UFL Best Bets: Week 10 Picks

May 29, 2025

RotoBrady provides picks on every spread and O/U for Week 10 of the 2025 UFL Season.

I went 5-3 last week after a 1-3 start, saved by the Stallions and Roughnecks. My foolish attempt at hedging with the Parlay of the Week backfired, and I am kicking myself for that, but I am honestly rather happy for the circumstances of Week 9. I hate hedging, and though I did it several days apart, you will not see that from me again. How to even characterize Week 10? I have to mention again that it is a crying shame that these games have zero relevance for the playoffs AND postseason homefield advantage.

We should see playing time from plenty of non-starters from the playoff-bound teams in this final week--and I don't care what Arlington says, I refuse to believe that Holton Ahlers will not see some meaningful time on the field. Houston, San Antonio, and Memphis have no cards to hide and no reason to hold back--if anything, MAYBE Memphis will try to develop some of that youthful talent they have steadily been collecting.

This week, I hope you got the early line on Houston. Other than that, I once again do not blame anyone at all for taking this week off from betting. The real show starts next week, and I will be in St. Louis on June 14th to watch whatever two teams are left duking it out for the 2025 UFL Championship. Thank you for taking this ride with me. Hopefully, we all and the league itself can highlight some bright spots and points of improvement for 2026. With that, let's talk about Week 10.

Week 10 Power Rankings

1. St. Louis Battlehawks
2. D.C. Defenders
3. Birmingham Stallions
4. Michigan Panthers
5. Houston Roughnecks
6. Arlington Renegades
7. Memphis Showboats
8. San Antonio Brahmas

Week 10 Picks

St. Louis Battlehawks at D.C. Defenders (Friday, May 30th, at 8 PM ET)

Battlehawks (-2.5), -148 ML, O/U 42.5

This game will be fantastic next week, and it would be awesome this week if there was anything at all at stake. Max Duggan is currently slated at QB1--he could use more reps as a passer, but I would be surprised if Brandon Silvers didn't see the field for considerable minutes. Mike DiLiello will start at quarterback for the Defenders after a nice half in Week 9. D.C. will be missing many key pieces on defense, while the remainder of the skill positions on both sides will at least see first-half action.

Altered starting lineups and missing pieces aside, this game boils down to one key factor: motivation. Besides getting Duggan a little more comfortable, why should St. Louis bother? D.C., on the other hand, might be playing angry after a loss to Houston, knowing that they were playing in St. Louis no matter what, and I think they want to give the Audi Field fans a great send-off for the season. I see a close game ranging from 21-20 to 28-27 on either side--take the points with D.C. and play the over.

Houston Roughnecks at Michigan Panthers (Saturday, May 31st, at 3 PM ET)

Panthers (-2.5), -175 ML, O/U 41.5

Where to begin...Michigan will have Matt Colburn II back in action, but they are missing Toa Taua, Devin Ross, Adonis Alexander, and Cole Hikutini, to name a few. Houston will be missing ZaQuandre White in the backfield, but that should be just fine with Kirk Merritt and Lorenzo Lingard in play. EDGE Lonnie Phelps will debut for the Roughnecks, and Marcus Simms will be available to face his old squad.

Look--I LOVED Rocky Lombardi from his college days at Northern Illinois, and I am excited to see him get the chance to show what he can do. However, Houston has way more to play for in spirit; they are missing fewer key pieces, and how can you not trust Jalan McClendon to deliver in his final showcase for NFL scouts? I see a final score range here of 20-18 to 24-22 for Houston. Take the points, take them on the money line, very, VERY slightly lean over.

Arlington Renegades at San Antonio Brahmas (Sunday, June 1st, at 12 PM ET)

Renegades (-6.5), -290 ML, O/U 41.5

It seems silly to be starting Luis Perez when you have plenty to gain from getting reps for Holton Ahlers, but I understand the sentiment. Giving "The Spring King" a chance for another solid performance and a victory to cap the season. I've said it many times, and I will repeat: Arlington was just a handful of moments away from possibly being a playoff team. If they give time to their first-stringers, it's hard to see how they aren't at a significant advantage, with probably also having greater motivation and intensity to end up .500.

There hasn't been much good to say about San Antonio--they fumbled having a good amount of talent and several returners from a stout defense. Sitting at 1-8, this is a sneaky spot for Spring Football, but I have no confidence in the Brahmas, no matter who they are starting at QB. Maybe Perez throws for 250+ yards in this one and the Renegades win on a score from 25-14 to 30-16, so lay the points and play the over.

Birmingham Stallions at Memphis Showboats (Sunday, June 1st, at 3 PM ET)

Stallions (-6.5), -325 ML, O/U 38.5

Here we definitely have a contrast in motivation for Week 10, but if Birmingham's crowds have been disappointing this year, then the Boats' have been abysmal, and whoever is starting pretty much anywhere on the depth chart, I still trust the Stallions more with who takes the field. Even with nothing to play for, I have more confidence in Birmingham on a bad day than Memphis on a great day. I struggle to see how they consistently move and stop the ball.

Memphis has been moving pieces around in the lineups like crazy, while I just think Birmingham will roll with some backups at a certain point and stick with it. At the least, maybe someone like E.J. Perry or Troy Williams can slow the game down and keep it closer. Birmingham would have to deliberately try not to score to not win. Give me a final score range of 21-10 to 24-14. Lay the points with the defending-defending-defending champs and finally take an under.

Parlay of the Week

Roughnecks (+9.5), Renegades ML, Stallions ML: +275

The Roughnecks have looked very solid for weeks now and are playing the Michigan Panthers who are starting Rocky Lombardi and have no reason to risk anything in Week 10, and the Renegades and Stallions are playing teams that they should beat even in an off week. Arlington is even starting Luis Perez at QB, possibly in an attempt to get him one last win for 2025 (ill-advised as that might be). Getting Houston +9.5 early in the week was pure insanity.

More XFL Coverage