X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2017 Keeper Values: Outfield Rankings - Tier Two

By Keith Allison on Flickr [CC BY-SA 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

JB uses his Keeper Player Valuation Formula to rank the top values among Outfielders (Tier 2) for 2017 fantasy baseball keeper leagues heading into the MLB season.

What's up RotoBallers. Welcome back to my series on keeper leagues. Today I'll be taking a look at outfield keeper values for fantasy baseball (tier two)  for those of you deciding what players to keep for your teams.

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft round in order to keep a player into the up-coming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as: the extent to which a good or service (player) is perceived by its customer (fantasy owner) to meet his/her needs or wants.

For these specific rankings, 12 team, 5x5 scoring, 23 man roster, Rotisserie league settings were used. If you play in a custom league with non-standard configurations, are thinking of keeping a player not on this list, or want to compare players on your team, follow me on Twitter @RowdyRotoJB or contact me via the RotoBaller Chat Rooms.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. It's already loaded up with tons of great rankings articles and draft analysis. Aside from our tiered staff rankings for every position, we also go deep on MLB prospect rankings, impact rookies for 2017, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well. Bookmark the page, and win your drafts.

 

How My Keeper Valuation Formula Works

The Keeper Values are derived from my 15 step Keeper Valuation Formula. The product is a quanitative depiction of a players ability to meet/exceed fantasy owners needs based on the cost they payed for the player in the previous season (2016 ADP). The higher the score, the higher the return the fantasy owner will receive from the player, keeping him at his associated cost. Approaching Keeper selections with this "value" based attitude, will greatly increase the effectiveness of a fantasy owner's draft in a Keeper League.

TIER SCORE EXPLANATION
1 >75 Finders Keepers! These are the Elite Keeper Values. MUST BE KEPT.
2 50-75 Great Keeper values. Unless you have a full load of Tier 1 players, these guys need to be kept.
3 25-49 You are gaining value with these players, but not as much as your opponents are, potentially. Consider if your options are limited.
4 0-24 Break even point. Minimal value. Only consider if you have a large quantity of Keeper selections.
5 -99-0 Keeping these players will hurt your overall draft, as you are not adding any value. Dont waste a Keeper selection here.
6 <-100 The associated costs make it impossible to return any value, these
players will ruin your draft. Stay far away.

 

2017 Top Outfield Keeper Values: #4-14

14. Mark Trumbo, BAL (15th Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 50.62

After hitting only 22 HR and being traded to Baltimore in 2015, Trumbo bounced back yuuuge on his way to a career year in 2016. His 47 bombs led the league, and he was six runs shy of a 100 R/100 RBI campaign. A terrible second half in which he hit just .214 with a .754 OPS, combined with how saturated the power scene has become in fantasy baseball, is the reason why his Keeper Value score seems to be too low. I still love the potential value here.

 

13. Ryan Braun, MIL (Fifth Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 57.75

Two down years (2013-2014) in the midst of swirling PED controversy has caused many of the newer fantasy owners to forget how freakin' amazing Ryan Braun was for his first six years in the league. But those days are in the past and Braun has gotten back to being one of the best all-around fantasy producers in the game. Mookie Betts was the only other player in the league with at least 30 HR, 15 SB, and a .300 BA last year. The Brewers offense looks rejuvenated and could add some decent run creating opportunities for their veteran. Don't overlook Braun in your 2017 fantasy drafts, the man's got plenty left in the tank.

 

12. Nelson Cruz, SEA (Fourth Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 58.55

2016 made it three straight seasons with at least 40 dingers, 87 R and 93 RBI for Cruz. He leads the league in home runs over the span and has become just about as safe as it gets in an outfield pick for fantasy, as his batting average has really stepped up its game ever since moving to SafeCo. The Mariners have an elite core on offense, and added Jean Segura and Jarrod Dyson to the top of the lineup this off-season. Even at 36 years young, there is nothing to suggest we receive anything but what we've seen the past three seasons from Cruz in 2017.

 

11. Khris Davis, OAK (16th Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 60.78

What a monstrous breakout season we saw from Khris, with a K, Davis in 2016. In his first season in Oakland, he set a career high in HR (42), R (85), and RBI (102), while maintaining the same lackluster batting average we've seen the past three years. His HR/FB% was only two points higher than 2015 when he hit 27 HR, with the same flyball percentage. The difference was a spike in his Hard%, and a big surge over the second half when he rode a .914 OPS and a crazy .337 ISO. With that being said, I don't believe we see another 40 HR performance in 2017, but split the difference in the mid-30s and you still got yourself a stud fantasy player.

 

10. Ian Desmond, COL (10th Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 62.08

Nothing like a change of scenery to resurrect your life at the plate. It seemed to certainly help Desmond last year, his first as a Ranger, as he got back to his 20/20 ways (four in his last five seasons) and slashed .285/.335/.446. The average was his best since 2012. But wait, the scenery has changed yet again for Desi, this time he's going to the glorious Coors Field to be apart of one of the most terrifying lineup in the league. The same park where he has hit .379 with a 1.016 OPS in 23 career games. Things are going to get rowdy in Colorado.

 

9. Andrew Benintendi, BOS (23rd Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 62.65

The newly-crowned number one prospect in baseball according to MLB.com, Benintendi is slated to man LF everyday for the World Series-contending Red Sox in 2017. In just 34 games at the big-league level last year, the rookie really held his own, hitting two dingers with an impressive .359 OBP. You are looking at 15/20 potential optimisistically for this season, with an average that will play in any fantasy lineup. You're going to want to tie this guy down for a long while, so put a keeper ring on it.

 

8. Jackie Bradley, BOS (23rd Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 66.41

Moving over to centerfield for the Red Sox, Jackie Bradley had quite the little breakout himself in his first full season in the bigs. He finished 2016 with 94 R, 26 HR, 87 RBI, nine SB, and a .267 BA. The power was just a small step of maturation from 2015, as he hit 19 HR combined between Triple A and the big league, in 10 fewer games than he saw in 2016. So expect roughly the same homer totals, with a higher average as he gains experience and continues to cut down his K%. Plus he is also in that fantastic Boston lineup, so 90 R and RBI will always be reachable. Disclaimer: I am a Red Sox fan, but the Keeper Valuation Formula knows no bias.

 

7. David Dahl, COL (23rd Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 66.71

The third straight youngster on the list, Dahl got a chance to show his all-around fantasy potential in 63 games in the MLB last season. He hit seven HR and five SB to go along with a .315 BA. Combined with his minor league play, in 2016 he totaled 25 HR and 22 SB. Got to love keeping young 20/20 potential in the late rounds, especially one that plays half his games at Coors Field. The BA is sure to come down after boasting a .404 BABIP, but I mean it is Colorado and he is quick, so it certainly won't fall much below .300. This is another guy that you have to tie up for the long run.

 

6. Charlie Blackmon, COL (Third Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 70.90

Dahl's mate out in the Colorado outfield is a great role model for the young stud to look up to, because he is the bee's knees of all-around fantasy production. Blackmon continued his versatile ways in 2016, and even traded in some speed for extra pop for his fantasy owners. He hit a career high 29 HR and .324 BA, while still stealing 17 bases. He also set a career high .381 OBP, which attributed greatly to his top 10 R total (111). He saw a seven point jump in his HR/FB% with only one percent jumps in flyballs and hard hit percentages, so the HR total should regress a bit. But Blackmon did cut down on his groundballs and hit the second highest line drive percentage in the league, and once again plays in Colorado, so don't expect anything under 20. 25 HR, 20 SB, and a .300 BA in that lineup? This is why RotoBaller ranks him as the 13th overall fantasy player for 2017.

 

5. Odubel Herrera, PHI (23rd Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 73.35

Spawning from the 2014 Rule-5 Draft, Herrera took a massive step forward last year after showing plenty of promise in his rookie season. He hit 15 HR, stole 25 bases and still managed a .286 BA after the expected dip in BABIP came through. He too, is a great OBP asset, which is why he was able to score 87 R in the Phillies lineup. The burst of power he enjoyed seems like a natural progression, so we should roughly expect another 15/25 season out of the 25-year-old, which was only accomplished by nine other players in 2016.

 

4. Christian Yelich, MIA (10th Round ADP) Keeper Valuation Formula Score: 73.94

Hands down, Yelich is my favorite fantasy baseball player, and was one my top breakout picks heading into last season. He rewarded me nicely, transitioning his insanely awesome 4.16 GB/FB ratio from 2015 to a 2.82, resulting in a career high 21 HR and 98 RBI. He hits the ball very hard (38.0 Hard%) and still hits very few flyballs, which will consistently keep his BA high. If you play in an OBP league, Yelich is a stud, and keeps getting more patient at the plate. His OBP for the past three seasons are: .362, .366, and .376. I think the homers were too high in 2016 thanks to a 23.6 HR/FB%, but also think the career-low nine SB were too low. It will all even out in 2017, and will culminate in a great season spread out through every fantasy hitting category.

 

 

Keeper Value Articles: 

Catcher Rankings: Tier 1

Catcher Rankings: Tier 2

Catcher Rankings: Tier 3

First Base Rankings: Tier 1

First Base Rankings: Tier 2

First Base Rankings: Tiers 3-4

Second Base Rankings: Tier 1

Second Base Rankings: Tier 2

Second Base Rankings: Tier 3

Third Base Rankings: Tier 1

Third Base Rankings: Tier 2

Third Base Rankings: Tier 3

Shortstop Rankings: Tier 1

Shortstop Rankings: Tier 2




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tyler Soderstrom

Returns to A's Lineup
Tyler Warren

Sidelined on Wednesday with Toe Injury
Jaylen Waddle

Questionable for Week 3 Against Buffalo
Joe Burrow

Bengals Not Closing the Door on Joe Burrow Returning This Year
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Play Against Missouri?
Kyle Tucker

Progress has "Plateaued"
Isaac Paredes

has "Outside Chance" to Return This Weekend
CFB

Kaidon Salter Expected To Start for Colorado on Saturday
Willson Contreras

Goes on 10-Day Injured List, Done for Season
Justin Fields

Ruled Out for Week 3 Due to Concussion
Jayden Reed

Out Indefinitely After Foot and Shoulder Surgery
Washington Commanders

Preston Smith Signs With Commanders
Trey Jemison III

Joins Knicks on Two-Way Contract
Kevin McCullar Jr.

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Knicks
Matt Ryan

Returns to Knicks on Exhibit 10 Contract
New York Knicks

Alex Len Signs Exhibit 9 Deal With Knicks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Expected to Take on Larger Offensive Role With Hawks
Thomas Sorber

Undergoes Surgery
Dominic Canzone

Has Five-Hit, Three-Homer Game Tuesday
Cal Raleigh

Sets Single-Season Home Run Record for a Switch-Hitter
Jayden Reed

Undergoes Clavicle and Foot Surgeries, Out for Foreseeable Future
Bo Bichette

to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Zach Neto

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Hand Injury
Yordan Alvarez

Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Place Aaron Jones Sr. on Injured Reserve With Hamstring Injury
CFB

Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
CFB

Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
CFB

Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
NBA

Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

Moves to Brooklyn
Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
Diego Lopes

Returns To The Win Column
Jayden Daniels

' Week 3 Status in Doubt
Rob Font

Outclassed In The Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
David Martinez

Wins His Second UFC Fight
Jared Gordon

Suffers Brutal TKO Loss At Noche UFC 3
Rafa Garcia

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dealing with Wrist Injury
Dustin Stoltzfus

Drops A Decision At Noche UFC 3
Kelvin Gastelum

Gets Back In The Win Column
Diego Ferreira

Suffers Second-Round TKO
Alexander Hernandez

Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
Quang Le

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Santiago Luna

Shines In His UFC Debut
Christopher Bell

Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
Alex Bowman

Falls Short of Advancing Through Cup Series Playoffs
Chase Briscoe

Collects his Third Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Strong Top-Five Bristol Performance Advances him to the Playoffs
Corey Heim

Earns his First Career Cup Series Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Leads Greece to Bronze Medal
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Drops 28 Points in EuroBasket Finals
CFB

Indiana's Lee Beebe Jr. Out for Season with Knee Injury
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Named EuroBasket MVP
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Emil Heineman

Aiming to Take the "Next Step" This Season
Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

Blue Jackets Acquire Ivan Fedotov From Flyers
Garrett Crochet

Punches Out 12 in Win
Cole Ragans

to Return on Wednesday
George Kirby

Strikes Out 14 in Win
Quentin Grimes

Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

Has Arguably his Best Career Drive, but Only Finishes 10th
Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

Misses Round of 12 After Extremely Mediocre Bristol Run
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
CFB

Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
CFB

Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
CFB

LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
CFB

CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
CFB

John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
CFB

Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Ivan Demidov

Turning Heads in Rookie Camp
NHL

Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

Skates With Non-Contact Jersey
Mackenzie Blackwood

Dealing With Injury Ahead of Training Camp
Spencer Knight

Signs Three-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Chris Buescher

May have Another Solid Run at Bristol
Corey Perry

Out 6-8 Weeks Following Surgery
Kyle Busch

Should DFS Managers Roster Kyle Busch at Bristol?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

Probably Won't Factor in for Bristol Win
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

Needs to Win to Make Round of 12
Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
Austin Dillon

Richmond Speed Unlikely to Carry Over to Bristol
Josh Berry

Might Run Well at Bristol, but Almost Certainly Won't Win to Advance
Justin Haley

Bristol One of Justin Haley's Few Recent Bright Spots
CFB

Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Struggles In Fourth Straight Loss
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Dealing With a "Tweak"
BUF

Alexandar Georgiev Joins Sabres on One-Year Deal
Corey Perry

Injured During Pre-Camp Skate
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Malcolm Brogdon

Heading to Knicks on One-Year Deal
Landry Shamet

Staying with the Knicks

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP