X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Fantasy Mads Libs: Starts and Sits for Week 9

Cliff Clinton evaluates some unexpected sleepers and busts for Week 9 of the 2016 NFL season by playing a game of fantasy football fill in the blanks.

No one wanted Aaron Rodgers. I thought a lot about this happening, as this week the rest of the fantasy community learned about my terrible fantasy trade I highlighted in this space a few weeks ago. He's been the best fantasy QB of the last two weeks, but by October 2015, one member of a work league of mine was really, desperately, pulling-out-all-the-stops hoping to make what he believed to be a fair trade.

He wanted to give his first round pick (Aaron Rodgers) for mine. Or my co-worker's. Or anyone in the league who did not draft a QB in the first round, AKA everyone else.

Editor's Note: New users that sign up on FantasyAces, make a $20 deposit, and enter any game will receive our full season NFL (or NBA) Premium Pass for free, a $59.99 value. Just email [email protected] with your new FantasyAces username - and boom, that's it! We will email you with your Premium pass.

Fantasy Economics

It was an important lesson in fantasy economy, something I think about all the time when I enter into trade negotiations. Fantasy economy isn't something that we document frequently when it comes to fantasy sports, but it's a commonly understood concept known by many different names. Just because you draft a player in a certain round does not mean he is consistently worth that much. In fact, that value really only pertains up until Week 1 begins. Yes, Jamaal Charles was totally worth a second or third round pick this year... until injuries made his stock plummet. The economy that plays into here was simple; a player, who cannot play, is worthless in that year. The same concept can become a bit more complicated easily. Dion Lewis was drafted in the last round of many re-drafts leagues, or not drafted at all. Now on the cusp of returning, Lewis is no longer worth that low of a cost.

This co-worker was committing a rookie error. He attached the Green Bay QB's value that was paid for, and equated it to the first round picks that actually ended up being first round picks. He insisted Rodgers still had value, and he did, but no one wanted to pay draft day prices for a QB who was under-performing. What his actual value was, was up for debate.

Fantasy economy is defined as such; in a re-draft league, the value of a player at the time of a trade is worth his future outlook, and bears no relation to a past payment. Julio Jones and Odell Beckham Jr. are still WR1, but are not worth a David Johnson.

So this co-worker kept shopping Rodgers. He kept shopping, and shopping. For a WR1? No. How about two WR2? You see where this is going; everyone else in the league did too. Frustrated that the QB he wanted to keep (Tom Brady!) was no longer facing a BYE week, he felt like he was simply letting his first round pick go to waste. And he started to get desperate, realizing no one had any interest in paying top dollar for his QB.

Or even fifty cents on the dollar. It could be argued it was barely ten cents on the dollar when, after a morning of swapping trades with him, I lobbed him a terrible pitch in the dirt. And he swung, hard. That's how I got Aaron Rodgers in exchange for Kamar Aiken and Eddie Royal.

 

Running Back

Frank Gore will either be on my bench or will ruin my week.

Who would have ever thought that the Green Bay Packers would be scary against the run, but they've only given up two touchdowns to RB all season. Gore is probably still good enough for the FLEX designation in a particularly bad week, but he may not factor much into a shootout versus a tough defense, and certainly won't see any red zone work.

Dear Devontae Booker, do you like like me? I like like you this week.

I'm going to note its the second straight week that my RB recommendation is potentially an injury risk. But if Devontae Booker plays against the Oakland Raiders this week, he'll be facing a defense who last gave up two touchdowns to Kansas City, in Oakland. Booker will be the workhorse, could play into the passing game, and is a great RB option in one of the most brutal BYE weeks this year.

Am I going to really start Charcandrick West in Week 9?

Normally this is the space we like to use for the "barely owned" RB for particularly deep weeks, but that player doesn't exist. Sure, you might spend this week picking up Dion Lewis if he's still unowned, or praying that Tim Hightower is good enough to make magic happen. If you grabbed Charcandrick West this week (and if you own West, you just picked him up this week), you may be dreaming of his 10 yards a carry average in 2015, or his four touchdowns in nine weeks (ok, the second one isn't great.) I don't enjoy the thought of relying on West long term, but Jacksonville will be unable to properly gameplan for West and the Chiefs offense. He could see nearly all of Ware's typical target share if Ware ends up staying on the bench.

 

Wide Receiver

Don't hand me my money back, I'm going double-or-nothing on Michael Thomas

I don't understand why the New Orleans Saints tend to target Thomas more when they are on the road, but the small sample size of the last four games has told a story; 22 targets in two games on the road, and 11 targets in two games at home. New Orleans is visiting the very-bad 49ers this week, so maybe Michael Thomas breaks a rookie franchise target record in Week 9

I will be discarding my Travis Benjamin and replacing him with two cards from the deck

The WR roulette in San Diego is just a ton of fun for fantasy purposes, and it only gets more fun in Week 9. Tennessee has been quietly limiting wide receivers (except the Cleveland Browns, oddly enough), and Benjamin is only third on the team in routes run. His share of receptions are also decreasing nor is he fully healthy. I would avoid, even in a tough week.

I am out of options, and will be swiping right on Cordarrelle Patterson (owned in less than 6% of leagues)

I feel grateful that 4% of leagues read my column last week when Patterson was in this space, and I'm sorry to disappoint you. So I'm double or nothing-ing. I can tell you that Detroit is a defense that won't present Patterson much of a problem, but more realistically I think Bradford has a bounce-back game at home, making Patterson the beneficiary.

 

Tight End

Parachute? I don't need no parachute, I have Kyle Rudolph

If Patterson and Bradford have a bounce-back at home, then Rudolph is definitely a candidate for red zone targets against Detroit. Let it be said here; the matchup is good, and shouldn't be overly concerning for Rudolph owners hesitant from the lack of offensive production recently.

Don't cry kids! We will bury Julius Thomas in the yard

I will be playing Thomas this week because I have no other options, but he is firmly in the "score a touchdown or be worthless" camp. Kansas City won't likely allow a TE touchdown, so Thomas is... I mean, worthless is such a strong word....




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Pavel Dorofeyev

Doesn't Finish Game 5
Filip Gustavsson

Exits Early Due To Illness
Aaron Ekblad

Slapped With Two-Game Suspension
Aldrich Potgieter

Trending Downward For CJ Cup
Taylor Pendrith

Played Well In Houston Recently
PGA

Niklas Norgaard May Not Be Cut Out For Texas
Rasmus Hojgaard

Could Be Up Or Down In Texas
Ben Rice

Smacks Two Homers To End Slump
Jorge Polanco

Hits Two More Homers, Drives In Five
Scottie Scheffler

The Untouchable Favorite At CJ Cup
Tom Kim

A Popular Name To Avoid At TPC Craig Ranch
Austin Eckroat

Looking To Find Success Again At TPC Craig Ranch
Ben Kohles

Finishes Tied For 59 At Corales Puntacana Championship
Joel Dahmen

Finishes Tied For Second At Corales Puntacana Championship
Beau Hossler

Finishes Tied For 60 At Valero Texas Open
Doug Ghim

Finishes Tied For 18 At the Valero Texas Open
Jordan Spieth

Finishes Tied For 18 At RBC Heritage
Kurt Kitayama

Misses The Cut At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied For Eighth At RBC Heritage
George Kirby

"Feeling Great", Could Throw Again On Sunday
Tyler Fitzgerald

Returning To Starting Nine
Josh Lowe

Progressing Well, Could Play In Rehab Games On Saturday
Shane McClanahan

Begins "Throwing-Like" Activities
Patrik Laine

Remains Day-To-Day
Gabriel Vilardi

On Track To Return Wednesday
Brandon Hagel

Ruled Out For Game 5
Marcus Johansson

Returns To Action Tuesday
Cole Ragans

Won't Start On Wednesday
Dylan Moore

Placed On 10-Day Injured List With Hip Inflammation
Jonas Siegenthaler

Considered A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Brett Pesce

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Yordan Alvarez

Back In Tuesday's Lineup
Frederik Andersen

Unavailable Tuesday
Aaron Nesmith

Upgraded To Available
Las Vegas Raiders

Jack Bech A Strong Candidate To Be An Immediate Starter
Las Vegas Raiders

Zamir White Competing For Depth Role
New York Jets

Mason Taylor To Immediately Be Atop Jets Tight End Depth Chart
Bennedict Mathurin

Cleared For Game 5
Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Setting Up As Post-Hype Sleeper In 2025?
Denver Broncos

Dre Greenlaw Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold To Take Over 90% Of The Snaps
Tennessee Titans

Titans In No Rush To Trade Will Levis
Daulton Varsho

Reinstated From Injured List And Starting On Tuesday
Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Says He Knows He's Ready To Start For Vikings
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Picking Up Fifth-Year Option On Dax Hill
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Apply Unrestricted Free-Agent Tender To J.K. Dobbins
Seattle Seahawks

Jaren Hall Cut Loose By Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs Compare Josh Simmons To Christian Darrisaw, Rashawn Slater
Denver Broncos

Pat Bryant Compared To Michael Thomas
Denver Broncos

RJ Harvey Could Do It All For Broncos
Carolina Panthers

Tetairoa McMillan Likely To Man The X Spot For Panthers
Green Bay Packers

Packers, Jaire Alexander Continue To Discuss Potential Reunion
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Discussed George Pickens With Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs To Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Trent McDuffie, George Karlaftis
Washington Commanders

Matt Gays Signs One-Year Deal With Commanders
San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Signs Four-Year Extension With 49ers
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Records Third Consecutive Double-Double
Brandin Podziemski

Hits Six Treys During 26-Point Performance
Jimmy Butler III

Leads Warriors In Scoring Monday Night
Jarrett Allen

Has Double-Double, Six Steals In Blowout Win
Brandon Boston Jr.

Recovering From Ankle Surgery
Kelly Olynyk

Undergoes Heel Procedure
Aaron Nesmith

Probable For Tuesday's Action
Nathan MacKinnon

Has Two Points In Losing Effort
Martin Necas

Records Two Assists In Game 5 Loss
Mikko Rantanen

Tallies Three Points In Monday's Win
Wyatt Johnston

Leads Stars To Game 5 Victory
Sergei Bobrovsky

Returns To Winning Ways
Anton Lundell

Earns Two Points Monday
Ryan Gerard

Going For A Texas Trifecta Of Sorts
Brandon Hagel

Departs Loss Early
Joe Highsmith

Hoping To Make More Putts In Texas
Eric Cole

Expecting Big Things In Texas
Brian Campbell

May Go Under The Radar At CJ Cup
Riley Greene

Homers Twice On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

Exits Monday's Win Early
Los Angeles Chargers

Tre Harris Expected To Fill X Role For Chargers
Jimmy Butler III

Officially Active For Game 4
Isaiah Stewart

Uncertain For Game 5
Michael Porter Jr.

Expected To Play In Game 5
Brandon Nimmo

Has Career Game
Russell Westbrook

Questionable For Tuesday Night
Tyler Glasnow

Going On The Injured List
Jaylen Brown

Back On The Injury Report
Jrue Holiday

Out Again On Tuesday Night
Bennedict Mathurin

Questionable For Game 5
Damian Lillard

May Not Play Next Season
Luis Arraez

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Johnathan Kovacevic

To Remain Out Tuesday
Brenden Dillon

Unavailable Tuesday
Luke Hughes

Not Ready To Return For Game 5
Darius Garland

Remains Out On Monday
Ross Colton

Remains Out On Monday
Jordan Westburg

Placed On Injured List
William Byron

Ends With A Strong Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Ryan Blaney

Bad Luck Continues With Talladega Crash
Kyle Larson

Has A Career-Best Performance At Talladega
Ian Machado Garry

Gets Back On Track With UFC Kansas City Win
Brad Keselowski

Talladega Run Ends Early After Crashing
Carlos Prates

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Zhang Mingyang

Still Undefeated In The UFC
Anthony Smith

Retires After UFC Kansas City Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous Decision Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous-Decision Loss
David Onama

Extends Win Streak At UFC Kansas City
Michel Pereira

Drops Decision At UFC Kansas City
Abus Magomedov

Extends His Win Streak
Nicolas Dalby

Gets Finished For The First Time
Randy Brown

Gets Back In The Win Column
Ikram Aliskerov

Gets First-Round TKO Finish At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Gets TKO'd At UFC Kansas City
Chase Elliott

Recovers from Speeding Penalty to Finish Fifth
Joey Logano

Finishes Last at Talladega After Disqualification for Missing Spoiler Brace
Ryan Preece

Loses Talladega Race First in Photo Finish Then in Post-Race Inspection
NASCAR

Poor Toyota Strategy Arguably Cost Bubba Wallace Winning Chances at Talladega
Christopher Bell

Unhurt After Hard Contact with Inside Retaining Wall
Joe Ryan

Posts Stellar Outing
Jaylen Brown

Available For Game 4
Nick Lodolo

Throws Seven Scoreless Innings
Tyler Glasnow

Removed Early On Sunday
Darius Garland

Questionable For Game 4
Jaden Ivey

Making Progress
Tarik Skubal

Racks Up 11 Strikeouts
Luke Weaver

In Line To Get The Bulk Of Save Opportunities Moving Forward
Chase Elliott

Is One OF The Top Overall DFS Picks Of The Week
Joey Logano

Could Joey Logano Finish A Race With A Top Finish At Talladega?
NASCAR

DFS Players Should Like Bubba Wallace For Talladega This Week
Christopher Bell

Should DFS Players Roster Christopher Bell At Talladega?
Austin Cindric

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering For Talladega DFS Lineups?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Is A Solid, Safe, DFS Choice For Talladega Lineups
Austin Dillon

Is Austin Dillon A Viable DFS Play At Talladega This Week?
Josh Berry

Qualifies Too High At Talladega To Be Worth Rostering In DFS
Michael McDowell

Should DFS Players Take A Shot On Michael McDowell At Talladega?
Noah Gragson

Could Be A Sneaky DFS Play For Talladega
Denny Hamlin

Probably Qualified Too Well for DFS Consideration
Kyle Larson

Increasingly Undervalued Due to His Crashing, but Still a Great DFS Option
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF