X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Fight Night 105: MMA Main Card Predictions and DFS Picks

Justin and Jason Bales give their DraftKings MMA DFS lineup picks for the Fight Night 105 Main Card. Get a head start on your UFC DFS lineups for DraftKings.

What's up RotoBallers. In this column, Jason and I will be taking a look at the main card for Fight Night 105. Our analysis will help you with your DraftKings MMA lineups. We will be keeping track based on picking winners and losers. We will also predict how the fight will be finished, but that will not reflect in the records (Justin's Record: 87-40, Jason's Record: 68-59).

MMA has one of the best sweats in DFS. Two fighters compete at a time with only one coming out as the winner. It's the best feeling in the world when you are watching the main event of a show and know you need a first round knockout to win the entire tournament. And nothing feels worse than when you need a first round knockout by Stipe Miocic to win thousands of dollars in a tournament, but when he lands that knockout punch, you realize that you placed 14th because Jacare Souza was too dominant in a previous fight. This was a serious scenario that I had to live through when Miocic won the Heavyweight Championship. Without anymore waiting, here are our DFS lineup picks and DraftKings analysis for the main card at Fight Night 105.

Editor's Note: Interested in RotoBaller's MMA DFS Cheat Sheet with advanced fighter statistics, deep analysis and detailed insights from MMA DFS Experts Jason and Justin Bales? Let us know here.

 

Paul Felder vs Alessandro Ricci

Justin’s Pick

This is going to be a fun fight to kick off the main card, but it will likely be very one-sided. Alessandro Ricci displayed power early in his career, knocking out his first five opponents, but he has gone to decision in each of his last nine fights. Paul Felder has displayed great striking in the UFC, although he has been on a bit of a skid over his last five fights. This fight will likely stay standing, and Felder should be able to use his slick striking to finish with another highlight reel knockout.

Paul Felder via TKO, 3rd Round

 

Jason’s Pick

While Alessandro Ricci does provide an interesting matchup for Paul “The Irish Dragon” Felder, this should be, as Justin mentioned, a one-side affair. Felder is going to use his striking to outpoint Ricci throughout the fight, and he will also be looking for a finish. Ricci has a chance to clip Felder, but it is not likely to happen. Felder should start to work his way back into the winning spirit.

Paul Felder via Unanimous Decision

 

Sara McMann vs Gina Mazany

Justin’s Pick

This is an interesting fight, as Gina Mazany is a finishing specialist, but she isn’t on the level of Sara McMann. McMann has lost three fights in her career, and they were to Ronda Rousey, Miesha Tate, and Amanda Nunes. McMann should have no problems getting this fight to the ground, where she will look to finish Mazany. Outside of a shocking finish for Mazany, which is extremely unlikely, this should be a fairly easy win for McMann.

Sara McMann via Submission, 2nd Round

 

Jason’s Pick

This fight should be fun to watch, but Sara McMann is going to dominate Gina “Danger” Mazany for as many rounds as it takes for her to win. She is the superior fighter, and while Mazany may have potential, she is not developed enough to keep pace with McMann. Expect this fight to finish early, and if it does not, it will be a very lopsided judge’s decision.

Sara McMann via Submission, 1st Round

 

Elias Theodorou vs Cezar Ferreira

Justin’s Pick

Finally we get a close matchup between two solid fighters. Both of these men have a specific path to victory, and whoever can execute their game plan will walk away with the win. Theodorou can make this a grinding fight, were he lands power punches, and can knockout Ferreira, who has been prone to knockouts throughout his career. Ferreira, on the other hand, will need to take this fight to the ground, where he can control Theodorou and look for a submission or ground and pound. Theodorou has struggled to defend takedowns through his UFC career, and that will be his downfall this week. Ferreira should be able to control the fight on his way to a decision victory or a late finish.

Cezar Ferreira via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick

This should be a very exciting and close fight. Both Elias “The Spartan” Theodorou and Cezar “Mutante” Ferreira have the tools to win this fight. Personally, I have faith in Theodorou’s camp. He should have been working on takedowns since this fight was signed. If he did, he should be able to keep this fight standing, in which he gets the edge. Ferreira could still get him to the ground, but Theodorou is athletic enough to stand back up, as long as his takedown defense is working. Again, this fight could go either way, but Theodorou has the slight edge.

Elias Theodorou via Unanimous Decision

 

Sam Sicilia vs Gavin Tucker

Justin’s Pick

This is another fight that should feature fireworks from the start to the finish. Both fighters always look for the finish, as they have a combined 83.3% finish rate. They also both have multiple ways to finish the fight. Sicilia has looked to have lost a step or two recently, though, while Tucker is an up and coming fighter. He’s going to be looking to make a statement in this fight, and Tucker should walk away with another finish.

Gavin Tucker via TKO, 2nd Round

 

Jason’s Pick

While the fights on this week’s main card are not well-known fighters, these should be very exciting fights. If you are unsure whether or not to watch this week’s fights, I’d recommend you turn it on, at least for this fight. Gavin “The Newfoundland Terror” is a rising star in the MMA world, and Sam Sicilia is on the decline. The Canadian should be able to finish this fight early. Sicilia may look for a takedown if he starts to lose on the feet, but Tucker should be able to shake him off. Keep an eye out in the future for this kid.

Gavin Tucker via TKO, 3rd Round

 

Johny Hendricks vs Hector Lombard

Justin’s Pick

Both of these fighters have been struggling recently, but that has been against high-level competition. Johny Hendricks will be moving up a weight class for this fight, but the UFC may have given him a punishment fight here. Lombard comes with serious power, and Hendricks has been a hittable target in his last few fights. He could certainly rattle off a few wins in his new weight class, similarly to the way Donald Cerrone did, but it’s much more likely that Lombard walks out with his first victory since 2014.

Hector Lombard via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

It is no secret that Johny “Bigg Rigg” Hendricks is on the decline, and he did have to move up a weight class after missing weight in his last fight, which was against Neil Magny, but he will not lose again. Hendricks is an intelligent fighter that will not allow Hector “Showeather” Lombard to find his chin. With the added weight, it is possible that Hendricks wrestling gets even better. This may not be a very sophisticated reason for selecting Hendricks, but he is not in the position to lose another fight in a row, and he is going to have put a massive amount of work in.

Johny Hendricks via Unanimous Decision

 

Derrick Lewis vs Travis Browne

Justin’s Pick

This is a great matchup that could end in only a few punches. Derrick Lewis is on a five fight win streak, although his win against Roy Nelson was very questionable. Travis Browne, on the other have, has lost three of his last four fights. He’ll likely be looking to take this fight to the ground, but it’s nearly impossible to keep Derrick Lewis down for five rounds; just ask Shamil Abdurakhimov. Lewis only needs to land one punch to pick up the win, and he’s coming into this fight with a ton of confidence. I expect him to pick up another win this weekend.

Derrick Lewis via TKO, 2nd Round

 

Jason’s Pick

Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis and Travis “Hapa” Browne do not like each other. Lewis went into his last fight with a very questionable game plan, and even he was disappointed with the result. He did, however, still pick up the win. Browne has been on a skid over his last few fights, and this Vegas line is a lot closer than I originally anticipated. Lewis should win this fight rather easily. At this point in his career, he is simply the better fighter. Lewis disappointed the Albany, New York crowd in his last game, and he will be looking to finish this week. If only UFC 208 kept this fight…

Derrick Lewis via KO, 1st Round

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Brady House

Nationals Promoting Brady House to Major Leagues
Rafael Devers

Traded to San Francisco
Jayden Higgins

Impresses During Minicamp
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

on the Move to Memphis
Cole Anthony

Dealt to the Grizzlies
Seattle Seahawks

DeMarcus Lawrence Making an Impression With his New Team
Isaiah Simmons

Being Used Exclusively as a Linebacker
Tyler Mahle

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Travis Etienne Jr.

the Jaguars Lead Back?
Luis Robert Jr.

Scratched with Thumb Soreness
Desmond Bane

Traded to Orlando
Byron Buxton

Scratched from Sunday's Lineup
Daniel Jones

the Favorite in Colts QB Competition?
Brendan Donovan

Returns to the Lineup
Steven Adams

Rockets Agree to Three-Year Contract Extension
Royce Lewis

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Ty Dillon

Is a Respectable Cap Flexiblity-Focused DFS Option For Mexico City
Corey Perry

Produces 10th Postseason Goal
Connor McDavid

Scores First Finals Goal
John Hunter Nemechek

Is John Hunter Nemechek Worth Rostering In Mexico City DFS Lineups?
Shohei Ohtani

Blasts Two Homers in Win
Sam Bennett

Nets Another Road Goal in Game 5 Win
Eetu Luostarinen

Earns Two Points Saturday
Michael King

Not Making Progress
Brad Marchand

Pots Two Goals in Game 5 Victory
Jackson Merrill

Removed Early on Saturday
Sergei Bobrovsky

Ties NHL Record with 10th Road Win
Ross Chastain

Trackhouse Racing's Mexico Focus Makes Ross Chastain a Leading Contender for the Win
Kyle Busch

One of Two Past Mexico City Winners in the Field
Ryan Preece

Earns Surprising Front-Row Start
Austin Cindric

Not as Strong of a Road Racer as People Think
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Stronger on Infield Road Courses Than Purpose-Built Ones
Joey Logano

Seemingly Alternating Between Good and Mediocre Races
Brad Keselowski

One of the Few Drivers with Mexico City Experience
Denny Hamlin

Ryan Truex Makes First Cup Series Start Since 2014
Erik Jones

Mexico City Will Likely be a Struggle for Erik Jones
Noah Gragson

Front Row Motorsports' Speed May Make Noah Gragson a Decent DFS Option
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Road Courses Are Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s Worst Track Type
Riley Herbst

Surprisingly Outqualifies 23XI Racing Teammates at Mexico City
Cody Ware

a Very Experienced Road Racer but Still a Long Shot
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite to Win in Mexico City
Christopher Bell

the Chalk DFS Play in Mexico City
Tyler Reddick

Has a Lot of Work To Do To Be Competitive in Mexico
AJ Allmendinger

Struggling to Find Speed in Mexico City
Chris Buescher

Says Car is "Bad Fast" Heading into Mexico City Race
Michael McDowell

Confident Heading into Viva Mexico 250
Giancarlo Stanton

Likely Returning Early Next Week
Spencer Strider

Registers 13 Strikeouts
Hunter Brown

s Records 12 Strikeouts
Emeka Egbuka

"the Talk" of Bucs Minicamp
Royce Lewis

to be Placed on Injured List
Byron Buxton

Exits Early on Saturday
Evander Kane

Drops to Fourth Line Saturday
Kasperi Kapanen

Won't Play on Saturday
Calvin Pickard

Starts Game 5 for Oilers
Jaxson Dart

Working as No. 2 QB During Offseason Workouts
Xavier Gipson

Roster Spot Could be in Jeopardy
Josh Reynolds

the Front-Runner for WR2 Duties
Garrett Wilson

Stock Up This Offseason
Breece Hall

Motivated Going into 2025 Season
Brandon Aiyuk

Making Good Progress From Knee Injury
Keon Coleman

Inconsistent at Minicamp
Mitchell Trubisky

Not a Lock for Backup Job
Dalton Kincaid

Adds Strength and Bulk
James Cook

a Full Participant in Mandatory Minicamp
Tyrese Haliburton

Struggles in Friday's Loss to OKC
Jacob Misiorowski

Expected to Make Next Start
Chet Holmgren

Dominates the Glass in Game 4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads the Way in Game 4
Jalen Williams

Has a Quality Showing on Friday Night
Charlie Morton

Continues Good Work With 10 Strikeouts
James Wood

Homers, Drives in Four
Agustín Ramírez

Agustin Ramirez Homers Twice to Snap Skid
Isaac Paredes

Astros Hopeful Isaac Paredes Can Avoid the Injured List
Royce Lewis

Dealing With Hamstring Strain
Anthony Richardson

Should be Fine for Training Camp
Russell Westbrook

to Decline Player Option
Kevin Durant

Trade Could Happen in the "Next Few Days"
Cam Akers

Joining Saints
Michael Mayer

to Get More Involved
Aaron Rodgers

DK Metcalf Building Chemistry with Aaron Rodgers
Colston Loveland

Likely to be Primary Tight End
Joaquin Buckley

Set For Main Event
Kamaru Usman

An Underdog At UFC Atlanta
Miranda Maverick

Set For Co-Main Event
Rose Namajunas

Looks To Bounce Back
Andre Petroski

Looks To Extend His Win Streak To Four
Edmen Shahbazyan

A Favorite At UFC Atlanta
Raoni Barcelos

Set To Take On Former Champion
Cody Garbrandt

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Cody Brundage

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Alonzo Menifield

Opens Up UFC Atlanta Main Card
Oumar Sy

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Connor Hellebuyck

Wins Vezina And Hart Trophies
Aleksander Barkov

Records Two Power-Play Assists Thursday
Sam Reinhart

Collects Three Points in Thursday's Loss
Matthew Tkachuk

Notches Three Points in Losing Effort
Calvin Pickard

Joins Exclusive List with Thursday's Win
Mattias Ekholm

Logs Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Leon Draisaitl

Delivers Victory in Overtime Thursday
Myles Turner

Playing Through Illness
Reed Sheppard

Will Play in the NBA Summer League
Kevin Durant

Deal Could Come Sooner Rather Than Later
Dorian Finney-Smith

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Anze Kopitar

Wins Third Lady Byng Trophy
Sergei Bobrovsky

Heading Out for Win No. 15
John Klingberg

Won't Play in Game 4 Against Panthers
Viktor Arvidsson

Sits Out Game 4 Against Panthers
Stuart Skinner

Remains in Oilers Crease Thursday
Jalen Williams

Leads Thunder in Scoring Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Settles for 24 Points in Game 3 Loss
Pascal Siakam

Does Everything for Pacers Wednesday Night
Tyrese Haliburton

Gets Close to Triple-Double in Game 3 Win
Bennedict Mathurin

Leads All Scorers with 27 Points Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski

Has Second Offseason Surgery
Jaylen Brown

Undergoes Successful Knee Procedure
Matt McCarty

Comes Off Season-Best Showing at RBC Canadian Open
Justin Thomas

Desperate to Continue Good 2025 Season
Jon Rahm

Seeks Revenge at U.S. Open
Tom Kim

Aiming for Improvement in U.S. Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Expects Solid Performance at Oakmont
Brian Harman

Aims to Rebound From the Memorial
Tony Finau

has Been Up and Down at U.S. Open
Patrick Cantlay

Hoping This is the Year at Oakmont
Akshay Bhatia

Improving in Time for U.S. Open
Xander Schauffele

Primed for Another Major Championship Run
Cameron Young

May Struggle at U.S. Open
Collin Morikawa

Eyeing Third Major Championship Title
Matt Fitzpatrick

Seeks to Avenge Oakmont Collapse
Jordan Spieth

Can Contend at Oakmont
Shane Lowry

a Strong Value Play at U.S. Open
Brooks Koepka

Seeks Another Major Win at Oakmont
Viktor Hovland

Still Can Improve at U.S. Open
Michael Kim

a Boom-or-Bust Value Play at U.S. Open
Russell Henley

Looking to Play the Weekend at Oakmont
Tyrrell Hatton

a Safe Option at U.S. Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Eyeing Third U.S. Open Title
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF