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Matt Miller dives into his top longshot bets for the 2026 Travelers Championship sleeper plays, value bets, and under-the-radar golf betting insights.
Welcome to my weekly longshots article! The purpose of this piece is to identify players further down the board who are low-risk, high-reward wagers. For purposes of this article, I am considering longshots to be players over 80-1 on the odds list.
The wagers listed below might have playability in various sectors of the market. Please search your shops to see if you can find anything enticing.
If you have any additional questions for me, you can find me on X @MattyMillz85. I am always more than happy to answer any questions you might have. Also, stay tuned for additional announcements from me here in 2026. Big things are on the way!
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Ryan Gerard (80-1 DraftKings)
This feels like an extremely generous price on Ryan Gerard, who narrowly missed out on a signature event win a few weeks ago at the Memorial. Despite the missed cut at last week's U.S. Open, Gerard is in great form heading to Cromwell this week.
Gerard registered back to back top 10 finishes at the Charles Schwab and Memorial Tournament prior to his missed cut at the national Open last week. In both those events he gained well over a stroke per round against the field on approach and well over two per round against the field putting.
“[Adam Scott’s] swing is like Mona Lisa. Mine’s like graffiti on the side of a rail car.”
A deep dive from Ryan Gerard on why his “ugly” swing works ... and works well. pic.twitter.com/XZy15i9f3m
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) June 4, 2026
The Travelers Championship leaderboard is heavily shifted by putting. On a short course with a ton of wedges in hand, there will be a surplus of 10-15 birdie putts to go around this week. Gerard is currently one of the hottest putters on the planet, leading the field on the greens at both the Charles Schwab Challenge and Memorial Tournament.
The 26-year-old is also a fantastic iron player. He ranks 8th on tour this year in strokes gained approach, and sits inside the top 25 in every proximity bucket between 50-150 yards. At a wedge heavy event, Gerard should be right in his wheelhouse this week.
Hideki Matsuyama (80-1 DraftKings)
This is more a number play than anything else. It's been a rough couple of months for Hideki, particularly off the tee. Still, at this price point, I believe Hideki is worth a shot this week.
162 yards → 6 inches.
Hideki Matsuyama 🇯🇵 to near gimme range. pic.twitter.com/SZwrRQe5u6
— U.S. Open (@usopengolf) June 18, 2026
While the off the tee numbers are troubling to say the least, a shorter course should theoretically provide Matsuyama the option of clubbing down off the tee. TPC River Highlands is not an overly demanding course off the tee so if Hideki can just put himself in the fairway this week, I have faith in the irons.
Despite some poor results, the 34-year-old has still gained strokes on approach in seven of his last nine starts. Hideki ranks 27th on tour this season in strokes gained approach.
The real selling point for Hideki is his pedigree while being listed this far down the odds board. Matsuyama is an 11-time PGA Tour winner and major championship winner. 80-1 and up is auto bet for me, especially at an event like the Travelers.
Matt McCarty (250-1 FanDuel)
Full disclosure, I'm a bit of a Matt McCarty truther. Despite the bias, this number is just flat out wrong.
A driving accuracy, wedge play and putting contest is right up McCarty's alley. The 28-year-old is a very strong putter who can spike on the greens. In a tournament that has the ability to turn into a bit of a putting contest, I have a ton of faith in McCarty in that department.
While he may not be a household name on the PGA Tour yet, McCarty has already won on the PGA Tour and was a prolific winner on the Korn Ferry Tour. If he's in the mix on the weekend, this isn't a kid who is going to fold under pressure.
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