Prior to Daytona, expectations were sky high and a bit unrealistic. Still, Wallace did get to victory lane in his first year with the team.

On paper, the No. 23 Toyota has shown more consistency over the second half of the season, particularly on 750 tracks. That's been Joe Gibbs Racing's bright spot, something it put an added emphasis on going into the year.

In qualifying, Wallace laid down the 25th quickest lap, meaning there's a lot of room to move forward. In March, the No. 23 car finished 16th, which would give you a net positive this weekend. Entering the race, he's got three consecutive top 20s at the track, and rounded out the top 10 in this race three years ago.

Ryan Newman

(DraftKings $6,900 | FanDuel $5,000 | DK SportsBook +30000)

Ryan Newman has put together a workman like career, winning big races and a lot of poles. That full-time career could come to an end this weekend, as Brad Keselowski will replace him at Roush Fenway Racing next season.

The last two years haven't gone as planned for Newman, picking up just seven top-10 finishes in his last 68 starts. He had double that during the 2019 season alone, his first year with Roush. And during a 25-minute media session on Saturday, he was open about the last two years and the direction NASCAR is heading.

Should this be Newman's last race, he should be appreciated. His numbers haven't always been flashy, aside from his dominant sophomore season in 2003, winning eight times. He's also always been a good hand at Phoenix, winning at the track twice in the last 11 years. The No. 6 car starts 19th on Sunday, one of his better starting positions of the season. This is a sentimental pick.

Ryan Preece

(DraftKings $5,800 | FanDuel $4,500 | DK SportsBook +35000)

Of drivers that are set at a low price this weekend, Ryan Preece sticks out. The No. 37 Chevrolet will start 31st, meaning there's almost only one way to go: Forward.

Preece enters the weekend not knowing what his 2022 season holds. There's potential landing spots in the lower two NASCAR national touring divisions that are appealing. But his immediate focus is improving on his Phoenix statistics.

Since moving to the Cup Series full time in 2019, Phoenix hasn't been one of his better racetracks. However, he does have a best finish of 18th. It gets tricky when you get to the bottom of your lineup, but of the drivers that a low price, the No. 37 car has the most potential.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

LaMelo Ball

Not Expected to Play on Sunday
Trevor Lawrence

Dealing with Illness, Still Expected to Start Against Raiders
Aaron Rodgers

Dealing with Hand Injury During Warmups, Likely Fine for Week 9
Terry McLaurin

Could be Out Until After the Week 12 Bye
Ed Oliver

Could Return for the Playoffs
Brock Purdy

Ruled Out Again in Week 9
Trey Hendrickson

Logan Wilson Inactive for Week 9
Dalton Schultz

Officially Active for Week 9 Against Broncos
Isiah Pacheco

Expected to Return After the Chiefs' Bye Week
Austin Cindric

is A Driver to Avoid for Phoenix DFS Lineups
Joe Flacco

Will Play in Week 9 Against Bears
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Named World Series MVP
Alex Bowman

Could Alex Bowman be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Phoenix?
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Committed to Mike McDaniel for the Foreseeable Future
Noah Gragson

Should DFS Players Roster Noah Gragson At Phoenix?
Erik Jones

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering for DFS at Phoenix?
Breece Hall

Unlikely to be Traded
Connor McDavid

Records Three Assists in Saturday's Win
Michael McDowell

an Easy Recommendation for DFS at Phoenix
Vladimir Tarasenko

Ends Dry Spell With Three-Point Effort
Nick Suzuki

Collects Two More Apples
Timothy Liljegren

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Nick Cousins

Injured on Saturday
Sam LaPorta

Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam LaPorta Approaching Contract Extension Territory
Christopher Tanev

Leaves on Stretcher Saturday
Jauan Jennings

Several Teams Interested in Trading for Jauan Jennings
Calvin Ridley

Emerging as a Potential Trade Target
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Don't Intend to Trade Trey Hendrickson
Kevon Looney

Questionable Versus OKC
Chase Briscoe

Probably Won't Win the Title
Joey Logano

Could Play Spoiler in Championship Battle at Phoenix
Tyler Reddick

Seeking to End Winless Drought, but Probably Won't Have the Speed
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Looks to Protect Top-10 Points Finish at Phoenix
Brad Keselowski

Hasn't Been Fast at Phoenix With RFK Racing
Daniel Suarez

With Nothing at Stake, Expect Little From Daniel Suarez
Kyle Busch

Qualifies Well, but Will Probably Finish Worse Than he Starts
Chris Buescher

Ryan Preece has a Shot to Overtake Chris Buescher as RFK Racing's Lead Driver
Austin Dillon

Looks to Avoid Finishing Last in NASCAR Playoffs
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Might be a Worthy DFS Option
Cooper Kupp

Not Expected to Play Vs. Washington
Alvin Kamara

Saints Expect Alvin Kamara to Play Vs. Rams
Travis Hunter

Optimism Surrounding Travis Hunter's Knee Injury
Jakob Poeltl

to Remain Sidelined Sunday
Jakobi Meyers

Raiders "Set a High Price" on Jakobi Meyers
Walker Kessler

Out on Sunday
Mitchell Robinson

Listed as Questionable for Sunday
Trey Benson

Moving Closer Toward a Return
Dillon Brooks

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Sunday
Jalen Green

Unavailable Against Spurs
Norman Powell

Questionable to Suit Up Against Lakers
Jaylen Waddle

Miami "Highly Unlikely" to Trade Jaylen Waddle
Jeremy Sochan

Remains Absent Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Still Out Sunday
Daniel Gafford

Makes Season Debut With Minutes Restriction
D'Angelo Russell

Cleared to Play Saturday
Deandre Ayton

Listed as Probable for Sunday
Paul George

Unavailable Sunday
Joel Embiid

to Sit Out Sunday's Action
Sam Merrill

May Skip Another Contest Sunday
Jarrett Allen

Questionable for Sunday
Darius Garland

to Remain Out Sunday
Donovan Mitchell

Could Miss Another Game Sunday
Chet Holmgren

Not Ready to Return Sunday
Trae Young

to Be Re-Evaluated in Four Weeks
Connor Brown

Won't Play on Saturday
Dylan Strome

Ready to Return Saturday
Sean Couturier

Out on Saturday
Ilya Mikheyev

Set to Return Saturday
Warren Foegele

Kings Place Warren Foegele on Injured Reserve
TOR

Chris Tanev Cleared for Action
William Nylander

Remains Out Saturday
Shohei Ohtani

to Start Game 7 of World Series
Alejandro Kirk

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Alejandro Kirk's Hand
Alejandro Kirk

Goes for X-Rays After Being Hit on the Hand
Mackenzie Blackwood

Set for Season Debut Saturday
Ryan Reaves

Remains Under Evaluation
Trevor Moore

Expected to Return Saturday
Zach Benson

Placed on Injured Reserve
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Friday
Jacob Markstrom

Devils Sign Jacob Markstrom to Two-Year Extension
Connor Brown

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Gleyber Torres

Undergoes Sports-Hernia Surgery
Dylan Strome

Remains Out Friday
Bo Bichette

Not Expecting to Need Offseason Knee Surgery
George Springer

Back in Leadoff Spot for Game 6 of World Series
David Onama

Set For UFC Vegas 110 Main Event
Steve Garcia

Returns At UFC Vegas 110
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Set For Co-Main Event
Ante Delija

In Search For His Second UFC Win
Themba Gorimbo

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 110
Jeremiah Wells

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Yadier del Valle

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Arizona State Quarterback Sam Leavitt Out for the Season
Isaac Dulgarian

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Frunza

Looks For His First UFC Win
Charles Radtke

Looks To Bounce Back
Allan Nascimento

Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 110 Main Card
Cody Durden

In Dire Need Of Victory
George Springer

"Strong Possibility" That George Springer Returns in Game 6 of World Series
Bryce Miller

Not Expected to Need Elbow Surgery
Washington Nationals

Nationals Finalizing a Deal to Hire Blake Butera as Next Manager
CFB

Arch Manning Listed as Questionable for Vanderbilt Matchup
CFB

Arion Carter Listed as Questionable Ahead of Oklahoma Matchup
Minnesota Twins

Twins Name Derek Shelton as Their New Manager
CFB

Jordyn Tyson Questionable for Iowa State Matchup with Hamstring Injury
George Springer

Not in the Lineup for Game 4 of World Series
George Springer

Pulled Early in Game 3 With Side Injury
Baltimore Orioles

Orioles Finalizing Deal to Hire Craig Albernaz as the Next Manager
William Byron

Dominates at Martinsville and Advances to the Championship Round
Kyle Larson

Advances to the Championship Round After Top-Five Finish
Ryan Blaney

Falls Short of the Victory and Title Contention at Martinsville
Chase Elliott

Eliminated From 2025 Title Contention Despite Strong Martinsville Run
CFB

Behren Morton Will Start Against Kansas State
CFB

Lane Kiffin Says Money Won't Impact his Decision-Making

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