May 9, 2025

RotoBrady provides picks on every spread and O/U for Week 7 of the 2025 UFL Season.

Okay, let's make that two not-good weeks in a row. The Brahmas have proven that they are clearly the worst in the league, the Roughnecks are right there in the USFL postseason picture, the Panthers top the Power Rankings...and the Battlehawks pick up a win over Arlington in one of the ugliest single sporting events I have ever witnessed.

We have also seen even more poorly timed injuries this week and some noteworthy transactions. Kalen Ballage is out for the rest of the season--so Dae Dae Hunter and De'Veon Smith take the reins this week, and Arlington has signed RB Tony Jones Jr. Abdul Beecham is out for the Battlehawks O-Line, Kirk Merritt is missing this week from the Roughnecks backfield, the Brahmas are out Jacob Harris, and S Darius Phillips was traded to Memphis for WR Dee Anderson.

We have four weeks left in the regular season, and six teams remain in the postseason hunt. We started the season off on a solid note, but it has been a rough last couple of weeks with the Battlehawks emerging from a two-game skid and San Antonio spiraling into utter disaster in the XFL. Let's get back in the swing of things in this week of matchups where I can see every team but one possibly getting a win and make some picks for UFL Week 7.

Bye the way, for some phenomenal UFL reporting, check out James Larsen on Twitter @JamesLarsenPFN.

Week 7 Power Rankings

1. Michigan Panthers--fresh off of a beating of D.C., Bryce Perkins has the wheel and is so far the league's MVP.
2. D.C. Defenders--wins over Birmingham, St. Louis, and Arlington have me easily forgiving last week and their weird loss to the Brahmas.
3. St. Louis Battlehawks--they have bounced back from a two-game skid with two-straight wins. This team has been a little rollercoastery.
4. Arlington Renegades--last week was so ugly. Turnover after turnover.
5. Birmingham Stallions--the Stallions would be playoff-bound if the season ended today--but they can't get a break on the health of their QBs.
6. Houston Roughnecks--it is very much for real now. With Jalan McClendon at quarterback, this team is fighting for the playoffs.
7. Memphis Showboats--still improving and will remain competitive, but last week was a dagger for their postseason hopes.
8. San Antonio Brahmas--I will need the entire offseason to contemplate how the wheels could have fallen off this bad.

Week 7 Picks

D.C. Defenders at San Antonio Brahmas (Friday, May 9th, at 8PM ET)

Defenders (-7.5), -345 ML, O/U 37.5

I think D.C. is coming into this game with a vengeance--both for their blowout loss last week at the hands of the Panthers and for their first loss of the season delivered by the Brahmas at Audi Field. Plus, you are telling me that the San Antonio defense no longer touts Darius Phillips, Kevin Hogan is QB1, and they will be without Jacob Harris, Greg Ward, Anthony McFarland, AND Mathew Sexton? This has the makings of a bloodbath.

The Brahmas managed just three points last week against Birmingham's 26--it wasn't that Hogan was actually that bad, but their backfield was horrendous and the defense continued its league-worst play. With the current state of things, D.C. should cover even on an off day. I think they will be highly motivated and Jordan Ta'amu/Chris Rowland will shred this secondary. I see a final score range of 21-3 to 31-10, so lay the points with D.C. and favor the under.

Michigan Panthers at Arlington Renegades (Saturday, May 10th, at 1PM ET)

Panthers (-3), -162 ML, O/U 42.5

What a contrast from Week 6. Arlington played one of the ugliest, sloppiest, most frustrating games of football I can recall in their 12-6 loss on the road to St. Louis, while Michigan plowed over the Defenders 38-14 on another MVP-caliber performance from Bryce Perkins. Toa Taua, Perkins, and Nate McCrary all had good days running the ball, and the defense was simply stifling. In Week 6, the Panthers looked like the best team in the UFL.

The Renegades last week, on the other hand, looked like the worst team in the Kentucky High School Athletic Association. We can try to forget about it, but Arlington is capable of high highs and low lows, with differing performances at home and away. Michigan is just far too consistent with Bryce Perkins cemented at QB1, and losing Ballage is devastating. I see a final score range of 21-17 to 35-31 for Michigan, so lay and let's go over.

Houston Roughnecks at Birmingham Stallions (Sunday, May 11th, at 12PM ET)

Stallions (-4.5), -250 ML, O/U 38.5

The Birmingham Stallions remain banged up at QB. Case Cookus has done a fine job, but the Stallions signed AF1 MVP candidate Jalen Morton for security. The concern here is that even against San Antonio, the Stallions backfield still underperformed. The defense only allowed three points, but against the down-and-out Brahmas offense. Birmingham will be returning some key pieces of the secondary, a weak spot up to this point in 2025.

The Roughnecks have now won three of their last four, with their last loss being to Birmingham at home in the first week of action for Jalan McClendon. Missing Kirk Merritt is a bummer, but I think ZaQuandre White will be serviceable, and Houston came keep this reasonably close--but this is on the border with a shocking lack of homefield advantage for Birmingham. I see a final score range of 21-18 to 27-21. This could go either way, but at 4.5, I suppose you lay with Birmingham and take the over. Hope you got Houston at +6 early in the week.

St. Louis Battlehawks at Memphis Showboats (Sunday, May 11th, at 3PM ET)

Battlehawks (-4.5), -198 ML, O/U 38.5

What a turnaround for St. Louis. After a two-game skid landed them at 2-2, they have now won two consecutive games over the Panthers (32-27) and Renegades (12-6). As sloppy as Arlington was last week--so was St. Louis. They had an alright day on the ground, but their sloppiness led to only 12 points, and having one of their top O-linemen out will make that a tougher battle moving forward. Max Duggan has shown big-play capability in his time as QB1.

Memphis has been a very new team with Dresser Winn at quarterback. Wes Hills looked very capable as a workhorse RB, and $2 hotdogs and beer this Sunday in Memphis means the crowd should be happy and rowdy--a fun formula. They lost by just one point to the Roughnecks last week--not so bad a thing nowadays. The Battlehawks have to be more polished this week. I am iffy on the spread, but I think their ML is a good value. I see a final score range of 21-17 to 26-21, so a light lean on St. Louis and go with the over.

Parlay of the Week

D.C. ML, Panthers ML, Battlehawks ML, Houston (+6): +570

Right back on the horse. It has become painfully apparent that Birmingham's home field advantage isn't much of an advantage at all. The Defenders and Battlehawks are in very favorable matchups, and Michigan looks like the UFL's best team since Bryce Perkins was cemented at QB1.

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