Conference Championship Betting Picks: Player Props and Anytime Touchdowns (2026)

January 23, 2026

Dave's Conference Championship NFL player props picks and anytime touchdown wagers. Get his best Conference Championship NFL player prop bets with odds, expert analysis, and predictions. Top weekly NFL prop bets and winning picks.

Well, we finally made it. Championship Sunday is here! Four teams remain, and only two will advance to Super Bowl LX. Several interesting story lines should lead to a fun weekend of football.

With only two games on the schedule, the cupboard is looking a bit bare in the player prop market. However, there are still opportunities available to win cash. You just have to look a little closer to find them.

Make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your fantasy football and betting needs.  Here are some of my favorite player props for this weekend's slate of games.

Conference Championship Passing Prop Bets

Jarrett Stidham OVER 19.5 Passing Completions (-105) Bet365 Sportsbook

Risk .52 Units to Win .5 Units

Stidham takes over for Bo Nix as Denver's QB1 after the latter broke his ankle in last week's dramatic win over the Buffalo Bills. While Stidham has only made four career starts, and we will likely see Denver limit his passing output, there are still multiple paths for Stidham to surpass this number.

New England's pass defense has struggled at times during the year, and the team only ranked 25th in FTN Fantasy's defensive passing DVOA. That could allow Stidham to have an efficient outing and still eclipse this total. If Denver falls behind by multiple scores, then Stidham would be forced to throw the ball more, and that would also help us hit this prop. There's also the possibility that Stidham plays much better than most people expect.

It's tough to know exactly what to expect from Denver's offense in this game. However, Sean Payton is one of the better offensive coaches in the league and should have a game plan in place that will highlight Stidham's strengths while covering his weaknesses.

Sam Darnold OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-140) Bet365 Sportsbook

Risk 1.4 Units to Win 1 Unit

Darnold has played the Rams four times over the last two seasons. Here are his numbers in each of those games:

• 2025 Week 11: 29-44, 279 passing yards, zero touchdowns, four interceptions
• 2025 Week 16: 22-23, 270 passing yards, two touchdowns, two interceptions
• 2024 Week 8: 18-25, 240 passing yards, two touchdowns, zero interceptions
• 2024 Wild Card Round: 25-40, 245 passing yards, one touchdown, one interception

Darnold has thrown a total of seven interceptions against the Rams' defense over the last two years. For whatever reason, this is a bad matchup for him, and he often makes poor decisions against Los Angeles.

BIG MAN INT!

Kobie Turner drops in coverage and picks off Sam Darnold.

LARvsSEA on Prime Video
Also streaming on @NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/WblfoidJzQ

— NFL (@NFL) December 19, 2025

That was also an issue during the 2025 season as a whole. Among 29 quarterbacks with 300+ dropbacks, Darnold ranked eighth in Fantasy Points Data Suite's turnover-worthy throw rate. It also doesn't help matters that Darnold is still managing an oblique injury.

Luckily, Seattle is good enough that they can still win this game even if Darnold tosses a few balls the Rams' way. Darnold will likely have a couple of poor throws here, and I think Los Angeles makes him pay at least once. These odds are a big high, but given the track record against the Rams, I think this is a spot where it's worth paying up.

Conference Championship Rushing Prop Bets

Kenneth Walker III UNDER 114.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-111) DraftKings Sportsbook

Risk 1.11 Units to Win 1 Unit

With Zach Charbonnet suffering a season-ending knee injury last week, Walker is in line to function as Seattle's RB1.

145 total yards
3 Touchdowns

Kenneth Walker III got a hat trick and a trip to the NFC Championship 🎩 @seahawks pic.twitter.com/QOvRNaCZpl

— NFL (@NFL) January 18, 2026

While that sounds like good news for his outlook, the reality is that he draws a tough matchup this week.

The Rams' run defense is one of the best in the NFL. Los Angeles ranks fifth in defensive rushing DVOA and second in PFF's rushing defense grade. The Rams have had some issues guarding running backs as pass-catchers this year. However, Walker will likely need a huge week as a pass-catcher to have a realistic shot at surpassing this line. He is likely to struggle on the ground here, and that will hurt his upside.

For the record, I love Walker's game, and I think he is supremely talented and underrated. But this combo line is just way too high in a tough matchup. I have already played this prop for a full unit earlier in the week and would do so down to 110.5. This line is as low as 108.5 in some other books. So if you like this prop, get your bet in now, as it could be on the move very soon.

TreVeyon Henderson OVER 10.5 Yards Longest Rush (-114) NOVIG

Risk .57 Units to Win .5 Units

Denver's rush defense was very good in the regular season. The Broncos allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game and ranked third in defensive rushing DVOA. However, their run defense had major issues against James Cook and the Buffalo Bills last weekend.

Denver now faces a New England Patriots offense that was successful in running the football against the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round. Most of that came in the form of Rhamondre Stevenson, but this could be a spot where Henderson has some big plays. Denver gave up quite a few explosive plays last week, and the Patriots will surely be studying that game film to try to emulate Buffalo's success.

This is a small line for Henderson, who is known for his speed and big-play ability. I think we'll see New England's ground game continue to play well here, and I believe we'll see Henderson rip off at least one 10+ yard run.

Novig Promo Code and Welcome Bonus

Use code BALLER, and you'll receive a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig purchase.

You also get a free month of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL), which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS, and more!

You can claim your welcome offer to Novig right now by clicking on the image below.

Conference Championship Receiving Prop Bets

Evan Engram OVER 19.5 Receiving Yards (-121) NOVIG

Risk .61 Units to Win .5 Units

With Troy Franklin and Pat Bryant banged up, Denver could be really thin at receiver for this game. That could mean we see the team utilize Engram more as a receiver here.

Even if both receivers wind up playing, this could still be a spot where Engram plays well. New England ranked in the middle of the pack against tight ends in terms of DVOA. The Patriots also allowed an average of 57.8 receiving yards per game to tight ends, which was the 11th-most in the league.

Even though Engram was not heavily utilized in Denver's offense in the regular season, this is a very low total considering he could be looking at an expanded role this weekend. I think we could see one of Engram's better games of the season here, and think he'll easily surpass this number.

Cooper Kupp UNDER 30.5 Receiving Yards (-110) DraftKings Sportsbook

Risk .44 Units to Win .4 Units

Kupp signed with Seattle last offseason after the Rams decided to move forward without him. He now gets the ultimate revenge game and will face his former team in the NFC Championship.

Unfortunately for Kupp, the move to Seattle did not prove fruitful. His numbers were down across the board, and he posted a career-worst 37.1 receiving yards per game.

Rams head coach Sean McVay knows Kupp better than anyone and is fully aware of all his strengths and weaknesses. We should see the Rams' defense completely neutralize Kupp.

This is a low total, hence the small unit size. However, I expect a Rams defense that ranked first in PFF's pass coverage grade to limit Kupp's opportunities in this game.

Conference Championship Anytime Touchdown Bets

Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (+125) Bet365 Sportsbook

Risk 1 Unit to Win 1.25 Units

Seattle's run defense is arguably the best in the league. However, Williams ran for a combined 161 rushing yards and one touchdown against them in the regular season. After the Rams' running game struggled last weekend, we could see a bounce-back performance here.

These are good odds to take a shot on Williams finding the end zone, and I think he could post a surprising performance against one of the league's best run defenses.

Evan Engram Anytime Touchdown (+525) BetMGM Sportsbook

Risk .2 Units to Win 1.05 Units

We could see Broncos' head coach Payton utilize his tight ends more in this game, especially with the team possibly being short-handed at wide receiver. With the Patriots boasting a very good run defense, that could make running the ball in the red zone or at the goal line difficult.

Engram could emerge as a threat in these areas of the field, and it would make him a threat to score. I like taking a chance on him to do just that in this game.

Long Shot Props & Value Plays

TreVeyon Henderson Most Rushing Yards in Conference Championship Games (+1100) DraftKings Sportsbook

Risk .1 Units to Win 1.1 Units

Conference Championship Props Summary

Here's a quick, handy recap of all the props I recommended in this article in one place!

• Jarrett Stidham OVER 19.5 Passing Completions (-105) Bet365 Sportsbook
• Sam Darnold OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-140) Bet365 Sportsbook
• Kenneth Walker III UNDER 114.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-111) DraftKings Sportsbook
• TreVeyon Henderson OVER 10.5 Yards Longest Rush (-114) NOVIG
• Evan Engram OVER 19.5 Receiving Yards (-121) NOVIG
• Cooper Kupp UNDER 30.5 Receiving Yards (-110) DraftKings Sportsbook
• Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown (+125) Bet365 Sportsbook
• Evan Engram Anytime Touchdown (+525) BetMGM Sportsbook

Thanks for reading, and make sure you check back again before Sunday for updated info and more betting content from RotoBaller!

More DFS Analysis and Lineup Picks