RADIO
Welcome back to another League of Legends DFS fantasy slate! We are now onto week 3 of the LEC summer split with plenty of great matchups ahead.
I'll provide my League of Legends DFS advice, analysis, and lineup picks for this LEC slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 12:00 PM EST on Friday, July 1st, 2022. If you have any questions about the slate or anything please reach out to me on Twitter @nolanroth10. I'll do my best to provide some useful analysis, and the odds listed are from Pinnacle. Let's jump right into the matchups, and good luck RotoBallers.
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LEC Matches
BDS (+120) vs. MSF (-155)
Both teams come into the weekend at 1-4 with BDS picking up a surprise win against G2 last week and MSF taking down SK for their sole win.
As bad as MSF has looked this summer split, they should be able to find some success here against BDS. The betting odds are a little closer than I expected but it has been hard to put any confidence into either of these teams. MSF continues to look to play through their star mid-laner Vetheo who has a team-leading 26% of the gold share. I'm hoping we get to see him on one of his signature champions in this game. Look for Shlatan to put focus on the mid-lane and try to get Vetheo an advantage early on. Neon and Mersa have been holding their own in the bot lane and xMatty has continued to struggle with positioning leading to a few in-lane kills.
The bright spots for BDS this split have been Cinkrof and Nuclearint, who are both coming off 2 good games last weekend. If Cinkrof and Nuclearint can put Vetheo behind, and the rest of MSF isn't able to find advantages, BDS could find their way to an upset
Top BDS plays: Nuclearint, Cinkrof, Erdote
Top MSF plays: Vetheo, Shlatan, Neon, Mersa
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VIT (-220) vs. SK (+169)
I have only predicted one SK outcome correctly this split and while I didn't expect them to be good, I was expecting more than what we have seen so far. VIT on the other hand continues to be underwhelming but this is a potential get-right game here for them. This game doesn't hold a ton of appeal DFS wise as neither team has been all that scrappy this split. Sertuss has been the one bright spot for SK but nothing I have seen has given me any confidence in this team.
I would look towards Perkz and Haru for VIT here as they bring the most significant kill shares. I don't love Carzzy as a player and he has been very average since leaving MAD. We know with Alpahri he is going to have good cs numbers and a dominant hold on the lane. But he continues to be unable to translate that into the DFS scores we are looking for. Labrov has looked better than then last split and does bring a 75% kill participation into this game.
Top SK plays: Sertuss, JNX
Top VIT plays: Perkz, Haru, Labrov
RGE (-135) vs. XL (+105)
XL have been underdogs in over half of their games this split yet sit tied with G2 for first at 4-1. XL has taken down MAD, VIT, and FNC along the way and now faces another tough test against RGE.
RGE struggled in week one but had a very tough schedule to start the split. They came back in week 2 focussed on turning it around and found themselves 2-0 after the weekend. As much as I am on the XL train, RGE should win a close one here and I am looking forward to seeing it play out. Both teams are middle of the pack in terms of CKPM (Combined kills per minute) and RGE as always have one of the longest average game times. I see this game having plenty of team fights around the neutral objectives and as long as we don't see a clean ace from either side that ends the game, it sets up for the winning team to score well.
Top RGE plays: Comp, Trymbi, Larssen, Malrang
Top XL plays: Mikyx, Patrik, Markoon
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FNC (-285) vs. AST (+210)
AST continues to be the surprise of the split maintaining a positive record of 3-2 through the first two weeks. The biggest takeaway has been how coordinated they have been on plays, especially in team fighting. It was something they really lacked last split and support Jeonghoon has played quite well. As well as AST has played, they are not at the level of FNC and the bot lane of Upset and Hyli should reign supreme.
Hylissang has been dying a ton early on this split, but if you have followed his career you know he tends to have a stretch that this happens. He is still one of the best supports and the duo of him and Upset could be the best bot lane in the league. Upset carries a strong 34% KS into this game and bot lane is the clear win condition for FNC as they have given both Upset and Hyli the counter pick in bot lane in 4 of the 5 games.
Top FNC plays: Upset, Hylissang, Razork,
MAD (+150) vs. G2 (-193)
We finish off the Friday slate with a great game between MAD and G2. The addition of Nisqy has been a clear upgrade for MAD and the early split reaction is that MAD will be one of the top teams in the standings. G2 on the other hand continues to be one tier above the rest of the teams in the LEC. On the split, G2 has 32 more kills than the next closest team and a kill-to-death ratio of over 2. G2 leads the LEC in CKPM meanwhile MAD is dead last.
Until G2 shows signs of struggles it is hard to confidently pick against them. G2 should win this one but with how slow MAD has been playing, I'm worried about what kind of game we will see. If MAD plays G2's game this could be a bloodbath but if MAD is dictating the pace this could be a low-kill game where one big fight decides the winner. There are games, I am more confident in but G2 is never a bad choice
Top MAD plays: Elyoya, UnForgiven, Nisqy
Top G2 plays: Caps, BrokenBlade, Targamas, Flakked
Summary
- GPP Stacks: MAD/BDS/XL
- Cash Stacks: FNC/VIT/G2
Good luck tomorrow RotoBallers!
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