X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Fight Night 104: MMA Main Card Predictions and DFS Picks

What's up RotoBallers. In this column, Jason and I will be taking a look at the main card for Fight Night 104. Our analysis will help you with your DraftKings MMA lineups. We will be keeping track based on picking winners and losers. We will also predict how the fight will be finished, but that will not reflect in the records (Justin's Record: 81-35, Jason's Record: 64-52).

MMA has one of the best sweats in DFS. Two fighters compete at a time with only one coming out as the winner. It's the best feeling in the world when you are watching the main event of a show and know you need a first round knockout to win the entire tournament. And nothing feels worse than when you need a first round knockout by Stipe Miocic to win thousands of dollars in a tournament, but when he lands that knockout punch, you realize that you placed 14th because Jacare Souza was too dominant in a previous fight. This was a serious scenario that I had to live through when Miocic won the Heavyweight Championship. Without anymore waiting, here are our DFS lineup picks and DraftKings analysis for the main card at Fight Night 104.

Editor's Note: Interested in RotoBaller's MMA DFS Cheat Sheet with advanced fighter statistics, deep analysis and detailed insights from MMA DFS Experts Jason and Justin Bales? Let us know here.

 

Jessica Andrade vs Angela Hill

Justin’s Pick

I have nothing against Angela Hill, but Jessica Andrade is on a different level. There is a reason Andrade is a -400 favorite. She strikes at an elite pace with great accuracy, but she can also land takedowns. Once there, she lands heavy ground and pound or opts to sneak in a submission. Andrade can win this fight any way she wants and in any round she wants. I expect her to clip Hill early before picking up another impressive TKO victory.

Jessica Andrade via TKO, 1st Round

 

Jason’s Pick

This is a rather sure bet for the gambling man – Jessica “Bate Estaca” Andrade is going to defeat Angela “Overkill” Hill, and likely, she is going to do that easily. The Vegas line started to shift a bit toward Hill, but that is natural given the large opening line. Hill is a great striker, and Andrade will have to be careful on her feet, but if she gets into trouble, she will just take Hill down. There is a very limited path to victory for unranked opponent. Andrade is ranked number five for good reason.

Jessica Andrade via TKO, 1st Round

 

Anthony Hamilton vs Marcel Fortuna

Justin’s Pick

This is a bit of an odd matchup. Anthony Hamilton will come in with a huge size advantage, as he’s four inches taller than Marcel Fortuna, who also generally fights at light heavyweight. Hamilton, on the other hand, is a huge heavyweight. Fortuna also hasn’t fought since June of 2015. Hamilton should have a distinct power advantage over the UFC newcomer, but Fortuna has the BJJ pedigree to keep this fight interesting. With that being said, Hamilton has the wrestling to keep Fortuna on his back if he decides to go that route, which could lead to fight ending ground and pound.

Anthony Hamilton via TKO, 2nd Round

 

Jason’s Pick

In his last fight, Anthony “Freight Train” Hamilton looked horrible against the up-and-coming Francis Ngannou. It would not be fair to Hamilton to dismiss Ngannou as an average fighter, though. He has the ability to win the championship at the heavyweight division within a year or two, so Hamilton had his work cut out for him. This matchup against Marcel Fortuna should be much easier, but it will not be a walk in the park. Hamilton could get caught on the ground, but if he doesn’t, he will walk out of the octagon victorious. That is the more likely scenario.

Anthony Hamilton via TKO, 3rd Round

 

Ovince Saint Preux vs Volkan Oezdemir

Justin’s Pick

Ovince Saint Preux comes into this fight as a heavy favorite, and for good reason. He has lost three of his last four fights, but they have been to Jimi Manuwa, Jon Jones, and Glover Teixeira, while Volkan Oezdemir lost to Kelly Anundson just three fights ago. By no means does that mean Oezdemir is out of this matchup, as he has more than enough power to end this fight at any point in time. OSP should be able to use his athleticism to work around Oezdemir before ending the UFC newcomer with his striking.

Ovince Saint Preux via KO, 2nd Round

 

Jason’s Pick

It would be quite an impressive statement from Volkan Oezdemir to walk into his UFC debut, knockout Ovince Saint Preux, and walk out, but that is likely not going to happen. Saint Preux is an elite-level MMAist, and he should out-work Oezdemir on his way to a victory. Oezdemir has a puncher’s chance, but it is likely that he will have to wait to pick up his first ever win in the UFC. That is not to say he does not have a bright future, though.

Ovince Saint Preux via Unanimous Decision

 

Abel Trujillo vs James Vick

Justin’s Pick

Abel Trujillo and James Vick are two fighters that have impressed quite a bit in their UFC careers. Trujillo has a 6-2-1 record in the UFC with his only two recorded losses coming to Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov. Vick has also had an impressive run, as he comes into this fight with a 5-1 record in the UFC. Both fighters have found plenty of success on their feet, but Trujillo has also been able to work in his grappling. I expect Vick to use his boxing skills to try to outpoint Trujillo during this fight. Trujillo will be the stronger fighter, though, and he will likely try to get this fight to the ground. As long as Vick can stay out of the grasp of Trujillo, he can wear him down and win another impressive decision.

James Vick via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick

This fight is a toss up, but ultimately, Abel “Killa” Trujillo should take home the victory. He has fought against elite-level competition in his career, as Justin previously mentioned. Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov are arguably the two best in their respected weight class. Trujillo does not have the tools to defeat them, but James “The Texecutioner” is not at that level. He has the ability to win this fight, if it stays standing, but it would be surprising if Trujillo does not take it to the ground for the majority of the fight.

Abel Trujillo via Unanimous Decision

 

Alexa Grasso vs Felice Herrig

Justin’s Pick

Alexa Grasso looked outstanding in her UFC debut, while Felice Herrig has had an up and down start to her UFC career. Ultimately, I expect Grasso to keep this fight standing, where she will have an advantage over Herrig. I still feel more than comfortable with Grasso if this fight goes to the ground, as well, though. Herrig has slick submissions, but Grasso will likely stay out of harms way on her way to her second UFC victory.

Alexa Grasso via Unanimous Decision

 

Jason’s Pick

Well, this is starting to get boring, but Justin and I simply do not disagree much this week. Alexa Grasso should make light work of Felice “Lil Bulldog” Herrig. Grasso will finally get into the double-digits in the win category, and she will remain undefeated for the time being. Herrig does not have the skills to defeat someone of Grasso’s caliber. Yes, Grasso could give up an arm or her neck at some point in the fight, but it is very unlikely. She will out-point Herrig on her way to victory.

Alex Grasso via Unanimous Decision

 

Dennis Bermudez vs Chan Sung Jung

Justin’s Pick

This is such a tough fight to pick. My heart says The Korean Zombie will make an epic comeback with a statement win, but my head says that is not going to be the case. The Korean Zombie hasn’t fought since August of 2013, while Dennis Bermudez stayed busy with two wins last year. He should be able to put The Korean Zombie on his back, but that is a dangerous position to be in. Bermudez has been comfortable winning decisions recently, and he has struggled against finishers, as he has been finished in each of his five career losses. The Korean Zombie is a finisher himself, as he has finished 11 of his 13 career victories. Ultimately, I feel it will take a couple rounds, but The Korean Zombie will find his footing on his way to his twelfth career finish.

Chan Sung Jung via Submission, 4th Round

 

Jason’s Pick

While seeing that epic comeback from “The Korean Zombie” Chan Sung Jung would be incredible, it is not going to happen. Dennis “The Menace” Bermudez has the tools to take this fight wherever he pleases. Jung has great standup defense, but he is not great at stuffing takedowns. Bermudez, on the other hand, has elite-level takedown defense, and does not struggle to get opponents to the ground either. If he starts to feel uncomfortable in his feet, he will work Jung on the ground. If this fight goes five rounds, which it should, Jung is in trouble.

Dennis Bermudez via Unanimous Decision




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ben Rice

Smacks Two Homers To End Slump
Scottie Scheffler

The Untouchable Favorite At CJ Cup
Tom Kim

A Popular Name To Avoid At TPC Craig Ranch
Austin Eckroat

Looking To Find Success Again At TPC Craig Ranch
Ben Kohles

Finishes Tied For 59 At Corales Puntacana Championship
Joel Dahmen

Finishes Tied For Second At Corales Puntacana Championship
Beau Hossler

Finishes Tied For 60 At Valero Texas Open
Doug Ghim

Finishes Tied For 18 At the Valero Texas Open
Jordan Spieth

Finishes Tied For 18 At RBC Heritage
Kurt Kitayama

Misses The Cut At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied For Eighth At RBC Heritage
George Kirby

"Feeling Great", Could Throw Again On Sunday
Tyler Fitzgerald

Returning To Starting Nine
Josh Lowe

Progressing Well, Could Play In Rehab Games On Saturday
Shane McClanahan

Begins "Throwing-Like" Activities
Patrik Laine

Remains Day-To-Day
Gabriel Vilardi

On Track To Return Wednesday
Brandon Hagel

Ruled Out For Game 5
Marcus Johansson

Returns To Action Tuesday
Cole Ragans

Won't Start On Wednesday
Dylan Moore

Placed On 10-Day Injured List With Hip Inflammation
Jonas Siegenthaler

Considered A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Brett Pesce

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Yordan Alvarez

Back In Tuesday's Lineup
Frederik Andersen

Unavailable Tuesday
Aaron Nesmith

Upgraded To Available
Las Vegas Raiders

Jack Bech A Strong Candidate To Be An Immediate Starter
Las Vegas Raiders

Zamir White Competing For Depth Role
New York Jets

Mason Taylor To Immediately Be Atop Jets Tight End Depth Chart
Bennedict Mathurin

Cleared For Game 5
Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Setting Up As Post-Hype Sleeper In 2025?
Denver Broncos

Dre Greenlaw Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold To Take Over 90% Of The Snaps
Tennessee Titans

Titans In No Rush To Trade Will Levis
Daulton Varsho

Reinstated From Injured List And Starting On Tuesday
Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Says He Knows He's Ready To Start For Vikings
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Picking Up Fifth-Year Option On Dax Hill
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Apply Unrestricted Free-Agent Tender To J.K. Dobbins
Seattle Seahawks

Jaren Hall Cut Loose By Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs Compare Josh Simmons To Christian Darrisaw, Rashawn Slater
Denver Broncos

Pat Bryant Compared To Michael Thomas
Denver Broncos

RJ Harvey Could Do It All For Broncos
Carolina Panthers

Tetairoa McMillan Likely To Man The X Spot For Panthers
Green Bay Packers

Packers, Jaire Alexander Continue To Discuss Potential Reunion
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Discussed George Pickens With Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs To Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Trent McDuffie, George Karlaftis
Washington Commanders

Matt Gays Signs One-Year Deal With Commanders
San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Signs Four-Year Extension With 49ers
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Records Third Consecutive Double-Double
Brandin Podziemski

Hits Six Treys During 26-Point Performance
Jimmy Butler III

Leads Warriors In Scoring Monday Night
Jarrett Allen

Has Double-Double, Six Steals In Blowout Win
Brandon Boston Jr.

Recovering From Ankle Surgery
Kelly Olynyk

Undergoes Heel Procedure
Aaron Nesmith

Probable For Tuesday's Action
Nathan MacKinnon

Has Two Points In Losing Effort
Martin Necas

Records Two Assists In Game 5 Loss
Mikko Rantanen

Tallies Three Points In Monday's Win
Wyatt Johnston

Leads Stars To Game 5 Victory
Sergei Bobrovsky

Returns To Winning Ways
Anton Lundell

Earns Two Points Monday
Ryan Gerard

Going For A Texas Trifecta Of Sorts
Brandon Hagel

Departs Loss Early
Joe Highsmith

Hoping To Make More Putts In Texas
Eric Cole

Expecting Big Things In Texas
Brian Campbell

May Go Under The Radar At CJ Cup
Riley Greene

Homers Twice On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

Exits Monday's Win Early
Los Angeles Chargers

Tre Harris Expected To Fill X Role For Chargers
Jimmy Butler III

Officially Active For Game 4
Isaiah Stewart

Uncertain For Game 5
Michael Porter Jr.

Expected To Play In Game 5
Brandon Nimmo

Has Career Game
Russell Westbrook

Questionable For Tuesday Night
Tyler Glasnow

Going On The Injured List
Jaylen Brown

Back On The Injury Report
Jrue Holiday

Out Again On Tuesday Night
Bennedict Mathurin

Questionable For Game 5
Damian Lillard

May Not Play Next Season
Luis Arraez

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Johnathan Kovacevic

To Remain Out Tuesday
Brenden Dillon

Unavailable Tuesday
Luke Hughes

Not Ready To Return For Game 5
Darius Garland

Remains Out On Monday
Ross Colton

Remains Out On Monday
Oskar Bäck

Oskar Back Returns To Stars Lineup Monday
Miro Heiskanen

To Miss Game 5
Jordan Westburg

Placed On Injured List
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go For Game 4
William Byron

Ends With A Strong Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Ryan Blaney

Bad Luck Continues With Talladega Crash
Kyle Larson

Has A Career-Best Performance At Talladega
Ian Machado Garry

Gets Back On Track With UFC Kansas City Win
Brad Keselowski

Talladega Run Ends Early After Crashing
Carlos Prates

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Zhang Mingyang

Still Undefeated In The UFC
Anthony Smith

Retires After UFC Kansas City Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous Decision Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous-Decision Loss
David Onama

Extends Win Streak At UFC Kansas City
Michel Pereira

Drops Decision At UFC Kansas City
Abus Magomedov

Extends His Win Streak
Nicolas Dalby

Gets Finished For The First Time
Randy Brown

Gets Back In The Win Column
Ikram Aliskerov

Gets First-Round TKO Finish At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Gets TKO'd At UFC Kansas City
Chase Elliott

Recovers from Speeding Penalty to Finish Fifth
Joey Logano

Finishes Last at Talladega After Disqualification for Missing Spoiler Brace
Ryan Preece

Loses Talladega Race First in Photo Finish Then in Post-Race Inspection
NASCAR

Poor Toyota Strategy Arguably Cost Bubba Wallace Winning Chances at Talladega
Christopher Bell

Unhurt After Hard Contact with Inside Retaining Wall
Joe Ryan

Posts Stellar Outing
Jaylen Brown

Available For Game 4
Nick Lodolo

Throws Seven Scoreless Innings
Tyler Glasnow

Removed Early On Sunday
Darius Garland

Questionable For Game 4
Jaden Ivey

Making Progress
Tarik Skubal

Racks Up 11 Strikeouts
Luke Weaver

In Line To Get The Bulk Of Save Opportunities Moving Forward
Devin Williams

Removed From Closer Role
Chase Elliott

Is One OF The Top Overall DFS Picks Of The Week
Joey Logano

Could Joey Logano Finish A Race With A Top Finish At Talladega?
NASCAR

DFS Players Should Like Bubba Wallace For Talladega This Week
Christopher Bell

Should DFS Players Roster Christopher Bell At Talladega?
Austin Cindric

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering For Talladega DFS Lineups?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Is A Solid, Safe, DFS Choice For Talladega Lineups
Austin Dillon

Is Austin Dillon A Viable DFS Play At Talladega This Week?
Josh Berry

Qualifies Too High At Talladega To Be Worth Rostering In DFS
Michael McDowell

Should DFS Players Take A Shot On Michael McDowell At Talladega?
Noah Gragson

Could Be A Sneaky DFS Play For Talladega
Denny Hamlin

Probably Qualified Too Well for DFS Consideration
Kyle Larson

Increasingly Undervalued Due to His Crashing, but Still a Great DFS Option
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF